A comparative study of bank and non bank financial institutions: A study of profitability indicators Abstract This paper investigates the difference in the indicators of the profitability of firms in the Non Banking Financial Institutions (NBFIs) and banking industry of Bangladesh. Profitability of a financial institution basically depends on its Operating Efficiency, Capital Structure, Fixed Charges & Income and Liquidity Position. The current research is an endeavor to find out the key profitability indicator variables and their influence over Net Profit. Moreover it tries to find out the discrepancy between the profitability indicators of these two industries. Statistical techniques of simple and multiple regressions have been used to determine the relationships between variables. The analysis results show that among the independent variables the Liquidity Condition and Operating Efficiency have a considerable relationship with Profitability of Bank and Non Bank sector. Keywords: Profitability, Financial Institutions, Liquidity, Operating Efficiency 1. Introduction The FI (Financial Institutions) sector is considered to be an important source of financing for all over the world. The common assumption is that growing financial performance will lead to better functions and actions of the organizations. In most of the cases, whenever we refer to Financial Sector, we actually mean the banking sector. In reality, now-a –days, the NBFI (Non Banking Financial Institution) has also become one of the most prospective sectors in Bangladesh. The contribution of this industry towards the economy has been enhanced dramatically and investors are also recognizing this to be a promising one. So, the profitability of these two sectors is also getting much attention among the stakeholders in recent times. Plenty of research works have been conducted on the banking sector for identifying its profitability determinates. But no major work has been done in the NBFI sector yet. So, in this paper we are asserting an endeavor to conduct a study for determining profitability indicators of both these sectors and make a comparison. In this paper, 11 Non Banking Financial Institutions and 11 banks have been selected for performing the analysis. A model has been developed which tries to determine to what extent the predictor variables (Operating efficiency, Capital Structure, Liquidity, and Fixed Charges & Income) exert influence over the Profitability of FIs. The paper is organized as follows, the purposes of the study have been described in Section 2, Section 3 contains the 1 methodology, Section 4 states limitation of the study, section 5 tells about the previous literatures on the present topic of study, Section 6 includes the recent scenario of Bangladeshi Financial Institutions, and Section 7 reports the results. The final section summarizes and concludes the paper. 2. Objectives of the Study 1. To find out the major financial features affecting the profitability in the Bank and Non-bank Financial Institutions (NBFI) industry of Bangladesh. 2. To spot out the most influential factor behind these industry’s profitability. 3. To evaluate the differences and make a comparison between this two sector’s profitability indicator variables. 3. Research Methodology The study is empirical in nature that covers a number of variables. Among these Profitability which is indicated by Net Profit after Tax (Net Income) is considered as the dependent variable. On the other hand, Operating Efficiency (Operating Revenue), Capital Structure (Long Term Liability), Fixed Charges and Income (Financial Expense and Interest Income), Liquidity Position (Current Assets) are considered to be independent variables. We have considered all the absolute figures for the study. 3.1 Data, Sample and Period under Study: The study is essentially based on the secondary data collected from annual report of the concerned Bank and Non bank Financial Institutions (NBFI). Information from books, journals and online publications produced by academicians were abundantly used. The study has been conducted by using the data between the periods of 2008 to 2010. 3.2 Data Analysis To observe the issues determining profitability simple regression, multiple regression and F - tests has been used. The statistical tests have been executed by using the software Microsoft Excel 2007 and SPSS 12.0. 2 4. Limitation of the Study Major limitation of this study is insufficiency of accessible data, the main sources of which are the annual reports of the Financial Institutions. In annual reports, companies usually give stress on the information that generate affirmative intuition about the company and present the information in their own way, which may become a chief limitation in illustrating the precise scenario of authenticity. Moreover, though there has been an ample amount of researches regarding the bank sector’s profitability but no substantial work has so far been done in Bangladesh on the determinants of profitability of NBFIs. So there is a scarcity of literature in this arena. 5. Literature Review It has become a common perception to consider Bank as the significant source of financing. That’s why most of the studies have been conducted regarding the profitability indicators of banks. But now a day’s non banking financial institutions are also playing an important role toward the economy. Though the NBFI sector has turn out to be a promising source of financing, researches with regard to the profitability of NBFI sector is scarce. Farah Tazrina, Rahman Shah-Noor surveyed (2012) 30 Non Banking Financial Institutions in Bangladesh from the period of 2006-2008 and concluded that the Liquidity Condition and Operating Efficiency exert significant influence on Profitability of Non Bank sector in Bangladesh .But operating revenue is another variable which has a major impact on net profit. So it is undoubtedly true that if the revenue increases, ultimately it has a positive effect over the profitability. Azam Muhammed and Siddiqui Sana (2012) inspected 36 Commercial banks in Pakistan on quarterly basis from 2004 to 2010, to investigate the profitability differences and determinants of commercial banks of Pakistan Banking Industry for the year 2004 to 2010 (on quarterly basis). According to their investigation the profitability determinants of foreign banks are different from domestic banks. They conclude that local controlled commercial banks in Pakistan are more profitable than foreign controlled ones as far as the volume of the profit is concerned which is reflected in their earnings per share but the foreign controlled commercial banks in Pakistan, as a whole are more capital efficient as compared to the local controlled commercial banks subject to few exceptions. 3 NANDY DEBAPROSANNA (2011) studied the commercial banks of India for 3 years (2005-2007) and concluded that “Interest Expenses‟ is the only good predictor for „Net Profit‟ of all different bank groups taking together during the years 2004-05 to 2006-07. Christos K Staikouras, and Wood Geoffrey E, surveyed with a balanced sample covering the entire EU banking industries in the period of 1994-1998. According to their inspection the profitability of European banks is influenced not only by factors related to their management decisions but also to changes in the external macroeconomic environment. They found that banks with greater levels of equity and large non-loan earning assets are relatively more profitable. This implies that banks which have are more profitable than those which depend more heavily on assets. The funds gap ratio is significantly positive, and the proportion of loan loss provisions to total loans significantly negative. Also, the results proved a positive effect of the concentration and/or market share variables on bank profitability. James W. Scott and José Carlos Arias (2011) in their study” Banking profitability determinants” surveyed top five bank holding companies in the United and concluded that profitability determinants for the banking industry include positive relationship between the return of equity and capital to asset ratio as well as the annual percentage changes in the external per capita income. There was also a virtual consensus identified concerning the effect that the internal factor of size as measured by an organization’s total assets had on its ability to compete more effectively, even in times of economic downturns. Khizer Ali, Muhammad Farhan Akhtar and Prof. Hafiz Zafar Ahmed(2011) surveyed 22 public and private sector commercial banks of Pakistan covered the period of 2006-2009 and concluded that the efficient asset management and economic growth establish positive and significant relation with profitability (measured by ROA & ROE). They also found that the high credit risk and capitalization lead to lower profitability measured by return on assets (ROA). The operating efficiency tends to exhibit the higher profitability level as measured by return on equity. According to their study on the micro independent variables front, profitability seems to have been positively affected by size, operating efficiency, portfolio composition, asset management and negatively by capital and credit risk in case profitability is measured by return on assets (ROA).In case profitability is measured 4 by return on equity (ROE) profitability seems to have positively affected by capital, portfolio composition and asset management and negatively by size, operating efficiency and credit risk. On the macroeconomic variables, GDP is found to having positive effect on profitability (as measured by ROA & ROE). Malviya Mayank (2012) consolidated the summarized financial statements of the main banks operating in India during the financial year 2010-11, the public and private sector and found that Public sector banks hold more capital in absolute terms, relies relatively less on Interest Income, and operates on a lower Cost: Income ratio. According to their findings Private sectors banks are more adequately capitalized in relative terms, have accumulated relatively higher Loan Loss Reserves, and hold a higher proportion of liquid assets. Javaid Saira, Anwar Jamil , Zaman Khalid and Gafoor Abdul examined the top 10 banks for a 5-year period from 2004 to 2008, in Pakistan to analyze the determinants of top 10 banks’ profitability focusing on the internal factors only. They concluded that higher total assets may not necessarily lead to higher profits and dependence on one major asset, may lead to profitability but with less significant impact on overall profitability. One major finding was the negative relationship of loans towards profitability when one of the banks showed a loss but total deposit to total assets and total equity to total assets showed a positive and significant relationship with profitability indicator ROA. Overall it was concluded that Total Assets, Equity/Total Assets, Deposits/Total Assets, and Loans/Total Assets are the major internal determinants of profitability of banks in Pakistan. 6. Bank & Non-Bank Industry in Bangladesh: An Overview After the independence, banking industry in Bangladesh started its journey with 6 nationalized commercialized banks, 2 State owned specialized banks and 3 Foreign Banks. In the 1980's banking industry achieved significant expansion with the entrance of private banks. Now, banks in Bangladesh are primarily of two types: Scheduled Banks: The banks which get license to operate under Bank Company Act, 1991 (Amended in 2003) are termed as Scheduled Banks. 5 Non-Scheduled Banks: The banks which are established for special and definite objective and operate under the acts that are enacted for meeting up those objectives, are termed as Non-Scheduled Banks. These banks cannot perform all functions of scheduled banks. There are 47 scheduled banks in Bangladesh who operate under full control and supervision of Bangladesh Bank which is empowered to do so through Bangladesh Bank Order, 1972 and Bank Company Act, 1991. There are 4 State Owned Commercial Banks (SOCBs) which are fully or majorly owned by the Government of Bangladesh. There are 30 private commercial banks which are majorly owned by the private entities. Among the PCBs 23 conventional PCBs are now operating in the industry. They perform the banking functions in conventional fashion i.e interest based operations. There are 7 Islami Shariah based PCBs in Bangladesh and they execute banking activities according to Islami Shariah based principles i.e. Profit-Loss Sharing (PLS) mode. Nine Foreign Commercial Banks (FCBs) are operating in Bangladesh as the branches of the banks which are incorporated in abroad. There are 4 specialized banks which were established for specific objectives like agricultural or industrial development. These banks are also fully or majorly owned by the Government of Bangladesh. There are now 4 non-scheduled banks in Bangladesh which are: Ansar VDP Unnayan Bank, Karmashangosthan Bank, Probashi Kollyan Bank, Jubilee Bank Non Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) are those types of financial institutions which are regulated under Financial Institution Act, 1993 and controlled by Bangladesh Bank. Now, 31 FIs are operating in Bangladesh while the maiden one was established in 1981. Out of the total, 2 is fully government owned, 1 is the subsidiary of a SOCB, 13 were initiated by private domestic initiative and 15 were initiated by joint venture initiative. There are 30 NBFIs in the country. As on 30th September, 2011 there are 158 branches of which 60 in Dhaka, 22 in Chittagong and the rest 76 in other districts. As on 30th June, 2011 the total amount of capital and reserve of the NBFIs stood at BDT 51726.32 million. Total assets and total deposits of the NBFIs were BDT 273424.38 million and BDT 106276.19 million respectively. Total outstanding loans and leases of the NBFIs was BDT 190398.6 million. Major sources of funds of NBFIs are Term Deposit, Credit Facility from Banks and other NBFIs, Call Money as well as Bond and Securitization. NBFIs are allowed to mobilize term deposit only of tenor not less than 6 six months. At present term liabilities are subject to a statutory liquidity requirement (SLR) of 5 percent inclusive of average 2.5 percent cash reserve ratio (CRR). SLR for the NBFIs operating without taking term deposit is 2.5 percent. BASEL Accord now in the process of test run phase will be made compulsory from 2012. Major sources of funds of FIs are Term Deposit (at least six months tenure), Credit Facility from Banks and other FIs, Call money as well as Bond and Securitization. The major difference between banks and FIs are as follows: FIs cannot issue cheques, pay-orders or demand drafts. FIs cannot receive demand deposits, FIs cannot be involved in foreign exchange financing, FIs can conduct their business operations with diversified financing modes like syndicated financing, bridge financing, lease financing, securitization instruments, private placement of equity etc. 7. Empirical Study and Results In this section, an attempt has been done to find out the associations between profitability and performance indicating variables with assistance of few statistical tools. At first, a simple regression model is executed with each of the independent explainers. In this model, the dependent variable is Net Profit and the independent factors are Current Assets, Financial Expense, Long Term Liability, Interest Income and Operating Revenue. These dynamics are chosen in accordance with the eminence that in what degree those can contribute to the determination of profitability. In the second part of analysis, the investigation has been done through multiple regression models. The dependent and independent factors are kept the same as the simple regression model. The empirical study has been done as a whole to find out the extent of relationship between dependent and independent variables. After performing the analysis, it will be likely to come to a supposition about the explanatory powers of the Performance indicating variables towards the profitability. 7 7.1 Profitability Analysis of NBFI 7.1.1 Simple Regression Analysis Model – A In this section, we will try to estimate simple regression equation where profitability measure i.e. Net Profit (NP) of 11 NBFIs of Bangladesh will be the dependent variable and the independent variables will be each of the financial performance indicating factors in different stages. However, simple regression equation will be in the following format: Y=a+bX Where, Y= Dependent variable a= Y- intercept/constant b=slope X= independent variable Simple regression analysis has been carried out for each of the 5 financial performance indicating variables which are: 1. CAn=Current Assets 2. FEn= Financial Expenses 3. LTLn= Long Term Liability 4. IIn= Interest Income 5. OP REVn= Operating Revenue The outputs of regression are summarized in the following table: Table 1: Simple Regression Models Dependent Variable Profitability (Net Profit) Independent Variable Current Assets(CA) Financial Expenses(FE) Long Term Liability(LTL) Interest Income(II) Operating Revenue(OP REV) Equation r2 NPn= 40.46+0.0303CAn 70% NPn= 96.32982+0.000435FEn 0.165% NPn=39.28409+0.024337LTLn 62% NPn=56.1425+0.072619IIn 39% NPn=28.10603+0.116666 oP REVn 74% F test value 21.46717 0.014852 14.76522 5.719963 26.01501 P value of F test 0.001230 0.905682 0.003951 0.040448 0.000645 8 After observing the values of r2 (Coefficient of determination) and P values of F test in the above table, we can say that Current Assets and Operating Revenue have the most influential impact over Net Profit. So, it can be concluded that, Profitability of NBFIs are mostly persuaded by the changes in liquidity condition and size of the company along with its operating efficiency. Among this 5 performance indicating variables Current Assets and Operating Revenue have the highest two values for r2 (70% and 74% respectively) which indicates that these two explain most of the variations in profitability over this 3 years of time horizon (2008-2010). P- values of F - tests at 95% confidence level of all the 4 explanatory variables state that the result is significant as it is more than .05. Only exception is in the Financial Expense (FE) variable which shows an insignificant outcome of the regression. Moreover, Financial Expense has the lowest value of r2 (0.165%) and P value (0.905682) of F test, which indicates that this variable has very lower impact on profitability as a predictor (i.e. independent) variable when used in simple regression analysis. 7.1.2 Multiple Regression Analysis: In multiple regression analysis, several (more than one) independent variables are used to estimate a dependent variable. The multiple regression equation looks like: Y= a+b1X1+b2X2+b3X3+………..+bnXn Where, Y= Dependent variable a= Y- intercept/constant b1, b2, b3.…bn= Net regression coefficients X1, X2.X3…..Xn = Independent / Predictor variables Model B: In this phase, we try to analyze- whether the autonomous variables (i.e. the independent variables) together have any noteworthy impact on Net Profit of the NBFIs. 9 By using our selected 5 performance indicating variables, multiple regression analysis has been executed. We have got the following model for multiple regressions: Table 2: Multiple Regression Model Model – B r2 F- test value P- value of F test Multiple Regression Model NPn = 19.2404+0.057CAn+0.004FEn+0.046LTLn-0.071IIn -0.185OP REVn Other Statistics for Model- B 94.29% 34.0437 0.000725 Interpretations: Profitability related with performance indicators in the following ways – a. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Current Assets (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase (decrease) by 0.057 units. b. For 1 unit increase (decreases) in Financial Expense (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase (decrease) by 0.004 units. c. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Long Term Liability (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase by 0.046 units and vice versa. d. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Interest Income (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will decrease by 0.070 units and vice versa. e. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Operating Revenue (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will decrease (increase) by 0.185 units. The relationship among the variables in relative terms can be estimated with the help of coefficient of multiple correlations (R). R= 0.9856 indicates that there exists a very high degree of relationship among the variables. 10 From the value of r2 we can say that all these 5 predictor variables collectively explain 94.29% of the variance in Net Profit. The P- value (0.00) of F- test states that the multiple regression model is significant as it is less than .05 or 5% level. The relative influencing power of the independent variables can be indicated using standardized or Beta (β) coefficient. In our result, it is found that β CA = 1.580 which is greater than β of all other independent variables. So, we can conclude that Current Asset exerts highest influence among all other predictor variables on Net Profit (NP). Moreover, it can be observed that CAn is a variable which is statistically significant because it is significant at 0.004 or .04% level, which is less than 0.05 or 5% level. As a whole, the regression is found to be suitable and appropriate. So, we can say that, the selected performance indicating variables have a great extent of impact on profitability of Non Banking Financial Institutions in Bangladesh. 7.2 Profitability Analysis of Bank 7.2.1 Simple Regression Analysis Model - C In this section, we will try replicate the same study done in the previous section to estimate simple regression equation where profitability measure i.e. Net Profit (NP) of 11 commercial banks of Bangladesh will be the dependent variable and the independent variables will be each of the financial performance indicating factors. 5 financial performance indicating variables are kept same as the previous model. The variables are: 6. CAb=Current Assets 7. FEb= Financial Expenses 8. LTLb= Long Term Liability 9. IIb= Interest Income 10. OP REVb= Operating Revenue The outputs of regression are summarized in the following table: 11 Table 3: Simple Regression Models Dependent Variable Profitability (Net Profit) Independent Variable Equation r2 F test value Current Assets(CA) Long Term Liability(LTL) Financial Expense(FE) Interest Income(II) Operating Revenue(OP REV) NPb= -8.26657+0.086207CAb NPb= 1.34893-0.22296LTLb NPb= 1.85935-0.14165FEb NPb= -1.18886+0.559494IIb NPb=-1.04935+0.675846OP REVb 87% 6% 25% 60% 85% 61.033 0.5943 2.9534 13.61086 51.4266 P value of F test 0.0000 0.4605 0.1198 0.0050 0.0000 Here we can see the simple regression of selected commercial banks, where all the 5 independent variables show the results according to their expected signs. Current Assets, Interest Income and Operating Revenue are supposed to be positively related with the independent variable net profit. Long term liability and financial expenses show negative signs as expected. It is also found that, Current Assets has the highest explanatory power (r2=87%) among all the variables and the another most influential explanatory factor is Operating Revenue having a r2 of 85%.This findings is consistent with the previous findings of NBFI results. These two variables also have revealed the significant impact over the profitability. The P values (0.000) of these factors also suggest the results are significant at 95% confidence level. In this model, it is found that Long term liability pose the minimum impact over the model and the F test also does not show any convincing result as the P value (.4605) is statistically insignificant. 7.2.2 Multiple Regression Analysis: Model D: Table 4: Multiple Regression Model Model – D r2 F- test value P- value of F test Multiple Regression Model NPb = -4.293+0.07978CAb+0.236FEb-+.028LTLb-+.531IIb-+.008OP REVb Other Statistics for Model- D 93.5% 29.8312 0.00099 12 Interpretations: Profitability related with performance indicators in the following ways – a. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Current Assets (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase (decrease) by 0.079 units. b. For 1 unit increase (decreases) in Financial Expense (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase (decrease) by 0.236 units. c. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Long Term Liability (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase by 0.028 units and vice versa. d. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Interest Income (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase by 0.53 units and vice versa. e. For 1 unit increases (decreases) in Operating Revenue (and values for other independent variables remaining the same), Net Profit will increase (decrease) by 0.008 units. Here it has been observed that the coefficient of multiple correlations is R= 0.9836, which points out that there exists a very high degree of relationship among the dependent and independent variables altogether. From the value of r2 it can be inferred that all these 5 predictor variables collectively explain 93.5% of the variance in Net Profit. That means the predictor variables together can pose a very momentous influence over the dependent variable. The P- value (0.00) of F- test states that the multiple regression model is significant as it is less than .05 or 5% level. In the study of banking institutions, again it is found that the Beta coefficient is highest for the predictor variable Current Assets. β CA = 0.864 which reveals it wields maximum influence on the dependent variable among the others. But the result is not statistically significant because it is significant at 32.5% which goes beyond to our assumed confidence level. 13 So after evaluating the results we can originate that this regression is also appropriate. As a whole, we can say that, the selected performance indicating variables have an enormous impact on the profitability of Banking Institutions in Bangladesh. 7.3 Comparative Analysis: Financial Institutions are considered as the life blood of the economy. In this study, the Endeavour has been extended to check out the factors which are mostly responsible for determining the profitability of Financial Institutions, both for banks and non bank financial institutions. A comparative scenario between banks and NBFIs can be drawn from the completed analysis. The following table shows the results from simple regression analysis for both of the types of financial institutions. Table 5: Simple regression analysis: Bank and NBFI Bank Independent variable Current Assets(CA) Long Term Liability(LTL) Financial Expense(FE) Interest Income(II) Operating Revenue(OP REV) NBFI Equation NPb= -8.26657+0.086207CAb r2 87% F test 61.033 p value 0 Equation NPn= 40.46+0.0303CAn NPb= 1.34893-0.22296LTLb NPb= 1.85935-0.14165FEb NPb= -1.18886+0.559494IIb NPb=-1.04935+0.675846OP REVb 6% 25% 60% 0.5943 2.9534 13.61086 0.4605 0.1198 0.005 85% 51.4266 0 NPn= 96.32982+0.000435FEn NPn=39.28409+0.024337LTLn NPn=56.1425+0.072619IIn NPn=28.10603+0.116666 oP REVn r2 70% F test 21.46717 p value 0.00123 0.17% 62% 39% 0.014852 14.76522 5.719963 0.905682 0.003951 0.040448 74% 26.01501 0.000645 1. In the simple regression model –A, prepared for NBFI, it has been found that the expected signs are consistent in the outcome except for the variable Financial Expense (FEn). But in case of banks, all the simple regression results have shown uniformity with the expected signs. 2. In case of NBFIs, all The P – values are statistically significant except for the financial expenses (FE n). On the other hand, we found financial expense (FEb) and Long term liability (LTLb) to be statistically insignificant in the analysis of banking institutions. 3. According to the coefficient of determination (r2) of NBFI, the explanatory power of Operating Revenue (Op Revn) exerts the highest (74%) control among all the independent variables; on contrary Current Assets (CAb) in case of bank has the maximum (87%) influential power over the dependent variable. 14 Table 6: Multiple regression analysis: Bank and NBFI Multiple regression equation r2 F- test value P- value of F test Bank NBFI NPb = -4.293+0.07978CAb+0.236FEb+.028LTLb-+.531IIb-+.008OP REVb NPn =19.2404+0.057CAn+0.004FEn+0.046LTLn0.071IIn -0.185OP REVn 93.5% 29.8312 0.00099 94.29% 34.0437 0.000725 4. The results of multiple regressions for both of the sectors show more or less similar pattern. The coefficients of multiple determinations (R2) are very high for two of the sectors. In case of NBFIs it is a bit higher (94.29%) which means 94.29% of the variations in the Net Profit can be explained by the combined variation of all the 5 predictor variables. In the both cases of Banks and NBFIs, results are found to be statistically significant according to the F tests. Problem identification and recommendations: 15 8. Conclusion and Implications According to the study, it is clear that the chosen profitability indicator variables have impact upon net profit, but among the independent variables the Liquidity Condition and Operating Efficiency exert significant influence on Profitability of both Bank and Non Bank sector in Bangladesh. As we know that Liquidity is considered as one of the most prominent yardstick of performance measurement of financial institutions. Investors generally perceive the financial institutions to be superior over the others if it has sufficient liquid or current assets. So when a financial institution has enough liquidity the investors feel more secured and approach to this FI for their investment. The more the number of customers increases the more it becomes profitable. Thus this analysis indicates that why liquidity position exerts more influence on profitability. Again we see operating revenue is the another variable which has a major impact on net profit. So it is undoubtedly true that if the revenue increases, ultimately it has a positive effect over the profitability. The results of multiple regressions suggest that the selected independent variables explain more than 93% changes in the net profit of NBFI and in case of Banking institutions the extent is as strong as 94%. By analyzing the other statistical results of multiple regressions we found that the results are very much consistent with the simple regression. Most of the results are statistically significant and overall provide an idea that operating efficinecy is the basic determinant of profitability in NBFI sector. In case of Bank, Liquidity condition is found to be the major 16 determinant of profitability. So it can be inferred that this promising and potential sector of Financial Institution in Bangladesh can flourish very fast and enhance profitability by improving its liquidity position and operating efficiency. References 1. Nandy, Debaprosanna, 2011, “A Multivariate Analysis Approach of Selecting Profitability Indicators – An Empirical Study of Commercial Banks in India”, International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research, Vol.1, October, p.1-18. 2. Javaid, Saira, Anwar, Jamil, Zaman, Khalid, and Gafoor, Abdul, 2011, “ Determinants of Bank Profitability in Pakistan: Internal Factor Analysis”, Mediterranean Journal Of Social Sciences, Vol.2, January, p.59-78 3. Azam, Muhammad, and Siddiqui, Sana 2012, “Domestic and Foreign Banks’ Profitability: Differences and Their Determinants”, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Vol.2, p.33-40 4. Staikouras, Christos K and Wood, Geoffrey E, “The Determinants Of European Bank Profitability”, International Business & Economics Research Journal Vol. 3, P. 57-68 5. Malviya, Mayan, 2012, “An analysis on the profitability, risk and Growth indicators of public and private sector Banks”, International Journal of Transformations in Business Management, Vol.1, JanMar. 17 6. Farah, Tazrina and Rahman, Shah-noor, 2012, “Non Bank Financial Institutions’ Profitability Indicators: Evidence from Bangladesh”, International Journal of Applied Research in Business and Economics, Vol.1, March, pp.11-21. 7. Scott, James W., and Arias Jose C., 2011, “Banking Profitability Determinant”, Business Intelligence Journal, Vol.4, p.209-230. 8. Ali, Khizer, Akhtar, Farah M, and Ahmed Zafar H, 2011, “Bank-Specific and Macroeconomic Indicators of Profitability - Empirical Evidence from the Commercial Banks of Pakistan”, International Journal of Business and Social Science, Vol. 2, p.235-242. Appendix Multiple Regression of NBFI Variables Entered/Removed(b) Variables Entered Model 1 Variables Removed OP, FE, II, CA, LTL(a) Method . Enter a All requested variables entered. b Dependent Variable: NP Model Summary Model 1 R Adjusted R Square R Square Std. Error of the Estimate .986(a) .971 .943 17.85968 a Predictors: (Constant), OP, FE, II, CA, LTL ANOVA(b) Model 1 Sum of Squares Regressio n Residual Total 54294.299 df Mean Square 5 10858.860 1594.841 5 318.968 55889.140 10 F Sig. 34.044 .001(a) a Predictors: (Constant), OP, FE, II, CA, LTL b Dependent Variable: NP 18 Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Model 1 B (Constant ) CA FE LTL Standardized Coefficients Std. Error 19.240 8.694 .057 .011 .004 .001 Beta t Sig. 2.213 .078 1.580 5.056 .004 .381 4.418 .007 .047 .011 1.512 4.188 .009 II -.071 .018 -.613 -4.074 .010 OP -.185 .077 -1.369 -2.404 .061 a Dependent Variable: NP Simple regression Table: NBFI 1. Independent variable current asset and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.83941 R Square 70% Adjusted R Square 0.671788 Standard Error 42.82929 Observations 11 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 39380.01 39380.01 21.46812333 0.001230776 Residual 9 16509.13 1834.348 Total 10 55889.14 P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Coefficients Standard Error t Stat Intercept 40.46717 17.82679 2.270019 0.0493615 0.140159054 80.79417 0.140159 80.79417 CA 0.030371 0.006555 4.633371 0.001230776 0.015542928 0.045199 0.015543 0.045199 2. Independent variable Financial Expense and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.040589 19 R Square 0.165% Adjusted R Square -0.10928 Standard Error 78.73801 Observations 11 ANOVA df SS MS F 0.014852 Regression 1 92.07459 92.07459 Residual 9 55797.07 6199.674 10 55889.14 Total Significance F 0.905682 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 96.32982 25.3402 3.801462 0.004208 39.0063 153.6533 39.0063 153.6533 FE 0.000435 0.003568 0.121867 0.905682 -0.00764 0.008507 -0.00764 0.008507 3. Independent variable Long term Liability and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.788223 R Square 62% Adjusted R Square 0.579217 Standard Error 48.49454 Observations 11 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Significance F SS MS F 1 34723.66 34723.66 14.76522 9 21165.48 2351.72 10 55889.14 0.003951 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 39.28409 21.03838 1.867258 0.094712 -8.30803 86.8762 -8.30803 86.8762 LTL 0.024337 0.006333 3.842554 0.003951 0.010009 0.038664 0.010009 0.038664 20 4. Independent variable Interest Income and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.623366 R Square 39% Adjusted R Square 0.32065 Standard Error 61.61839 Observations 11 ANOVA df MS F 5.719963 Regression 1 21717.71 21717.71 Residual 9 34171.43 3796.826 10 55889.14 Total Significance F SS 0.040448 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% 56.1425 25.35531 2.21423 0.054071 -1.21521 113.5002 -1.21521 113.5002 0.072619 0.030363 2.391644 0.040448 0.003932 0.141306 0.003932 0.141306 Intercept II 5. Independent variable Operating Revenue and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.861956 R Square 74% Adjusted R Square 0.714408 Standard Error 39.95182 Observations 11 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F 26.01501 0.000644725 Regression 1 41523.81 41523.81 Residual 9 14365.33 1596.148 10 55889.14 Total 21 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 28.10603 18.15843 1.547823 0.156071 12.97118172 69.18325 -12.9712 69.18325 OP rev 0.116666 0.022874 5.100491 0.000645 0.064922718 0.16841 0.064923 0.16841 Multiple Regression of Bank Variables Entered/Removed(b) Variables Entered Model 1 Variables Removed II, LTL, FE, OP, CA(a) Method . Enter a All requested variables entered. b Dependent Variable: NP Model Summary Model 1 Std. Error of the Estimate 325325361.3 .984(a) .968 .935 6713 a Predictors: (Constant), II, LTL, FE, OP, CA R Adjusted R Square R Square ANOVA(b) Model 1 Regressio n Residual Sum of Squares 157862015 744784100 00.000 529182953 743265000 .000 df Mean Square F Sig. 5 31572403148 95682000.000 29.831 .001(a) 5 10583659074 8653000.000 22 Total 163153845 282216700 10 00.000 a Predictors: (Constant), II, LTL, FE, OP, CA b Dependent Variable: NP Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Model 1 B (Constant ) CA Standardized Coefficients Std. Error 42937194 06.832 .080 Beta t 19922313 54.595 Sig. -2.155 .084 .073 .864 1.091 .325 LTL .028 .088 .032 .321 .761 FE .237 .113 .831 2.086 .091 OP .008 .437 .011 .019 .986 II .531 .538 a Dependent Variable: NP .736 .987 .369 Simple regression Table: Bank 1. Independent variable current asset and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.933536 R Square 87% Adjusted R Square 0.85721 Standard Error 4.83E+08 Observations 11 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F 61.03305 2.67428E-05 Regression 1 1.42E+19 1.42E+19 Residual 9 2.1E+18 2.33E+17 10 1.63E+19 Total Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept -8.26657 2.73E+08 -3.02773 0.014299 1444292188 -2.1E+08 -1.4E+09 -2.1E+08 CA 0.086207 0.011035 7.812365 2.67E-05 0.061244917 0.111169 0.061245 0.111169 23 2. Independent variable Financial Expense and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.49707 R Square 25% Adjusted R Square 0.163421 Standard Error 1.17E+09 Observations 11 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Significance F SS MS F 1 4.03E+18 4.03E+18 2.953445 9 1.23E+19 1.36E+18 10 1.63E+19 0.119816 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 1.859353 6.22E+08 2.988705 0.015233 4.52E+08 3.27E+09 4.52E+08 3.27E+09 FE -0.14165 0.082422 -1.71856 0.119816 -0.3281 0.044805 -0.3281 0.044805 3. Independent variable Long term Liability and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.248884 R Square 6% Adjusted R Square Standard Error -0.04229 1.3E+09 Observations 11 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total SS MS F 1 1.01E+18 1.01E+18 0.594301 9 1.53E+19 1.7E+18 10 1.63E+19 Significance F 0.460519 24 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 1.348931 6.21E+08 2.17117 0.058003 -5.7E+07 2.75E+09 -5.7E+07 2.75E+09 LTL -0.22296 0.28921 -0.77091 0.460519 -0.87719 0.431285 -0.87719 0.431285 4. Independent variable Interest Income and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.775862 R Square 60% Adjusted R Square 0.557735 Standard Error 8.49E+08 Observations 11 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Significance F SS MS F 1 9.82E+18 9.82E+18 13.61086 9 6.49E+18 7.22E+17 10 1.63E+19 0.005003 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept -1.18886 6.41E+08 -1.85535 0.096526 -2.6E+09 2.61E+08 -2.6E+09 2.61E+08 II 0.559494 0.151653 3.68929 0.005003 0.21643 0.902558 0.21643 0.902558 5. Independent variable Operating Revenue and Dependent variable: Net Profit Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square 0.922529 85% Adjusted R Square 0.83451 Standard Error 5.2E+08 Observations 11 25 ANOVA df SS MS F 51.4266 Regression 1 1.39E+19 1.39E+19 Residual 9 2.43E+18 2.7E+17 10 1.63E+19 Total Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Intercept -1.04935 3.23E+08 -3.24649 0.010054 OP REV 0.675846 0.094244 7.171234 5.24E-05 Significance F 5.24406E-05 Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% -1780534613 -3.2E+08 -1.8E+09 -3.2E+08 0.462651498 0.889041 0.462651 0.889041 Lower 95% 26 List of Banks Name of the banks Dutch Bangla Bank Ltd National Bank Ltd United Commercial Bank Ltd Dhaka Bank Ltd Bank Asia Ltd Brac bank Eastern bank Ltd Jamuna Bank Ltd Standard Bank Ltd Mutual Trust Bank Ltd Prime bank Ltd List of NBFI’s Name of the NBFI's Banladesh Finance & Investment Company Ltd (BFIC) Bangladesh Industrial Finance Company Ltd (BIFC) Bay Leasing & Investment Ltd Delta Brac Housing Fianace Corporation Ltd(DBH) Fidelity Assets & Securities Company ltd Fareast Finance & Investment Ltd First Lease Fianace & Investment Ltd GSP finance company Ltd Infrastucture Developmant Company Ltd International Leasing And Fiancial Services Ltd IDLC Finance Ltd 27 Dependent Variable Profitability (Net Profit) Dependent Variable Profitability (Net Profit) Independent Variable Equation r2 F test value Current Assets(CA) Long Term Liability(LTL) Financial Expense(FE) Interest Income(II) Operating Revenue(OP REV) NPb= -8.26657+0.086207CAb NPb= 1.34893-0.22296LTLb NPb= 1.85935-0.14165FEb NPb= -1.18886+0.559494IIb NPb=-1.04935+0.675846OP REVb 87% 6% 25% 60% 85% 61.033 0.5943 2.9534 13.61086 51.4266 Independent Variable Current Assets(CA) Financial Expenses(FE) Long Term Liability(LTL) Interest Income(II) Operating Revenue(OP REV) Equation r2 NPn= 40.46+0.0303CAn 70% NPn= 96.32982+0.000435FEn 0.165% NPn=39.28409+0.024337LTLn 62% NPn=56.1425+0.072619IIn 39% NPn=28.10603+0.116666 oP REVn 74% F test value 21.46717 0.014852 14.76522 5.719963 26.01501 P value of F test 0.0000 0.4605 0.1198 0.0050 0.0000 P value of F test 0.001230 0.905682 0.003951 0.040448 0.000645 28 Simple regression analysis: Bank and NBFI Bank Independent variable Current Assets(CA) Long Term Liability(LTL) Financial Expense(FE) Interest Income(II) Operating Revenue(OP REV) NBFI Equation NPb= -8.26657+0.086207CAb r2 87% F test 61.033 p value 0 Equation NPn= 40.46+0.0303CAn NPb= 1.34893-0.22296LTLb NPb= 1.85935-0.14165FEb NPb= -1.18886+0.559494IIb NPb=-1.04935+0.675846OP REVb 6% 25% 60% 0.5943 2.9534 13.61086 0.4605 0.1198 0.005 85% 51.4266 0 NPn= 96.32982+0.000435FEn NPn=39.28409+0.024337LTLn NPn=56.1425+0.072619IIn NPn=28.10603+0.116666 oP REVn r2 70% F test 21.46717 p value 0.00123 0.17% 62% 39% 0.014852 14.76522 5.719963 0.905682 0.003951 0.040448 74% 26.01501 0.000645 Multiple regression analysis: Bank and NBFI Multiple regression equation r2 F- test value P- value of F test Bank NBFI NPb = -4.293+0.07978CAb+0.236FEb+.028LTLb-+.531IIb-+.008OP REVb NPn =19.2404+0.057CAn+0.004FEn+0.046LTLn0.071IIn -0.185OP REVn 93.5% 29.8312 0.00099 94.29% 34.0437 0.000725 29 Model – B r2 F- test value P- value of F test Model – D r2 F- test value P- value of F test Multiple Regression Model NPn = 19.2404+0.057CAn+0.004FEn+0.046LTLn-0.071IIn -0.185OP REVn Other Statistics for Model- B 94.29% 34.0437 0.000725 Multiple Regression Model NPb = -4.293+0.07978CAb+0.236FEb-+.028LTLb-+.531IIb-+.008OP REVb Other Statistics for Model- D 93.5% 29.8312 0.00099 30