Family Planning Outreach Programme in Tanzania Business Case June 2011 Table of Contents Acronyms ................................................................................................................... 3 Intervention Summary ............................................................................................... 5 A. What support will the UK provide? ..................................................................... 5 B. Why is UK support required? ............................................................................. 5 C. What are the expected results? ......................................................................... 6 Strategic Case for Family Planning Outreach Programme in Tanzania ..................... 7 A. Context and need for DFID intervention ............................................................. 7 B. Impact and Outcome ........................................................................................ 11 Appraisal Case......................................................................................................... 11 A. Determining Critical Success Criteria (CSC) ................................................... 11 B. Feasible options ............................................................................................... 13 C. Appraisal of options ......................................................................................... 18 D. Comparison of options: .................................................................................... 23 E. Measures to be used or developed to assess value for money ....................... 28 Commercial Case .................................................................................................... 29 A. Procurement/commercial Requirements .......................................................... 29 B. Indirect procurement ....................................................................................... 29 Financial Case ......................................................................................................... 33 A. Costs ................................................................................................................ 33 B. Types of Funding ............................................................................................. 33 C. Payment procedures ........................................................................................ 33 D. Monitoring and Reporting on Expenditure ....................................................... 34 Management Case................................................................................................... 35 A. Oversight.......................................................................................................... 35 B. Management .................................................................................................... 37 C. Conditionality ................................................................................................... 40 D. Monitoring and Evaluation ............................................................................... 40 E. Risk Assessment ............................................................................................. 43 F. Results and Benefits Management .................................................................. 44 ANNEXES: ANNEX 1: Climate & Environment Assurance Note ............................................ 45 ANNEX 2: Climate & Environment Checklist ...................................................... 46 ANNEX 3: Project logframe ................................................................................. 49 Acronyms ADS AIDS AM A/OTAR BCC CBM CIB CIDA CO2 COTAR CPR CSC CYPs DALYs DFID DMOs DPs FBO FP GAAP GOT HIV HQ IC I/E IEC IP IRR KPIs IUDs JSI KFW LAPM MCH MDGs MDT M&E MIS MOHSW MKUKUTAII MOU MSI MST MTEF NFP CIP NGOS NPV OMB Automated Directive System Acquired immune deficiency syndrome Activity Manager Agreement Officers’ technical representative Behaviour change communication Community-based mobiliser Contract Information Bulletins Canadian International Development Agency Carbon dioxide Contract Officer Technical representative Contraceptive prevalence rate Critical Success Criteria Couple Years of Protection Disability Assisted Life Years Department for International Development District Medical Offices Development Partners Faith-based organisation Family planning Generally Accepted Accountancy Principles Government of Tanzania Human Iimmune deficiency virus Headquarters MSI Impact Calculator Income/expenditure Information, Education, and Communication Infection prevention Internal Rate of Return Key performance indicators Inter-uterine device John Snow International German Development Agency Long-acting and permanent methods (of FP) Maternal and child health Millennium development goals MSI Medical development team Monitoring and evaluation Management information system Ministry of Health and Social Welfare Tanzanian poverty reduction strategy Memorandum of Understanding Marie Stopes International Marie Stopes Tanzania Medium-term expenditure framework National family planning costed implementation plan Non-governmental organisation Net Present Value Office of Management and Budget PPA PFM PMP PSI QTA RCHS REDD RH SIFPO-MSI SORP SRH SWAP TDHS USAID VCT VFM Programme Partnership Agreement Performance and financial management Performance Management Plan Population Services International Quality technical assessment Reproductive and Child Health Services Reducing emissions from deforestation & degradation Reproductive health Support for international FP-MSI Statement of recommended accounting practice Sexual and reproductive health Sector-wide approach Tanzanian Demographic and Health Survey US Agency for International Development Voluntary counselling and testing (for HIV) Value for money Intervention Summary What support will the UK provide? The UK will provide £8 million over four years (2011-2015). Why is UK support required? Maternal mortality is high in Tanzania reflecting a health system with inadequate health personnel and a lack of adequately equipped and supplied health facilities in reasonable reach of every woman who experiences difficulties when giving birth. In addition, the demand for family planning is not being met. There is international consensus that reducing maternal mortality requires: a) emergency obstetric care 24/7; b) skilled attendance at birth; and c) access to family planning and safe abortion (Campbell et al, 2006). Increasing access to family planning could reduce maternal mortality in Tanzania by as much as one third by reducing the number of births and a woman’s exposure to the risk of dying. In addition, family planning increases birth spacing between children, which has a positive effect on outcomes for both the child born and the older sibling. In Tanzania, it has been found that one in four currently married women of reproductive age want to space or limit births but are not currently using any family planning (FP)i. Tanzania’s family planning programme has stalled and without it, the MDGs cannot be met. Access to family planning is lower in rural areas than urban and rural women are less likely to be using contraceptives. Poor women are much less likely to be using family planning than rich ones. Interventions are needed that raise awareness of family planning which include education about FP services, how to access them, use of more effective contraceptive methods, as well as dispelling rumours and myths to reduce barriers. The majority of Tanzanian women are becoming pregnant early, with over half of women already mothers by the age of 20ii. DFID partnered with USAID to purchase £6.5m in contraceptive commodities in 2011. In a second phase of support, DFID Tanzania proposes to work again in partnership with USAID (providing VFM, see strategic case) to deliver an additional 2.7 million couple years of protection (CYPs)1 to rural women through rural family planning outreach services in 12 regions across Tanzania. The support required to revitalize national family planning efforts will be considerable and the public sector efforts have stalled over the last 10 years. The private sector (including not-for-profit and faith based) is a critical partner in Tanzania and provides 32 percent of contraceptive services in the country, with even higher levels in the rural areasiii. Family planning services are provided by mobile teams of trained providers through an existing health facility, in areas with limited FP services. Mobile outreach has great potential for reaching women who otherwise would not have access to contraceptives of their choice, particularly long acting and permanent methods. 1 CYPs means couple years of protection. A “CYP” is the amount of contraception necessary to protect one couple for one year. The term "CYP" reflects contraceptive distribution and is a way to estimate coverage but not actual use or impact. The CYP calculation provides an immediate indication of the volume of programme activity. Considering the constraints that the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare’s (MoHSW) finds to fully providing family planning services across the country, DFID has seized the opportunity to work with the private sector to provide mobile outreach services. The programme has identified a unique private sector partner, Marie Stopes Tanzania (MST) and will leverage their existing outreach programmes to expand coverage and access to quality family planning services in underserved areas. MST extends FP services to the rural poor by sending clinical teams to rural government health facilities. All MST outreach services are provided free of charge. In addition, MST works with communities before the medical teams arrive to ensure that the communities are prepared and women understand their family planning options. MST will work in partnership with the MOHSW service provider. MST is working with MoHSW to establish a National Outreach Working Group to map the regions, districts and sites where all partners work to minimise duplication and maximise coverage. The beneficiaries of the programme will be poor, rural women who have not had reliable access to a range of effective family planning in the past. What are the expected results? The impact of this programme is to contribute to achieving MDG5 and reduce maternal deaths, which is in line with DFID’s Business Plan action 5.2 to lead international action to improve maternal health. This will mean 1,528,000 pregnancies, approximately 134,000 abortions (many of which would have been unsafe), and 5,116 maternal deaths averted. The DALYs saved amount to 659,000. The outcome of the project will be to increase use of family planning through outreach services. These will increase coverage of family planning services and women’s access to reproductive health care. This project will increase the availability and use of contraceptives and will provide 2.7 million CYPs over the life of the project for poor, rural women in Tanzania. The project has four outputs as follows: a. Increased access to quality family planning services b. Increased equal opportunity to obtain FP services (free at the point of delivery) c. Increased knowledge of, changed attitudes towards, and positive behaviours to family planning d. Improved cost effectiveness in the delivery of family planning services Not intervening would mean that many women would not have access to family planning beyond the local public sector facility or private facilities. Use of family planning in Tanzania would remain low and women would continue to use less effective methods, meaning maternal mortality would be less likely to be reduced. Strategic Case for Family Planning Outreach Programme in Tanzania A. Context and need for DFID intervention Rationale This intervention will contribute to DFID’s objectives on reducing maternal and infant mortality (action 5.2. in the DFID 2011-15 Business Plan). It will deliver DFID Tanzania’s commitment under the Country Operational Plan to promote choice for women over whether and when they have children and provide 2.7 million Couple Years of Protection (CYPs) over four years. Providing rural women with family planning outreach services will decrease maternal and infant mortality. Context High maternal mortality. Maternal and infant mortality remain high in Tanzania, especially in rural areas. The maternal mortality ratio is 454 deaths per 100,000iv live births (2010). This is down from 578v (2005) which may indicate that maternal mortality is beginning to decline but maternal mortality is still unacceptably high and very difficult to accurately assess. Maternal health is affected by the poor coverage, low quality staff, and inequitable access to health services, early age of first pregnancy and high unmet need for contraception. Access to family planning services is critical to Tanzania’s development. Without it, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) cannot be met. There is now international consensus that reducing maternal mortality requires a) access to emergency obstetric care 24/7; b) skilled attendance at birth; and c) access to family planning and safe abortion vi. Each intervention reduces maternal mortality by approximately one third. Family planning saves lives. International evidence shows that, by reducing the number of births, the number of times a woman is exposed to the risk of mortality from pregnancy related causes is reduced. One third of the total maternal deaths can be attributed to non-use or lack of availability of contraceptionvii. Family planning also enables both the youngest and oldest women, for whom pregnancy and childbirth is most risky, to either delay or limit childbearing. In addition, family planning can help a woman space her births. Increased birth intervals have a positive effect on outcomes for both the child born and the older siblingviii. High unmet need for family planning in Tanzania. In Tanzania lack of family planning is a problem. It has been found that one in four currently married women of reproductive age want to space or limit births but are not currently using any method of family planning ix. This is called ‘unmet need’ for contraception and implies that there is a high demand for family planning by women in Tanzania that is not being met by current services. This means that one in four currently married Tanzania women has an unmet need for family planning and the unmet need is higher for rural women. While 70% of urban currently married women’s demand for family planning is satisfied, this is true for only 53% of rural currently married women. x Reasons for unmet need are generally lack of knowledge, difficult access to supplies and services, financial costs, and fear of side effectsxi. Knowledge of family planning in Tanzania is high. Knowledge of family planning in Tanzania is high with virtually all men and women able to name at least one modern method regardless of marital status and sexual experiencexii. Whilst Tanzanian women know about family planning, they still lack all of the knowledge they need. There is a need for the provision of education on family planning services and how to access them, the use of more effective contraceptive methods, as well as dispelling rumours and myths to reduce barriers. Family size remains high and use of contraception is increasing only slowly. In spite of the level of knowledge and expansion of family planning services, contraceptive prevalence has grown slowly over the past 20 years, while fertility has virtually stagnated. The total fertility rate (the average number of live births per woman based on current fertility trends and derived from the Tanzania Demographic and Health Surveys) was 6.3 in 1992, 5.6 in 1999, 5.7 in 2005 and 5.4 todayxiii. Use of modern contraception has risen from 7% in 1992 to 27% in 2010 but is making only a small impression on family size. Early marriage and early age at first birth means that 21% of 17-year-old and 39% of 18-year old women are either pregnant or already mothersxiv. This indicates ineffective use of family planning as well as a lack of access to services. The situation is worse for women in rural areas. About 75% of Tanzanians (33.8 million people) live in rural areas where family sizes are much bigger and contraceptive prevalence lower. Poor rural women need access to good family planning services but their only option is the public sector programme, which is not always able to deliver the services they need. The national programme is faced with commodity shortages, a human resource crisis, dwindling GoT resources and conflicting priorities, combined with insufficient education and promotion. The Development Partners (DPs), including earlier DFID support through USAID, is helping revitalize and strengthen the national public sector programme but more must be done immediately to ensure family planning access for marginalized and underserved populations. Table 1: Total fertility rate and contraceptive prevalence by urban and rural, Tanzania 2010. TANZANIA Urban Rural Total Fertility Rate (average family size) 3.7 6.1 Contraceptive Prevalence Rate, modern methods (%), married women 34% 25% Per cent of family planning demand that is 70% 53% satisfied Source: TDHS, 2010 Family planning outreach works. Mobile outreach service delivery can be defined as family planning services provided by a mobile team of trained providers, from a higher-level health facility to a lower-level facility, in an area with limited or no family planning or health services xv. Research on utilisation data strongly suggests that outreach can play an important role in expanding access to modern contraceptives.xvi Outreach ensures a range of contraceptive methods, particularly permanent and long acting methods such as IUDs, injectables and implants become more accessible to all women, particularly those in rural and remote areas. DFID can fill a niche: Partnering with USAID. DFID is not active in the health sector in Tanzania, however it is responsive to needs that can not be met by Government or other Development Partners. DFID Tanzania funded a project at the end of 2010 that will improve women’s access to a range of contraceptives through the health clinics and centres across Tanzania by providing 1,250,000 women with long-term methods of family planning. This project (Phase 1), carried out with USAID Tanzania filled the gap in the FP supply chain for implants and injectables. DFID Tanzania proposes to work again in partnership with USAID on this Phase 2 family planning outreach expansion. There are a number of different entities in Tanzania that are working on family planning and USAID funds many of them. USAID has decades of experience in family planning programme delivery. It is also considered to be the leader of the development partners working in family planning in Tanzania, thereby ensuring that the monitoring and supervision is well coordinated. NGO partners. There are three NGOs in Tanzania (Marie Stopes Tanzania, Engender Health and Population Services International (PSI)) that are working on family planning outreach. MST has the widest coverage and longest experience, particularly with long-acting and permanent methods and is a major provider of family planning services in Tanzania. Engender Health is an international organisation that provides training for MoHSW service providers on long-acting and permanent methods and also supports the MoHSW to run some outreach family planning services. PSI has recently started outreach in 10 regions, offering short and long-term methods, but not permanent, family planning methods. It also supplies family planning commodities and some training on short and long-term methods to faith-based organisations (FBOs) and private dispensaries. The need is such that it cannot even be met with all three NGOs continuing to work on family planning outreach. As coordination is important, MST is working with MoHSW to establish a National Outreach Working Group as a sub-group of the National Family Planning Technical Working Group. This group will meet monthly to map the regions, districts and sites where the three organisations work in order to minimise duplication and maximise coverage. It will also standardise outreach documentation (e.g. consent forms, client registers and records) and coordinate training schedules. Beneficiaries. The beneficiaries of the programme will be poor, rural women who have not had reliable access to effective family planning in the past. Delivery. This programme will channel funds through USAID based on an agreed MOU and will expand the mobile outreach approach to every region in Tanzania. This partnership will ensure procurement and monitoring and evaluation follows strict procedures, with joint processes occurring at key points throughout the programme. Evidence Health benefits of family planning. There is a wealth of strong evidence that the health benefits of family planning to women and their children are multiple. Unfortunately, pregnancy and childbirth are risky. In developed countries, 1 in 7,300 women will die in childbirth or from pregnancy–related causes. In Tanzania, the chances of dying in childbirth are 1 in 25xvii. And most of these deaths are preventable. Internationally, if every woman had the number of children she wanted when she wanted them, maternal mortality would drop by one thirdxviii. This is because there are safer times to be pregnant (between 18 and 35 rather than earlier or later) and spacing and limiting births reduces risks. There are also benefits to the children of birth-spacing. Babies born less than two years after their older sibling are twice as likely to die before they reach their first birthdays as those born more than three years apart xix. When women are unable to practise family planning, they have unintended pregnancies. Unintended pregnancies are more likely to end in abortion. In Tanzania, where abortion is illegal under most circumstances, this is likely to be unsafe and extremely risky for women. Recent estimates suggest that approximately 19% of Tanzania’s maternal mortality is due to unsafe abortion xx. Family planning can avoid many of these unintended pregnancies in the first place. Evidence shows more of a lack of quality services than lack of physical access. Internationally, lack of physical access and distance from services is less often cited as a reason for non-use by women and men in need of family planningxxi. Cross-national studies of survey data demonstrate that use of contraceptive methods falls only modestly with increasing distance or travel time to the nearest source of contraceptionxxii. Cleland et alxxiii suspect that ‘if lack of physical access is not such a severe barrier as is sometimes claimed, perhaps poor quality of services is the more important constraint’. Access to government health services in most rural areas in Tanzania is limited to a dispensary, which usually can offer short-term family planning services but is unlikely to have the capacity to provide the more effective long-term and permanent methods. Long-acting and permanent family planning methods are more effective. Contraceptive effectiveness is a measure of the success of typical use of a method. It incorporates efficacy (how well a method works when used consistently and correctly) with ease of compliancexxiv. No modern contraceptive approach is 100% perfect in reducing unwanted pregnancies but in general, long-acting methods are the most effective (>99% protection against pregnancy over a year of use). An advantage of these methods is that they are independent of the user once initiated and are the most effective contraceptives (between 3 and 60 times more effective than short acting methods during a year of typical use). Yet, despite these advantages, they are often difficult for clients to access and are not used as widely as other methods, particularly in Africaxxv. Family planning is good value for money. At a global level, the Guttmacher Institute has undertaken research which demonstrates that increasing the coverage of modern family planning methods is a highly cost effective interventionxxvi. They calculate that meeting the need for family planning methods for 818 million women in developing countries would cost: $ 28 to avert an unintended pregnancy $ 3050 to save the life of a woman or newborn $ 62 to save a DALY (women and newborns combined) Putting this in the context of other common health care interventions in developing countries they demonstrate that such a cost-benefit figure represents relatively good value for money: Table 2: DALY costs by intervention Intervention Insecticide-treated bed nets Malaria prevention for pregnant women Tuberculosis treatment (epidemic situations) Modern contraceptive methods Antiretroviral therapy (Africa) BCG vaccination of children Oral rehydration therapy Cholera immunisation Cost per DALY saved in US$ 13-20 29 6-60 62 252-547 48-203 1268 3516 Furthermore the Guttmacher Institute in 2009 demonstrated that in Sub-Saharan Africa, providing modern contraceptives to all women who need them would more than pay for itself, saving $1.30 in the cost of maternal and newborn care for each dollar invested. Method Mix. Women’s preference for spacing births versus limiting their total number of births influences their choices of contraceptive methods. Those wanting to stop childbearing are likely to use one of the most effective methods while those wishing to postpone a birth choose among short-acting reversible methods.xxvii It is well documented that a family planning programme must offer the full range of methods to all womenxxviii. Social impact. Community-based outreach services have proven most useful in rural communities where there is limited access to other services and have been successful in raising contraceptive use.xxix Having control over their reproductive lives is a crucial element in women’s empowerment and gender equity. Women’s ability and willingness to pay fees for family planning depends on many factors, including economic conditions, how high fees are set, whether clients see an associated improvement in the quality of services, and even the type of contraceptive for which the fee is charged.xxx There is concern that charging fees will be an economic barrier to services for poor people, especially for women who have less control over household resources than men.xxxi Those most likely to be affected by user fees are rural residents, for whom targeted assistance may be required to maintain contraceptive use. xxxii B. Impact and Outcome The impact of this programme is to contribute to achieving MDG5 and reduce maternal deaths, which is in line with DFID’s Business Plan action 5.2 to lead international action to improve maternal health. This will mean 1,528,000 pregnancies, approximately 134,000 abortions (many of which would have been unsafe), and 5,116 maternal deaths averted. The DALYs saved amount to 659,000. The outcome of the project will be to increase use of family planning through outreach services. This project will increase the availability and use of contraceptives and will provide 2.85 million couple years of protection (CYPs) over the life of the project for poor, rural women in Tanzania. The project has four outputs as follows: a. Increased access to quality family planning services b. Increased equal opportunity to obtain FP services (free at the point of delivery) c. Increased knowledge of, changed attitudes towards, and positive behaviours to family planning d. Improved cost effectiveness of delivery of family planning services. Appraisal Case A. Determining Critical Success Criteria (CSC) Each CSC is weighted 1 to 5, where 1 is least important and 5 is most important based on the relative importance of each criterion to the success of the intervention. Table 3: Critical Success Criteria CSC Description Weighting (1-5) 1 Ensures reliable supply of effective family planning 5 services 2 Reduces cost barriers to family planning through free 4 3 services Increases knowledge of and demand for family planning 4 B. Feasible options There are three options to consider based on the programme objectives to expand family planning outreach services free of charge to rural women across Tanzania: 1. Do nothing to support family planning services to rural women across Tanzania 2. Support the delivery of family planning services through Government systems 3. Support the delivery of family planning services through private sector/NGOs. Option 1: Do nothing additional in family planning beyond the support DFID is already providing with contraceptive commodities. Other development partners and some NGOs are already supplying some limited outreach services in rural Tanzania (although coverage is insufficient, particularly in rural communities). There would continue to be high unmet need for family planning in Tanzania. Option 2: Working through Government systems. The public sector is currently delivering some short-term family planning methods through its local public health clinics;however, long-acting and permanent methods are not generally available. Contraceptive commodity stock-outs are frequent and the public sector is faced with many competing priorities as well as a human resource crisis. Option 3: The private sector/NGO delivery of family planning services. It can deliver the short term high impact results, particularly for rural poor women who currently have little or no access to family planning services. There are currently three organisations within this option that are providing family planning services in rural Tanzania. These include options 3A. Marie Stopes Tanzania (MST); 3B. Population Services International (PSI); and 3C. Engender Health. 3A. MST extends family planning services to the rural poor by sending outreach clinical teams to rural government health facilities. Travelling in 4x4 vehicles, teams of four carry the supplies necessary to deliver long acting and permanent family planning methods. These include tubal ligations, vasectomies, inter-uterine devices (IUDs) and contraceptive implants as well as the full range of short-term methods. MST currently has 14 outreach teams: three of which operate out of Dar es Salaam; the rest are based in Mtwara, Mbeya, Makambako, Iringa, Same, Arumeru, Karatu, Monduli, Kahama, Mwanza and Musoma. Each outreach team consists of a surgeon, two nurses and a driver. Nationally, teams are grouped into three zones with Outreach Team Leaders reporting to field-based Zonal Coordinators who in turn report to Dar es Salaam. All outreach services are provided free of charge. MST’s outreach services reach more than 95% of districts country-wide. 3B. Population Services International (PSI). PSI has been doing social marketing of contraceptives in Tanzania since 1993 with good sales and a wide range of products available for sale to private sector providers (they do not provide services themselves). They currently offer condoms, oral contraceptives, IUDs, and injectables. One of PSI’s current main priorities is to strengthen the skills of private sector family planning providers. This programme is supported by KfW funding and is expected to end within the next three years. The geographic focus of this programme is linked to a viable business model and is located in peri-urban and urban areas. 3C. Engender Health. Engender Health gives family planning technical support to the MOHSW as part of the Tanzania ACQUIRE project which ‘works to advance the availability, quality, and use of reproductive health and family planning services throughout the country’. They aim to increase the availability of long-acting and permanent methods in Tanzania as well as implement communications campaigns to increase awareness of more effective family planning methods. In addition, they are building the ability of health personnel to advocate for and deliver high quality family planning services. Engender Health’s FP project was created and funded by USAID and is scheduled to end in 2012. Impact Appraisal Social Impact: This programme is designed to meet the needs of poor rural women. If women can control their fertility, we seexxxiii: Table 4; Benefits of Family Planning Outcome Improved women’s education Reason Girls can stay in school and finish their educations Increased female labour force Family sizes smaller, giving women increased participation flexibility to work Increased political participation Women have more freedom to participate in society Higher status for women Women are not always pregnant and have increased control over their lives Increased family well-being Mother has survived to care for her family and is less likely to suffer post pregnancy illness. Increased child well-being More resources, time and income for each child and longer birth intervals lead to improved child health. Lower infant and maternal mortality Births to women too young, too old or who have already had many children would be avoided. In addition, society can see: Outcome Reduced public-sector spending on health Reason Healthier mothers and babies and reduced fertility means reduced demand on maternity, neonatal and paediatric facilities Reduced public-sector spending on Reduced fertility means reduced numbers education, water and sanitation of students and increased investment in each Improved productivity and higher income, More people in working age population greater savings and investment with fewer children to support Potential for faster economic growth Working population has fewer children to support Reduced pressure on natural resources Fewer people to be sustained by the land and biodiversity (currently 80%) and natural resources such as wood fuelxxxiv. Political / Institutional Impact The programme recognises that family planning is a sensitive political topic and requires careful negotiation and discussion with government counterparts. The MKUKUTA II (poverty reduction strategy for Tanzania) clearly states that population growth must be addressed in order to reach the GoT’s goals of becoming a middle income country by 2025. The Tanzanian Government is committed to National Family Planning; its plan and its costing (NFP CIP) is a serious exercise that is comprehensive. That it is yet to be funded from the health sector basket fund shows a series of competing priorities in the sector. Funding for malaria and HIV are also important and have eclipsed family planning in recent years. The Ministry has many competing priorities and would be happy to see a variety of current and possibly new DPs help to fund contraceptive commodities. So far, Government commitment has come in fits and starts but has not recently been fully sustained. The Ministry of Health and Social Welfare (MOHSW) is the ultimate authority on family planning and reproductive health in Tanzania. Along with the Development Partners Group, the MOHSW decides how much of the SWAP and Basket Funding go to FP and RH. The hierarchy in the MOHSW includes the Principle Secretary and then the Chief Medical Officer, offering overall technical direction. Below him is the Director of Preventative Service, followed by the Reproductive and Child Health Services (RCHS) branch. The head of this unit is developing the RH programme to satisfy the unmet need. However, the RCHS continues to face financial and procurement constraints from a variety of sources. There is no line item in the National Budget, no guarantee that a portion of basket funds is earmarked for the purchase of contraceptives, no assurance of funding release once funds are allocated for commodities, little diversification of funding sources for contraceptives and a laboriously slow procurement process once funds are issued. The national Contraceptive Security Committee is addressing these critical policy issues that will require continued advocacy in the months and years to come. In 2010, DFID gave funds to fill a commodity gap but those funds were not intended to build capacity. When the Government is responsible for buying the most popular methods and is not fully committed to the programme, the likelihood of stock-outs and shortfalls increase, making the family planning programme more vulnerable. An examination of the MTEF funding trends over the past seven years reveals that the family planning allocation and expenditure was functioning well before 2006. Since that year, however, irregularities have appeared showing a lagging commitment. Conditions for full transformation may not yet be present in the Ministry and the presence of competing factions implies that the managerial and organisational capacity is not yet sufficiently strong for change to take place. USAID has conducted extensive dialogue with the GoT to improve the supply gaps and a written commitment has been provided. To address these concerns, DFID is building on the success of the USAID funded programmes and using DFID’s support on PFM to improve release of Government’s stated budget allocations. Environmental and climate change effects The proposed project is likely to have a potentially substantial positive environmental impact and a limited direct detrimental environmental impact. See Annex 1 & 2 for the full climate change assurance note. Positive environment impact. There is a significant benefit associated with higher uptake of family planning services and smaller family sizes which relates to climate change and pressure on natural resources. Increased contraceptive use should result in a lower fertility rate, which in turn results in slowed population growth. Tanzania’s current 45 million people are currently projected to grow to 67 million by 2025.xxxv Population growth is a major contributor to environmental degradation. As populations grow, settlements expand and encroach on natural habitats, often leading to habitat loss. They also put pressure on natural resources, such as water and ecosystem services. As an example, by 2015, population growth will mean that Tanzania’s per capita water resources could fall below 1,700 m 3 per person: the definition of water scarcity. Population growth will also lead to environmental degradation through the demand for additional goods and services, which are particularly important due to the strong urbanisation trends in Tanzania. Potential increasing demand for energy and transport will also have an impact on increased use of fossil fuels, potentially doubling greenhouse gas emissions over the next twenty years, as well as increasing urban air pollution and congestion. Fewer people generate less green house gases which are the main determinant of adverse climate changes. Population growth and increasing urbanisation are key factors as well as climate change in determining future economic costs. These rapid demographic changes will be important in future impacts, adaptation and emissionsxxxvi. In fact in a recent paper produced by climate change experts at the Centre for Global Development, family planning was identified as the best buy for a single intervention to reduce green house gasesxxxvii. If family planning is combined with girls’ education there are even more significant gains, as the table below shows in terms of the number of tonnes of CO2 saved for $1 million invested. It has been argued that the combination of family planning and girls’ education would be a better investment than the UN Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD), which aims to spend $30 billion a year on incentives for developing countries to reduce deforestation and forest degradation.”xxxviii Table 5: Saving CO2 emissions by development intervention Intervention Family planning combined Tonnes of CO2 saved & girls' education 250,000 Family planning alone 222,222 Girls education alone 100,000 Reduce slash and burn of forests 66,667 Pasture management 50,000 Geothermal energy 50,000 Energy efficient buildings 50,000 Pastureland afforestation 40,000 Nuclear energy 40,000 Reforestation of degraded forests 40,000 Plug-in hybrid cars 33,333 Solar 33,333 Power plant biomass co-firing 28,571 Carbon Capture and Storage (new) 28,571 Carbon Capture and Storage (retrofit) 26,316 It should be noted that, while increased contraceptive use will reduce population growth, caution should be practised in using this argument without stressing the importance of voluntary family planning to allow women to meet their reproductive desires. The health benefits to women alone (e.g. the reduction in maternal mortality) are adequate argument to the provision of good family planning services. Potential detrimental environmental impact. There are two possible detrimental effects that this programme might have on the environment: The release of carbon dioxide through transport of the outreach teams to each region for the regular visits; and Waste generated as a result of used contraceptive commodities. The programme will attempt to minimise any negative impacts on the environment. The number of teams and visits made each year will be relatively few and the overall impact from the vehicle emissions is likely to be minimal. Waste disposal will follow carefully-designed protocols. It is on this basis that the programme’s likely impact on climate change and the environment has been categorised as “B”: medium/manageable potential risk, with good opportunity for improvement. Table 6: Evidence rating and climate change and environment category Option Evidence rating Climate change and environment category (A,B,C, D) 1 Do nothing Medium C 2 Go through MOT Medium C 3 Use an NGO Strong B C. Appraisal of options This appraisal is split into two parts. First, the three high level options to support family planning service delivery are examined. In the second part, we examine in more detail the choices under option three (Private sector NGO delivery of rural outreach services). Part One: Examining the high level options. Table 7: Appraisal of options – Part One Option 1. Do nothing Benefits Costs (Quantitative and Qualitative) (Quantitative and Qualitative) No commitment cost to DFID Negative benefit: Negative impact on health indicators set out in the strategic case. Risks and assumptions Risk: Tanzania’s high maternal mortality persists High Risks: Little political will to sustain changes. Medium Poor rural women will continue to have little access to family planning even when they would use it if it were available. 2. Work Resource cost: through £8m Government Systems Staff-intensive policy work in health Positive benefits: System strengthening creates potential for reforms being sustained beyond DFID funding. Public sector facilities are able to deliver short-term family planning methods such as condoms and pills. Negative benefits: Immediate programme service delivery impact cannot be found by working through Government systems Commodity stock-outs and a lack of medical staff continue to dog the effective delivery of a full range of family planning options. This means that Key evidence (including rating) The level of fiduciary risk for funding through GoT systems was assessed as substantial in DFID’s May 2010 Fiduciary Risk Assessment, albeit noting that specific risks for the health sector were not assessed in detail Contraceptive Tanzania’s poor maternal health statistics well documented by TDHS and other international sources. Government spending data over time shows current lack of commitment. Political analysis shows GOT still happy to lean on donor support.xxxix 3.Work through an NGO Resource cost: £8m MOU with USAID Low management costs for DFID women receive prescriptions and need to buy their family planning through a private source. There is some evidence of unofficial payments for ‘better service’ but this is primarily anecdotal. commodity stock outs Positive benefits: High/immediate impact means that current high rural unmet need is met quickly (until GoT services are stronger) Risks: USAID policy changes; GOT ceases to support NGO activity. Negative benefit: No support to GoT systems to incentivise systemic change. (USAID and other donors working here.) Assumptions: Assumption: Public sector services will grow stronger over time and be able to serve rural communities High. See strategic case. NGO capacity GOT continues to welcome private sector NGO support to supplement public sector family planning delivery Option 1: The “do nothing” option would have a negative impact on health indicators set out in the strategic case above. Option 2: Working through Government systems. DFID is already supporting the Tanzanian Government through budget support. However, dealing with these deep-seated and complicated issues of the low capacity and commitment of GoT staff, inadequate health staff and weak central commodity logistics represents work in progress. Meanwhile, women in rural Tanzania need the full range of family planning options immediately and can’t wait while the public sector programmes are being strengthened. Immediate programme service delivery impact cannot be found by working through Government systems. System strengthening has been ongoing for 15 years and the system still experiences regular stock-outs. Option 3: The private sector/NGO delivery of family planning services. It can deliver short term high impact results, particularly for rural poor women who currently have little or no access to family planning services. There are currently three organisations within this option that are providing family planning services in rural Tanzania. These include options 3A. Marie Stopes Tanzania (MST); 3B. Population Services International (PSI); and 3C. Engender Health. Part One: Conclusion of High Level Options If poor, rural Tanzania women need family planning services immediately, this programme should aim to deliver rapid effects to poor populations rather than to wait to drive fundamental reforms within the health system. DFID is currently already providing long term systematic support to the health sector through the GBS mechanism and the institutional support for improvements in public sector family planning services is already taking place—but not quickly enough. For this reason, Option three is being chosen. Within option three there are three additional options which will be examined in the next section. Part two will examine these options to determine the best delivery mechanism for the outreach programme to be funded as well as the best value for money. Part Two: Examining Option Three (Options 3A, 3B, and 3C). Appraisal of feasible NGO options Table 8: C. Appraisal of options – Part 2 Option MST Costs (Quantitative and Qualitative) £8 million Benefits (Quantitative and Qualitative) Positive benefits: Long experience in delivering rural outreach family planning services in Tanzania Risks and Assumptions Evidence Risks: NGO remains strong and is supported by HQ High: Outreach network can deliver a full range of contraceptive methods. Cost per CYP demonstrates value for money Outreach services are provided free of charge PSI £8 million Positive benefits: Long experience in Tanzania in social marketing Beginning work in rural family planning outreach in limited rural areas of Tanzania Can deliver some temporary family planning methods more cheaply than MST Assumptions: MOH continues to collaborate with private sector family planning service delivery Risks: NGO remains strong and is supported by HQ Assumptions: FBOs continue Good evidence that MST has successfully delivered CYPs via family planning outreach servicesxl. High: Good evidence that PSI can successfully deliver family planning via social marketing and Negative benefits: to work with PSI outreachxli Risk: NGO remains strong and is supported by HQ Low: Can’t currently deliver full mix of methods, including both temporary and long term methods through outreach. Not set up as a service provider per se Engender Health Positive benefits: £8 million Good experience in improving public sector rural outreach of family planning. Good capacity building of GoT staff on outreach service delivery Negative benefits: No direct outreach service delivery—instead works with public sector to deliver services. Assumptions: GOT public sector continues to collaborate with NGO Evidence of public sector improvement harder to demonstrate. Work of the Acquire project. xlii The Engender Health programme will end in 2012. Additional information on organisations carrying out rural outreach in Tanzania Delivering through Marie Stopes Tanzania (MST). MST already has 20% market share of Tanzania’s family planning programme. These services are mostly delivered through a network of 13 static clinics located throughout Tanzania in urban and peri-urban areas. While these clinics are popular and covering their costs, they are not located in areas easily accessible to rural women. This is why MST also began to offer free outreach services in rural areas. MST already extends family planning services to the rural poor by sending clinical teams to rural government health facilities. Sixty per cent of Marie Stopes Tanzania clients receive services via outreachxliii. Teams carry the supplies necessary to deliver long-acting and permanent family planning methods as well as the full range of short-term methods. MST prioritises long-acting and permanent methods for rural areas because most government facilities already provide short-term contraceptive methods. MST outreach team visits are planned in coordination with local government authorities and are scheduled and geographically targeted to extend coverage in areas where service provision is limited. Teams work closely with government staff and local communities to transform existing government and community buildings into sterile surgical environments in which to deliver longacting and permanent method services which are generally unavailable in these facilities. MST teams carry a buffer stock of family planning commodities in case of government facility stockouts to ensure the full range of methods are available. All MST outreach services are provided free of charge. As part of their outreach programme, MST works in communities before the medical teams arrive to ensure that the communities are prepared. This work with communities has been shown to be crucial to the efficient delivery of outreach services. With current resources, MST is unable to reach all wards in every district and many sites receive only one visit per year. This low frequency of visits reduces the cost-effectiveness of informing women about their family planning options and disappoints many women who are keen to use family planning. Population Services International. PSI social marketing in Tanzania provides male and female condoms, injectables and oral pills. Social marketing programmes complement static clinic and outreach family planning programmes by giving women and men additional outlets to obtain family planning or sexual health protection. As family planning use increases, the variety of places for people to obtain contraceptives becomes increasingly important. In addition, one of PSI’s current main priorities is to strengthen the skills of private sector family planning providers. PSI has also built networks of faith-based organisations (FBOs) in 38 districts across 10 regions and they coordinate their work with the local district health officials. PSI provides training in family planning and post-abortion care to the FBOs and supplies them with contraceptive methods. PSI outreach nurses provide long-term contraceptive methods and the FBO provides short-term methods. They do not provide permanent family planning (male or female sterilisation). PSI has begun minimal outreach teams in the last six months that spend one day at each FBO every quarter to expand the FBO services for that day. PSI does not yet have data for the cost of its 2010 outreach couple years of protection. It is likely that PSI is able to deliver some methods of contraception at equal or lower cost than MST. For example, socially marketed oral pills and condoms are delivered more cheaply than contraceptives delivered by clinical staff. This is in great part because users have already been counselled on contraceptive choices and are simply restocking their preferred method when buying socially marketed options. However, PSI is currently unable to provide the full range of family planning services required in an outreach programme as they do not provide permanent methods of family planning. The reproductive health needs of women vary a great deal making the social cost to women for being unable to access the full range of contraceptive options high. A wide range of methods increases user satisfaction and enhances the status of the family planning programme as well as increasing contraceptive prevalencexliv. Ideally, clinical family planning outreach and social marketing of contraceptives should complement one another. This is only possible, however, when women already have regular sustainable access to a full range of family planning services. Engender Health’s approach invests in the long term sustainable method of building up the public sector services to deliver family planning services. They assist the public sector in carrying out outreach services. They do this by training MOH staff on long-acting and permanent methods of family planning, encouraging family planning outreach events; and sometimes providing staff to provide family planning methods. They work in close consultation with district authorities who determine where outreach events are held. This system operates in 70 districts across all regions. Engender Health’s family planning activities in Tanzania are implemented under a USAID support project, “Acquire Tanzania”, which is due to end in 2012. D. Comparison of options: The same weighting is used as for CSC above. The score ranges from 1-5, where 1 is low contribution and 5 is high contribution, based on the relative contribution to the success of the intervention. Table 9: Analysis of options against Critical Success Criteria (CSC) Option 3A (MST) Option 3B (PSI) Critical Success Criteria Weight Score Weighted Score Weighted (1-5) (1-5) Score Score 1 Ensures reliable supply of family 5 5 25 4 20 planning methods 2 Reduces cost barriers to family 4 4 16 2 8 planning through free services 3 Increases knowledge of and 4 3 12 4 16 demand for family planning Totals 12 53 11 44 Option 3C (Eng H) Score Weighted Score 3 15 4 16 4 16 11 37 Option Selected Based on this analysis and the desired outcome of this programme (to increase use of family planning in Tanzania), the selected option is Marie Stopes Tanzania (MST) as it is the only organisation that can currently deliver the full range of family planning outreach services. The choice of option three is made also with the consideration that the close coordination of both Engender Health and MST with district authorities helps to ensure that activities are complementary and coverage is not duplicated. District health officials are aware of the partnerships between PSI and the FBOs and are informed of the outreach schedule. As MST plans all outreach activities with DMOs in each district, their coordination should ensure that there is no duplication of service provision. Description of the selected option The Marie Stopes Tanzania Family Planning Outreach Programme delivers mobile integrated FP and HIV services to poor women and men in rural areas. The programme will provide 12 outreach teams to regions across Tanzania including Morogoro, Singida, Zanzibar/Pemba, Rukwa, Katavi, Kagera, Simiyu, Geita, Dodoma, Mbeya, Shinyanga, and Kigoma. Family Planning Outreach. These mobile teams will increase access to quality family planning services for underserved women that are free at the point of delivery. The teams comprise a surgeon, three nurses and a driver for Mainland Tanzania, travelling in an equipped four-wheel drive vehicle. These teams set up mobile surgeries in local government health facilities. As an island, Pemba requires a different service delivery model whereby a trained FP nurse will be based permanently in Pemba to deliver ongoing services and coordinate monthly visits by Zanzibar/Dar outreach teams. The nurse will use three-wheeled auto-rickshaws for local transport and visiting outreach teams. Training. Four clinical training sessions will be conducted each year in the region for MST service providers (20-40 participants each). These will cover topics such as different FP methods, infection prevention, VCT and FP/HIV integration. There will also be four management training sessions each year and additional training (four in year 1 and two in subsequent years) on information/technology and reporting. Where relevant, MOHSW facilitators, curricula and assessments will be used. Increasing demand for FP. Behaviour change communication (BCC) approaches will be based on MST’s BCC Strategy and will include radio broadcasts, community events and information, education and communication (IEC) products. In addition, most communities have volunteers who have been trained in health education or community mobilisation called community-based mobilisers (CBMs). In this programme a network of CBMs will receive specific training on promoting FP/VCT within the community. There will be an emphasis on working out how to best reach young people (funded by AusAID). The revised demand generation strategy (funded by CIDA) will reflect these new approaches for attracting youth. M&E. Evidence of the effectiveness of using CBMs is lacking and this programme has incorporated research into this issue as part of the design. Project teams will also be included in three annual quality-of-care studies using mystery clients, exit interviews and assessment of complication and discontinuation rates, as well as an annual clinical quality technical assessment. Theory of Change The programme will have an impact upon women’s reproductive health directly (through delivery of family planning outreach to rural and remote areas) as well as indirectly (though building demand for family planning and providing research and understanding to strengthen the provision and acceptance of family planning services in Tanzania). Will increased access, equity, and behavior changed lead to increased use of contraception? One of the most well known examples of an intervention to increase contraceptive prevalence through both stimulating demand and increasing supply is the Matlab experiment in Bangladesh. xlv Nearly two decades after the programme was begun, exposure to the programme was associated with a statistically significant 13% reduction in fertility. xlvi MOBILE ACCESS: Mobile outreach service delivery has potential for meeting the unmet need for a range of contraceptive methods. Evidence from a recent systematic review suggests that outreach in an effective and acceptable way of increasing access to contraceptives, particularly injectables and long-acting and permanent methods.xlvii EQUITY: Enabling women to have choices in their lives, especially the right to determine the number, timing and spacing of their children free of discrimination, coercion or violence is key to women’s empowerment and gender equality. xlviii Evidence has shown that those most likely to be affected by user fees are rural residents, for whom targeted assistance may be required to maintain contraceptive use.xlix BEHAVIOUR CHANGE: Analysis of DHS data in the late 1980s shows that one of the most frequently reported reasons for not using modern methods of contraception was a lack of accurate information about different contraceptive methods, how to use them, and potential side effects. l A systematic review of media campaigns from 1970-1999li drew the following conclusions: a) family planning campaigns can generate an immediate demand for family services; b) exposure to family planning messages through mass media campaigns is associated with approval of family planning, partner communication about fertility and family planning, and increased contraceptive use; and c) exposure to general and targeted mass media messages about family planning influences social norms through stimulating group, interpersonal and spousal communication, thereby indirectly affecting reproductive behaviours. Further details on the selected option Environmental considerations MST complies with Marie Stopes International (MSI) and MoHSW guidelines on infection prevention (IP) which include strict protocols on disposal of domestic and clinical waste as well as procedures for disinfection, cleaning and sterilisation. Clinical staff receive IP training every year. IP is included in annual independent external inspections by both MoHSW and MSI. In 2011, with anticipated funding from CIDA, MST will develop and implement an organisational policy on environmental sustainability. As funding for the programme is through USAID Tanzania, they have provided full assurance to DFID Tanzania that the environmental issues of this project have been fully considered. http://www.access.gpo.gov/nara/cfr/waisidx_06/22cfr216_06.html lists the environmental procedures for USAID and a copy of the local environmental impact mitigation plan is on file within USAID Tanzania. USAID is required to conduct an annual report on environmental issues for their projects. The last environmental review for USAID on Family Planning was conducted in June 2010. Economic Appraisal This section presents an economic appraisal on the selected option. MST outputs and outcome data. The following table presents monetised health benefits that will result from the programme. These have been calculated using MSI’s Impact Calculator. Based on regional research data, the impact calculator estimates the potential cost savings to the health system, families and communities from preventing unsafe abortions and maternal deaths. As this data is regional, it is assumed that it is applicable to the specific Tanzanian context. In reality, this is the best data, at present. Some background about how a Couple Year of Protection is calculated and costed is given first. How is a CYP calculated? The CYP is calculated by multiplying the quantity of each method distributed to clients by a conversion factor, to yield an estimate of the duration of contraceptive protection provided per unit of that method. The CYP for each method is then summed for all methods to obtain a total CYP figure. CYP conversion factors are based on how a method is used, failure rates, wastage, and how many units of the method are typically needed to provide one year of contraceptive protection for a couple. The calculation takes into account that some methods, like condoms and oral contraceptives, for example, may be used incorrectly and then discarded, or that IUDs and implants may be removed before their life span is realized. What is the total cost of a CYP? To calculate the cost of a CYP, it is necessary to add up all the components required in the supply line. At its simplest, there is: a) the cost of the commodity; b) the price for procurement and logistics; c) the price to advertise or market the services; and d) the cost of the service delivery. Commodity and shipping costs. Determining the price of a commodity for one CYP in Tanzania is a complicated undertaking with many suppliers, commodities and prices. All products cost different amounts to ship and store. The method mix (which type of contraceptives a woman uses) fluctuates year to year. Ultimately, the price of a ‘commodity CYP’ (including the costs for a and b in the list above) is going to be a rough estimate at best without going through a tremendous exercise to obtain a more exact estimate. In consultation with USAID and the JSI Deliver project, a conservative rough estimate for a commodity CYP in Tanzania has been estimated at £4. This includes the average price of all contraceptive commodities plus shipping and storage, weighted by the proportion of women who use them. If anything, this amount (£4) is an over-estimate so it is conservative. Table 10. Some example CYP costs in Tanzania (commodities only) Method Oral contraceptives Depo provera injectable Copper T 380-A IUD Female condoms CYP per unit 15 cycles per CYP 4 doses per CYP Cost per method $0.25 $1.13 Cost per CYP $3.75 $4.52 3.5 CYPs for each IUD inserted 120 units per CYP $0.49 $0.14 $0.55 $66.00 Service delivery (including marketing) costs. The unit cost of a CYP for 2010 for MST was £5.35. This includes all of MST’s costs in marketing and delivering a wide variety of maternal, sexual and reproductive health services so it is an extremely generous outside estimate. It does not include the cost of the commodity itself as MST uses commodities from the Tanzania central stores so the costs of procuring the contraceptives has already been covered by the Tanzanian Government and their DPs. Therefore, the full estimated cost for a CYP delivered by MST using Government-funded contraceptives would be £9.35. This is a combined figure that includes the £4 commodity cost estimate and the MST unit cost per CYP for 2010. Table 11: Estimated Reproductive Health Impact for 4-Year Outreach Project: Marie Stopes Tanzania* YEAR Impact measures CYPs £/impact measures £9.35 401,625 757,350 2,673,675 (£5.35 757,350 757,350 +£4) 142,362 268,454 268,454 268454 1,527,813 £16 ($24) 1 2 3 4 TOTAL 97,281 183,444 183,444 183,444 947724 Pregnancies averted Births averted Maternal deaths 769 averted Unsafe abortions 20,168 averted 99,047 DALYs saved £26 1449 1449 1449 5116 38,081 38,081 38,081 134,411 £4886 £186 659,372 £38 ($57) 186,775 186,775 186,775 *These figures have been determined using the MSI Impact Calculator. Even at the maximum total estimates, this investment still demonstrates (very) good value for money. The Guttmacher Institute estimates that averting a pregnancy world-wide, on average, costs $28 while this programme is promising a cost of $24.. Modern contraceptives are estimated by Guttmacher Institute to cost $62 per DALY saved world-wide while this programme promises £38 ($57). Given that these family planning costs are for rural outreach (one of the most difficult ways to deliver a full range of clinical services), these represent extremely good value for money. Whilst the MSI Impact Calculator was deemed appropriate to determine the impact measures in table 11, its methodology was not considered to be sufficiently robust to conduct a fuller costbenefit analysis that would determine NPVs and IRRs. E. Measures to be used or developed to assess value for money Value for Money Programme Scale. The role of programme size is important to consider in assessing costeffectiveness. Larger programmes, such as this in Tanzania, benefit from economies of scale in procurement and so unit costs decline as the number of contraceptive users increase. It follows therefore that average costs decrease as fixed costs from training and from information, education and communication programmes are distributed over more units. Mode of service delivery: There is no data on services delivery mode for Tanzania alone and there is no data on rural outreach. However the table below, using cost data shows how the mode of service delivery influences the estimated cost per output based on analysis from SubSaharan Africalii. MST outreach CYPs will be competitive with these figures. MST is also in the process of refining their CYP unit costs and defining them as, for example, the cost of a CYP from the static clinics or an outreach CYP. MST will be working with DFID and USAID during this programme to refine these estimates. A preliminary estimate for an outreach CYP by MST is £3.43 demonstrating that the estimates in Table 11 are very conservative. Table 12: Family planning service delivery methods by cost Mode of service delivery Social marketing Community-based distribution Clinics Clinics with community-based distribution Cost per (US$) 15.95 20.32 16.65 8.02 CYP As the programme already has a number of VfM metrics available – for example costs regarding the mode of delivery in the above table and the impact costs in table 2 above, the programme will focus on monitoring these costs with the view of assessing where VfM gains can be achieved. Currently, MST has committed to reducing the cost of the CYPs it delivers for outreach programmes from £3.43 in year 1 to £2.94 by year 4, by improving efficiency, utilising new technologies and exploiting economies of scale. This commitment will be monitored through the programme’s logframe. Commercial Case A. Procurement/commercial Requirements The activities of this family planning outreach programme will be procured indirectly, through USAID. USAID currently has a global agreement with Marie Stopes International (MSI) and USAID/Tanzania will put the DFID support into this already functioning award to ensure effective and immediate implementation of the programme, as the mechanisms for funding MST directly would delay the initiation of activities. MST is a not-for-profit organisation which is part of MSI which operates in over 38 countries worldwide. This programme is for both programming and commodities and will use USAID procurement policy and guidelines. There is no direct procurement in this programme by DFID. DFID MOU USAID Contractual Agreement MST B. Indirect procurement A. Why is the proposed funding mechanism/form of arrangement the right one for this intervention, with this development partner? DFID Tanzania has not been active in the health sector but has been supporting the sector where there are gaps in provision that can not be filled by other partners. In 2010, DFID Tanzania decided to respond to a contraceptive shortage with support to the Tanzanian family planning programme. However, as there was no dedicated DFID health adviser or administrative support to supervise such a programme, it was decided to provide the required resources through USAID—the donor in Tanzania who has the most experience in family planning, using a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU). It is intended that this collaboration is continued for the family planning outreach programme. This programme reaches the most remote and rural areas across Tanzania. With this level of geographic dispersal, DFID would be unable to deliver the interventions directly. By partnering with USAID, DFID Tanzania is able to deliver improved results in CYPs and reduced maternal and child deaths. USAID Tanzania has the history, staff, engagement with the MoHSW and robust management, monitoring and supervision systems to deliver the expected results. USAID has been through a formal open and competitive bid and award process with MSI.. USAID Tanzania has a formal project management protocol that assures the necessary support and oversight. The activities proposed here fit into USAID’s larger programme. DFID will be contributing its support through a pooled funding arrangement with USAID as the lead donor. By providing DFID’s support through a pooled funding mechanism, USAID's existing agreements and conditions which set out their agreements with MSI/MST will be followed. This includes the need for annual payments at the start of the programme and the use of the SIFPO mechanism, which is not a cost reimbursable agreement. In order to mitigate fiduciary risk, as part of our agreement, we will receive quarterly reporting on usage of funds from USAID. The current agreement between USAID and MSI/MST will come to an end in the second year of the FP programme, which will give us an opportunity to assess/review this arrangement with USAID at the mid point of the programme. The indirect procurement component of the programme will be managed under an MOU with USAID, who will enter into a contractual agreement with MSI and MST and is appropriate for the following reasons: It provides effective means of reducing the management burden to DFID that would be imposed through the use of commercial contracts; It enables existing activities by USAID and MST to be harnessed and expanded through the provision of additional resources to these organisations; and The use of USAID to manage this programme including financial management, procurement management, M&E and reporting provides better value for money under the current DFID environment of doing more development work with less resources. These instruments will deliver value of money through the assets that both USAID and MST will bring to the programme. These include technical expertise in family planning, contraceptive commodities procurement, distribution, utilisation and safe disposal and ability to expand quickly. USAID provides the monitoring of the programming and robust procurement procedures. In addition, with an MOU with USAID there are very strong and transparent organisational and financial management processes. As there is currently an existing central agreement between USAID and MSI, there is no anticipation in delays of disbursement of funds to MST from USAID, once the MOU between DFID and USAID is finalised. If, during the course of implementation, it would be considered beneficial (and better VFM) to adjust these funding arrangements, it is agreed that funding could be adjusted, by mutual agreement between DFID and USAID. It has been agreed that USAID will not charge a management fee for this service, therefore representing good VFM for DFID. USAID will require £20,000 per year of the programme to cover a percentage of supplementary supervisory staff and administrative costs (i.e. 1% of the total DFID contribution). The potential financial risks of using these instruments (as opposed to commercial contracts) will be mitigated through the use of annual tranche releases to USAID, including quarterly progress and financial reports that are reviewed by programme staff, to ensure that the services provided are appropriate and of high quality. The programme will procure goods and services from this partnership using USAID’s procurement mechanisms and delivery channels. DFID have reviewed the procurement strategy of USAID and find that it is robust and rigorous and focused on achieving the best VFM. USAID will also conduct cross-checking on the prices of goods and services against those of similar inputs in Tanzania and the region, when goods are being purchased as part of their procurement procedures. Cost consideration is also part of an award negotiation and will be a key activity in selecting the next tender. Value for money is a key element in this process. B. Value for money through procurement At a global level, USAID is known for having robust mechanisms in place to ensure good value for money. DFID Tanzania’s experience of working with USAID at country level has been excellent. DFID Tanzania has already twice worked with USAID through an MOU to provide health services to Tanzania: to support the hang-up malaria bednet campaign for children under five in 2009 (£800,000) and to fill the gap in the supply chain for the purchase of contraceptive commodities in 2010 (£6.5 million). Both of these programmes have performed well and highlight the strong effectiveness of USAID’s management capacity. Although not directly funding MST, DFID has also assessed the VFM for procurement of MST. The recent process by which MSI received its PPA concluded that MSI is a wellmanaged organisation. Marie Stopes Tanzania as an organisation states that its financial and management systems enable it to provide robust and transparent management of the outreach programme for which it will be responsible. USAID has an existing agreement with MSI that was competed globally. The Support for International Family Planning (SIFPO-MSI) project is a five-year global cooperative agreement (2010-2015) with Marie Stopes International (MSI) with a $40m ceiling. Through the SIFPO-MSI Project, Marie Stopes International and its partners will work to dramatically increase access to and utilization of voluntary, high-quality family planning services around the world. MSI’s partners on the project are EngenderHealth, International Center for Research on Women, International HIV/AIDS Alliance, and the Population Council. USAID is funding MST through this mechanism with both core funds as well as approximately $200,000 per year over the next four years at the country level . USAID plans to match their flow of local funds with those of DFID in this agreement through the central mechanism. Control of administrative costs: MST will develop an annual workplan and objectives for key performance indicators that will be approved by USAID and reviewed by DFID Tanzania. On a quarterly basis, they will provide an overview of key activities and outputs to USAID and DFID. This report will also include financial data and updates on key indicators. USAID Tanzania staff meet regularly with implementing agencies and the annual planning and quarterly reporting are a formal part of the project management process, as detailed in the Agency’s formal policy directives and guidelines. VFM in purchase of programme goods: MST procurement policy and guidelines set out organisational procedures for procuring goods, and services globally, however this does not apply to all procurement as MSI only procure internationally above certain thresholds. MST carries out local procurement where this is considered best value for money, and follows similar tendering procedures for all items beyond a certain value. All procurement will be required to fulfil USAID’s standards and procedures. MST does not have a global purchase agreement but MSI has a recommended specific model of vehicle for outreach. MST can purchase through them or can manage the tendering process (preferred). MST has already discussed with USAID a waiver in order that MST can buy the standard Toyota model outreach vehicle. The waiver process is part of the USAID procurement policy and guidelines. The follow-on tender will have the same guidelines and procurement policies. Effective financial audits and accountability: MST, as part of MSI, complies with relevant legal and accounting requirements (UK Generally Accepted Accountancy Principles GAAP, the Companies Act 2006 and the Statement of Recommended Accounting Practice charity SORP). As a locally registered NGO, Ernst and Young do MST’s annual audit in Tanzania. MST is also included in the global MSI audit conducted in London. MST has documented financial and procurement procedures to which it adheres, with monthly accounting reports which are reviewed at country level and then sent to MSI HQ for review. This includes I/E reports for all projects. As well as an annual audit by a local audit firm, MST is audited annually by MSI’s regional audit team and is part of MSI’s annual global audit. In 2008, when a new Country Director and Finance Director joined MST, a range of new controls were introduced to ensure better financial management. MST also complies with all donor audit requirements. MST received a qualified audit in 2007 that resulted in widespread changes of staff and procedures in Tanzania and all recommendations were implemented. A further detailed audit was conducted by CIDA in 2008 and was unqualified and has remained so for each subsequent audit. This shows that there are good and effective controls for MST’s country programmes including budget monitoring and financial controls. Partnership with USAID. The partnership with USAID/ Tanzania will also serve to mitigate further any fiduciary risk. USAID’s regulation and policy guidelines are rigorous. Prior to making the central award, the contracting office made a Pre-Award Responsibility Determination. MSI passed the final determination on this award and fully satisfied the Agency that they had the capacity to adequately perform on the award in accordance with the principles established by USAID and the US Office of Management and Budget (OMB). A positive responsibility determination means that they possess or have the ability to obtain the necessary management competence to plan and carry out the assistance programme to be funded, and that the applicant will practice mutually agreed upon methods of accountability for funds and other assets provided by USAID. Financial Case A. Costs The expected cost of the family planning outreach programme is £8 million over four years. This is complementary to the support already provided for contraceptive commodities provided by DFID in December 2010.liii The approximate breakdown of these costs by year is as follows: Table 13: Programme costs by year 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 £2,300,000 £2,000,000 £2,000,000 2014/15 TOTAL £1,700,000 £8,000,000 The approximate allocation of funds to individual components of the programme will be as follows: Table 14: Budget by intervention Category ACCESS: Expansion of services EQUITY: Service Delivery Behaviour change communications Cost-effectiveness evaluation Monitoring and evaluation MST Program and operations salaries MST operating costs MSI technical oversight MSI programme support and Operations (NICRA) TOTAL Amount 1,195,710 2,461,553 711,233 335,069 151,565 1,361,665 497,561 222,168 1,059,210 7,995,735 Percentage 15.0% 30.8% 8.9% 4.2% 1.9% 17.0% 6.2% 2.8% 13.2% 100.0% B. Types of Funding All required resources will be programme funds—which will cover procurement of goods and services. This is part of the budget allocated within the Operational Plan for DFID Tanzania covering F/Ys from 2011/12 up to 2014/15. There are no contingent or actual liabilities. C. Payment procedures Funds will be disbursed according to the terms of the MOU between DFID and USAID, which is expected to have an annual disbursement schedule. USAID will then fund MST and supervise the programme and provide report back to DFID every quarter. Reports will be available 30 days after the end of each quarter. USAID and DFID are currently using this mechanism for other activities to mutual satisfaction. If there are policy changes for USAID that make their administration of this family planning contract untenable, and therefore could not guarantee that the funds would be released in a timely manner to ensure delivery of the programme, DFID will consider the option of directly funding MST during the course of the four year period. While this is unlikely the fact remains that family planning is a contentious issue in American politics and a different presidential administration could have implications for USAID and its administration of family planning projects. If the programme is terminated early, through no fault of the implementing partners, USAID, following its procurement policy and guidelines, will give back any unspent funds to DFID, who then could either choose to enter into a direct agreement with the implementing partner, or reimburse the suppliers for any costs they have already incurred or that will be necessarily incurred (and the supplier can’t be expected to avoid or recover). D. Monitoring and Reporting on Expenditure USAID will monitor expenditure. MST will submit an annual audited account. It should be noted that this will not correspond with DFID’s annual programme evaluation as it will be done on MST’s financial year end which is calendar year. As USAID, CIDA and DFID are all funding the MST family planning outreach programme in Tanzania, regular meetings will be held with all partners through a joint steering committee. The reporting will be a single process, with updates as required. MSI will present an annual audit as part of being the prime partner on the SIFPO award. As a recipient of other donor funding, MSI conducts an external annual audit of all programmes and makes that available to donor partners. Whilst primary accountability for DFID funds will reside with USAID through the agreed MOU, MST will be accountable to USAID. The financial management and accounting systems and procedures of MST are robust, especially since the overhaul of their financial auditing system and staffing in 2008. USAID will ensure audit and pre-authorisation work so that MST continues with unqualified audits in future. Management Case A. Oversight The primary stakeholders are USAID and the private sector service delivery sector (i.e. MST), the Government of Tanzania, poor women and also other donors such as CIDA. A technical steering committee made up of the key donors to the MST family planning outreach programme is responsible for overall quality control and managerial and technical oversight of the programme. It will consist of senior representatives of DFID, USAID, CIDA, and MST and will be chaired by USAID. USAID will have general oversight of MST and the USAID Family Planning Adviser will supervise MST. This will happen under the auspices of the central agreement, SIFPO-MSI Project. The Family Planning Advisor at USAID Tanzania will serve as the local Activity Manager (AM) for the award in Tanzania. Specific certification requirements are outlined in USAID’s policies, Locally, the AM will: oversee the technical activities on the ground; develop and monitors the statement of work;; is the Mission point of contact for visitors; is the Partner point of contact (responding to submitted reports); is responsible for writing up minutes for quarterly meetings and placing them on file; is responsible for site visits and submitting reports; and is responsible for tracking finances. When the agreement moves to a local one, the responsibilities for management will also transfer to the USAID Tanzania office and the AM will work to ensure that USAID exercises prudent management over funds. Management arrangements are covered by USAID’s Automated Directives System – which is available online at http://www.usaid.gov/policy/ads/300/ or from DFID Tanzania. The ADS also describes the procedures, including a pre award survey necesary for moving to a new agreement. The survey team examines the applicant’s systems to determine whether the prospective recipient has the necessary organization, experience, accounting and operational controls, and technical skills — or the ability to obtain them — in order to achieve the objectives of the programme. USAID’s Family Planning Strategy and how this programme fits. The USAID Health and Population Office has updated its strategic vision under the BEST programme. USAID’s Family Planning priorities include (in order of priority): o improve contraceptive security and advocate for supportive government policies including sufficient financing and budget line items (continued and expanding) under the NFP CIP and fund new partnerships with private and faith- based/nongovernmental sector for commodities; o increase access to a broad method mix (provide a regular supply of a complete range of methods) through scale-up of outreach services under a coordinated ‘Catch-Up’ Campaign and through scale up of partnership with local faith based and private sector partners (OUTREACH FITS HERE); o scale up youth friendly communication and services including a focus on adolescent pregnancy; o broaden communication efforts to include promotion of healthy timing and spacing o o o o and address persistent myths and misconceptions; increase availability and skills of providers to deliver long-acting and permanent methods and expanded access of post-partum intrauterine contraceptive device delivery; introduce programming to access emergency contraception and scale up postabortion care services from the current 21 districts to all 131 districts; counsel all women and couples on the range of FP methods when accessing MCH and HIV/AIDS services; and initiate training and task shifting of minilaparotomy under local anesthesia to clinical 0fficers, and continued outreach services. B. Management Management structure within DFID: This programme will be managed by a DFID Adviser from the MDG team, with the support of Deputy Programme Manager, based in Tanzania. She will meet at least quarterly with the Programme Director of MST and the AM/AOTAR in USAID Tanzania. Quarterly or other reports on the family planning outreach programme will be shared with DFID. Quarterly progress and financial reports will be produced as well as annual reviews. Regular monitoring will be conducted and reports shared with DFID at least on a semi-annual basis and a mid-term evaluation will be conducted at Year 2 of the programme as well as the final internal evaluation. Any revision of the Key Performance Indicators will be done as part of the annual review process and this will be linked and jointly conducted, if possible, with the other funders to the family planning outreach programme (CIDA and USAID). Financial reports, compliance and administrative functions will be managed by the USAID AM and shared with the DFID adviser. Management by USAID. Management by USAID will be as described above as mandated by USAID regulations and policies. Additional information is provided below for financial management, for family planning compliance, and for site visit and environmental compliance. The Mission’s Site Visit Checklist, the Environmental Impact Evaluation and mitigation plan, The Family Planning Compliance checklists for the Mission have all been provided to DFID for documentation in detail of oversight procedures. Financial oversight includes: Ensuring that all funding actions comply with USAID's forward funding guidelines (ADS 602, Forward Funding of Program Funds). Reviewing the recipient's request for payments or financial reports and providing or denying administrative approval if required by the procedures in ADS Chapter 630, Payables Management. Monitoring the financial status of the award on a regular basis to ensure that the level of funding is the minimum necessary. Developing accrued expenditures on a quarterly basis in accordance with ADS 631, Accrued Expenditures, and instructions from M/FM or the mission controller. Reviewing and documenting the review (for example, signing and dating a copy of the financial report) of financial status reports for U.S. organizations with letters of credit and periodic advance payments to monitor financial progress. Initiating a request to the agreement officer to deobligate funds if at any point it is apparent that the amount of available funds is more than will be necessary to complete the cooperative agreement activities (see ADS 621 Obligations and Internal Mandatory Reference “Deobligation Guidebook”). Monitoring recipient compliance with the requirement for them to obtain any host country tax exemptions for which they are eligible; and Upon completion of the work under the award, reviewing any unliquidated obligation balance in the award and working with the agreement officer to deobligate excess funds before beginning close-out actions. Site visits are an important part of effective award management because they usually allow a more effective review of the project. When USAID makes a site visit, the AO or AOTR must write a brief report highlighting his or her findings and put a copy in the official award file. Family planning compliance is an area of great importance to the USG and principles of voluntarism and informed choice guide USAID's family planning programme. These principles are articulated in programme guidelines and a number of legislative and policy requirements that govern the use of U.S. family planning assistance. USAID works with partners to ensure compliance with the family planning requirements in their programmes. This is mandatory and must be well documented and reviewed on an on-going and stringent basis. Management within MST: The national outreach programme is within and is managed through MST’s national management structure. The roles and responsibilities of staff involved in programme implementation are outlined here. At Executive Management Team level, all roles have oversight of the national programme as a whole. Country Director – provides overall administrative, financial and programmatic leadership and oversight; ensures cross-department collaboration and coordination in support of the programme objectives; provides high level representation with national and international stakeholders. Director of Projects – line authority for the project management team as well as other senior management staff; represents the programme to stakeholders and other national forums; ensures compliance with requirements of individual donors, oversees programme implementation and coordinates activities with the core business operations team. Director of Business Operations – ensures that the service quality of all outreach teams is aligned with MST/MSI standards, mission, and values; line authority for clinical and outreach activities; works closely with the Director of Projects to ensure compliance in the implementation of the clinical services. The Director of Projects and Director of Business Operations will jointly lead the national programme, ensuring regular internal meetings and integrated coordination as well as leading the reporting to the National Programme Steering Committee. Director of Finance – oversees all MST finance and procurement systems and ensures compliance with MSI and donor requirements. Provides line management to Finance and Procurement team. The Heads of Department will ensure that outreach activities that fall under their departmental function are fully integrated into a single national outreach programme. National Outreach Manager – line manages Zonal Outreach Coordinators and Outreach Team Leaders; coordinates all outreach activities with the Business Operations Director; responsible for ensuring outreach teams comply with MSI operational guidelines; takes the lead in liaising with Zonal and Regional MoHSW representatives. Will be responsible for the annual national outreach plan. Head of Communications – coordinates all BCC activities, including community sensitisation events, centre demand generation (including work with Community Based Mobilisers (CBMs)) and the development, design, production and distribution of IEC materials. Head of M&E and Research – provides overall guidance on M&E including alignment with MSI national standards and measures; has technical oversight for all research and evaluation work undertaken as part of the programme. Is responsible for ensuring collection of high quality operational data by outreach teams. Project Manager (3) – DFID’s outreach programme will be assigned a project manager responsible for budget control, activity planning and oversight as well as project monitoring and evaluation; primary liaison with DFID and project stakeholders; responsible for project reporting to DFID and other DPs as well as the organisation and delivery of other project reports including surveys and evaluations. In the field, the following team member will have day-to-day management responsibility for delivery of outreach services: Outreach Team Leader (22) - in addition to service provision, supervises outreach team members and activities on the ground; ensures compliance with MSI/MST guidelines; responsible for daily collection of operational data; coordinates with facility in-charges at outreach sites. C. Conditionality Not applicable, as the programme does not involve financial aid to government. D. Monitoring and Evaluation Monitoring. The MST monitoring information system is robust and well established within MST. MST’s MIS can generate reliable service statistics. In addition, exit interviews will be conducted on a subset of clients. Key data sources are as per table 14 below. An M&E plan is currently in place to which MST is accountable to USAID. MST will submit quarterly summary reports to USAID and DFID documenting progress against the annual workplan, monitoring plan and logframe. The programme will be reviewed internally on an annual basis through DFID systems. MST will provide an annual report that will provide a narrative of achievements documented with relevant case studies as agreed. MST Outreach teams submit monthly reports detailing their service delivery and any other activities (e.g. demand generation, capacity building, etc.). The Outreach Coordinators do frequent field supervisions, with other supportive supervisions from the Operations and Projects team. Clinical quality is the responsibility of the Medical Development Team (part of Operations) and there are annual Quality Technical Assessments involving MSI MDT from London, as part of their overall programme in Tanzania. Table 15: Key Monitoring Data Sources Data collection approach Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey Method Frequency Sampling Content Responsible Household survey Every years Nationally (and regionally) representative sample of approx 10,000 households, clustered in approx 500 sample points across Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar. fertility levels and preferences; family planning use; reproductive, child and maternal health; nutritional status of young children and women; childhood mortality levels; ownership and use of mosquito bednets; prevalence and treatment of childhood illness; fistula, domestic violence, knowledge and behaviour regarding HIV/AIDS; and maternal mortality National Bureau Statistics MST routine service delivery data Routine data (registers) Daily records, collated monthly All clients sex; age; first-time FP/MST clients; source of referral; FP method; VCT Training reports Activity report Ad hoc N/A participants; objectives; content; facilitators; training methods; evaluation; preand post-training test scores MST operations (in the field) and MIS (at support office) teams Training facilitator/s 5 of Exit interview Facilitybased client survey Annual KAPB survey Communit y-based household survey Every years Quality technical assessment Facilitybased audit Annual 2 30+% of teams randomly selected; all consenting clients interviewed on survey days Clustered (representative sample size to be calculated dependent on survey design) service utilisation; client profile (including modelling to identify poverty status of woman); client satisfaction MST research team knowledge, attitudes, behaviours and practices relating to reproductive health and family planning MST research team Up to 3 teams purposively selected; rotated annually client focus; infection prevention; emergency preparedness; clinical technical and counselling quality MST and MSI medical development teams USAID Tanzania has formalized monitoring and evaluation plans as part of their approach for Managing for Results. The Mission rigorously and systematically assesses progress towards desired results using a results framework and performance management plan (PMP). USAID also requires portfolio reviews for investments and partnerships, field visits, data quality assessments, evaluations and quarterly and annual reports. All partners would have a PMP, which measures output and outcome levels and are gender sensitive. The central agreement’s PMP is on file at headquarters and with a new local award, the PMP will be developed and managed from USAID Tanzania. USAID/Tanzania’s Mission Order for Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Framework has been made available to DFID. Evaluation and lesson learning. MST is currently beginning Family Planning outreach with three different donors and is looking to test some different outreach models. There is currently one key evaluation question and MSI is considering other evaluation questions in consultation with all the donors funding outreach: Do community-based mobilisers represent good value for money in increasing demand for family planning? Are Community-based mobilisers in rural areas good VFM? As part of its commitment to cost-effectiveness, MST wants to ensure that its standard package of demand generation activities offers best value for money. MST currently has conflicting evidence on the effectiveness of Community-based Mobilisers (CBMs). On the one hand, MST’s own analysis of referral methods show that word-of-mouth via a known community member is the most common method of referral for MST clients. On the other hand, an initial investment in CBMs in 2010 had no major impact on service delivery use. It is costly to train, motivate and coordinate CBMs but such an investment could be justified if it resulted in much greater demand for FP services. There is a growing national interest in the use of CBMs. The national CBM network, coordinated by MoHSW, has collapsed through lack of funding but following a recent study, the Department for Reproductive Health has stated an interest in relaunching the national network. Many NGOs in the health sector have developed their own CBM networks in recent years. A CBM Technical Working Group, of which MST is a member, has been formed to coordinate national efforts. Within this national context, MST’s analysis will have national relevance and be able to inform the model of relaunch chosen by the MoHSW. The funding of outreach by three donors will provide a control opportunity. Outreach teams funded by CIDA and AusAID (in 11 regions) will have only what the national programme provides: mass communication approaches e.g. local radio, towncriers, and community infotainment events to generate demand for FP services. The DFID sites (in 12 regions) will have the national programme mass communication approach as well as a network of trained community based mobilisers (CBMs) to generate demand. Rather than develop its own network of CBMs, MST will work with other partners that have CBMs focusing on services other than family planning. A baseline mapping exercise will be carried out to identify existing CBM networks in the regions where DFID-funded teams are working and MST will offer FP-specific training to existing CBMs. How the evaluation will be used: An evaluation of this approach would yield important information for Tanzania and, perhaps, other African countries. Results from the question will help to determine whether CommunityBased Mobilisers are worth further investment in Tanzania. As these CBMs can be used for more than family planning information, the results for this line of enquiry could inform more than the family planning community. E. Risk Assessment The key risks for the family planning outreach programme are: Table 16: Assessment of risks Risk Description Impact on Success (L,M,H) H Probability of Occurring (L,M,H) L Mitigating Actions Monitoring Mechanism MSI headquarters responded quickly to replace the head of the programme and other implicated staff. While there were no prosecutions, the organisation went through a careful review of its procedures and a new head came in 2008. Subsequent audits have been unqualified CIDA assisted MST in this reorganisation and is content that MST is now a reliable organisation and is continuing their funding. USAID is also doing robust audit and pre-authorisation work to ensure that MST remains with unqualified audits in the future. USAID will be monitoring MST. MST systems in place including monthly accounting reports which are reviewed by at country level and then sent to MSI HQ for review. As well as an annual audit by a local audit firm, MST is audited annually by MSI’s regional audit team and are part of MSI’s annual global audit. USAID will oversee and Director of MST Business Operations responsible for monitoring USAID will oversee and Director of MST Projects responsible for monitoring USAID will oversee and Director of MST Operations will monitor Risk 1 Fiduciary risk: irregularities identified in past audit (in 2007) could be repeated in the future and affect implementation Risk 2 Implementation risks: MOHSW change guidelines for outreach service provision L M USAID and MST are active members of government working and technical groups and committees Risk 3 Inadequate support from GOT health authorities L-M M Develop MOUs with health authorities for outreach services; undertake consultative meetings with health authorities at all levels to galvanize support and ownership Risk 4 Irregular or inadequate commodity supply M-H M Risk 5 Clinical incident results in injury or death of client L M Member of contraceptive security working group; emergency purchase of FP commodities; FP commodities buffer supplies in stock; clients can use alternatives (but this is not optimal) Clinical standards in place; regular QTA and monitoring visits; Medical Assessment Team review takes place quarterly Risk Political risks: M M DFID will consider the option of USAID will oversee and Director of MST Operations will monitor DFID will 6 Risk 7 US Government political change makes funding of family planning impossible Change of provider by USAID during course of support L M directly funding MST during the course of the four year period. monitor policy changes within USAID DFID will consider the option of directly funding MST or to remain funding through MSI DFID will keep in close contact with USAID F. Results and Benefits Management Milestones against indicators are set out in the programme logframe in Annex 1. The economic appraisal quantifies expected results in the increase of CYPs over the course of the programme. This programme will improve the women’s access to reproductive health services and it is expected that 2.7 million CYPs will be achieved, leading to the aversion of 1,528,000 pregnancies, approximately 134,000 abortions (many of which would have been unsafe), and 5116 maternal deaths. The DALYs saved amount to 659,000. ANNEX 1: Climate & Environment Assurance Note Intervention Details Title Family Planning Outreach in Tanzania Home Department DFID Tanzania Budget £8,000,000 Responsible Officers Title Project Owner Climate Change and Environment Advisor Name Tanya Zebroff Magdalena Banasiak Department DFID Tanzania DFID Tanzania Category B - the intervention has climate and environmental relevance. It has potential for positive impact. Sensitivity Analysis The outcomes are expected to tackle climate change and reduce vulnerability by reducing population growth. There will be some moderate vehicle use in service delivery. (Climate and Environment checklist, outlined in Annex B of the how to note, has been completed for this category B intervention and any additional climate and environment opportunities and risks have been incorporated) The impact of the project on climate change and environment will be positive. Climate & Environment Measures agreed No Climate & Environment Measures in log-frame No Appraisal Success Criteria Impact of CC on the intervention None Impact of Environment on the intervention None Impact of the intervention on climate change - reduces CO2 emissions - increases CO2 emissions Impact of the intervention on Environment - Opportunity to achieve MDG7 Management Risks and opportunities defined Yes, the opportunities are integral to the intervention. SIGNED OFF BY: Magdalena Banasiak, DFID Tanzania Climate and Environment Adviser DATE: 31 May, 2011 ANNEX2: CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENT CHECK LISTS Impact of Climate Change on Intervention Positive Opportunity for economic growth through development and dissemination of technologies Opportunity for job creation Increased revenue generating opportunities Opportunity for new agriculture and livelihood options Negative In a climate sensitive area? In an area subject to frequent climatic shocks / variability (floods/droughts/temperature) In an area where climate change could lead to conflict Community has poor capacity to deal with or adapt to climate change or shocks Programme dependant on specific climatic condition (agriculture, aquaculture) Climate sensitive policies / laws / regulations result in social / development impacts Y/N Impact of Environment on Intervention Positive Dependant on environment / natural resources for success Good governance of natural resources would improve likelihood of success Improved revenue generating opportunities Improved environmental management could increase the number of benefits from intervention Environmental management offers peace-building opportunities Y/N Detail Measure Detail Measure N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Negative Dependant on environment / natural resources for success In an area subject to environmental degradation? In an area subject to frequent environmental shocks Community lack capacity to deal with environmental degradation or shocks Community dependant on natural resources, which will be affected by the intervention for their livelihoods Property / land-rights are not well defined / governed Environmental policies/laws/regulations result in social / development impacts In an area where natural resources are a potential source of conflict N N N N N N N N Impact of Intervention on Climate Change Positive Increases mitigation capacity Reduces Co2 emissions Y/N Detail Measure N Y Reduces population growth Increased contraceptive prevalence rate will result in eventual population stablisation (see table 5) Provides an opportunity to achieve low-carbon development? Negative Increases CO2 emissions N Some vehicle use for outreach (minor) Unnecessary Decreases mitigation capacity Does not support low-carbon development N N Impact of Intervention on Environment Positive Depends on natural resource use for its success Y/N Detail Measure Y N Opportunity for improved environmental management Opportunity to achieve MDG7 N Y Opportunity for co-financing of environmental management Negative Depends on natural resource use for success In an environmentally sensitive area Causes direct and significant impact on environment Risks causing significant negative impact on environment N Impact of Intervention on vulnerable Communities Positive Opportunity to reduce the vulnerability of communities to climate change? Y/N Detail Measures Y Fewer people mean that communities are less vulnerable Increased contraceptive prevalence rate will result in eventual population stablisation Opportunity to build the capacity of communities to adapt to climate change? Opportunity to build the resilience of communities to climate change? Opportunity to mitigate climate change impacts for a community? Negative Reduces adaptive capacity of a community to climate change Reduces resilience of a community to climate change Increases vulnerability of communities to climate change? Reduces capacity of a community to mitigate climate change N As above. As above. Reducing numbers of people Increased contraceptive means MDG7 is more prevalence rate will result in attainable. Also reducing eventual population stablisation pressure on natural resources such as forest, land and water N N N N N Y N N N N Annex 3: Project logframe PROJECT NAME IMPACT Family Planning Outreach Programme In Tanzania To contribute to achieving MDG5 and reduce maternal deaths Impact Indicator 1 Maternal mortality ratio (national) Baseline 2009/10 Planned Milestone 1 (end yr 1) Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) Target (2015) 265/100,000liv 454/100,000 Achieved Source TDHS 2010 (baseline) and 2015 (target) Impact Indicator 2 Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (modern methods; married women: national and disaggregated by region and age) Baseline 2009/10 Planned Milestone 1 (end yr 1) Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 27.40% Target (2015) 34.80% Achieved Source TDHS 2010 (baseline) and 2015 (target) OUTCOME To increase poor women's use of family planning through rural outreach Outcome Indicator 1 Couple years of protection delivered by project Baseline Planned 0 Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 402,000 CYPs Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 1.16 million CYPs Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 1.91 million CYPs Target (end of proj) Assumptions 2.67 million CYPs There are no major natural disasters, conflict or political instability; Access and quality of other maternal health services (ANC, EMOC, etc) continue to improve Milestone 3 (end yr 3) Target (end of proj) Achieved Source Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS Outcome Indicator 2 Baseline Milestone 1 (end yr 1) Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Project's contribution to national CPR Planned 0 0.20% 0.40% 0.65% 0.90% Achieved Source INPUTS (£) Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS; calculation using MSI REACH calculator Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) DFID (£) INPUTS (HR) 8,000,000 DFID (FTEs) 10% OUTPUT 1 ACCESS: Increased access to quality family planning/VCT services Output Indicator 1.1 Number of FP/VCT clients served by project Baseline Planned 0 Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 68,000 clients Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 196000 clients Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 324000 clients Target (end of proj) Assumption 453000 clients Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 600 Target (end of proj) Supplies of FP and VCT commodities are consistent and high quality; Adequate support from GOT health authorities No major changes in MOH guidelines for outreach service provision Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 80% Target (end of proj) Achieved Source Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS Output Indicator 1.2 Number of service providers (MST and MOH) trained in quality of care according to MSI partnership global standards IMPACT WEIGHTING (%) Baseline Planned 0 Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 200 Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 400 800 Achieved Source Training reports Output Indicator 1.3 Baseline 40% Percentage of project Planned N/A Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 60% Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 70% 90% clients who report they would refer MST services to a friend among the target group INPUTS (£) Achieved Source RISK RATING Exit interviews with clients DFID (£) Low-medium Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 30% Target (end of proj) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 22.50% Target (end of proj) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 12.50% Target (end of proj) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) OUTPUT 2 EQUITY: Increased equal opportunity to obtain FP/VCT services Output Indicator 2.1 Proportion of project clients who live below $1.25 per day Baseline Planned N/A Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 20% 25% 37.60% Assumptions Current trends in economic development continue; Achieved Source Exit interview assessments Output Indicator 2.2 Proportion of project clients who are aged below 25 years Baseline Planned N/A Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 15% Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 20% 25% Achieved Source IMPACT WEIGHTING (%) Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS Output Indicator 2.3 Baseline 20% Proportion of project clients who are male Planned N/A Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 7.5% Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 10% 15% Achieved Source RISK RATING INPUTS (£) Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS DFID (£) Govt (£) Low Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) Target (end of proj) Assumptions 30% increase over baseline Socio-cultural conditions support the conversion of changes in knowledge and attitudes into changed practice in relation to FP/VCT INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) OUTPUT 3 BEHAVIOUR: Increased knowledge of, changed attitudes towards, and positive behaviours to FP/VCT Output Indicator 3.1 % of target group who can cite at least 2 benefits of birth spacing Baseline Planned Milestone 1 (end yr 1) TBD at baseline 15% increase over baseline Achieved Source KAPB survey included in project baseline, mid-term and end-line evaluations Output Indicator 3.2 % of men who oppose the use of FP by their wife Baseline Planned Milestone 1 (end yr 1) TBD at baseline Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 7.5% decrease against baseline Target (end of proj) 15% decrease against baseline Achieved Source IMPACT WEIGHTING (%) KAPB survey included in project baseline, mid-term and end-line evaluations Output Indicator 3.3 Baseline 30% Proportion of clients who are first time users of FP Planned N/A Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 17.50% Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 20% Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 22.50% 25% Achieved Source INPUTS (£) Target (end of proj) Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS; exit interviews RISK RATING Medium DFID (£) Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) Milestone 2 (end yr 2) Milestone 3 (end yr 3) £3.00 Target (end of proj) Assumptions £2.94 No significant economic shocks, run-away inflation or exchange rate crises that lead to unexpected increases in costs INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) OUTPUT 4 EFFICIENCY: Improved costeffectiveness of delivery of quality FP/VCT services Output Indicator 4.1 Cost per CYP (cumulative) Baseline Planned £3.43 Milestone 1 (end yr 1) £3.43 £3.29 Achieved Source MST SUN financial reporting system; Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS Output Indicator 4.2 Cost per service (cumulative) Baseline Planned £21.79 Milestone 1 (end yr 1) £21.79 Milestone 2 (end yr 2) £19.45 Milestone 3 (end yr 3) £17.68 Target (end of proj) £17.33 Achieved Source IMPACT WEIGHTING (%) MST SUN financial reporting system; Routine service delivery data from MST HMIS Output Indicator 4.3 Baseline 10% Average Quality Planned technical assessment Achieved 74% Milestone 1 (end yr 1) 80% Milestone 2 (end yr 2) 85% Milestone 3 (end yr 3) 90% Target (end of proj) 90% MST remains a wellmanaged NGO with strong financial policies RISK RATING (QTA) score for project teams Source INPUTS (£) MSI/MST QTA report DFID (£) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) Govt (£) Low-medium Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) i TDHS (2010). ibid iii ibid iv Tanzanian Demographic and Health Survey (TDHS), 2010. v ibid vi Campbell, O, and W Graham (2006) Strategies for reducing maternal mortality: getting on with what works. Lancet 368: 1284-99. vii Cleland, J, S Bernstein, A Ezeh, A Glasier and J Innis. (2006) Family Panning: The unfinished agenda. Lancet 368: 1810-1820. viii Rutstein, S (2005) Effects of preceding birth intervals on neonatal, infant and under-five years mortality and nutritional status in developing countries: evidence from the demographic and health surveys. International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology 89 (supplement 1): S7-S24. ix TDHS, 2010. x TDHS (2010). xi DFID Evidence Paper (2010) Improving Reproductive, maternal and Newborn Health: Reducing Unintended Pregnancies: Evidence Overview. A Working Paper version 1.0. xii TDHS (2010). xiii ibid xiv Ibid xv Solo, J (2008). Family planning in Rwanda: How a taboo became priority number one. North Carolina: IntraHealth. Reference In Speidel et al (2008) Making the case for US international family planning assistance. xvi USAID (2010) Community Based Family Planning. Technical Update No 8: Mobile Outreach Services Delivery. xvii World Health Organisation (2007) Maternal Mortality in 2005. Estimates developed by WHO, UNICEPF, UNFPA and the World Bank. xviii Cleland, J (2006) Op cited. xix Population Reference Bureau (2009) Family planning Saves Lives. xx The National Road Map Strategic Plan to Accelerate Reduction of Maternal, Newborn and Child Deaths in Tanzania 2008 – 2015 (2008). xxi Cleland (2006) Op cited. xxii Tsui, A (1992) Service proximity as a determinant of contraceptive behaviour: evidence from cross-national studies of survey data. In Phillips, J and J Ross, Editors. Family planning programmes and fertility. Oxford: Clarendon Press: 222-258. xxiii Cleland (2006) Op cited. xxiv Tsui, A, McDonald-Mosley, and E Burke (2010) Family planning and the Burden of Unintended Pregnancies. Epidemiology Review April 32(1): 152-74. xxv Singh, s et al (2009) Adding it up: the benefits of investing in sexual and reproductive healthcare. UNFPA: Guttmacher Institute. xxvi Ibid. xxvii Ibid xxviii Contraceptive Method Mix (1994) Geneva: World Health Organisation. xxix Cleland et al (2006). xxx Janowitz B et al (1999) Issues in the financing of family planning services in sub Saharan Africa. Research Triangle Institute: Family Health International. xxxi Langer, A et al (2000) Health sector reform and reproductive health in Latin America and the Caribbean: strengthening the links. Bulletin of the WHO 74: 667-676. xxxii DFID Evidence paper (2010) Improving Reproductive, Maternal and Newborn Health: Reducing Unintended Pregnancies: Evidence Overview. xxxiii Guttmacher Institute (2009) Adding it Up. New York: Guttmacher Institute xxxiv Assessment of Linkages Between Population Dynamics and Environmental Change in Tanzania, Ndalahwa F. Madulu, Institute of Resource Assessment, University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania AND Examining the inter-linkages of population growth, poverty, and natural resources in Tanzania, Ayoub Ayoub, University of Nevada xxxv 2010 World Population Data Sheet. Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau. ii xxxvi The Economics of Climate Change in the United Republic of Tanzania. Global Climate Adaptation Partnership. Final Draft 2010 xxxvii Wheeler D and Hammer D, The Economics of Population Policy For Carbon Emissions Reduction in Developing Countries. Centre for Global Development Working Paper 22.9 November 2010 xxxviii http://www.owen.org/blog/4105 last accessed 17th November 2010 xxxix MOHSW correspondence with USAID, May 2010 xl USAID (2010) Community Based Family Planning. Technical Update Number 8: Mobile Outreach Service Delivery. xli Discussions with USAID and PSI Tanzania. xlii http://www.engenderhealth.org/our-work/major-projects/acquire-tanzania.php xliii USAID (2010) Community Based Family Planning. Technical Update Number 8: Mobile Outreach Service Delivery. xliv Contraceptive Method Mix (1994) Geneva: World Health Organisation. xlv Pritchett, L (1994) Desired fertility and the impact of population policies. Population Development Review 20: 1-55. xlvi Sinha, N. (2003) Fertility, child work and schooling consequences of family planning programs : evidence from an experiment in rural Bangladesh. Gender Discussion Paper. Available at: www.econ.yale.edu/growth_pdf/cdp867.pdf. xlvii USAID (2010) Community-based Family Planning. Technical Update No. 8: Mobile Outreach Service Delivery. xlviii DFID (2010) Improving Reproductive, Maternal and Newborn health: Reducing Unintended Pregnancies: Evidence Overview. A Working Paper. xlix Puri, M et al (2007) Examining out-of-pocket expenditures on reproductive and sexual health among the urban population of Nepal. Population Review 47: 50-66. l Sedgh, G et al (2007) Women with an unmet need for contraception in developing countries and their reasons for not using a method. Occasional Report. New York: Guttmacher Institute. li Hornik, R and E McAnany (2001) Mass media and fertility change in Casterline J, editor. Diffusion processes and fertility transition: selected perspectives. Committee on Population, National Research Council. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. lii Levine R, Langer A, Birdsall N. et al. 2006 Contraception. Chapter 57. In: Jamison, D.T. et.al. Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries. 2nd Edition. The World Bank and Oxford University Press (2006) liii DFID Tanzania provided £6.5 Million, using the same funding mechanism of an MOU through USAID, to fill the supply chain gap on contraceptive commodities (implants and injectables). The CYPs that have been calculated for this support will be included in the logframe for this programme and will be jointly reported on, to avoid any double-counting. Further detail on how the double counting of CYPs is being addressed is included in the M&E section of the Business Case. liv This is the target from GoT and we consider it to be highly ambitious, but prefer to use GoT targets where available.