How Can We Assess and Explain Financial Performance? Financial Ratio Analysis How can published financial statements be used to assess financial performance? Financial Ratio Types • Market Value • Profitability • Asset Activity • Leverage • Liquidity Market Value Ratios • Examples: Marketto-Book; PriceEarnings • Questions: How do securities markets value the company’s assets? Earnings? Profitability Ratios • Examples: Return on assets, equity, invested capital; gross, net profit margin • Questions: How profitable is the company per dollar invested in the business; per dollar of sales? Asset Activity Ratios • Examples: asset turnover, average collection period, inventory conversion period, payables deferral period • Questions: How efficiently does the company use its assets? How long does it take assets or liabilities to turn into cash? Leverage Ratios • Examples: Debt/assets; Debt/equity; Interest coverage • Questions: How much of a burden does debt pose relative to assets, equity or cash flow? How risky is the company? Liquidity Ratios • Examples: Current ratio, quick ratio, interval measure • Questions: How easily can the company meet its immediate cash requirements? How risky is the company? Financial Ratios Relative to What? • By themselves, financial ratios have no meaning. We need to compare to: – Past data for the same company – Data for similar companies (e.g., same industry) – Other ratios (i.e., DuPont ratios, Cash Conversion Cycle) Does One Trend Coincide with Another? A Good Source of Company Ratios www.investor.reuters.com Dell and Gateway: Margin Trends 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 18.6 18.2 17.9 17.7 20.2 20.7 22.5 22.1 21.5 6.6 6.4 6 4 6.8 6.6 8 7.7 6.7 Gross Margin 9.1 13.6 13.6 14.1 21.4 20.5 18.3 17.1 18.6 Net margin 0.5 -15.1 -7.1 -17.4 2.5 4.8 4.5 1.7 5 Dell Gross Margin Net Margin Gateway Dell, Gateway and Computer Hardware Dell Gateway Industry 18.6 9.1 31.1 Net Margin 6.6 0.5 7.2 Asset Turnover 2.4 2.1 1.5 Inventory Turnover 91.6 16.4 45 Rec. Turnover 12.6 11.9 8.6 ROIC 40.8 3.2 19.6 ROE 58.4 44.4 31.9 0.9 0.8 1.3 13.6 3.7 6.9 Gross Margin Quick Ratio Mkt/Book DuPont Ratios Net Income x Sales x Assets = Net Income Sales Assets Equity Equity Net profit margin X Asset x Equity = turnover multiplier ROE DuPont Analysis: Selected Companies ROE S/A NI/S A/E Burlington Northern Santa Fe 0.138 0.128 0.337 3.219 Citicorp 0.165 0.102 0.114 14.121 Consolidated Edison 0.113 0.495 0.098 2.340 Merck 0.375 0.943 0.195 2.038 Safeway 0.334 3.203 0.025 4.209 Wal-Mart Stores 0.198 2.776 0.030 2.384 THE CASH CONVERSION CYCLE DAYS SALES IN INVENTORY INVENTORY/(COGS/DAY) INVENTORIES PURCHASED DAYS SALES IN RECEIVABLES RECEIVABLES/(SALES/DAY) SALES BOOKED SUPPLIERS PAID IN CASH CASH RECEIVED FOR SALES PAYABLES/((COGS+SG&A)/DAY) DAYS SALES IN PAYABLES CASH CONVERSION CYCLE Cash Conversion Cycle: Selected Companies Company Inv. Conv. Ave. Coll. Op. Cycle Pay. Def. Cash Conv. HewlettPackard 89.8 65.1 154.9 65.9 89 Merck 70 42.7 112.7 66 46.7 Boeing 74.1 22 96.1 54.4 41.7 Wal-Mart Stores 64.4 2.8 67.2 37.4 29.8 Safeway 33.9 2.8 36.7 35.3 1.4 American Airlines 15.1 24.7 39.8 70.9 -31.1 McDonald's 3.9 7.1 11 62.2 -51.2