Certificate Course in Retirement Income Management Helping retirement professionals convert retirement assets into lifetime income Sponsored by: The National Retirement Planning Coalition (NRPC) Developed by: The National Association of Variable Annuities (NAVA) and The International Foundation for Retirement Education (InFRE) Where Are We Today? On the crest of an enormous change in a retirement market that includes: • More than $10 trillion in plan assets1 • Current retirees under age 70 with $3.3 trillion in wealth, excluding homes2 • 38% of defined benefit plans allowing retirees to choose a payout other than an annuity3 • Pension portability and proposed legislation that dramatically increases the need for advisor services. Sources: 1EBRI; 2SRI Consulting Business Intelligence , 2003; 3GAO Report on Private Pensions, July, 2003 The Challenges We Face • Retirement assets must last over a longer period of time than in the past. • Retirees need help aggregating and converting assets into a lifetime income stream. • There is no “one size fits all” solution to retirement income management. • Employers will demand qualifications. • Most financial advisors and planners lack the necessary retirement knowledge and expertise. What Does All This Mean? • Many retirees might experience a dramatic decline in their standard of living. • Demand will shift from accumulating assets to converting assets into lifetime retirement income streams. • Advisors qualified in retirement income management will meet with the greatest success. What We Need to Do: Apply a Process The Retirement Income Management Process Retirement Income Plan Optimization Process (Lifetime Income) (Tax Planning) (Retirement Vehicles) Client Needs Client Resources Retirement Risks Even With a Process, It Isn’t Easy! “One of the most complex economic calculations that most workers will ever undertake is, without doubt, deciding how much to save for retirement.” – Alan Greenspan, 2002 National Summit on Retirement Savings Determining the annual amount to consume in retirement is even more complex. A Typical Case Retirement Assets Age Health Pension 401(k), 457, 403(b) Bank IRA (CDs) Taxable mutual funds Vacation home Def. fixed annuity Long term care ins. Retiree health insurance Jim 67 average/poor $24,000/yr $148,000 $28,000 $75,000 $49,000 (1/2) $25,000 None None Linda 64 good none $36,000 $5,600 $0 $49,000 $25,000 None Yes Workshop Overview • Purpose: to help you know how to convert retirement assets into an optimized lifetime income stream. • Goal: to learn a sound process to maximize a retiree’s chance of establishing a sustainable lifestyle from their retirement resources. “Make sure I don’t run out of money before I run out of life.” The Retirement Income Management Process 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Assess retiree needs Identify retirement income resources Manage retirement risks Identify distribution, tax and estate issues and opportunities Convert resources into income Maintain and update the plan Workshop Agenda—Day 1 • How to assess retiree needs • How to determine resources available • How to identify and manage risks faced by retirees • Explore income and estate tax rules and planning opportunities for distributions Workshop Agenda—Day 2 • How to identify appropriate withdrawal options to convert savings into income • How to maintain and update the plan • Practice case studies Step 1: Assess Retiree Needs Lifestyle Stages • Early retirement – Ages 55 to 70½ – Phased retirement, including bridge jobs • Mid retirement – Ages 70½ to 85 – Required minimum distribution (RMD) rules apply – Mandatory annuitization may begin • Late retirement (85+) Source: “A Stages Model for Planning Retirement Income Distribution” by Michael Everett and Murray Anthony. Used with permission. Age 65 and Older: “Working” or “Retired”? 19% Fully retired Working & retired Not retired 23% Source: “American Perceptions of Aging in the 21st Century,” 2002 update, The National Council on Aging. Used with permission. 58% Money Stages & Changing Priorities • Early retirement – Increased spending (“go go”) • Mid retirement – Slower spending (“slow go”) • Late retirement – What spending (“no go”) • Lifestyle spending – Suits to casual wear – World Travel to RVing in Arizona Emotional Issues • Deciding when to retire – – – – – – – Health insurance Social Security Enough money Overall health status Coordinating retirement dates with a spouse Not everyone retires on January 1st Peer actions and attitudes Reasons to Retire 80 70 60 % 50 40 % Reason 30 20 10 0 Social Security Enough Money Certain Age Source: “American Perceptions of Aging in the 21st Century,” 2002 update, The National Council on Aging. Used with permission. Declining Health What Are You Retiring To? Are you ready for a month of Saturdays? “Sooner or later I’m going to die, but I’m not going to retire.” - Margaret Mead Retirement Income Needs Analysis Total Retirement Income Needs Essential Needs Guaranteed Income Discretionary Needs Supplemental Income Social Security Taxable Assets Pensions Personal Retirement Accounts Immediate Annuities Wages Source: Adapted from Cerulli Associates Expenses for a High-Income Retiree Taxes 12% Miscellaneous 3% Food 11% Alcohol 1% Cash 8% Personal Insurance 10% Entertainment 4% Health Care 7% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Housing 27% Apparel Transportation 4% 13% Total expenses = $76,592 Expenses for a Middle-Income Retiree Taxes Misc. Cash 4% 2% Personal 6% Insurance 6% Food 13% Alcohol 1% Entertainment 4% Health Care 12% Transportation 19% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Housing 30% Apparel 3% Total expenses = $41,711 Calculating the Annual Income Need: Two Approaches • Build the budget based on need “I want to spend X dollars per year for the rest of my life. How can I do that?” • Budget based on resources “I have X dollars of assets and income; how much can I afford to spend each year and not outlive my income?” Pitfalls of Money Projections • Example: client age 60, has $1 million, will earn earn 8% over a life expectancy of 25 years. Q: How much can he spend per year? A: $86,740 according to the calculator • What are the problems with this approach? – Dangerous assumptions – Mortality – Pattern of market returns Carving Out the Income Need • Segregate the expense amount each year – Annual lump sum – Quarterly or monthly • Flexibility to adjust annual expense need – Sleep at night money/emergency fund How the Annual Income Need May Change • Replacement ratios: rules of thumb – 70-100% of current income – For survivor, 75% of couple retiree income • Real income – Set $ amount increased annually for inflation – Set % of assets (e.g. 4%) Tools for Assessing Retiree Needs • Data gathering for a retiree • Key documents checklist – Location of key documents – Questions an advisor should ask Meet the Goldins • Ages 72 (Mr.) and 68 (Mrs.) Both in good health • Expect $20,000 per year in combined Social Security benefits; neither works now • He receives a $10,000 per year pension • His IRA is worth $600,000; hers is worth $500,000; their home is worth $700,000 • They want an annual income of $95,000 including $57,000 in essential expenses. Relating to Retirees • Stereotypical language – Defining “elderly” – Defining “retirement” • Stereotyping ages • Counseling skills • Generational clients Changing Gears • Retirees – “Do I have enough to live on for the rest of my life?” – “How should my money be invested?” – “What do I spend first?” • Advisors – What are all the factors to consider for income planning? – How is a retiree’s situation different from a client who is still working? – What products work for a retiree? A Lifetime of Learned Behaviors • May need to change some behaviors at retirement: – From accumulating to spending mindset – Challenging conventional wisdom: “Never spend your principal” • Or not – Continuing to save while in retirement – Putting “spenders” on a budget via annuitization Wants vs. Reality • What retirees want – Control and flexibility for their money – Asset allocation advice for years – Simple, understandable products and processes Source: Diversified Services Group, Inc. • What the market offers – Products that lock them into a lifetime decision – Asset allocation advice for accumulation years – Very complex choices with multiple options The Retiree’s Perspective • “I want to spend X dollars per month for the rest of my life.” • “I have Y dollars saved up.” • “Tell me how I can get there.” • “Keep me on track over time.”