Business Statistics (BMGT 230 and BMGT 230B) SYLLABUS SPRING 2012 Instructor: Dr. Radu Lazar Office: 4348 Van Munching Hall Office hours: MW 3:30p.m.-4:30p.m.,Tu 9:30a.m.-11:30a.m., and also by appointment Phone: 301-405-9977 (please email me instead of leaving voicemail) Email: rlazar@rhsmith.umd.edu TA’s: Armin Bagheri bagheri.armin@gmail.com Reyner Fouch (reynerfouch@gmail.com) Aalap Trivedi (atrived1@umd.edu) Leanna Gong (leannagong@yahoo.com) Sherry Feng (sherry.feng@verizon.net) Michael Lu (mlu@umd.edu) Qiao Yin (qiaoqiaoyin123@yahoo.com) Nick Connelly (nick.connelly@live.com) Brian Weinblatt (brianwei@umd.edu) TA office: 4468 Van Munching Hall TA office hours: TBA If you need help with the class you can see me or any of the TA’s during the above office hours. Lecture: Where and When Sections 0101 - 0107: M, W 9:30 a.m. – 10:45 a.m., Van Munching Hall 1524 Sections 0201 – 0207: M, W 11:00 a.m. – 12:15 p.m., Van Munching Hall 1524 Section 0301 – 0307: M, W 2:00 p.m. – 3:15 p.m., Van Munching Hall 1524 You should attend the section in which you are enrolled. Course description and objectives This is an introductory course in statistics whose main goal is to promote understanding of statistical reasoning and using numerical information to make judgments and decisions. You will learn to make sense of graphical and numerical presentations of data, to judge the reliability of results from studies, surveys and experiments, and to realize that in an uncertain world randomness and variation are to be expected. The methods and concepts studied will be presented in the context of the real-world problems in business and other real-world scenarios that the methods can help students understand. Even though a bit of elementary probability will be introduced the math will be kept at a level such that calculus is not required, so even the math-phobes may find the topics enthralling. Required textbook Business statistics: a first course with CD and MYLAB by Norean R. Sharpe, Richard D. De Veaux and Paul F. Vellman, Pearson ISBN 978-0-3-2150609-2 You can buy a cheaper loose-leaf version of the textbook (recommended) Business stat W/MML/MSL SAK(LOOSE-LEAF), ISBN 978-0-3-2169319-8, Sharpe, De Veaux & Velleman I do not recommend buying a used textbook because you will still need to buy an access code which will end up being more expensive. The textbook should come with a code for MyStatLab, an online course management system, which includes a plethora of course materials for this class, and also an electronic textbook. (if the online textbook is good enough for you then you can just buy the MyStatLab which is cheaper than the hardcopy or the loose-leaf version of the textbook). In this case, you should look for MyStatLab Online Course for Business Statistics: A First Course (access code required) Sharpe, De Veaux & Velleman©2011, Pearson, On-line Supplement, ISBN-10: 0321506081, ISBN 13:9780321506085 MyStatLab is required for this class because it will be the place where you complete the online homework assignments. You can register at http://pearsonmylab.com. The course ID is lazar81102. Course website The website for this course is hosted on Blackboard and can be found at https://bb.rhsmith.umd.edu . A university LDAP ID and password are required to access Blackboard courses; additional information can be obtained at https://ldap.umd.edu/cgi-bin/chpwd. Students are required to maintain their current email address in Testudo as Blackboard uses this address to send course-related email messages. Since email addresses are imported from Testudo into Blackboard, I cannot update email addresses from within Blackboard; for more information visit the site http://rhsmith.umd.edu. Software We will be using StatCrunch which comes with the textbook. It is an online user-friendly piece of software that can be accessed at http://www.statcrunch.com. You will have to use the same user name and password as those for MyStatLab. Calculator A basic 5-function calculator is necessary for this course. Programmable calculators (i.e. TI models) will also be allowed but you are responsible for knowing how to use them. Grading Your grade will be determined by a weighted average of homework, discussion activities and exams as follows: Discussion session activities 10% Homework 10% Midterm Exam 1 24% Midterm Exam 2 24% Final Exam 32% Suppose that a student obtained the following scores: Discussion session score (70) Homework score (90), Midterm1 score (80), Midterm 2 score (90) Final score (80) The student’s course average will be computed as follows: Course average=0.1*70+0.1*90+0.24*80+0.24*90+0.32*80=82.4% If your course average is greater than or equal to 90% then your grade will not be lower than an A-. If your course average is greater than or equal to 80% then your grade will not be lower than a B-. If your course average is greater than or equal to 70% then your grade will not be lower than a C-. If your course average is greater than or equal to 60% then your grade will not be lower than a D-. Exams may be curved depending on the class performance. The Smith School recommends a class-average of approximately 2.80 as a target grade point average for 200-level BMGT core courses, and range between 2.7 and 2.9. Examinations There will be two midterm exams (75 minutes each) and a two-hour final exam. The final exam will be (partially) cumulative with the emphasis on the material not yet tested. Exam Midterm 1 Midterm 2 Final Location TBA on Blackboard TBA on Blackboard TBA on Blackboard Time 6:00p.m. - 7:15p.m. 6:00p.m. - 7:15p.m. 7:00p.m. – 9:00p.m. Date Wednesday, February 29 Wednesday, April 4 Saturday, May 12 The exams will not be given during the regular lecture time and will be common to all sections of BMGT 230. Students who have legitimate conflicts with the scheduled exam times will be permitted to take the exams during the regular class time as the class will not be held on the exam days. You must let me know in advance about such conflicts and my prior approval is required. The midterm exams will not be given on any other day. Missed examinations If you miss an exam for a legitimate reason such as documented illness, religious observance, participation in a university activity at the request of a university official then you will be approved for taking a make-up exam. You must let me know in advance of your absence or, if this is not possible, as soon as possible afterwards. No make-up exam will be given without prior approval. All make-up exams for midterm 1, midterm 2, and final will be given on Friday, May 11. Examination guidelines You will be allowed one 8.5x11 reference sheet with formulae and notes but no examples on both sides for each midterm and two such sheets for the final. Remember to bring your own calculator for all tests (sharing is not permitted). You will not be allowed to use cell phones, smart phones, ipods and iphones during any of the exams. Your UMPC ID will be required for all exams. You will not be allowed to take the exam if you are more than 15 minutes late. You will not be allowed to leave the exam room without submitting your completed exam after the exam has begun. All exams will consist of multiple choice questions, and you will be required to record your answers on Scantron sheets (provided during the exam) using No. 2 pencils which you must bring. Accommodations for Students with special needs Any student with special needs should bring to my attention as soon as possible, but no later than the second week of class. Homework There will be weekly homework assignments (except for the first week). They will be available on MyStatLab from 9 a.m. on Monday and due at 8:30 a.m. on the following Tuesday. No late homework submission will be accepted. You have to do the homework assignments on your own, working together in groups is not permitted. The lowest two homework scores will be dropped in order to accommodate for homework that you are unable to complete due to technical glitches, illness, religious observance, late registration or any reason beyond your control. If you have technical problems with the homework you should call tech support at 18006776337 or email/chat at www.247pearsoned.com Discussion section activities The discussion sections will comprise of two parts. In the first part of the discussion section the TA’s will review the material taught in class and do some examples. In the second part, class will be divided into small teams. Each team will work on an assignment consisting of one or more problems and submit the answers to the TA at the end of the discussion section. The TA will grade each team’s assignment based on the following system: you will receive 3 points for a correct answer, two points for an almost correct answer, and one point for an attempt. Nobody will receive any credit if she/he is not in the classroom at the time the assignment is handed out. The lowest two scores will be dropped in order to accommodate for the activities that you are unable to complete due to technical glitches, illness, religious observance, late registration or any reason beyond your control. Course support Please take advantage of my office hours and the TA’s office hours. Do not fall behind since it would be difficult to do well in this class otherwise. (Statistical topics build on each other). You should read the textbook (do not skip the solved examples in each chapter), my notes, explore the resources on MyStatlab, do the homework assignments, attend class and the discussion sessions. (Note: I will not post the answers for the practice exercises online, you will have to come to class to get them.) Each class before an exam will be devoted to reviewing the material required for the exam. I will also try to be available as much as possible. Academic integrity The University of Maryland’s Code of Academic Integrity is designed to ensure that the principles of academic honesty and integrity are upheld. All university students are expected to abide by the code. All acts of academic dishonesty will be handled according to the Code. Additional information can be found at http://www.studenthonorcouncil.umd.edu/code.html. On each exam you will be asked to write out and sign the following pledge: `` I pledge on my honor that I have not given or received any unauthorized assistance on this exam “ Since BMGT230 is a very large class please be respectful of everyone else in the classroom. Please switch off your cell phones while class is in session. The DEADLINE for reporting any inaccuracies in homework/discussion/exam scores is MAY 10 Tentative schedule (subject to change except for the test dates) January 25 January 30 February 1 February 6 February 8 February 13 February 15 February 20 February 22 February 27 February 29 March 5 March 7 March 12 March 14 March 19 March 26 March 28 April 2 April 4 April 9 April 11 April 16 April 18 April 23 April 25 April 30 May 2 May 7 May 9 May 11 Syllabus, MyStatlab, Chapter 1 - Statistics and Variation Chapter 2 - Data, Chapter 3 – Surveys and Sampling Chapter 4 - Displaying and Describing Categorical Data Chapter 5 - - Displaying and Describing Quantitative Data (without section 5.10*) Chapter 6 - Correlation and Linear Regression Chapter 6 - Continued Chapter 7 - Randomness and Probability (without section 7.9*) Chapter 7 - Continued Chapter 8 - Random Variables and Probability Models Review Midterm 1 (6:00p.m. – 7:15p.m., rooms: TBA) Chapter 8 – Continued (without the geometric, Poisson, and uniform model) Chapter 9 - Sampling Distributions and Confidence Intervals for Proportions Chapter 10 - Testing Hypotheses about Proportions Chapter 10 – Continued (without section 10.10*) Spring Break Chapter 11 - Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests for Means Chapter 11 - Continued Review Midterm 2 (6:00p.m. – 7:15p.m., rooms: TBA) Chapter 12 - Comparing Two Groups Chapter 12 – Continued (without section 12.6*) Chapter 13 - Inference for Counts (if time permits) Chapter 13 - Continued Chapter 14 - Inference for Regression Chapter 14 - Continued Chapter 14 - Continued Chapter 15 - Multiple Regression including ANOVA Chapter 15 - Continued Review Reading Day May 12 Final Exam (7:00p.m. – 9:00p.m., rooms: TBA) Note: Not all sections of the listed chapters will be covered. It is your responsibility to keep track of the material that will be taught. Any change to the schedule, including the sections covered will be announced in class and on Blackboard