No Calculators Required Presented by Bill Cloud Julian Scheer term associate professor School of Journalism and Mass Communication University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill American Copy Editors Society Convention Miami, Florida, April 20, 2007 Joe Nuxhall, age 15, is shown in a Cincinnati Reds uniform in Cincinnati, Ohio, on June 10, 1944, when he entered a game and pitched two-thirds of an inning to become the youngest player to ever participate in a major league game. (AP Photo) A football field is 120 yards long (endline to endline) Either way, the Baltic would not have covered two football fields and most of a third. 300 miles in 90 minutes = 100 miles every 30 minutes Or 200 mph. The fastest Indianapolis 500 ever: 185.981 mph, Arie Luyendyk, in 1990 Sgt. J.M. Praskey told the Syracuse Herald American that t he race began Saturday morning in Boston and that some of the people arrested covered the 1 75 miles from the Massachusetts-New York line to Syracuse in 90 minutes — averaging 115 mph. How heavy is a paperweight? Addition = sum Subtraction = difference Multiplication = product Division = quotient A distinction worth preserving? If 50 percent more is X + 0.5X … Then isn’t 6 times more equal to X + 6X? 350 + (6*350) =2,450, not 2,100 If 50 percent as much is X * 0.5 … Then, isn’t 6 times as much equal to X* 6? 350 *6 = 2,100 Less than half as well? “The average (mean) score for blacks in percentage terms was 49, and that for whites was 72.” Chernobyl 200,000 km2 * 0.386102159 = 77,220.4318 square miles. An imprecise estimate (200,000) becomes a precise figure (77,220) Another estimate becoming exact? 558 feet = 170 meters 902 feet = 275 meters 3,000 Miles 3,000 Miles 3,000 * 3,000 = 9 million square miles Area of United States? Wikipedia: 3,718,695 square miles Atlapedia: 3,618,784 square miles Enchanted Learning: 3,537,441 square miles CIA: 9,826,630 km2, or 3,794,083.1 square miles Take your pick! But it was labeled mcf! The chart belies the lede A good rule of thumb: A trend is three measurements in the same direction. So much for a trend! • In 2001, there were 79 train-vehicle crashes. • In 2002, there were 78. • In 2003, there were 72. The M&M Challenge Courtesy of Phil Meyer Knight Chair in Journalism Regression toward the mean: A school district views with pride that its lowest-scoring school in 2006 on a standardized text shows improvement in 2007. But that’s what’s most likely to happen. Extremely high or extremely low scores tend to regress toward the mean simply because of random luck.