Introduction to Financial Management ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 1 What is Financial Management? • Financial Management is about money – where does it come from? – what do organisations do with it? – how can they use it efficiently? – how can they control for risk? • Organisations can be … – small, medium-sized or large – public or private – state-owned industry – partnerships – charities ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 2 Sources vs. Uses of Funds Uses Sources Land Banks Capital markets cash Venture capital Buildings Equipment Labour Private investors Working Capital cash cash ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 3 Types of Funds • Equity (= ordinary shares) – shareholders entitled to pro rata share of residual cash flows after company has met all of its liabilities Equity Earnings after Interest and Tax paid to shareholders as dividends retained by firm ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 4 Types of Funds cont. • Familiar types of debt – short-term loans e.g. overdraft, suppliers, deferred taxes – medium-term or long-term loans e.g. bank loans, mortgages, leases ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 5 Types of Funds cont. • Less familiar types of debt – debentures – preference shares – warrants – Convertibles What are these? Why do firms need to issue so many different types of funds? ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 6 Key Points • Check your understanding of buzzwords • Get help from an expert • Check the sources of funds for future employers, large suppliers & customers – Will/can they pay you??? ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 7 Goals of the Firm • A firm has many stakeholders – shareholders, lenders, managers, employees, suppliers, customers, and society (via taxes and the environment) • What should be the financial goal(s) of firm? – maximise profit? • difficulty is … definition of “profit” is subject to accounting conventions – hence, use cash flows, not profit ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 8 Goals of the Firm cont. • Shareholders own firm’s residual cash flows after all liabilities have been paid – suggests financial goal of firm should be to maximise shareholder wealth – but how do we compare cash flows that occur at different dates in the future? ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 9 Major Themes of Financial Man’t • Trade-off between risk and return – investors prefer more wealth to less wealth, but are risk-averse – hence, return required by investors: risk-free return compensates investors for deferred consumption Required return Risk-free rate risk premium depends on amount of risk Risk premium Risk ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 10 Major Themes cont. • Opportunity cost of capital – shareholders can invest in capital markets for themselves – so … managers should invest only in projects that provide higher return than that available in the capital markets for the same level of risk ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 11 Project Appraisal Comparing the value of different contracts Choosing new equipment ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 12 Value Creation • The main objective of project is creation of value for its stakeholders. • Value is created • The private sector main objective is value creation for their owners (stock holders). This is in terms of wealth maximization. • The public sector attempts to maximize social benefits. • Value creation is the guiding principle through out this discussion. That is any project must be able to create value Massood Samii, MIT OpenCourseWare – financially by creating net cash flow – socially by creating social benefit. ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 13 • In accounting all the costs and revenues are explicit, in finance and economics, they are both explicit and implicit. – Explicit cost are the accounting costs that are realized. For example, labour cost, energy costs, and material. – Implicit costs are those costs that are hidden. – One such a cost is the difference between revenue and revenue from best alternative investment . For example if we make A amount of investment and we receive X amount of return but an alternative investment would create Y return, where Y>X, from economic point of view there is a loss equal to Δ = Y-X. In accounting term there is a profit of X. Massood Samii, MIT OpenCourseWare Explicit and Implicit Cost ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 14 • Social cost–benefit analysis centres on the difference between explicit and implicit cost. – Social cost are costs that are incurred by society. A firm may be dumping waste into a river. From the firm’s point of view there is zero cost associated with waste disposal. However, the social cost of the firm’s operation (from a societal point of view) is very high since they either have to clean the water (a cost for the society) or have polluted water. – Social benefits may also be different to private benefits. Massood Samii, MIT OpenCourseWare Social Cost-Benefit ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 15 Introduction • How should a business evaluate an investment in new plant, equipment, … i.e. a new “project”? – are the expected future cash flows worth more than the initial cost? • Need to … – estimate annual incremental cash flows associated with the project – discount these cash flows back to the starting date for the project ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 16 Introduction cont. • Discounting reflects both timing and uncertainty of future cash flows • For a stream of expected future cash flows C1, C2, …, CT and initial investment I, net present value (NPV) of investment equals: C1 C2 CT NPV I ... T 2 1 R 1 R 1 R • NPV rule for capital investment – if capital is not rationed, accept all projects with NPV > 0 ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 17 Incremental Cash Flows • Which cash flows should be included in project appraisal? • After-tax cash flows that are incremental to project • Difference (hence incremental) in firm’s cash flows between two mutually-exclusive scenarios: • “project goes ahead” vs. “project does not go ahead” ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 18 What to include … • Opportunity costs – cost of fixed assets (land, buildings, machinery) purchased to undertake project – market value of fixed assets that could be put to alternative uses e.g. let or sold – management time spent on project • Changes in Working Capital – WC is capital (cash, inventory, …) needed to run project over short term ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 19 What to include cont. • Taxes – cash-flow savings from capital allowances on buildings and equipment – opportunity cost of capital is reduced because interest payments on debt are corporate-tax deductible ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 20 What NOT to include … • Sunk costs – costs already incurred and not recoverable e.g. R&D costs • Accounting allocations – overheads – depreciation of fixed assets – accruals or other accounting devices for smoothing costs and revenues • Cash flows that are neither costs nor revenues associated with the investment – interest payments on debt – dividends paid to shareholders ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 21 • Each period revenue is forecast • Each period cost is determined • Difference between cost and revenue is gross return • Determine taxable income by subtracting depreciation • Subtract tax • Add back depreciation • Discount cash flow to present time take into account proper discount rate Massood Samii, MIT OpenCourseWare Cash flow analysis ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 22 Discount rate • What is the correct discount rate R? • Opportunity cost of capital – after-tax rate of return that investors could obtain for themselves by investing initial amount I instead in a well-diversified portfolio of financial securities with same level of risk as project • Financial markets provide benchmark rate of return because they are highly efficient at pricing securities • We will learn how to estimate R in the lecture on Cost of Capital ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 23 Inflation • Nominal vs. real cash flows – nominal cash flows C1, C2, … CT are measured in money of future date – real cash flows c1, c2, … cT are measured in money of today, and reflect future purchasing power of cash flows • If expected annual inflation rate over next T years equals i%, then: CT cT 1 i T ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 24 Inflation cont. • Nominal vs. real rates of return – nominal rate R reflects growth in nominal amount of money – real rate r reflects growth adjusted for expected inflation rate i • Fisher relationship: 1 R (1 r) (1 i) ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 25 Nominal and Real Interest Rates • What is the real rate of interest, r, if the nominal rate of interest R is 7% and inflation, i, is 3%? 1 R (1 r) (1 i) ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 26 Inflation and Discounting • Can work in either nominal or real terms provided we are consistent – i.e. discount nominal cash flows at nominal rate – or discount real cash flows at real rate: CT T 1 R cT 1 r T ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 27 Inflation and Discounting cont. • But … not all cash flows inflate at the same rate – cost of labour typically inflates faster than cost of materials – capital allowances on new buildings and equipment are not index-linked • In practice, therefore, discounting is best done in nominal terms ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 28 Taxes and Discounting • Discount rate R used in project appraisal equals rate of return that investors can obtain for themselves by investing instead in well-diversified portfolio of financial securities of same risk as project • Rate of return on stock-market investments is calculated after … – company has paid corporation tax on its profits – shareholders have paid personal taxes on dividend income and capital gains • Hence, we must use an after-tax cost of capital to discount incremental, after-tax cash flows associated with the project ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 29 Capital Allowances • Company investing in a new project can take advantage of capital allowances • Inland Revenue specifies writing-down schedule – 25% reducing-balance over economic life of new equipment – 4% straight-line over each of 25 years for new buildings • Capital allowances lead to lower tax bills and therefore increased after-tax cash flows N.B. Capital allowances are not index-linked - do not increase in line with inflation ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 30 Example: no inflation End of Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 Investment Equipment -2800 100 Inventory -1000 1000 -300 300 -4100 1400 Monetary WC Operating CF Revenue See next slide 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 Expenditure -1000 -1000 -1000 -1000 -1000 Operating CF 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 210 -143 -182 -211 -234 -131 -3890 858 818 789 766 2269 Corp. Tax After-Tax CF NPV @ 9% 212 ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 31 End of Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 2800 2100 1575 1181 886 664 700 525 394 295 221 564 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 Writing-down schedule Book Value Cap. Allowance @25% Tax calculations Operating CF Cap. Allowance -700 -525 -394 -295 -221 -564 Taxable Income -700 475 606 705 779 436 Corp. Tax @ 30% -210 143 182 211 234 131 ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 32 Where do Positive NPVs come from? • Recall NPV rule – if capital is not rationed, accept projects for which rate of return exceeds cost of capital – in other words … if NPV > 0 • If NPV > 0, project is said to earn an economic rent • What kind of project has a positive NPV? • In a perfectly competitive market, all assets are priced so that NPV = 0 ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 33 Where do Positive NPVs come from? cont. • In real life, markets for real (as opposed to financial) assets (e.g. product markets or labour markets ) may be less than perfectly competitive • Economic rents occur if firm enjoys some competitive advantage – monopoly power – competitors cannot imitate firm’s lead technology because of lack of expertise, development time, patent protection, … ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 34 Real Options …or what DCF leaves out • Discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques – NPV of stream of expected future cash flows C1, C2, … CT resulting from initial investment I is given by: C1 C2 CT NPV I ... T 2 1 R 1 R 1 R – treats initial investment I as “set-instone” ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 35 Real Options …cont. • Real projects are rarely once-and-for-all decisions – may be subsequent opportunities to expand, contract, postpone, abandon, … project • Managerial flexibility i.e. ability to wait for additional information that will inform decision e.g. to commit (further) funds, is valuable ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 36 Real Options • Examples of managerial flexibility include – expanding site (future growth option) – mothballing a project (postponement option) – closing down operations early (abandonment option) – power station that can run on gas or coal (switching option) • They differ from a financial option because they involve a real asset • Such projects are said to include real options – these can be valued using established techniques for pricing financial options ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 37 Real Options cont. • Buy land for a housing development at £100 per m2 • Contract includes option to buy adjacent land at £105 per m2 in 2 years time • This is a ‘call option’ • Real options can mean that a project can be become financially feasible if market conditions change ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 38 Summary • Need to estimate – expected incremental (after-tax) cash flows – (after-tax) cost of capital • Either discount nominal expected cash flows at nominal rate, or real expected cash flows at real rate – since inflation does not impact all cash flows uniformly work in nominal terms or use different inflation rates • Competitive advantage is the source of positive NPVs – but difficult to sustain this advantage • Discounted cash-flow (DCF) techniques are “static” – assume that initial investment is “now or never” – ill-suited for capturing value of flexibility • Where managerial flexibility is important – Try to estimate the value of the ‘real’ options ES3D4 / ES4D5 Construction Management 39