Chapter 14 - Raising Capital in the Financial Markets Chapter 15 – Analysis and Impact of Leverage IIS 1 Tujuan Pembelajaran 1 Mahasiswa Mampu untuk: Memahami sumber dana internal dan eksternal Memahami bauran pembiayaan yang cenderung digunakan perusahaan Menjelaskan mengapa pasar keuangan timbul Menjelaskan komponen sistem pasar keuangan Memahami peran bankir investasi dalam perolehan modal Membedakan antara penawaran terbatas dan penawaran umum IIS 2 Pokok Bahasan 1 Sumber dana internal dan eksternal Bauran sekuritas perusahaan yang dijual di pasar modal Mengapa pasar keuangan muncul Pembiayaan perusahaan Komponen sistem pasar keuangan Bankir investasi Penawaran terbatas dan Penawaran umum IIS 3 Tujuan Pembelajaran 2 Mahasiswa mampu untuk: Memahami perbedaan antara risiko keuangan dan risiko bisnis Menggunakan teknik analisis titik impas untuk berbagai jenis analisis Membedakan konsep keuangan dari leverage operasi, leverage keuangan, dan leverage gabungan Menghitung degree of operating leverage, financial leverage, dan combined leverage IIS 4 Pokok Bahasan 2 Risiko bisnis dan keuangan Analisis titik impas Operating leverage Financial leverage Kombinasi operating leverage dan financial leverage IIS 5 Q: What are SECURITIES? A: Financial Assets that Investors purchase hoping to earn a high rate of return. IIS 6 Types of Securities Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds Municipal Bonds Corporate Bonds Preferred Stocks Common Stocks Which of these are RISKY? Which promise HIGH RETURNS? Is there a relationship between RISK and RETURN? IIS 7 Corporate Financing Sources From 1999 through 2001, capital has been raised through the following sources: Corporate Bonds and Notes 76.9% Equities 23.1% IIS 8 Movement of Savings Direct Transfer of Funds cash firm saver IIS securities 9 Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using Investment Banker funds funds saver investment banker securities IIS firm securities 10 Movement of Savings Indirect Transfer using a Financial Intermediary funds saver funds financial intermediary intermediary securities IIS firm firm securities 11 Financial Market Components Public Offering Firm issues securities, which are made available to both individual and institutional investors. Private Placement Securities are offered and sold to a limited number of investors. IIS 12 Financial Market Components Primary Market Market in which new issues of a security are sold to initial buyers. Secondary Market Market in which previously issued securities are traded. IIS 13 Financial Market Components Money Market Market for short-term debt instruments (maturity periods of one year or less). Capital Market Market for long-term securities (maturity greater than one year). IIS 14 Financial Market Components Organized Exchanges Buyers and sellers meet in one central location to conduct trades. Over-the-Counter (OTC) IIS Securities dealers operate at many different locations across the country. Connected by Nasdaq system (National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation system). 15 Investment Banking How do investment bankers help firms issue securities? Underwriting the issue. Distributing the issue. Advising the firm. IIS 16 Distribution Methods IIS Negotiated Purchase Issuing firm selects an investment banker to underwrite the issue. The firm and the investment banker negotiate the terms of the offer. Competitive Bid Several investment bankers bid for the right to underwrite the firm’s issue. The firm selects the banker offering the highest price. 17 Distribution Methods Best Efforts Issue is not underwritten. Investment bank attempts to sell the issue for a commission. Privileged Subscription Investment banker helps market the new issue to a select group of investors. Usually targeted to current stockholders, employees, or customers. IIS 18 Distribution Methods Direct Sale Issuing firm sells the securities directly to the investing public. No investment banker is involved. IIS 19 Stock Issue Example: Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread. What type of issue is this? It’s a negotiated purchase. IIS 20 Stock Issue Example: Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread. How many shares will be sold? $100,000,000 / $20 = 5 million new shares of common stock. IIS 21 Stock Issue Example: Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread. IIS What are the flotation costs? Underwriting spread: 2% of $100 million = $2 million. Issuing costs: printing and engraving costs; legal, accounting, and trustee fees. 22 Stock Issue Example: Our firm needs to raise approximately $100 million for expansion. Our stock price is $20. We Select Merrill Lynch to underwrite the issue for a 2% underwriting spread. IIS What are the risks? The investment bank accepts the risk of being able to sell the new stock issue for $20 per share. If the stock price falls, the investment bank could lose money. 23 Regulations: The Primary Market The Securities Act of 1933 Firms register with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). SEC has 20 days to review. SEC may ask for more information. The firm cannot solicit buyers during the review period but can advertise. IIS 24 Regulations: The Secondary Market The Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Established the SEC. Exchanges must register with SEC. Company information must be available to the public. Insider trading is regulated. IIS 25 Regulations: Recent Developments Securities Acts Amendments of 1975 Created National Market System. Eliminated fixed brokerage commissions. SEC Rule 415 Allows Shelf Registration IIS 26 Chapter 15 – Analysis and Impact of Leverage Operating Leverage Financial Leverage IIS 27 What is Leverage? IIS 28 What is Leverage? IIS 29 Two concepts that enhance our understanding of risk... 1) Operating Leverage - affects a firm’s business risk. 2) Financial Leverage - affects a firm’s financial risk. IIS 30 Business Risk The variability or uncertainty of a firm’s operating income (EBIT). IIS 31 Business Risk The variability or uncertainty of a firm’s operating income (EBIT). EBIT IIS FIRM EPS Stockholders 32 Business Risk Affected by: Sales volume variability Competition Product diversification Operating leverage Growth prospects Size IIS 33 Operating Leverage The use of fixed operating costs as opposed to variable operating costs. A firm with relatively high fixed operating costs will experience more variable operating income if sales change. IIS 34 EBIT Operating Leverage IIS 35 Financial Risk The variability or uncertainty of a firm’s earnings per share (EPS) and the increased probability of insolvency that arises when a firm uses financial leverage. IIS 36 Financial Risk The variability or uncertainty of a firm’s earnings per share (EPS) and the increased probability of insolvency that arises when a firm uses financial leverage. EBIT IIS FIRM EPS Stockholders 37 Financial Leverage The use of fixed-cost sources of financing (debt, preferred stock) rather than variable-cost sources (common stock). IIS 38 EPS Financial Leverage IIS 39 Breakeven Analysis Illustrates the effects of operating leverage. Useful for forecasting the profitability of a firm, division, or product line. Useful for analyzing the impact of changes in fixed costs, variable costs, and sales price. IIS 40 Total Revenue $ Quantity IIS 41 Costs Suppose the firm has both fixed operating costs (administrative salaries, insurance, rent, property tax) and variable operating costs (materials, labor, energy, packaging, sales commissions). IIS 42 Total Revenue Total Cost $ + } EBIT FC { Q1 IIS Quantity 43 Total Revenue Total Cost $ + } EBIT FC { Break-even point IIS Q1 Quantity 44 Operating Leverage What happens if the firm increases its fixed operating costs and reduces (or eliminates) its variable costs? IIS 45 Total Revenue $ + { FC Total Cost = Fixed - Break-even point IIS } EBIT Q1 Quantity 46 With high operating leverage, an increase in sales produces a relatively larger increase in operating income. IIS 47 Total Revenue $ + { FC IIS } EBIT Total Cost = Fixed Breakeven point Q1 Quantity 48 Total Revenue Trade-off: the firm has a higher breakeven EBIT point. If sales are not + high enough, the firm will not meet its fixed Total Cost expenses! = Fixed $ { FC IIS } Breakeven point Q1 Quantity 49 Breakeven Calculations Breakeven point (units of output) QB = F P-V QB = breakeven level of Q. F = total anticipated fixed costs. P = sales price per unit. V = variable cost per unit. IIS 50 Breakeven Calculations Breakeven point (sales dollars) S* = F VC 1S S* = breakeven level of sales. F = total anticipated fixed costs. S = total sales. VC = total variable costs. IIS 51 Analytical Income Statement IIS sales variable costs fixed costs operating income interest EBT taxes net income 52 Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL) Operating leverage: by using fixed operating costs, a small change in sales revenue is magnified into a larger change in operating income. This “multiplier effect” is called the degree of operating leverage. IIS 53 Degree of Operating Leverage from Sales Level (S) DOLs = = IIS % change in EBIT % change in sales change in EBIT EBIT change in sales sales 54 Degree of Operating Leverage from Sales Level (S) If we have the data, we can use this formula: Sales - Variable Costs DOLs = EBIT = IIS Q(P - V) Q(P - V) - F 55 What does this tell us? If DOL = 2, then a 1% increase in sales will result in a 2% increase in operating income (EBIT). Sales IIS EBIT EPS Stockholders 56 Degree of Financial Leverage (DFL) Financial leverage: by using fixed cost financing, a small change in operating income is magnified into a larger change in earnings per share. This “multiplier effect” is called the degree of financial leverage. IIS 57 Degree of Financial Leverage % change in EPS % change in EBIT DFL = = IIS change in EPS EPS change in EBIT EBIT 58 Degree of Financial Leverage If we have the data, we can use this formula: EBIT DFL = EBIT - I IIS 59 What does this tell us? If DFL = 3, then a 1% increase in operating income will result in a 3% increase in earnings per share. Sales IIS EBIT EPS Stockholders 60 Degree of Combined Leverage (DCL) Combined leverage: by using operating leverage and financial leverage, a small change in sales is magnified into a larger change in earnings per share. This “multiplier effect” is called the degree of combined leverage. IIS 61 Degree of Combined Leverage DCL = DOL x DFL % change in EPS = % change in Sales = IIS change in EPS EPS change in Sales Sales 62 Degree of Combined Leverage If we have the data, we can use this formula: DCL = = IIS Sales - Variable Costs EBIT - I Q(P - V) Q(P - V) - F - I 63 What does this tell us? If DCL = 4, then a 1% increase in sales will result in a 4% increase in earnings per share. IIS 64 What does this tell us? If DCL = 4, then a 1% increase in sales will result in a 4% increase in earnings per share. Sales IIS EBIT EPS Stockholders 65 In-class Project: Based on the following information on Levered Company, answer these questions: 1) If sales increase by 10%, what should happen to operating income? 2) If operating income increases by 10%, what should happen to EPS? 3) If sales increase by 10%, what should be the effect on EPS? IIS 66 Levered Company Sales (100,000 units) Variable Costs Fixed Costs Interest paid Tax rate Common shares outstanding IIS $1,400,000 $800,000 $250,000 $125,000 34% 100,000 67 Levered Company Sales Operating Income Operating leverage IIS EPS Financial leverage 68 Degree of Operating Leverage from Sales Level (S) Sales - Variable Costs DOLs = EBIT = 1,400,000 - 800,000 350,000 = 1.714 IIS 69 Levered Company 17.14% 10% Sales Operating Income EPS Operating leverage IIS 70 Degree of Financial Leverage EBIT DFL = EBIT - I = 350,000 225,000 = 1.556 IIS 71 Levered Company 15.56% 10% Sales Operating Income EPS Financial leverage IIS 72 Degree of Combined Leverage DCL = = Sales - Variable Costs EBIT - I 1,400,000 - 800,000 225,000 = 2.667 IIS 73 Levered Company 26.67% 10% Sales Operating Income Operating leverage IIS EPS Financial leverage 74 Levered Company 10% increase in sales IIS Sales (110,000 units) Variable Costs Fixed Costs EBIT Interest EBT Taxes (34%) Net Income EPS 1,540,000 (880,000) (250,000) 410,000 ( +17.14%) (125,000) 285,000 (96,900) 188,100 $1.881 ( +26.67%)75 Penutup Tugas IIS 76