Barbulean Suggestions for the study of economics Read the book before coming to class Recopy lectures and reread the book within several hours of class Identify what you don’t understand Ask questions in class Use the online study guide Visit the professor during office hours Mankiw’s How Society manages its scarce resources Hedrick’s definition definition How society chooses to allocate its scarce resources among competing demands to best satisfy human wants Alternative definitions Economics is the study of choice. Economics is what economist do. Wikipedia's perspective Scarcity : Unlimited wants versus limited resources Choices and tradeoffs Opportunity Costs All societies must answer these questions What is to be produced? How is to be produced? For whom will it be produced? The Scientific Method Observation →Hypothesis →Testing Observation: identifying and measuring important variables – orderly loss of information Hypothesis: educated guesses about cause and effect with the variables Theories Models: realism or usefulness Testing: theories can’t be proven and are supported by repeated failed attempts to disprove them. Microeconomics vs. Macroeconomics The Assumption of Rational Behavior Boxes Example People respond to incentives Limits to the use of rational behavior (e.g. axe murders) http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/ How people make decisions? How people interact? How does the economy work overall? Principle #1 - People face tradeoffs Time allocation – an example of tradeoffs Production Possibilities Frontier Efficiency versus equity Principle #2 - The cost of something is what you have to give up to get it Opportunity costs come from Von Weiser, a German economist late 1800s Opportunity costs are independent of monetary units TINSTAAFL The real costs of going to college Principle #3 - Rational people think at the margin Rational or irrational decision-making Marginal benefits and costs versus total benefits and costs Weighing marginal costs and benefits leads to maximizing net benefits (total welfare) Principle #4 –People respond to incentives Reactions to changes in marginal benefits and costs Increases (decreases) in marginal benefits mean more (less) of an activity Increases (decreases) in marginal costs mean less (more) of an activity Example of seat belts leading to increased speeds Example of SUV (with child car seat) in Issaquah Principle #5 - Trade can make everybody Society better off Adam Smith author of the “An Inquiry into the Causes and Consequences of the Wealth of Nations” 1776 Gains from the division of labor and specialization Mercantilists perspectives Example of why Ellensburgians should trade with others Principle #6 - Markets are usually a good way of organizing economic activity Feudal times and haciendas in the new world The power of trade: cooperation versus conflict Markets: prices and quantities traded, typical and abstract Principle #6 - Markets are usually a good way of organizing economic activity creativity and productivity and resource allocation “Failure” of centrally planned economies “set it and forget it” becomes “compete or be obsolete” Principle #7 Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes Market signals can fail to allocate resources efficiently or equitably Public goods, the exclusion principle, the freerider problem and non-rival consumption External costs and benefits Examples: vaccines, education, pollution Principle #7 Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes Equitable or fair distribution of resources Efficiency and equity: the pie analogy Government Failure: is government intervention always the proper solution? Principle # 8 – A country’s standard of living depends upon its ability to produce goods and services Adam Smith’s “An Inquiry into the Nature and the Consequences of the Wealth of Nations” Materialism – more toys mean more welfare wealth: a necessary or sufficient condition for happiness (are rich people happier, children with lots of toys) Principle # 8 – A country’s standard of living depends upon its ability to produce goods and services leisure time and productivity the factors of production: land or natural resources, labor, capital, entrepreneurship technology and productivity the Rule of 72 and growth rates Principle #9 – The general level of prices rises when the government prints and distributes too much money Definition of money, and economic language Principle #9 – The general level of prices rises when the government prints and distributes too much money Examples: “Not worth a continental” and Argentina Establish of the Federal Reserve and the introduction of sustained inflation in the US Principle #10 – Society faces a short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment Short-run and the long-run Demand and supply shocks Short-run increases (decreases) in output above (below) long-run potential output lead to adjustments Opportunity cost of any choice What we forego when we make that choice Most accurate and complete concept of cost Direct money cost of a choice may only be a part of opportunity cost of that choice Opportunity cost of a choice includes both explicit costs and implicit costs Explicit cost—dollars actually paid out for a choice Implicit cost—value of something sacrificed when no direct payment is made 22 All production carries an opportunity cost To produce more of one thing Must shift resources away from producing something else The Principle of Opportunity Cost The concept of opportunity cost sheds light on virtually every problem that economists study, whether it be explaining the behavior of consumers or business firms or understanding important social problems like problems like poverty or racial discrimination Basic Principle #2: Opportunity Cost All economic decisions made by individuals or society are costly The correct way to measure the cost of a choice is its opportunity cost—that which is given up to 23 make the choice Quantity of All Other Goods per Period 1,000,000 950,000 850,000 At point A, all resources are used for "other goods." A B C D 700,000 500,000 400,000 Moving from point A to point B requires shifting resources out of other goods and into health care. W E At point F. all resources are used for health care. F 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 Number of Lives Saved per Period 24 According to law of increasing opportunity cost The more of something we produce The greater the opportunity cost of producing even more of it This principle applies to all of society’s production choices 25 A slowdown in overall economic activity when resources are idle Widespread unemployment Factories shut down Land and capital are not being used An end to the recession would move the economy from a point inside its PPF to a point on its PPF Using idle resources to produce more goods and services without sacrificing anything Can help us understand an otherwise confusing episode in U.S. economic history 26 During early 1940s, standard of living in U.S. did not decline as we might have expected but actually improved slightly. Why? U.S. entered World War II and began using massive amounts of resources to produce military goods and services Instead of pitting “health care” against “all other goods,” we look at society’s choice between military goods and civilian goods U.S. was still suffering from the Great Depression when it entered WWII Joining war effort helped end the Depression and moved economy from a point like A, inside the PPF, to a point like B, on the frontier Military production increased, but so did the production of civilian goods Although there were shortages of some consumer goods Overall result was a rise in the material well-being of the average U.S. citizen War is only one factor that can reverse a downturn No rational nation would ever choose war as an economic policy designed to cure a recession Alternative policies that virtually everyone would find preferable 27 Military Goods per Period 1. Before WWII the United States operated inside its PPF . . . B 2. then moved to the PPF during the war. Both military and civilian production increased. A Civilian Goods per Period 28 If economy is already operating on its PPF But what if the PPF itself were to change? Couldn’t we then produce more of everything? Cannot exploit opportunity to have more of everything by moving to it This happens when an economy’s productive capacity grows Many factors contribute to economic growth, but they can be divided into two categories Quantities of available resources—especially capital—can increase An increase in physical capital enables economy to produce more of everything that uses these tools Same is true for an increase in human capital More factories, office buildings, tractors, or high-tech medical equipment Skills of doctors, engineers, construction workers, software writers, etc. Technological change enables us to produce more from a given quantity of resources 29 Increases in capital and technological change often go hand in hand For instance, PET body scanners will enable us to save even more lives than our current set of resources Moving horizontal intercept of PPF rightward, from F to F‘ Impact of PET scanners stretches PPF outward along horizontal axis How can a technological change in lifesaving enable us to produce more goods in other areas of the economy? Society can choose to use some of increased lifesaving potential to shift other resources out of medical care and into production of other things Because of technological advance and new capital, we can shift resources without sacrificing lives 30 If we can produce more of the things that we value, without having to produce less of anything else, have we escaped from paying an opportunity cost? Yes . . . and no Figure 3 tells only part of story Leaves out steps needed to create this shift in the PPF For example, technological innovation doesn’t just “happen”—resources must be used to create it Mostly by research and development (R&D) departments of large corporations In order to produce more goods and services in the future, we must shift resources toward R&D and capital production Away from production of things we’d enjoy right now 31 Quantity of All Other Goods per Period 1,000,000 2. But not its vertical intercept. 4. or more lives saved and greater production of other goods. A J 700,000 H D 1. A technological advance in saving lives increases this PPF's horizontal intercept . . . 300,000 3. The economy can end up with more lives saved and un-changed production of other goods . . . F F' 500,000 600,000 Number of Lives Saved per Period 32 In production, we’d like to have productive efficiency – achieving as much output as possible from a given amount of inputs or resources. Efficiency involves achieving a goal as cheaply as possible. Efficiency has meaning only in relation to a specified goal. Any point within (INSIDE) the production possibility curve represents inefficiency. Inefficiency – getting less output from inputs which, if devoted to some other activity, would produce more output. Unattainable -Any point outside the production possibility curve represents something unattainable, given present resources and technology. Unattainable point, given available technology, resources and labor force 10 Guns 8 6 C Efficient points B 4 2 0 Inefficient point 2 4 D 6 Butter A 8 10 Society can produce more output if: Technology is improved. More resources are discovered. Economic institutions get better at fulfilling our wants. Production Economic The economy growth is initially can results now at point in an(20 produce A outward fishmore and shift of 25of everything. coconuts), the PPF it can production move to point E (25 because possibilities fish and 30 coconuts). are expanded. Neutral Technological Change Butter C A 0 B D Guns Biased Technological Change Butter C B 0 A Guns Specialization Exchange Practice of trading with others to obtain what we want Allows for Method of production in which each person concentrates on a limited number of activities Greater production Higher living standards than otherwise possible All economics exhibit high degrees of specialization and exchange 41 Absolute Advantage: A Detour Ability to produce a good or service using fewer resources than other producers use Comparative Advantage If one can produce some good with a smaller opportunity cost than others can Total production of every good or service will be greatest when individuals specialize according to their comparative advantage Another reason why specialization and exchange lead to higher living standards than self-sufficiency 42 Problem Which goods and services should be produced with society’s resources? Where on the PPF should economy operate? How should they be produced? of resource allocation No capital at all Small amount of capital More capital Who should get them? How do we distribute these products among the different groups and individuals in our society? 43 Traditional Resources are allocated according to long-lived practices from the past Command Economy (Centrally-Planned) Resources are allocated according to explicit instructions from a central authority Market Economy Economy Resources are allocated through individual decision making 44 A market is a group of buyers and sellers with the potential to trade with each other Global Buyers and sellers spread across the globe Local markets markets Buyers and sellers within a narrowly defined area 45 A price is the amount of money that must be paid to a seller to obtain a good or service When people pay for resources allocated by the market They must consider opportunity cost to society of their individual actions Markets can create a sensible allocation of resources 46 Numerous cases of resource allocation outside the market Such as families Various levels of government collect about one-third of our incomes as taxes Enables government to allocate resources by command Government uses regulations of various types to impose constraints on our individual choice The market is the dominant method of resource allocation in United States However, it is not a pure market 47 Communism Most resources are owned in common Socialism Most resources are owned by state Capitalism Most resources are owned privately 48 An economic system is composed of two features Mechanism for allocating resources Market Command Mode of resource ownership Private State 49 Resource Allocation Private Market Command Market Capitalism Centrally Planned Capitalism Market Socialism Centrally Planned Socialism Resource Ownership State 50 Trade takes the form of barter when people directly exchange goods or services that they have for goods or services that they want. The circular-flow diagram is a model that represents the transactions in an economy by flows around a circle. A household is a person or a group of people that share their income. A firm is an organization that produces goods and services for sale. Firms sell goods and services that they produce to households in markets for goods and services. Firms buy the resources they need to produce—factors of production—in factor markets. Factor Market- A market used to exchange the services of a factor of production: labor, capital, land , and entrepreneurship. Factor markets, also termed resource markets, exchange the services of factors, NOT the factors themselves. For example, the labor services of workers are exchanged through factor markets NOT the actual workers. Buying and selling the actual workers is not only slavery (which is illegal) it's also the type of exchange that would take place through product markets, not factor markets. More realistically, capital and land are two resources than can be and are legally exchanged through product markets. The services of these resources, however, are Wages, rents, interest, profits Factor services Household Goods Government Financial markets Personal consumption Other countries Firms (production)