Off-Balance Sheet Activities • Financial guarantees – Standby letters of credit – Bank loan commitments – Note issuance facilities • Derivatives – – – – Currency and interest rate swaps Over-the-counter options, futures, and forwards Other off-balance sheet activities U.S. banks and international expansion Off-balance sheet activities • Market risk: – Wild gyrations in interest rates in the 1980s. – Turmoil in emerging markets in the 1990s. – Periodic volatility in global financial markets. • Off-balance sheet activities to deal with market risk. – Commitments based on a contingent claim -- an obligation by a bank to provide funds (lend funds or buy securities) if a contingency is realized. – Two broad categories: financial guarantees and derivative instruments. – Transforming deposit/lending institutions into risk management institutions. – Tremendous growth of off-balance sheet activities of large banks. Financial guarantees • The bank stands behind an obligation of a third party. A loan guarantee is a common example. • Standby letters of credit: – SLCs obligate the bank to pay the beneficiary if the account party defaults on a financial obligation or performance contract. – Equivalent to an over-the-counter put option written by the bank (i.e., the firm can “put” the credit obligation back to the bank). – Financial SLCs: Backup lines of credit on bonds, notes, and commercial paper serve as guarantee. – Performance SLCs: Completion of construction contracts guaranteed. – SLCs are considered loans. They may be collateralized. – Need to diversify, limit credit risk, and increase capital to manage risks. – Liquidity risk (or funding risk), capital risk, interest rate risk, and legal risk are inherent in these instruments. – Material adverse change (MAC) clause that enables bank to withdraw its commitment if the risk of the SLC changes substantially. Financial guarantees • Bank loan commitments: – Promise by a bank to a customer to make a future loan under certain conditions. Most commercial and industrial loans are made under some form of guarantee (informal or formal). Line of credit -- Informal commitment of a bank to lend funds to a client firm. Revolving line of credit -- Formal agreement by a bank to lend funds on demand to a client firm under the terms of the contract. MAC clauses may be used to protect the bank from changing firm risk. Protect firms from availability and markup (or premium) risks of credit. Bank is exposed to interest rate risk. Funding risk -- Risk that many borrowers will take down commitments at the same time and thereby strain bank liquidity. Also known as quantity risk. Most likely to occur during periods of tight credit. Some commitments are irrevocable (i.e., unconditional and binding). Note issuance facilities • NIFs are medium-term (2-7 years) agreements in which a bank guarantees the sale of a firm’s short-term debt securities at or below pre-determined interest rates. – The bank will step in a timely fashion to buy the securities of the firm. Other terms for similar financial guarantees are revolving underwriting facilities (RUFs) and standby note issuance facilities (SNIFs). Banks that use CDs might seek a Roly-Poly CD facility. Nonbank borrowers might issue short-term debt securities called Euronotes (denominated in dollars but sold outside of the U.S.). – Contingent risks to banks here as underwriters (i.e., arrangers if a single bank or tender panel if a group of banks) are credit risk and funding risk. Derivatives • Swaps, options, futures, forward contracts, and securitized assets. • Most derivatives activities are reported on the balance sheet but some are off-balance sheet (i.e., those with positive values are assets and those with negative values are counted as liabilities). • Two derivatives markets: (1) privately traded OTC market, and (2) organized exchanges (CBOT, CME, CBOE, and other countries). – Swaps are heavily used in the OTC market. Large banks dominate this market. – Regulators (including the Commodity Futures Commission, SEC, Federal Reserve, OCC, and FDIC) are very concerned with derivative exposures of banks (e.g., liquidity, fraud, human risks). Counting the Risks in Derivatives The Federal Reserve, Comptroller of the Currency, and FDIC have cited seven key categories of risk associated with derivatives. 1. Counterparty credit risk is the risk that a counterparty in a financial transaction will default, resulting in a financial loss to the other party. Credit exposure is not measured by the notational amount of the contract but by the cost of replacing its cash flows in the market. In an interest rate swap, for example, the present value of expected cash flows on the underlying instruments would need to be calculated. 2. Price, or market, risk is the risk that the market price of the derivative security will change. This risk is closely related to the price risk of the underlying instrument. Most banks break overall price risk into components, including interest rate risk, exchange rate risk, commodity price risk, and others. 3. Settlement risk occurs when one party in a financial transaction pays out funds to the other party before it receives its own cash or assets. Thus, settlement risk is linked to credit risk. 4. Liquidity risk is the risk that a couterparty will default and a liquidity shortfall will occur due to losses. 5. Operating risk is an often-overlooked area of commercial bank risk that can arise due to: Inadequate internal controls -- the complexity of some derivatives, human error, and fraud are all sources of risk that demand internal monitoring and control by management. Valuation risk -- the valuation of many derivatives rely on fairly sophisticated mathematical models that are highly dependent on assumptions about market conditions, which together can make valuation a difficult task. Regulatory risk -- as already mentioned, regulators are scrutinizing OTC derivatives due to their explosive growth, and this attention could draw changes in accounting procedures, capital adequacy, restrictions on activities, and other banking practices. 6. Legal risk -- the OTC market for derivatives is private in nature, fast developing, and innovative in security design, all of which means that disputes within this new market will require a period of legal cases to clearly establish the rights and obligations of all participants. The International Swap Dealers Association has established some rules in cooperation with most large industrialized countries, but the differences in national bankruptcy laws raises legal concerns about the risks in international deals. 7. Aggregation risk comes about from the complex interconnections that can occur in derivatives deals which involve a number of markets and instruments. It becomes difficult to assess the risks to individual parties or groups of parties in such transactions. Currency and interest rate swaps • Swaps: – Agreement between two counterparties to exchange cash flows based upon some notional principal amount of money, maturity, and interest rates. “Plain vanilla” interest rate swap is an exchange of interest payments, where one party has fixed interest payments and the other party has variable interest payments. No actual transfer of principal, only interest payments on debt contracts. Useful in managing interest rate gap problems in banks and nonbank firms. Three types of interest rate swaps: (1) Coupon swaps -- fixed and floating coupon payments. (2) Basis swaps -- two different floating rates of interest. (3) Cross-currency swaps (or currency swaps) -- swaps involving three counterparties with different currencies on fixed and floating rate debts. A plain deal currency swap involves equal interest payments but different currencies. Example of a Swap Assume firms A and B engage in a coupon interest rate swap based on a notional amount of $10 million. The swap agreement has a maturity of 7 years, and the payment frequency is semiannually. This is a classic plain vanilla swap between two banks. Bank A is the fixed rate counterparty--the one that pays the fixed rate of interest (as it has fixed rate assets and variable rate liabilities to gap); and bank B is the floating rate counterparty (as it has variable rate assets and fixed rate assets to gap)--the one that pays the floating rate of interest. The fixed rate payer (bank A) pays bank B 12% on the notional amount of debt. Similarly, the floating rate payer (bank B) pays bank A's cost of its floating rate liabilities. Let's examine the impact of this transaction on bank A for the first 6 months. The relevant interest rates that we will use in our simplified calculation are: 6-month LIBOR 10.0% Bank A's fixed rate payment 12.0 Bank A's variable rate liabilities 9.0 Based on these rates, we can determine the net fixed rate cost of finds to bank A in the following manner. Fixed rate payments made by bank A 12.0% Floating rate payment received -10.0 Interest paid on floating rate liabilities +9.0 Net fixed cost 11.0% In terms of dollar amounts, Bank A will make the first semiannual fixed rate payment of $600,000 ($10 million x 0.12/2) to Bank B, pay $450,000 ($10 million x 0.09/2) on its floating rate liabilities, and receive a floating rate payment of $506,778 from Bank B. The floating rate payment is based on 181 days and a 360-day year. First interest period (1-1 to 6-30) Number of days 181 6-month LIBOR 10.0% Principal amount $10 million Payment = Principal x LIBOR x Number of days = $10 million x 0.10 x 181 = $506, 777.78 Days in year 360 Bank A's net fixed cost for the first six months expressed in dollar terms is: Fixed rate payment Floating rate liabilities Floating rate payment received $600,000 +450,000 -506,778 $543,222 Risks associated with swaps • Price risk: – Interest rate changes can cause the gap position of a bank or firm to change. Thus, the swap’s effectiveness can change. • Counterparty interest: – The other party may not want to exchange the same amount of cash flows. • Disputes between counterparties: – International Swap Dealers Association (ISDA) offers an advisory service to members. • Market valuation: – In 1999 the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) required all derivatives, including swaps, to be stated at fair market value. Thus, they can affect a bank’s or firm’s financial condition. OTC Options, Futures, and Forwards • OTC options: – Nonstandardized contracts, unlike exchange-traded options. – No clearinghouse to act as a safety net. – Floor-ceiling agreements: Ceiling agreements (caps) -- Sets the max interest rate on a loan to protect the customer from interest rate risk. The bank pays the firm the interest above this ceiling. As such, the bank is the writer of a call option in interest rates (or, alternatively stated, a put option in prices). Floor agreements -- Sets a min lending interest rate on a loan to protect the bank. The bank is a buyer of a put option in interest rates in this case (or, alternatively stated, a call option in prices). Interest rate collar -- Combines a cap and floor agreement to set max and min interest rate limits on a loan. – Credit risk derivatives: Credit option -- For example, an investor buys an option that pays the loss in bond value due to an agency rating downgrade on a bond. Total return swap -- For example, bank A swaps payments on a risky loan portfolio for a cash flow stream tied to LIBOR plus some compensation for the credit risk premium that it has given up (i.e., credit risk transfer). OTC Options, Futures, and Forwards • Forward rate agreements (FRAs): – – – – OTC interest rate futures contract for bonds or other financial asset. Not traded on organized exchanges as financial futures contracts are. Tailored to meet needs of parties involved. Not marked to market daily, so little liquidity risk, as in the case of futures contracts. • Synthetic loans: – Use interest rate futures and options to create synthetic loans and securities. Suppose a firm believes interest rates will fall in the near future. As such, it borrows $30 million for 120 days on a floating rate basis (repriced every 30 days at the CD rate plus 4 percentage points). However, the bank would prefer to make a fixed rate loan in this interest rate environment. To convert the variable rate loan to a fixed rate loan, the bank could buy T-bill futures. If interest rates fall, and T-bill prices rise, the gain on the futures position would offset the lower interest earnings on the cash loan position. OTC Options, Futures, and Forwards • Securitization: – Home loans, auto loans, credit-card receivables, computer leases, mobile home loans, and small business loans. Recent securitization of commercial and industrial loans (collateralized loan obligations or CLOs) and commercial mortgage-backed securities or CMBSs). – Banks transfer loan risks into the financial marketplace. Reduce credit risks, gap risk, improve diversification, and provide stable, low-risk service revenues. – Earn service revenues in roles of loan originator, loan packager, and loan service company. – Securitized assets are counted as off-balance sheet items only if they have been transferred with recourse (i.e., the bank is still exposed to risk associated with the underlying asset). For example, securitized home loans are not off-balance sheet assets. However, securitized credit card loans can still expose the bank to credit risk if credit payments fall below some predetermined level. Other off-balance sheet activities • Loan sales: – Banks can sell loans to a third party as a source of funds. For a fee the selling bank often continues to service the loan payment and handle other responsibilities of the loan. – With or without recourse sales (where recourse means the selling bank retains some of the credit risk). – Allows banks to make loans without relying on deposits and converts traditional lending to a quasi-securities business. – On the other hand, other buying institutions become more like banks. • Trade finance: – Some international aspects of trade finance are off-balance sheet. Commercial letters of credit -- a letter of credit (LOC) issued by a bank is a guarantee that the bank’s customer will pay a contractural debt. Banks bear credit risk and documentary risk (i.e., complexity of international commerce). Other off-balance sheet activities • Trade finance: – Acceptance participations Bankers’ acceptances are contingent liabilities that do not appear on the balance sheet. Some foreign exchange trading and hedging activities are off-balance sheet. Advisory and management services that earn service fees. – Cash management Lock box services (post office boxes to collect customer revenues) earn fee income. – Networking Linkages between firms based on comparative advantages, otherwise known as a strategic alliance. For example, a bank may refer a customer to a brokerage firm and earn part of the customer fee. Also, placement of branch offices in supermarkets and other retail stores.