Presentation to Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority: Financing Natural Gas Pipeline Projects in Wyoming August 26, 2003 Merrill Lynch Qualifications Merrill Lynch Qualifications Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority Coverage Team Western Public Power Group Ed Burdett Managing Director & Head of the Western Region Greg Dawley Jason Wong Vice President Associate John Kohansion Analyst Attending Shouq Tarawneh Analyst Underwriting Sales & Trading Quantitative Analysis Risk Management Debt Capital Markets Short Term Municipals Corporate Power & Utilities Commodity Trading Utility Group Dave Andersen Managing Director and Head of Syndicate Desk David Stephens Director Rob Barber Managing Director & Co-Head of Public Finance Bill Rogers Managing Director Mona Payton Director Laurie Coben Managing Director & Head of NY Group Kuljinder Chase Managing Director Chris Fink Managing Director Scott Trachsel Vice President Phil Dobitsch Director David Koenig Vice President Mark Widener Director Paul Kuhns Managing Director Bill Wood Senior Banker Chris Straub Vice President Bryon Rockwell Director Mary Ryan Managing Director David Moffett Associate Garth Schulz Director Investment Banking Capital Markets/Financings Public Finance Global Power & Utility Group Financial/ Strategic Advisory Services Investment Banking Public Power Expertise Tax Expertise Rating Agency Advisory Financial Modeling and Structuring Industry Strategic Dynamics Timely Access to Key Decision Makers Market Intelligence Story Building/Investor Positioning Consistent Dialogue Mergers & Acquisitions Buyside/Sellside Valuation Transaction Structuring Corporate and Municipal Restructurings Knowledge of Market Dynamics/ Industry Players Risk Management Commodities “AAA” Rated Counterparty Hedging Strategies and Products Interest Rate Reduction Products Energy Price risk Management Fuel Hedging Fixed Income Investment Grade High Yield Private Placements Market Making Research Coverage Investor Relations Risk Management Credit Credit Analysis Rating Agency Guidance Investor Relations Merrill Lynch Qualifications Capital Strength and Stability Merrill Lynch’s capital base allows the Firm to: Commit large amounts of capital across all business lines Aggressively underwrite our clients’ bonds and provide secondary market liquidity under all market conditions. The Firm routinely commits 20% to 30% of an issue size in capital, and on occasion up to 100%, depending upon market conditions at pricing. Take an aggressive position limit for municipal trading and underwriting of $1.5 billion, an amount we believe to be among the highest in the industry Merrill Lynch Ratings Aa3/P-1 A+ /A-1 AA-/F1 Merrill Lynch Capital Position Total (Consolidated) Capital Stockholder’s Equity Net Capital Excess Net Capital *Source: $96,200,000,000 22,300,000,000 2,950,000,000 2,800,000,000 Merrill Lynch Quarterly Report. The size and stability of Merrill Lynch’s capital base allows the Firm to inventory when necessary rather than re-price Merrill Lynch Qualifications Public Power Financings Merrill Lynch’s Bankers Have Extensive Experience Working with Public Power Financings Utah Associated Municipal Power System Sacramento Municipal Utility District Intermountain Power Agency Florida Municipal Power Agency Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Lower Colorado River Authority Omaha Public Power District New York Power Authority Illinois Municipal Power Agency Turlock Irrigation District M-S-R Public Power Agency Piedmont Municipal Power Agency City Public Service, San Antonio Anaheim Public Utilities Utility Board of Key West Santee Cooper Southern California Public Power Authority Northern California Power Agency Colorado Springs Utilities Salt River Project Oklahoma Municipal Power Authority Nebraska Public Power Agency Silicon Valley Power Transmission Agency of Northern California Pedernales Electric Cooperative Southern Minnesota Municipal Power Agency Merrill Lynch Qualifications Capabilities of Energy Markets and Trading Actively trading financially settled products for Natural Gas Natural Gas – NYMEX forwards and swaps (prompt month to 10 years) – NYMEX option structures (prompt month to 5+ years) – Financial Basis Swaps - US and Canada (prompt month to 10 years) – Physical forwards (All major locations) Developing infrastructure for: Crude Oil (within the month) – Financial Swaps (1 month to 5 years) – Options (Caps, Collars, Floors and Exotics) – Outright and differentials to WTI and Brent Oil Products (within the month) – Heating Oil, Jet Fuel, Gasoline, Diesel, Residual Fuel Oil, NGL Swaps – Forwards and futures – Spot and term – Options (Avg price, zero cost collars, Exotics) Electricity Currently trading in PJM/NY/NEPOOL Market Forwards and Strips (next day to 2+ years) Options (Daily, Monthly and Calendar) Heat Rate Swaps and Options Merrill Lynch Qualifications Capabilities of Oil and Gas Investment Banking Merrill Lynch’s strong experience with energy companies provides the Authority with the expertise from both the corporate and public finance sectors Merrill Lynch’s 70 person Energy and Power Group has completed more transactions than any other firm Lead manager on approximately $20 billion of midstream public debt offers since 1993 Financial advisor on $68 billion (47%) of midstream M&A transactions since 1998 Worked on transactions for such Rocky Mountain Region-involved companies such as: $15.7 billion sale of Costal Corp. $5.8 billion merger of El Paso/Sonat Inc. Questar $200 million Senior Notes $250 million Senior Notes Enbridge Energy Partners LLP The Williams Cos. El Paso Natural Gas $780 million divestiture of Trans Canada PipelinesMidstream Assets $800 million Senior Notes $693 million Senior Notes $625 million Senior Notes Northern Border Partners $178 million sale of gathering and treating company $110 million acquisition of AltaGas stake Kinder Morgan Energy Partners $190 million Equity Offering $ 8.2 billion acquisition of Westcoast Energy $1 billion Notes $400 million floating rate and senior notes Market and Industry Update Market Update and Analyses Current and Historic (5-Year Average) Yield Curves(1) Rate 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 12 15 20 Maturity UST (1) As of August 20, 2003 AAA MMD Hist UST Hist AAA MMD 30 Tax-Exempt Market Update Tax-Exempt Market Update Interest Rates are near Historical Lows(1) Low Interest Rates Have Compressed the Ratio Between Taxable and Tax-Exempt Debt BMA 30-Year MMD 30-Year UST 1-Month LIBOR High Low Average 7.89% 0.70% 3.28% 7.60% 4.24% 5.83% 9.10% 4.27% 6.59% 9.13% 1.02% 4.87% Current 0.82% 5.04% 5.30% 1.10% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 01/05/1990 05/17/1991 09/25/1992 BMA Index (1) Rates as of August 18, 2003 02/04/1994 06/16/1995 30-Year MMD 10/25/1996 03/06/1998 07/16/1999 30-Year Treasury Bond 11/24/2000 04/05/2002 08/18/2003 1-mo LIBOR Interest Rate Markets Recent Volatility The last two months has seen historically dramatic interest rate increases: Tax-Exempt Revenue Bonds 10- Year Treasuries 30- Year Treasuries June 12, 2003 4.78% 3.16% 4.22% July 31, 2003 5.42% 4.47% 5.41% August 18, 2003 5.5% 4.59% 5.41% The recent bond market correction is greater than any three month loss for bonds dating back to 1927 Market Update and Analyses Merrill Lynch Interest Rate Outlook As of August 1, 2003 Rate 5.70 5.20 4.70 4.20 3.70 3.20 Current 2003Q3 2003Q4 2004Q1 2004Q2 2004Q3 2004Q4 Maturity 10-Year MMD 30-Year MMD 10-Year UST 30-Year UST Financing Options Financing Options Wyoming’s Natural Gas Basins Wyoming has many underutilized natural gas supply basins….. Big Horn Denver-Cheyenne Green River Laramie Overthrust Powder River Thrust Belt Williston Wind River Financing Options Proposed Wyoming Natural Gas Pipelines/Projects Proposed pipeline projects on the drawing board to help export Wyoming natural gas from companies such as: Colorado Interstate Gas Company, an El Paso Company Kinder Morgan Interstate Gas Transmission LLC Northern Plains Natural Gas Company Questar Williston Basin Interstate Pipeline QUESTAR CORPORATION Financing Options Funding Environment The funding environment for natural gas projects is challenging Companies wanting to build natural gas pipeline projects have had a difficult time raising cost effective capital: Creditworthiness of shippers Parent companies under credit stress Bank facility market very expensive if available at all Investors avoiding energy sector Before the Authority became proactively involved in the Wyoming marketplace, potential pipeline projects could only look to the market for financing options. Project Finance most commonly used funding structure for pipeline projects Financing Options Project Finance General Project Finance Deal Parameters: Deal most likely secured by shipper agreements for life of bonds Most transactions below investment grade 70 percent debt structure is aggressive in today’s market Credit rating will follow closely with lowest-rated shippers Deals rarely longer than 15 years without direct guarantee from pipeline owner Financing Options Project Finance Project Finance Example: Kern River Gas Transmission Company 926-mile interstate pipeline transporting gas from Rocky Mountains to California Kern River closed on purchase of original pipeline from Williams Companies on March 27, 2002 $875 million Project Financing secured by credit facility closed on June 21, 2002 Variable rate structure increasing over term of facility $1.2 billion expansion project initiated construction on August 6, 2002 -717-mile loop pipeline from Lincoln County, Wyoming to Kern County, California $836 million of its 4.893% Senior Notes with a final maturity of April 30, 2018 closed on June 1, 2003 to terminate credit facility Senior notes share pari passu in all collateral available to Kern River’s senior noteholders Financing Options Project Finance Project Finance Example: Kern River Gas Transmission Company Results: Credit Ratings: Standard & Poor’s A-/Moody’s Baa 70 percent debt and 30 percent equity Financing secured by binding long-term 10-15 year firm transportation agreements with 17 different shippers Minimum debt service coverage of 1.55X Running near capacity since opening in spring of 2003 of 1.73 billion cubic feet per day Financing Options Project Finance WPA Example: Cheyenne Plains Pipeline Gas Company Project Proposed 380 mile 30/36-inch natural gas pipeline from Cheyenne Hub to Kansas In service goal of August 2005 Up to 1.8 bcfd of capacity Financing needs of $332 million to $410 million. 14 transportation service agreements for 10-year+ provide 100% subscription Current subscription period for 36-inch pipeline still outstanding 60 percent debt and 40 percent equity proposed Financing Options Project Finance WPA Example: Cheyenne Plains Pipeline Gas Company Project The credit rating for this project financing will be a mix of all the shipper participants Cheyenne Plains Project Subscription Amounts and Shipper Credit Ratings Cheyenne Plains Project Subscription Amounts Anadarko Energy Services Company BP Energy Company ConocoPhillips Company Enogex Inc. Kansas Gas Service Company Kennedy oil Company Kerr-McGee Corporation National Fuel Marketing Company Noble Gas Marketing Inc. Oneok Energy Trading and Marketing 2/ Palo Petroleum Inc. Westport Resources Corporation Atmos Energy Corporation Bill Barrett Corporation3/ Contracted Amount (Dth/D) Length of Contract Term (yrs.) S&P Moody's BBB+ AA+ ABBB+ BB+ - Baa1 Aa1 A3 Baa3 Ba1 - 100,000 40,000 30,000 60,000 75,000 15,000 10 10 11 10 10 10 BBB BBB+ BBB Long term is Baa3, Commercial paper is Prime 3 A3 Baa1 40,000 10,000 4,560 10 10 10 ABB A- Baa1 Ba3 A3 - 120,000 2,000 43,440 11,000 9,000 10 10 10 15 12.25/13.25 560,000 Financing Options Potential Role of Authority in Funding Gas Pipelines (1) Advocate for Wyoming Natural Gas Marketplace - Authority continues to address issues such a permitting, regulation, market aggregation, and legislative support (2) Issuing Authority for Project’s Bonds - Providing State tax-exemption (3) State of Wyoming Investment Participation - State invests funds in bonds issued by Authority (4) State of Wyoming Moral Pledge - State backs project debt service if project revenues fail to meet required levels (5) State of Wyoming Revenue Pledges - State provides revenues to back reserve fund or otherwise pay debt service By enhancing the financing of new gas pipelines, the State will benefit through increased economic activity Financing Options State Investment Participation The State of Wyoming Treasurer’s Office is considering the option of purchasing revenue bonds backed by Authority The State could also utilize funds from its “rainy day fund” to purchase bonds in the market if necessary. This potential market support would be very helpful during the marketing and pricing of the related bond transaction Must ensure that investments meet fiduciary requirements of State This participation enhances the marketability of the issue but not the credit Financing Options State Moral Obligation Example State of Illinois “Energy For Illinois” 2001 Coal Revival Initiative $3 billion in State authorization intended to lure coal companies interested in building coal-burning power plants – State moral obligation backing up to $300 million in revenue bonds provide additional credit enhancement for project(s). State must cover shortfalls on bond payments – Kicks in once reserve fund tapped Governor notifies and General Assembly then approves an appropriation to replenish the reserve Less valuable in times of governmental fiscal stress Financing Options Recommended Next Steps for WPA WPA Example: Cheyenne Plains Pipeline Gas Company Project (1) Help Cheyenne Plains to continue to pursue FERC approval goal of April 1, 2004 (2) Help project to receive bridge financing once approved/bond anticipation notes (3) Pursue legislative changes, if desired, during the Wyoming 2004 Budget Session, which convenes February 9, 2004 (4) Utilize moral pledge or revenue pledge structure, if approved by the State Legislature, to help issue 10-year fixed rate bonds at a cost lower than a stand-alone project financing Contact Information Ed Burdett, Managing Director and Head of Western Region Greg Dawley, Vice President 101 California Street, Suite 1225 350 South Grand Ave., Suite 2830 San Francisco, California 94111 Los Angeles, California 90071 Tel: (415) 676-3210 Tel: (213) 217-4504 Fax: (415) 676-3351 Fax: (213) 217-4530 eburdett@exchange.ml.com gdawley@exchange.ml.com NY000WUA.ppt 08/22/2003 10:43 AM (1) Presentation to Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority: Financing Natural Gas Pipeline Projects in Wyoming August 26, 2003