Ryan Barton Acct 1120 Financial Statement Analysis There are many people who have told me that investing in the stock market is not any different than gambling in Vegas. In this paper I will refute this argument by analyzing an assortment of ratios calculated using IBM’s financial statements. While this paper is focused on IBM, the ratios work for every company, whether it is a large corporation making billions of dollars, or a small company making thousands of dollars. Risk Risk is inevitable when investing. No matter how long you analyze a company and its outlook there will always be a possibility of unforeseen events that come into play. In this section we will analyze ratios that deal with risk. One of the first ratios you should look at would be the company’s acid test ratio, which calculates the company’s ability to pay off their liabilities due in the short run. In 2014 IBM had an acid test ratio result less than one which means they would have a difficult time paying off their short term debts without selling inventory. When compared to the industry average, IBM is a much riskier investment. When comparing other ratios such as the current ratio which is the company’s ability to pay off short term debt and the debt ratio (comparison of debt vs. assets) you see that IBM is more of a risk this year than it was last year, and a higher risk than the industry average. In both the short term and long term risk. At this point I am not interested in investing in IBM. If IBM proved to be a company with low risk, I would dig deeper into the IBMs risk. I could analyze more ratios such as day’s sales uncollected. This ratio calculates the amount of money purchased on an average daily basis. This would help identify how much cash actually comes in and how much of that amount is accounts receivable. I could also look at the debt to Equity ratio if I wanted to see how much of the company’s assets were paid for by money invested by stockholders. This would go along with the price Earnings ratio which is the amount of money an investor is willing to pay compared to the company’s current earning per year. Even looking at all of these ratios we find that IBM has consistently become more risky compared to 2013. When compared to the industry average, it seems strange that anyone would take the risk of investing with IBM. Ratio Name Current Ratio Debt Ratio Acid Test Ratio Price Earnings Ratio Debt to Equity Ratio Times Interest Earned 2014 1.25 90% 0.94 0.46 2.93 50.37 2013 1.28 82% 1.02 0.5 1.93 61.65 Industry Average 59.30% 1.57 19.3 1.46 2.9 Risk Ratios Profitability After looking at initial risk of an investment it is important to look at the company’s profitability. Profitability is basically the company’s bottom line of how much money they made. The ratios analyzed for this section include the profit margin which is important to see the percentage of net income that comes from the company’s sales. In 2014 IBM was less profitable than it was in 2013. This may seem like a scary thought, but in actuality IBM was more profitable than the industry average. If you look at the Revenue per share it has the same outcome. That’s because revenue per share and profit margin are similar, but revenue per share, breaks up the revenues and categorizes them as profit made per share. While weighing profitability it is important to analyze where the profits came from. You can do this by looking at the company’s return on equity which is how much money the company made off of shareholders investments. As well as the cash return on assets ratio which is the amount of money a company receives from their assets, compared to the amount of income the company receives from their operating activities. In the case of IBM 2014 was not as profitable as it was in 2013, but it was more profitable than the industry average. Ratio Name Revenue Per Share Profit Margin Return on Equity Cash Return on Assets Cash Flow on Assets 2014 2013 11.9% 46,407,000,000 0.23 38,206 0.14 14.94% 48,684,000,000 0.32 43,209 0.1 Industry Average 3.94% 1% 1.60% Profitability Ratios Efficiency Efficiency is one of the most important factors when making an investment decision. When you see a company improving in their efficiency, you know that the company has great leadership that is doing everything they can to ensure that your investment is not wasted. I was impressed with IBM’s Days sales in inventory ratio. The ratio calculates how long the inventory was in stock before it was sold. While IBM is less efficient in 2014 than 2013, it is much more efficient than the industry average. There are many ratios to calculate a company’s efficiency, these ratios will calculate a specific measure for everything from inventory to how efficient a company is at giving and receiving credit which it has given out (receivables turnover). I would say one of the most important efficiency ratios would be the gross margin ratio which is the difference between your revenues and your actual profits. For IBM they were more efficient in 2013 than 2014 for every efficiency rating. Some were ratios had a large change such as the Inventory turnover or the amount of times their inventory was sold and replaced. Other ratios were just a fraction different including total asset turnover, which is the company’s ability to generate sales from its assets. IBM was less efficient when it came to the return on their assets. They made less money compared to last year when looking at how much money they made divided by their total assets. As in the prior two sections I would not suggest someone to invest in IBM if I was basing my decision on efficiency. Ratio Name 2014 2013 Gross Margin Ratio Total Asset Turnover Inventory Turnover Days Sales in Inventory Receivables Turnover Return on Assets days Sales Uncollected 46,407,000,000 0.79 17.88 8.44 3.1 10% 331.36 48,684,000,000 0.78 80.39 7.98 3.4 13% 300.52 Industry Average 80.10% 17.56 20.79 5.89 1.6 62 Efficiency ratios Stock Holder/ Investor Relations Depending on what you are looking for in an investment, this may be the most important section for you. As an investor you may be extremely interested in how much you’ll be paid in dividends. That can be found using the Dividend payout ratio which would be a percentage, and the dividends per share which is a dollar amount. The dividend Yield is different in that it is the difference between the stock price and the amount of dividends paid per share. Each of these ratios had a positive gain. In that IBM paid more dividends in 2014 than in 2013. This is beneficial for anyone looking for a larger dividend payout on their investments. While dividends are important, you shouldn’t base your decision just on that one aspect alone. You should also look to see if the stock price is overvalued. You can figure that out looking at the book value per share which calculates stockholders equity and the number of common stocks outstanding. And also price to free cash flow which divides the market cap by the amount of profit made by operating activities. When analyzing these ratios we find that IBM is actually a better buy this year than last, and that it is a better buy when compared to the industry average. This is a great sign for investors who have been tracking IBM and are waiting for the right moment to invest. Lastly I would like to look at the basic earnings per share. This will tell me how much profit the company generated if their profit was divvied up to individual investors. In 2014 the company was less profitable meaning that the earnings per share are also less. Ratio Name Book Value Per Share Cash Flow Per Share Dividends per Share Dividend Yield Price to Free Cash Flow Dividend Payout Basic Earnings Per Share 2014 2013 Industry Average 11.98 7.61 4.25 2.70% 21.08 0.35 21.62 5.6 3.7 2.16% 33.04 0.25 30.2 42.10% 11.97 15.07 2.66 Shareholder Ratios Sometimes beginner investors look for big companies to invest in, thinking that if the company makes a lot of money that would mean they would make a lot of money as well. This is not always the case. After analyzing IBM, I would not suggest anyone to invest in their company at this point. They are on a downward trend and have been for the past few years. I don’t believe that IBM will be going out of business anytime soon, but I would hold on to my precious investment dollars, and wait for them to start an upward trend. After looking at all these ratios you get an idea of how a company is doing and even some ideas of how they will do in the future. Investing is like gambling only when the investor carelessly throws their money into the market without doing their research. With research you can find indicators of which companies would be a good investment and which would not.