A2 Natural Hazards Earthquakes Volcanoes Mass Movements Cyclones OCR Synoptic Paper Outline •Hazards Structure •Causes, Effects etc. •Park Model (1991) •Hazards Modules: Earthquakes Volcanoes Mass Movements Tropical Cyclones 2 weeks 2 weeks 2 weeks 2 weeks 1. Earthquakes MEDC - LEDC Earthquake Case Studies MEDC Case Studies 1. Kobe, Japan, 17 Jan 1995; RS = 7.2; Deaths = 5,500 2. Los Angeles, USA, 17 Jan 1994; RS = 6.6; Deaths = 40 3. San Fransisco, USA, 17 Oct 1989, RS = 7.1; Deaths = 63 4. Alaska, USA, 27 March 1964, RS = 9.2; Deaths = 131 MEDC - LEDC Earthquake Case Studies LEDC Case Studies 1. Izmit, Turkey: 17 August 1999; RS = 7.4; Deaths = 40,000~ 2. Khillari, India: 30 Sept 1993; RS = 6.4; Deaths = 25,000 3. Gujurat, India: 26 Jan 2001; RS = 7.4; Deaths = 60,000~ 4. Armenia: 7 Dec 1988; RS = 7.0; Deaths = 25,000 - 100,000 The seismic gap theory The part of an active fault that has experienced little or no seismic activity for a long period, indicating the build up of stresses that are useful in predicting earthquakes 1969-1989 3 weeks after 1989 Liquefaction Japan 1963 Golden Gate Bridge Port and wharf facilities are often located in areas susceptible to liquefaction, and many have been damaged by liquefaction in past earthquakes. Most ports and wharves have major retaining structures, or quay walls, to allow large ships to moor adjacent to flat cargo handling areas. When the soil behind and/or beneath such a wall liquefies, the pressure it exerts on the wall can increase greatly - enough to cause the wall to slide and/or tilt toward the water. Liquefaction caused major damage to port facilities in Kobe, Japan in the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake. Note the subsidence in the port in Kobe due to liquefaction A2 - Alaska Case Study ALASKA, MARCH 27, 1964 RS= 9.2 Alaska earthquake of 1964 Prince William Sound, Alaska 1964 03:36:14 UTC, 9.2 on the richter scale Landslides in Anchorage caused heavy This great earthquake and ensuing tsunami took 125 lives (tsunami damage. Huge slides occurred in the 110, earthquake 15), and caused about $311 million in property downtown business section, atmany Government loss. Earthquake effects were heavy in towns, including Anchorage, Portage,Heights. Seward and The Valdez. Hill, and at Kodiak, Turnagain largest about 120 km Northwest of the epicentre, at sustained the andAnchorage, most devastating landslide occurred most severe damage to property. About 30 blocks of dwellings and Turnagain Andamaged area ofor about 130 commercial Heights. buildings were destroyed in the downtown area. The Penny Company building was damaged acres wasJ.C. devasted by displacements thatbeyond repair; the Four Seasons apartment building, a new six-story broke the ground into many deranged blocks structure, collapsed; and many other multi-storey buildings were that were heavily. collapsed and in tilted at allwere angles. damaged The schools Anchorage almost devastated. The Government Hill Grade School, sitting astride a This slide destroyed about 75 private huge landslide, was almost a total loss. Anchorage High School and houses. Water mains and gas, sewer, Denali Grade School were damaged severely. Duration of the shock was estimated at 3 minutes. telephone, and electrical systems were disrupted throughout the area. The earthquake was accompanied by vertical displacement over an area of about 520,00 square km. The major area of uplift trended Northeast from southern Kodiak Island to Prince William Sound and trended east-west to the east of the sound. Vertical displacements ranged from about 11.5m of uplift to 2.3m of subsidence relative to sea level. Off the Southwest end of Montague Island, there was absolute vertical displacement of about 13 - 15m. This shock generated a tsunami that devastated many towns along the Gulf of Alaska, and left serious damage at Alberni and Port Alberni, Canada, along the West Coast of the United States (15 killed), and in Hawaii. The maximum wave height recorded was 67m at Valdez Inlet. It was also recorded on tide gages in Cuba and Puerto Rico. Close-up of Government Hill elementary school, which was destroyed by the Government Hill landslide. Anchorage, Alaska. The waterfront at Seward a few months after the earthquake, looking north. Note the "scalloped" shoreline left by the underwater landslides that severed tracks in the railroad yard which dangle over the landslide scarp and the windrow-like heaps of railroad cars and other debris thrown up by the tsunami waves. Alaska. Uplifted sea floor at Cape Cleare, Montague Island, Prince William Sound, in the area of greatest recorded tectonic uplift on land (33 feet). Tsunami damage on Kodiak island in Alaska One span of the "Million Dollar" truss-bridge of the former Copper River and Northwestern Railroad was dropped into the Copper River by the earthquake, and the other truss spans were shifted on their piers. Close-up of damaged homes at Turnagain Heights landslide, Anchorage. The Turnagain Heights landslide in Anchorage. Its length was about 1.5 miles; its width was about .25 to .50 miles. This landslide reduced to rubble many of the finer homes of the city. Failure here, and in the "L" Street, Fourth Avenue, and Government Hill landslides in Anchorage occurred on horizontal or near horizontal slip surfaces in the Bootlegger Cove Clay, a marine silt. A subsidence trough (or graben) formed at the head of the "L" Street landslide in Anchorage during the earthquake. The slide block, which is virtually unbroken ground to the left of the graben, moved to the left. The subsidence trough sank 7 to 10 feet in response to 11 feet of horizontal movement of the slide block. A number of houses seen in this photograph were undercut or tilted by subsidence of the graben. Note also the collapsed Four Seasons apartment building and the undamaged three story reinforced concrete frame building beside it, which are on the stable block beyond the graben. . This truck at Lowell Point, 2 miles from Seward, was bent around a tree by the surge waves generated by the underwater landslides along the Seward waterfront. The truck was about 32 feet above water level at the time of the earthquake. A detail illustrating the violence of the surge waves that struck Whittier: man holds mounted tire where wave has driven a piece of wood through the tire The rails in this approach to a railroad bridge near the head of Turnagain Arm were torn from their ties and buckled laterally by channelward movement of the river banks during the earthquake . Trees up to 24 inches in diameter and between 88 and 101 feet above sea level were broken and splintered by the surge wave generated by an underwater landslide in Port Valdez, Prince William Sound. On Tuesday, January 17, at 5:46 a.m. local time, an earthquake of magnitude 7.2 (Mj)1 struck the region of Kobe and Osaka in south-central Japan. This region is Japan’s second-most populated and industrialized area, after Tokyo, with a total population of about 10 million. The shock occurred at a shallow depth on a fault running from Awaji Island through the city of Kobe, which in itself has a population of about 1.5 million. Strong ground shaking lasted for about 20 seconds and caused severe damage over a large area. Nearly 5,500 deaths have been confirmed, with the number of injured people reaching about 35,000. Nearly 180,000 buildings were badly damaged or destroyed, and officials estimate that more than 300,000 people were homeless on the night of the earthquake. The life loss caused by the earthquake was the worst in Japan since the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake, when about 140,000 people were killed, mostly by the post-earthquake conflagration. The economic loss from the 1995 earthquake may be the largest ever caused by a natural disaster in modern times. The direct damage caused by the shaking is estimated at over ¥13 trillion (about U.S.$147 billion). This does not include indirect economic effects from loss of life, business interruption, and loss of production. One of the key factors in loss of life and damage to buildings in the Kobe earthquake was the extend of the fires that resulted. The risks are particularly high in Japan because of •high population densities; •very narrow streets and alleys, which cannot act as fire breaks; •numerous old wood-frame smaller commercial and residential buildings mixed in the commercial zones of towns; •unanchored or unprotected gas storage tanks or heaters; • and a mix of collapse-prone old buildings in all built-up areas Nagata ward at 4.30pm on Jan 17th. KFD Water had forminimal fire-fighting staffing purposes on dutywas at the available time offor the2 to 3 earthquake, hours, including possibly the use because of underground the previous cisterns. day had been Subsequently, a holiday. water Initial was actions available included only recalling from tanker off-duty personnel trucks. KFD and attempted responding to supply to fire calls. waterApproximately with a fireboat 100 and fires relaybroke system, out but within thisminutes, was unsuccessful primarily indue densely to the built-up, relativelylow-rise small hose areas used of the by central KFD. An city, EQE which engineer comprise overflew the mixed area residential-commercial at about 5:00 p.m. onoccupancies, January 17 and predominantly was able to observe of wood allconstruction. of the larger Within fires (about 1 to 2eight hours, in several all) fromlarge an altitude conflagrations of less than had 300 developed. meters.There No firewere astreams total of were 142 fires observed, reported and in all Kobe firesonwere January burning 17. Fire response freely—several was hampered with flames by 6extreme meters traffic or more congestion, in height. and No fire collapsed apparatus houses, werebuildings, observedand in the rubble vicinity in the of the streets. large fires, Because although of the firenumerous apparatuscollapses, could be seen manyat areas other were locations inaccessible (their activities to vehicles. were unclear from the air). Some residents formed bucket brigades (with sewer water) to try to control the flames. . A typical street scene in a residential and light commercial area of Kobe. A house has collapsed, blocking the very narrow street and preventing access to the area by the fire department. Thousands of narrow streets were blocked like this. In other areas, many of the collapses were traditional buildings with ground-floor stores or shops and second-floor residential units. Aftershock Maps from Kandilli Observatory and Research Institute This picture is on the far east end of the rupture. The fault went directly through the school - the chalkboard read something like: "We're all happy because school is out". This is where 6 large apartments buildings all were completely flattened. Luckily they were uninhabitated. Residents were supposed to have moved in during June, but were delayed. The fault is seen in the foreground. Aykut Barka has a photo taken of this area from a helicopter. In 1988 an earthquake at a magnitude of Armenia 6.9 hit the country of it destroyed 58 villages and 21 cities. Four minutes after the earthquake hit an aftershock of 5.8 hit the country. Nearly 70% of the buildings were destroyed in the quake.The earthquake hit at 11:41 a.m right in the middle of the school day. Conclusion •Location of earthquake - proximity to local people groups •Oil Industry and ports located on the southern coast - e.g. Valdez, Anchorage •Large size of the Alaskan State •Preparedness backed up by US Government and work of U.S.G.S. •Finances available for Tsunami early warning centres 2. Volcanoes Mount Pinatubo Mount St Helens Lava flow from the north cuts 50 metrewide swathe through Goma Flow stops as it reaches Lake Kivu Part of the airport runway under lava Earth tremors continue, raising fears of further eruptions 3. Mass Movement Hazards Mass Movement Types 1. Heave (Wetting and Drying / Freezing and Thawing) 2. Flow (Material does not retain its form) 1. Soil Creep 2. Solifluction •Increasing Speed 3. Earthflow / Debris Flow •Increased Water Content 4. Mudflow 3. Slides 1. Landslide 2. Rotational Slump 3. Debris / Rock Avalanche 4. Rockfall The Slumgullion earth flow in the San Juan Mountains of south-western Colorado. A rockslide in the Front Ranges of the Rocky Mountains in south-western Alberta. Slopes - Balance between: •FORCE (EXOGENETIC) •RESISTANCE (ENDOGENETIC) STRESS > STRENGTH = MASS MOVEMENT Slope Failure is due to: 1.Increase in Stress (i.e. the forces attempting to pull a mass downslope) 2.Reduction in Internal Resistance (Shear Strength) The Aberfan Disaster 21 October 1966 4. Tropical Cyclones The baby born in a tree Hurricane Gilbert The Story of Bangladesh