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2015 Economic Update
Strategies to Consider
Questions & Answers
All examples provided are hypothetical and meant for illustrative purposes only. State income tax laws can be different from
Federal income tax laws depending on your state. Be sure to take this into account before making any decisions. Individual situations will vary so please consult a tax advisor to address your specific situation.
Five Key Areas of Financial Planning
Protection
Retirement Plan
Investments
Tax Planning
Estate Planning
Let’s take a non-emotional look at some key facts!
Is the stock market overdue for a correction?
• The S&P has gone over 1,250 days and nearly doubled in price with no major setbacks since its last drop of 10%.
• S&P averages approximately one correction a year.
• Some argue that equity markets have been technically overdue since the end of 2012.
(Source: Barron’s 4/27/2015)
It’s not the longest streak investors have seen…
October 1990 –
October 1997
Gain of 223%
(Source: Barron’s 4/27/2015)
In April the
NASDAQ reached a
15-year high!
While the index recovered….
conditions have changed!
Let’s compare…
2000 2015
$525 billion #1 $393 billion #2
$21 billion $759 billion #1
$466 billion #2 $147 billion #10
Wasn’t public $388 billion #3
Didn’t Exist $228 billion #4
(Source: Reuters 4/23/2015)
Wall Street’s top strategists are all bullish for 2015
(Source: Barron’s 12/13/2015)
Increased volatility has returned to the equity markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average
Source: www.tradingeconomics.com
Interest Rates
101
Federal Funds Rate is still near 0%
Fed Chair Janet Yellen is clearly caught between the economy and markets in deciding the first rate rise.
"She seems to be hinting that they're going to have to raise rates one way or the other as long as the economy is growing at all."
Chris Low
Chief Economist FTN Financial
Key Interest Rates are Low in Most Countries
What about
OIL prices?
Oil prices still need to be monitored
Recent Job Reports Looked Strong!
What will the future bring?
Our GOAL is to monitor your situation!
Investors need to prepare for any environment!
Meet With You!
Confirm your risk tolerance is where it should be for your situation.
Rebalance – Where appropriate
Capital Gains & Loss Tax Harvesting
Review Your Retirement Plans
It might be a good time to
Re-evaluate your risk tolerance.
Conservative?
Moderate?
Aggressive?
The Stock Market vs . Your Portfolio
An index, whether S&P 500 or the Dow Jones, isn’t a measure of your portfolio.
It’s what your portfolio is doing, not what “the market” is doing, that is important.
Your portfolio doesn’t always move in lock step with any single market or index.
Indexes cannot be invested in directly, are unmanaged and do not incur management fees, costs and expenses.
Emotions can often play a large role in how people manage their money.
What Has History Taught Us ?
It’s near impossible to consistently predict market declines or increases.
It’s equally as hard to predict how long a market decline or increase will last.
It’s almost impossible to consistently predict the absolute best time to get in or out of the market!
We review changes for our clients regularly.
What can you expect from us?
Constant communication
More frequent discussions
We are constantly reviewing economic, tax, estate and investment issues for our clients
Our role as your advisor:
We will maintain a non-emotional objective
We will avoid knee-jerk reactions
We will assist you in making decisions that are always in your best interest !
WE WILL BE HERE FOR YOU!!!
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The views expressed are not necessarily the opinion of
Insert Broker-dealer name . Information is based on sources believed to be reliable, however, their accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed.
Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice.
Contents provided by APFA,Inc.
Copyright 2015 APFA, Inc.