Capital Markets and Portfolio Analysis Role of Capital Market • It facilitates capital formation in the economy. • It establish direct link between FDEs (Fund deficit entities)and FSEs(Fund surplus entities). • It basically supply funds to business houses. Portfolio It is a Combination of different investment assets mixed and matched for the purpose of achieving investors goal . PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT STEPS ARE• Learn the basic principle of finance. P/E ratio analysis EIC Analysis • Set portfolio objective. • Formulate investment Strategy. • Have a game plan for Portfolio revision. • Evaluate Performance. • Protect the portfolio when appropriate Constituents of Capital Market• Primary Market • Secondary Market on investment are in form of• Capital yield • Dividend Yield Secondary Market ProductsShares Bond Equity investment Equity investment Styles are1) Value investment style • • • • • Turnaround story Merger & Takeovers Demerger Reconstruction Buyback/Open offer Cont…. 2) Growth Stock 3) Momentum/Sector Rotation Risk Estimated Expected Returns Issues In Capital Market Book Building Book Building is basically a capital issuance process used in Initial Public Offer (IPO) which aids price and demand discovery. It is a process used for marketing a public offer of equity shares of a company. Process • The Issuer who is planning an IPO nominates a lead merchant banker as a 'book runner'. • specifies the number of securities to be issued and the price band for orders. • appoints syndicate members • Investors place their order with a syndicate member through the process of biding • A Book should remain open for a minimum of 5 days • Bids cannot be entered less than the floor price. • Bids can be revised by the bidder before the issue closes. • On the close of the book building period the 'book runner evaluates the bids • The book runner and the company conclude the final price • Allocation of securities is made to the successful bidders. • Book Building is a good concept and represents a capital market which is in the process of maturing. Bid and Ask Price Price Mechanism or Market-Based Mechanism refers to a wide variety of ways to match up buyers and sellers. An example of a price mechanism uses announced bid and ask prices. Generally speaking, when two parties wish to engage in a trade, the purchaser will announce a price he is willing to pay (the bid price) and seller will announce a price he is willing to accept (the ask price). The main advantage of such a method is that conditions are laid out in advance and transactions can proceed with no further permission or authorization from any participant. When any bid and ask price are compatible, a transaction occurs, in most cases automatically. Products in the Secondary Markets Shares: • Equity Share • Rights Issue/ Rights Shares • Bonus Share • Preference shares • Cumulative Preference Shares: • Cumulative Convertible Preference Shares: • Sweat Equity Bond: Zero Coupon Bond Convertible Bond Treasury Bills 1) Growth Stocks 2) Value Stocks Short selling. • The selling of a security that the seller does not own, or any sale that is completed by the delivery of a security borrowed by the seller • The buyer (Speculator) of a security such as a stock, commodity or currency, buy with the expectation that the asset will rise in value Rolling settlement • India has T+2 rolling settlement as opposed to T+3 in NYSE. • Clearing Settlement • Mark to Margin Market Phase • • • • Bull Phase Bear Phase Open Close Trading • Basket Trading • Index Trading • Buyback Trading Portfolio Analysis PORTFOLIO • In finance, a portfolio is an appropriate mix or collection of investments held by institutions or a private individual. • Holding a portfolio is part of an investment and risk-limiting strategy called diversification. By owning several assets, certain types of risk (in particular specific risk) can be reduced. Portfolio real estates, 10% gold certificates, 6% others, 2% future contracts, 2% stocks, 20% stocks bonds warrants, 10% bonds, 35% options, 15% options warrants gold certificates real estates future contracts others Portfolio Formation Many strategies have been developed to form a portfolio. • equally-weighted portfolio • capitalization-weighted portfolio • price-weighted portfolio • optimal portfolio (for which the Sharpe ratio is highest) PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT • Portfolio management involves deciding what assets to include in the portfolio, given the goals of the portfolio owner and changing economic conditions. • Selection involves deciding - what assets to purchase, - how many to purchase, - when to purchase them, - and what assets to divest. Types of portfolio management ACTIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT PASSIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Process of Portfolio Management Risk Profile and Objectives Analysis Investment Policy Statement Diversification Portfolio Rebalancing Results Report Results Report Portfolio Analysis • Analyzing elements of a firm's product mix to determine the optimum allocation of its resources. Two most common measures used in a portfolio analysis are market growth rate and relative market share. MODELS The Jensen Index. The Treynor Index. The Sharpe Diagonal (or Index) model. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Value at risk model. Strategy - portfolio analysis - ge matrix • The business portfolio is the collection of businesses and products that make up the company. • The company must: (1) Analyse its current business portfolio and decide which businesses should receive more or less investment, and (2) Develop growth strategies for adding new products and businesses to the portfolio, whilst at the same time deciding when products and businesses should no longer be retained. • The two best-known portfolio planning methods are the Boston Consulting Group Portfolio Matrix and the McKinsey / General Electric Matrix .. The diagram illustrates some of the possible elements that determine market attractiveness and competitive strength by applying the McKinsey/GE Matrix to the UK retailing market: Better Stock Picking 12 steps to better stock picking GET INFORMED GET EDUCATED DEFINE OBJECTIVES UNDERSTAND RISK TOLERANCE TRACK SUCCESS FIND A FIT WHAT INVESTORS DO DO RESEARCH WORK DISCIPLINE CONFUSED? MANAGEMENT NEVER END PROCESS Review of Portfolio Review of Portfolio • When something goes wrong that you realise it hadn't been running as smoothly as you thought it was. This gives Review to Portfolio • Investors subject their investment portfolio to a regular MOT. • It includes:– – – – Goals Asset Allocation Performance Check Shopping for funds Rebalance of Portfolio Rebalance of Portfolio • If our money is in several different kinds of investment, the first thing we need to do is check the balance is right. • There are, very roughly, three types of investor – – risk-averse, – medium-risk and – adventurous. Steps to Review and Rebalance Our Portfolio 5 Steps to Reviewing and Rebalancing Your Portfolio Reinvest Dividends Review each Investment Review Portfolio for Deviations from Target Allocation Buy and Sell Shares to Regain Target Allocation Sit Back and Watch Until it is Time to Rebalance Again References Refrences • • • • • • • • • • • Financial post.com Investopedia.com Equitymaster.com Icicidirect.com wsj.com(wallstreetjournal.com) Personalfn.com Security analysis and portfolio management by Dr. RP Rustagi Journal on financial analyst, Economictimes.indiatimes.com Capitalmarket.com Capitaline.com Presented By:Neeraj Mahendru Iti Dubey Vinay kapoor Krishna pati Tripathi Neelam Bhardwaj Swati Sharma