WA AST 2008 seminar - Australian Bureau of Statistics

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Dr Paul Jelfs

Assistant Statistician

Social Analysis and Reporting

Australian Social Trends

2008 seminar, Perth

16 September 2008

The Australian, 24 July

The Herald-Sun, 24 July

The Age, 24 July The Herald-Sun, 24 July

The Australian Financial Review, 24 July

The Canberra Times, 24 July

The Courier Mail, 24 July

The Australian, 24 July

Today's seminar

Population

Family and community

Health

Education and training

Work

Economic resources

Housing

Other areas of concern

Population

Population distribution

…by Remoteness Areas

…change 1996-2006

Towns of the mineral boom

…which towns?

…socio-demographic changes

Remoteness Areas and population distribution at 30 June 2006

Source: ABS preliminary Estimated Resident Population

Population change 1996 –2006(a)

2

1.5

1

% 0.5

0

-0.5

-1

Major Cities

Inner Regional

Outer Regional

Remote

Very Remote

(a) Average annual growth rate

Source: ABS preliminary Estimated Resident Population

Population change in States and Territories

2.5

1996 –2006(a)

2

%

1.5

1

0.5

0

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

(a) Average annual growth rate

Source: ABS Estimated Resident Population

Interstate Migration

Highest Average Interstate Migration

Lowest Average Interstate Migration

-10

-20

-30

40

30

20

10

0

Qld

40

30

20

-40

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

Source: Australian Demographic Statistics

WA

NT

Vic

10

0

-10

-20

ACT

Tas

SA

-30

-40

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

NSW

Towns of the mineral boom

Rapid population growth

High proportion employed in mining

WA boom towns

Qld boom towns

SA boom towns

Population of boom towns

Paraburdoo (WA)

Dampier (WA)

Newman (WA)

Karratha (WA)

Dysart (Qld)

Moranbah (Qld)

Blackwater (Qld)

Middlemount (Qld)

Tieri (Qld)

Emerald (Qld)

Moura (Qld)

Roxby Downs (SA)

0 2 4 6

'000

8 10 12 14

Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing

2001

2006

Population growth in boom towns 2001-2006

Paraburdoo (WA)

Dampier (WA)

Newman (WA)

Karratha (WA)

Dysart (Qld)

Moranbah (Qld)

Blackwater (Qld)

Middlemount (Qld)

Tieri (Qld)

Emerald (Qld)

Moura (Qld)

Roxby Downs (SA)

Australia

0 1 2 3 4

%

5

Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing; Australian Demographic Statistics

6 7 8 9

Census-enumerated

Estimated resident

Male:female ratios in boom towns

Paraburdoo (WA)

Dampier (WA)

Newman (WA)

Karratha (WA)

Dysart (Qld)

Moranbah (Qld)

Blackwater (Qld)

Middlemount (Qld)

Tieri (Qld)

Emerald (Qld)

Moura (Qld)

Roxby Downs (SA)

Australia

Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Males per 100 females

2001

2006

Income of full-time workers in boom towns

Paraburdoo (WA)

Dampier (WA)

Newman (WA)

Karratha (WA)

Dysart (Qld)

Moranbah (Qld)

Blackwater (Qld)

Middlemount (Qld)

Tieri (Qld)

Emerald (Qld)

Moura (Qld)

Roxby Downs (SA)

Australia

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

2001

2006

$ real m edian weekly incom e

Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing; Consumer Price Index, Australia

Family and Community

Voluntary work

…increase in voluntary work

…who is volunteering regularly?

…what type of volunteering are they doing?

Volunteering rates

40

35

30

25

% 20

15

10

5

0

1995 2000 2006

Year

Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Males

Females

Volunteering rates: States and Territories

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

1995

2006

0

5

10 20

15 25

% Persons

30

35

40

45

Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Regular volunteering by age and sex 2006

35

30

25

20

%

15

10

5

0

18-24 35-44 55-64

25-34 45-54

Age group (years )

65-74

75+

Males

Females

Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Regular volunteering by age 2006

35

30

25

20

%

15

10

5

0

18-24 35-44 55-64

25-34 45-54

Age group (years )

65-74

Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

75+

WA

Aus

Regular volunteers by type of organisation 2006

Sport & physical recreation

Education & training

Community/welfare

Relig ious

Parenting , children & youth

Emerg ency services

Arts/heritag e

Health

Environment/animal welfare

Other

0 10 20 30

%

Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

40 50 60

Mal es

Femal es

Health

Risk taking by young people

… alcohol, drugs & dangerous driving

…hospitalisation & death

Complementary therapies

… have become more common

…who are they & who is seeing them?

Risk taking by young people

Short term risky/high risk drinking at least once a week 2004 –05

%

10

8

6

4

2

0

20

18

16

14

12

18-24 25+

Age group (years)

Source: ABS 2004 –05 National Health Survey

Males

Females

Short term risky/high risk drinking at least once a week 2004 –05

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT(a)

ACT

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

%

(a) Data are not available for the Northern Territory

Source: ABS 2004 –05 National Health Survey

18-24

25+

1000

Dangerous driving related offences

2006 –07

900

800

700

600

500

400

300

Exceeding the legal alcohol limit

Driving under the influence

Dangerous or negligent driving

Speeding

200

100

0

15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45+

Source: ABS Criminal Courts Collection

Alcohol and drug-related hospitalisations 2005 –06

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+

Age group (y ears)

Source: AIHW Hospital Morbidity Database

Males, drug use

Females, drug use

Males, acute alcohol intoxication

Females, acute alcohol intoxication

Transport accident deaths

(15-24 years)

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

1977-1979

1974-1976

1983-1985

1980-1982

1989-1991

1986-1988

1995-1997

1992-1994

2001-2003

1998-2000 2004-2006

Year of registration

Source: ABS Causes of Death collection

WA - males

WA - f emales

WA - persons

Aus - males

Aus - f emales

Aus - persons

Transport accident deaths

(15-24 years)

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

1977-1979

1974-1976

1983-1985

1980-1982

1989-1991

1986-1988

1995-1997

1992-1994

2001-2003

1998-2000 2004-2006

Year of registration

Source: ABS Causes of Death collection

NSW

Vic

Qld

NT

WA

Complementary therapies

Number of complementary therapists is small but growing quickly, from 4,787 in 1996 to 8,595 in 2006.

Fastest growing occupation group is osteopaths

Leading occupation groups are naturopaths and chiropractors

Complementary therapists

3,000

2,000

1996

2006

1,000

0

Chiropractor

Source: 1996 & 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing

Naturopath Acupuncturist Osteopath

Characteristics of therapists 2006

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Osteopath

Chiropractor

Homeopath

Acupuncturist Naturopath

Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Female

Employed part-time

Visits to therapists (last two weeks)

500

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

1995

2004-05

 Referral patterns

 Now covered by health funds

 Acceptance of effectiveness

 Higher disposable income

100

50

0

Chiropractor Acupuncturist

Naturopath Osteopath

Herbalist

Source: ABS 1995 and 2004 –05 National Health Surveys

Users of complementary therapists 2004 –05

% 3

2

1

6

5

4

0

0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+

Age group (years)

Source: ABS 2004

–05 National Health Survey

Education

Education across Australia

…school retention rates

…non-school qualifications

Proportion of Australians with a non-school qualification (aged 25-64 years)

70

40

%

30

60

50

20

10

0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Year

Source: ABS 1990-2006 Survey of Education and Work

Total with a non-school qualification

Advanced diploma and diploma or below

Bachelor degree or above

Non-school qualification by Area (Ages 25-64)

Major Cities

Inner Regional

Outer Regional

Remote

Very Remote

0 10 20 30

%

%

Source: ABS 1996 and 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing

40 50 60

1996

2006

People aged 25 –64 years with non-school qualifications: States and Territories

Tas

NT(a)

ACT

Aus

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

0 10

(a) Refers to mainly urban areas only

Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

20 30

%

40 50 60 70 80

1997

-

2007

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates

100

95

90

% 65

60

55

85

80

75

70

50

45

40

35

Aus WA

30

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates

100

95

90

% 65

60

55

85

80

75

70

50

45

40

35

Aus NSW Vic Qld SA Tas NT ACT WA

30

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates: by sex, 2007

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

0 40

20 60

%

Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

80

100

Males

Females

Education participation rate

(Ages 15-24)

70

65

60

55

50

45

40

35

1997 1998 1999

Aus WA

2000 2001 2002

Year

Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Education participation rate

(Ages 15-24)

60

55

70

65

50

45

40

35

1997 1998 1999

Aus NSW Vic Qld SA Tas NT ACT WA

2000 2001 2002

Year

2003 2004 2005

Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

2006 2007

Work

Labour force participation across Australia

… sex and age

…part-time and full-time employment

Trade union members

… sex and age

…industry type

Labour force participation rate by sex

80

70

%

60

50

40

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008 as at June

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Males aged 15 years and over

Females aged 15 years and over

Employment trends for people aged 15 –64 years

..as a proportion of total employment

100

90

80

70

60

%

50

40

30

20

10

1989

1988

1991

1990

1993

1992

1995

1994

1997

1996

1999

1998

2001

2000

2003

2002

2005

2004

2007

2006 2008

Year as at June

Employed full-time

Employed part-time

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

70

%

60

50

40

30

20

15–19

Labour force participation rate by age and sex 2008

100

90

Males

Females

80

20–24 25–34 35–44

Age group

45–54 55–59 60–64

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Labour force participation of people aged

55 –64 years

%

40

30

20

10

0

70

60

50

1988

1998

2008

Males Females

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Labour force participation rate:

States and Territories, persons aged 15-64 years

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

40 50 60

% as at June

70 80 90

1998

2008

Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Trade union membership

Unionisation rates by sex

50

45

Males

Females

40

35

%

30

25

20

15

10

1986 1990 1993 1995 1997 2000 2002 2004 2006

Year

Source: Trade Union Members, Australia, August 1986, Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union

Membership, Australia, August 2007

Trade union membership

Unionisation rates by age

60

%

30

20

50

40

1986

2007

10

0

15–24 25–34 35–44

Age group

45–54 55 and over

Source: 1986 Survey of Trade Union Members and 2007 Survey of Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership

Unionisation rates: States and Territories

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

0 10 20 30

%

40 50

Source: Trade Union Members, Australia, August 1986, Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership, Australia, August 2007

60

1986

2007

Unionisation rates by selected industry

1997 to 2007

Electricity, gas and water supply

Communication services

Education

Manufacturing

Mining

Health and community services

0 10 20 30

%

40 50

Source: 1997 Survey of Weekly Earnings of Employees and 2007 Survey of Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership

60

1997

2007

70

The number of industrial disputes have also declined

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

1988

1987

1990

1989

1992

1991

1994

1993

1996

1995

1998

1997

2000

1999

2002

2001

2004

2003

2006

2005 2007

Year

Source: Industrial Disputes, Australia,Dec 2007

...from

1,519 in 1987 to

135 in 2007

Economic Resources

Government benefits, taxes and household income

…on household type

Women's incomes

…change over time

Real net national disposable income per person(a)

40000

38000

36000

$

34000

32000

30000

28000

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Financial year ending 30 June

(a) Chain volume measure, reference year 2005-06

Source: Australian System of National Accounts

2004 2005 2006 2007

Household income

Mean weekly equivalised household income by income groups

1400

1200

1000

$

800

600

400

200

1997 1998 2000 2001

Year

2003 2004 2006

Low income

Middle income

High income

Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing

Household income:

States and Territories 2005 –06

Mean weekly equivalised household income for all households

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

200 300 400 500

$

600 700 800 900

Source: ABS 2005 –06 Survey of Income and Housing

Government taxes and benefits

...

redistribute economic resources from people with higher private incomes to those with lower private incomes

Final income =

Private income + Govt cash benefits – income tax + social transfers in kind – taxes on production

Private income: all forms of income except govt cash benefits.

Govt cash benefits: mainly pensions & allowances, family payments, baby bonus, rent assistance etc.

Social transfers in kind: include the value of goods & services provided or subsidised by govt. e.g. schooling, Medicare services, child care.

Taxes on production: intermediate taxes that producers pay in process of production and are passed on to consumers + GST and excise

From private to final income

2003 –04(a)

2500

2000

1500

$

1000

500

Private income

Gross income

Final income

0

Low est Second Third

Equivalised private income quintiles

(a) Average weekly value

Source: Government Benefits, Taxes and Household Income, Australia, 2003

–04

Fourth Highest

Net effect of taxes and benefits on the household income of selected life course groups 2003 –04(a)

Lone person <35

Couples only, ref person <35

Couple with dep children (eldest 0-4)

Couple with dep children (eldest 5-14)

Couple with dep children (eldest 15-24)

Couple with dependent & non-dep children

Couple with non-dep children

Couple only, ref person 55-64

Couple only, ref person 65+

Lone person 65+

All households

-500 -400 -300 -200 -100

$

(a) Average weekly value

Source: Government Benefits, Taxes and Household Income, Australia, 2003-04

0 100 200 300 400 500

Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 1982

25

20

%

15

35

30

10

5

0

Lowest

Source: Surveys of Income and Housing

Second Third

Income quintile

Fourth Highest

Women

Men

Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 1995 –96

%

20

15

10

5

0

35

30

25

Lowest

Source: Surveys of Income and Housing

Second Third

Income quintile

Fourth Highest

Women

Men

Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 2005 –06

%

20

15

10

5

0

35

30

25

Lowest

Source: Surveys of Income and Housing

Second Third

Income quintile

Fourth Highest

Women

Men

Housing

Renter Households

… renting versus home ownership

First home buyers

… rising cost of home loans

Proportion of households renting

1995-96 to 2005-06

20

%

15

10

30

25

Total renters(a)

Private renters

State/territory housing authority

5

0

1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01

Year

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-08 2005-06

(a) Includes households renting from other landlords

Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing

Proportion of households renting

1995 –96 and 2005–06

Western Australia

30

25

20

%

15

10

5

0

1995–96

Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing

2005–06

Private landlord

State/territory housing authority

Other landlord

1200

Mean weekly housing costs and disposable household income after housing costs

PRIVATE RENTER

Weekly housing costs

Weekly disposable income af ter housing costs

1200

OWNER WITH A MORTGAGE

Weekly housing costs

Weekly disposable income af ter housing costs

1000 1000

800

$

600

$

800

600

400

400

200

200

0

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Financial year ended

Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing

0

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Financial year ended

First home buyers

During the year to March 2008 there were 135,000 housing finance commitments to first home buyers...

...equivalent to 6.4 commitments per 1,000 people

Between 1991 and 2008 average home loan commitments to first home buyers increased...

... from $96,100 to $215,000

Annual housing finance commitments to first home buyers(a)

8

Period in which FHBs were eligible for the additional grant on top of

FHOG (March 01 to June 02)

7

6

5

Introduction of the FHOG

(July 2000)

4

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Year ending March

(a) From significant lenders for owner occupation, excluding alterations and additions

Source: Housing Finance Australia, Australia, April 2008, Australian Demographic Statistics, December Quarter 2007

Average real housing loan commitment to first home buyers

$240

$220

$200

000s

$180

$160 average housing loan commitment (LHS) standard variable interest rate

(RHS)

$140

$120

$100

Sep-95 Sep-97 Sep-99

Source: ABS Housing finance, Australia, RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables

Sep-01 Sep-03 Sep-05 Sep-07

4

6

5

11

10

9

8

7

Real change in the size of an average housing loan(a) to a first home buyer

WA

NSW

Vic

Qld

SA

Tas

NT

ACT

0 50 100 150

$'000

(a) From significant lenders for owner occupation, excluding alterations and additions

Source: Housing Finance, Australia, April 2008; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2008

200 250

July 1991

March 2008

Other Areas of Social Concern

Internet access at home

… increase in Internet connections

Public transport use

… over time

… in Australian cities

Proportion of Australian households with access to the Internet

%

50

40

30

70

60

20

10

0

1998

WA

Aus

1999 2000

Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia

2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

2005 2006 2007

Proportion of Australian households with access to the Internet

%

50

40

30

70

60

20

10

0

1998

Vic

Qld

NSW

Tas

WA

1999 2000

Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia

2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

2005 2006 2007

Internet use by education and income

2006

100

%

70

60

50

90

80

40

30

20

10

0

Q1 Q2 Q3

Household income quintile

Source: 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Q4 Q5

No non-school qual

Certificate

Diploma/Advanced diploma

Bachelor degree or higher

50

Proportion of households with dial-up or Broadband Internet connection

40

30

%

20

10

0

2004-05 2005-06

Year

Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia, 2006-07

2006-07

Broadband connection

Dial-up connection

Type of Internet access:

State and Territory 2006

80

70

60

50

%

40

30

20

10

0

WA NSW Vic

Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Broadband

Other Internet

Qld SA Tas NT ACT

Proportion of passenger-kms travelled by motorised vehicle type: capital cities – 1945 to 2007

%

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

Public transport

Other motor vehicles

30

20

10

0

1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005

Year

Source: Bureau of Transport and Regional Economics (BTRE), 2007, Estimating urban traffic and congestion cost trends for Australian cities

Proportion of adults using public transport for their usual trip to work or study

...percentage change between 1996 & 2006

10

%

0

-10

-20

40

30

20

-30

-40

Perth Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Hobart Canberra Australia

Source: ABS 1996 Environment Survey and ABS 2006 Household Survey of Waste Management and Transport Use

People using public transport as main form of transport for usual trip to work or study(a) in capital cities(b)

40

MALES

40

FEMALES

35 35

30 30

25 25

%

20

15

1996

2006

%

20

15

10 10

5 5

0

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54

Age Group (Years)

(a) As a proportion of the total number of persons in each age group

(b) Excludes Darwin

55+

0

18-24

Source : ABS 2006 Household Survey of Waste Management and Transport Use and ABS 1996 Environment Survey

25-34 35-44 45-54

Age Group (Years)

55+

Coming soon...

AST review

…frequency of release

…format

AST 2009

…unpaid housework

…superannuation

…homelessness

What have we missed?

Further information

 www.abs.gov.au

Australian Social Trends

ABS catalogue number 4102.0

Dr Paul Jelfs paul.jelfs@abs.gov.au

Phone: (02) 6252 6690

Linda Fardell linda.fardell@abs.gov.au

Phone: (02) 6252 7187

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