APES intro CH 1 2 and economics 00-11

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The Course - Content

 Science and environmental issues

 Not an environmentalist activist perspective

 Evaluation of environmental issues

 Careers in environmental science

The Course the “process”

 First year college course

 Content The College Board AP Program

 Lab and field study based learning

 Less lecture - more independent responsibility

 Emphasis on current events

Goals

 Goals:

Prepare for APES AP test

Critical Thinking: Evaluating issues and “coming to judgement”

Demonstrate and apply sound science and scientific method

 Understand environmental issues as interdiscinplinary:

Science, Technology, Society (STS)

Environmental Science vs.

Ecology

 Ecology - branch of biology

 Environmental science

 Uses natural sciences and social sciences to:

 assess how earth works

 evaluate how were are affecting earth’s life-support systems

 evaluate best ways to to deal with environmental problems, and hopefully reach sustainability

Unifying Themes

 Sustainability and Sustainability

Development

 What is sustainability?

Are our current social/economic systems sustainable?

If not, can the global society become sustainable?

 Ecological Principle: Everything is connected there is no such thing as a free lunch

Four Dimensions to

Sustainable Development

 Environmental

 Social

 Political

 Economic

Sustainability – text definition

“An environmental sustainable society satisfies the basic needs of it people for food, clean water clean air and shelter in the indefinite future without depleting or degrading the earth’s natural resources” (pare 4)

In addition to helping sustain the earth’s life support systems, sustainable development leads to greater economic security, healthier life-styles, and worldwide improvement in the human condition (15)

Sustainability – Protect your

Capital

Can all of earth’s population live at or near the consumption levels of the developed countries?

 Can technology solve the problems?

Can human societies: Living off of interest, thus not using up capital

 What are some examples?

Read and analyze: “Natural Capital” by Paul

Hawken (page 17)

Natural Capital – Hawkins (16-

17)

I: “..cyclic industrial systems work better than linear ones.”

 Relate to throughput page 60

 Contrast to natural ecosystems

II: Discuss“Markets are not giving us correct information about how much our suburbs, cars, and plastic drinking water bottles truly cost based on the environmental harm they cause”

III.

Discuss: A “more rational economic system “…” is based on the simple but powerful proposition that all capital must be valued .” In your discussion, be surely to clearly “define” and explain natural capital.

IV. Round 2: You are Gary Hardin. If you were in charge of the worlds economy, what are the three most important things you would do?

Ecological Footprint

 Definition: amount of land needed to produce resources needed for a person(or average person) in a country

 Compare: developed and developing

 Compare: Netherlands and U.S.

 Calculate your footprint

Can Exponential Growth

Continue?

Constant Rate but not constant number

“A quantity increases by a fixed percentage of the whole in a given time”

Essentially, compound interest

Growth at a given rate

Doubling time is calculated if rate remains same

Number organisms added per unit time increases

Examples:

Folding paper

Bacteria in a bottle

Read: Current Exponential Growth of the Human Population (5)

Exponential Growth

DO NOT POST TO INTERNET

16

15

?

14

13

12

?

11

10

9

?

8

7

6

Black Death –the Plague

1

2000 2100

0

3

2

5

4

2-5 million years

8000 6000 4000

Time

2000

Agricultural revolution

B.C.

A.D.

Hunting and gathering

Industrial revolution

Human Population Growth

 Doubling time - rule of 70

 70/ % growth rate = doubling time

 Growth rate is decreasing

1963: 2.1%

2002: 1.28%

 BUT, demands for resources growing exponentially

 Pollution growing exponentially

World Population Reached

1 billion in 1804

2 billion in 1927 (123 years later)

3 billion in 1960 (33 years later)

4 billion in 1974 (14 years later)

5 billion in 1987 (13 years later)

6 billion in 1999 (12 years later)

World Population May Reach

7 billion in 2013 (14 years later)

8 billion in 2028 (15 years later)

9 billion in 2050 (22 years later)

12

11

10

9

6

5

8

7

4

3

2

1

1950

Figure 1-4

Page 6

2000

World total

Developing countries

Year

2050

Developed countries

2100

Economic development

 Improvement of living standards by economic growth

How to measure “living standards”?

Probably best measure: Per Capita GNI PPP

Page 4

 Developed countries

 Developing countries

 World Night Lights

 NA night lights

Per capita GNI PPP, 2001

Low income

(Under $2,700)

Middle income

($2,701

–$10,750)

High income

(Above $10,750)

Environmental Impact of Human

Population

 Simplified model (13)

 population consumption (measured by affluence) technologic impact of unit of consumption

Resources

 Definition

 Perpetual resources

 Renewable resources

 Sustainable yield

 How can renewable resources become nonsustainable?

 Nonrenewable resources

 economic depletion vs actual depletion

Extending “life” of non-renewables

 Reduce

 Reusing

 Recycling

 What non-renewables cannot be recycled or reused?

Pollution

 Definition

 Natural or anthropogenic

 Point vs. nonpoint

 Effects of pollutants (11)

 Solutions:

 Elimination of the waste

Prevent from reaching environment

Five R’s: refuse to use, replace, reduce, reuse.

Recycle

 Is dilution a solution to pollution?

 Maybe sometimes? Maybe not??

Pollution Cleanup (output control)

(11)

 Cleanup after produced

 Problems

 Temporary bandage – as long as population continues to grow

Removes from one location, but puts pollutant into another (eg, scrubbers)

Dispersal – low concentrations, almost impossible to cleanup

Tragedy of the Commons

Activity

 Activity: In notebook, keep track of data after each round (everyone fishes)

 Round 1: NO talking – fishing isolated from all team members

 10 seconds to fish

Fish replace 1 for every two remaining; less than four, population eliminated

Cup more than ½ full, fish exceed carrying capacity.

Tragedy of the Commons

Activity

Round 2: NO talking – fishing isolated from all team members

 SAME rules as round 1: better technology

Round 3: Discuss before beginning – may talk throughout activity

 10 seconds to fish

Fish replace 1 for every two remaining; less than four, population eliminated

Cup more than ½ full, fish exceed carrying capacity.

CHOOSE “technology”

Global Issues

Awareness began in 1980’s

 Acid precipitation

 Ozone depletion

 Global climate change

 Ocean pollution and depletion of fish resources

Global Atmospheric Changes

Globalization

 World becoming more integrated

 Economic

 1970-2002: 7,000 to 60,000 transnational corporations

 Communication and information

 Pollutants

 Acid precipitation, climate change, ozone depletion, depletion of ocean resources

What are the key environmental problems? (12)

 Diagram page 12

Causes of environmental problems (12)

 Rapid population growth

 Unsustainable resource use

 Poverty

 Cost of economic goods excludes costs of pollution

 Not enough knowledge about complex natural systems

Think of the “Precautionary Principle”

Optimism or pessimism -

Experts disagree

Political viewpoint

Economics

World views

How serious is an environmental problem?

What can be done?

What is economic impact of reducing pollution or resource use?

Are technologies available?

Who gains and who losses?

Good news

 Global food production outpaced global population growth since 1970

 Pollution growth rate is reduced worldwide

 Infant mortality decreased worldwide

 In developed countries: cleaner water and air

 Much more interest and concern about environmental issues

Bad News

 Pollution in developing countries increased – clean water a big problem

Exponential increase in use of most natural resources

Population still increasing in developing countries

Global climate change

Gulf between rich/poor widening

Global decrease in biodiversity

Economic systems do not incorporate pollution costs

Globalization

How can governments reduce pollution

 Incentives: subsidies and tax write-offs

 Regulations, fines, taxes

 Require pollution cleanup

 Research funds

 Education

 Developed world provide model for developing

 Reduce or eliminate loans for developed countries

Interactions: nature and humans

Conventional vs. Ecological

Economists ( 693-697)

 Conventional

 Economic systems independent of natural systems

 Human technology/ingenuity will deal with shortages and destruction of biodiversity

Ecological economics – Hawkin’s ideas

 Economic system subsystem of environment

 Natural capital supplies and maintains economic systems

 Environmentally sustainable economic

 development

Economic system “mimics” natural systems

Recycling

Not depleting earth’s net primary productivity

Living off ecological income, not the capital

An Alternative: Environmental

Accounting

 Subtract from GNI things that lead to a lower quality of life and resource depletion

 Add things that enhance environmental quality and human well-being

 Problem: how to determine the value of such environmental indicators

 NOTE: today's GNI does not account for environmental/human externalities – only dollar costs and benefits (income)

External Costs (697-700)

 Costs not incorporated in the final consumer cost of product

Thus, Hawkin’s “improper accounting”

 Costs passed on to public and maybe future generations

Problem: Can they be quantified?

 Some quantifiable, some difficult to quantify

Who in society “pays” more of these externalities?

Internalizing External Costs

Consumer pays FULL cost of production of a product. (Hawkin: all “information” incorporated into the cost of the product)

Preventing pollution more profitable than cleaning it up

Methods

Taxes for pollution

 Example: proposed carbon taxes

Regulations requiring pollution controls and of mitigation damaged environments

 Eliminate subsidies for resource extraction

Problem: direct cost of many services and products would rise

Problem: Law of diminishing returns (graph 26.10)

Environmental Worldviews

Based on person’s beliefs and values

“Facts” interpreted, conclusions reached based on worldview

Worldviews become a “window” through which “facts” interpreted and decisions made

 Two basic worldviews:

 Planetary management

 Environmental wisdom worldview`

The next 50 years

What is each individuals role?

“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed,it the only thing that ever has.” Margaret Mead

Chapter 2

Environmental philosophies

 Conservationism

 Preservationism

(Read: “How should …Conservationists” on 32)

Stewardship

“Modern” environmentalism

 Globalism

Conservationism

 Pragmatic or utilitarian resource conservation

 George Perkins Marsh

Man and Nature , 1864

Warned of the ecological and economic consequences of “frontier” mentality

Conservationism and forest preserves

 Roosevelt and Pinchot

Forests should be saved “ not because they are beautiful or because the shelter wild creatures of the wilderness, but only to provide homes and jobs for people”

 Turning point: Forest Reserve Act of

1871

National Forest Service and Soil

Conservation Service

(in Dept. of Agr.)

 Multiple use

 Sustainable yield

Preservationism

 John Muir

Fundamental right of other organisms to exist

“The world, we are told, was made for man…Nature’s object in making animals and plants might possibly be first of the happiness of each one of them…Why ought man to value himself as more than an infinitely small unit of one great unit of creation?”

Preservationism and National

Parks

 National Park Service 1916 (Dept of Interior)

 Yellowstone National Park – 1872 – American

Forestry Association

 Protection of all organisms, with humans

“onlookers” – no multiple use

Soil Conservation

 Dust bowls and Grapes of Wrath

 Soil Conservation Service - 1935

Stewardship

Modern ecology, with philosophical

“underpinning”

“That land is a community is the basic concept of ecology, but that land is to be loved and respected is an extension of ethics.” ..Aldo Leopold

A Sand County Almanac – A

Land Ethic

The land ethic simply enlarges the boundaries of the community to include soils, waters, plants, and animals, or collectively: the land .

The land ethic changes the role of Homo sapiens from conqueror of the land-community to plain member and citizen of it.

We abuse land because we regard it as a commodity belonging to us.

When we see land as a community to which we belong, we may begin to use with love and respect.

Anything is right when it tends to preserve the integrity , stability, and beauty of the biotic community.

It is wrong it tends otherwise

Leopold, Aldo: A Sand County Almanac, and Sketches Here and

There , 1948, Oxford University Press , New York, 1987, pg. 204.

Environmentalism

 Rachel Carson :

Silent Spring 1962

 Effect of DDT in the food chain

 Earthday- 1970

Modern Environmentalism (30)

Relationships between population growth, resource use, and pollution

1969 – photograph from space – “Spaceship

Earth”

 Many laws, agencies, environmental organizations established between ‘68 and late’70s

Successes of the

Environmental Movement

 Environmental protection agency

 Environmental laws

 Pollution abatement

 Species saved from extinction

 Habitat protection

 Environmental education

Key Environmental Laws

Wilderness Act – National Wilderness System

1970 – National Environmental Policy Act –

 Requires Environmental Impact Statements

1970 – Clean Air Act

1970 – EPA Established

1972 – Marine Mammal Protection Act

1973 – Endangered Species Act

1977 – Clean Water Act

1980 – Superfund law (CERCLA)

1987 – Montreal Protocol

Global Environmentalism

Acid precipitation

Nuclear accidents – TMI and Chernobyl

Ozone depletion

“International Convention of Biological

Diversity” – 1991

Kyoto agreement – 1997

Today – globalization of world markets – can countries control their own destinies?

What role will science play?

True or False Concerning the Process of Science

 Science is incapable of providing absolute proof for any theory.

 The process of science can be used to test value judgments.

Some observed phenomena may not lend themselves to controlled experiments.

Science is capable of predicting the future.

Does science provide a framework for understanding complex ecological systems and potential impacts on those systems?

Junk Science

 Presentations of selective results

 Public distortions of scientific works

Publication in quasi-scientific journals

Funding of “biased” science

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