Finance School of Management Chapter 3: Interpreting Financial Statements Objective Contrast Economic and Accounting Models Value of Accounting Information 1 School of Management Finance Chapter 3 Contents Review of Financial Statements Market Values v. Book Values Accounting v. Economic Measures of Income Return on Shareholders v. Return on Equity Analysis Using Financial Ratios The Relation Among Ratios Limitations of Ratio Analysis Purpose and Process of Financial Planning Managing Working Capital 2 School of Management Finance Review of Financial Statements Financial Statements – Provide information (clues) to the owners & creditors of a firm about the current status and past performance. – Provide a convenient way for owners & creditors to set performance targets & to impose restrictions on the managers of the firm. – Provide a convenient templates for financial planning. 3 School of Management Finance The Balance Sheet Summarizing a firm’s assets (what it owns), liabilities (what it owes), and net worth (owners’ equity) at a moment in time. – Amounts measured at historical values (acquisition cost) and historical exchange rates. – Prepared according to GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles). – Exchange-listed companies must comply with SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) rules. 4 School of Management Finance The Balance Sheet Major Divisions – Assets Current assets (less than a year) Long-term assets (longer than a year) – Depreciation – Liabilities and Stockholder’s Equity Liabilities – Current Liabilities Net Working Capital = Current Assets - Liabilities – Long-term debt Equity 5 Finance GPC Balance Sheet at Dec 31, 2xx1 2xx0 Assets Cash & mkt'ble secs Receivables Inventories *Current assets Pp&e Acc depreciation *Net pp&e 2xx1 School of Management Change 100.0 50.0 150.0 300.0 120.0 60.0 180.0 360.0 20.0 10.0 30.0 60.0 400.0 (100.0) 300.0 490.0 (130.0) 360.0 90.0 (30.0) 60.0 **Total Assets 600.0 720.0 120.0 Liabilities & Equity Accounts payable Short-term debt *Current liabilities 60.0 90.0 150.0 72.0 184.6 256.6 12.0 94.6 106.6 Long-term debt **Total liabilities 150.0 300.0 150.0 406.6 106.6 Paid-in capital Retained earnings *Shareholders equ 200.0 100.0 300.0 200.0 113.4 313.4 13.4 13.4 Liab + Shareholder 600.0 720.0 120.0 Market Price Per Share 6 2xx0 2xx1 200.0 187.2 Finance School of Management The Income Statement Summarizing the profitability of a company during a time period. – the difference of revenues and expenses – also to be called the statement of the earnings or the statement of profit and loss 7 School of Management Finance The Income Statement Major Divisions – Revenue & cost of goods sold Gross margin – General selling and administrative expenses (GS&A) Operating income – Interest expense Taxable income – Corporate Taxes Net income 8 School of Management Finance GPC Income Statement for Year Ending 2xx1 Sales revenues Cost of goods sold *Gross margin 200.0 (110.0) 90.0 Gen sell, & admin exp *Operating income (30.0) 60.0 Interest expense *Taxable income (21.0) 39.0 Income tax *Net income (15.6) 23.4 Allocation to divs *Chg retained earn (10.0) 13.4 9 School of Management Finance The Income Statement It is important to remember – Retained earnings are not added to the cash balance of the firm, but are added to shareholder’s equity. – Accounts show historical values, not market values. 10 School of Management Finance The Cash-Flow Statement Shows the cash that flowed into and from a firm during a time period. – Focuses attention on a firm’s cash situation. A firm may be profitable and short of cash. – Unlike the balance sheet and income statement, cash flow statements are independent of accounting methods. Net income is based on accrual accounting methods, and affected by many judgments about issues such as how to value the inventory, depreciate the tangible assets, and amortize the intangible assets. 11 School of Management Finance GPC Cash Flow Statement, for the Year ending Dec 31, 2xx1 Net income + Depreciation - Increase in acc rec - Increase in invent + Increase in acc pay *Total cash from operations 23.4 30.0 (10.0) (30.0) 12.0 25.4 - Invest in new ppe *Cash flow invest' activities (90.0) (90.0) -Div paid + Inc short-term debt *Cash flow from financing (10.0) 94.6 84.6 **Chng cash & mkt securities 20.0 12 School of Management Finance GPC Income Statement for Year Ending 2xx1 Sales revenues Cost of goods sold *Gross margin GPC Balance Sheet at Dec 31, 2xx1 2xx0 Assets Cash & mkt'ble secs Receivables Inventories *Current assets Pp&e Acc depreciation *Net pp&e **Total Assets 2xx1 Change 100.0 50.0 150.0 300.0 120.0 60.0 180.0 360.0 20.0 10.0 30.0 60.0 400.0 (100.0) 300.0 490.0 (130.0) 360.0 90.0 (30.0) 60.0 600.0 720.0 120.0 Liabilities & Equity Accounts payable Short-term debt *Current liabilities 60.0 90.0 150.0 72.0 184.6 256.6 12.0 94.6 106.6 Long-term debt **Total liabilities 150.0 300.0 150.0 406.6 106.6 Paid-in capital Retained earnings *Shareholders equ 200.0 100.0 300.0 200.0 113.4 313.4 13.4 13.4 Liab + Shareholder 600.0 720.0 120.0 200.0 (110.0) 90.0 Gen sell, & admin exp *Operating income (30.0) 60.0 Interest expense *Taxable income (21.0) 39.0 Income tax *Net income (15.6) 23.4 Allocation to divs *Chg retained earn (10.0) 13.4 GPC Cash Flow Statement, for the Year ending Dec 31, 2xx1 Net income + Depreciation - Increase in acc rec - Increase in invent + Increase in acc pay *Total cash from operations 23.4 30.0 (10.0) (30.0) 12.0 25.4 - Invest in new ppe *Cash flow invest' activities (90.0) (90.0) -Div paid + Inc short-term debt *Cash flow from financing (10.0) 94.6 84.6 **Chng cash & mkt securities 13 20.0 School of Management Finance Notes on Financial Statements More information relevant to understanding the true financial condition of the company in the notes to the financial statements. – An explanation of accounting methods used – Greater details regarding certain assets or liabilities – Information regarding the equity structure of the firm – Documentation of changes in operations – Off-balance-sheet items 14 Finance School of Management Market Values v. Book Values Book value: the official accounting values of assets and shareholders’ equity Two reasons why the market price of a company’s stock does not equal its book value – The book value does not include all of a firm’s assets and liabilities. – The assets and liabilities included on a firm’s official balance sheet are valued at original acquisition cost less depreciation, rather than at current market value. 15 School of Management Finance Market Values v. Book Values The accounting balance sheet often omits some economically significant assets. – Intangible assets: a good reputation, a knowledge base – Goodwill: the difference between the acquisition price and the book value when a firm is acquired The accounting balance sheet also omits some economically significant liabilities. – Contingent liabilities: costly lawsuits 16 Finance School of Management Which is Relevant for Financial Decision-Making IBM’s equipment for shell molding – Purchased for $3.9 million 3 years ago – The book value at $2.6 million after 3 years depreciation – The market value has fallen to $1.2 million because of technological change in the manufacture of computer shells. Inventory of copper to be used in the manufacturing process of heating furnaces – You paid $29,000 at the beginning of the year. – The market value has risen to $60,000. For decision-making purposes, the correct value to use is the market value, whenever available. – Marking to market 17 School of Management Finance Accounting v. Economic Measures of Income Accounting measure of net income Revenue - Expenses - Taxes Economic measure of net income Net cash flow to shareholders + Change in value of existing shareholders’ equity – The accounting net income of GPC Corp. in 20x1 was $23.4 million. – Net cash flow to GPC shareholders was $10 million, and the price of GPC stock fell from $200 to $187.2. Thus, its economic income in 20x1 was $10 million - $12.8 million = -$2.8 million 18 School of Management Finance Returns to Shareholders v. Return on Equity Recall: Capital gain or loss Re turn = Interest payments (EndPrice - StartPrice )+ CashDividends StartPrice EconomicIncome $ - 2.8Million = = = -1.4% StartPrice $200Million This is the total shareholder return. 19 School of Management Finance Returns to Shareholders v. Return on Equity Traditionally, corporate performance has been measured by Return on Equity, ROE Accounting Income Shareholders Equity Net Income = Shareholders Equity $ 23 .4 Million = = 7 .8 % $ 300 Million ROE = 20 Finance School of Management Analysis Using Financial Ratios Despite the differences between accounting and economic financial principle, a firm’s published statements can often offer some clues about its financial condition and provide insights into its past performance that may be relevant for the future. 21 School of Management Finance Profitability EBIT Sales 60 = = 30% 200 EBIT Return on Assets (RoA) = AverageTotalAssets 60 = = 9.1% (600 + 720)/ 2 NetIncome Return on Equity (RoE) = StockHolder' sEquity 23.4 = = 7.6% (300 + 313.4 )/ 2 Return on Sales (RoS) = 22 School of Management Finance Asset Turnover Sales AverageReceivables 200 = = 3.6 Times (50 + 60)/ 2 Cost of Goods Sold InventoryTurnover= AverageInventory 110 = = (150 + 180)/ 2 0.7 Times Sales Asset Turnover= AverageTotal Assets 200 = = 0.3 Times (600 + 720)/ 2 Receivables Turnover= 23 School of Management Finance Financial Leverage Total Debt = Debt Total Assets = 406.6 = 57% 720 EBIT = Times Interest Earned Interest Expense 60 = = 2.9 Times 21 24 School of Management Finance Liquidity Current Assets Current Liabilities 360 = = 1.4 Times 256.6 Cash + Receivables Quick, or acid test = Current Liabilities 180 = = 0.7 Times 256.6 Current = 25 School of Management Finance Market Value Price Per Share Price to Earnings = Earnings per Share 187.2 = = 8.0 23.4 Price per Share Market to Book = Book Value per Share 187.20 = = 0.6 313.4 26 School of Management Finance Ratio Comparisons Establish Your Perspective – – – – Shareholder Employee, Management, or Union Creditor Predator, Customer, Supplier, Competitor, Trade Association Benchmarks – Other companies’ ratios – The firm’s historical ratios – Data extracted from financial markets 27 Finance School of Management Relationships Amongst Ratios It is sometimes valuable to decompose ratios into sums, differences, products and quotients of other ratios. Many such schemes start with: EBIT EBIT Sales RoA = = * Assets Sales Assets = Return on Sales * Asset Turnover 28 School of Management Finance Differences between ROS and ATO across Industries A “low” ROS or ATO ratio need not be a sign of a trouble firm. ROS * ATO = ROA Supermarket chain 0.02 5.0 0.10 Public utility 0.20 0.5 0.10 29 Finance School of Management The Effect of Financial Leverage An increase in a firm’s financial leverage will increase its ROE if and only if its ROA exceeds the interest rate on the borrowed funds. ROE= (1-Tax Rate) ×[ROA+Debt/Equity×(ROA-Interest Rate)] Increased financial leverage magnifies the variability that firms experience in their ROE over the business cycle and increases the likelihood of bankruptcy. From the perspective of a creditor, an increase in a firm’s debt ratio is generally a negative sign. 30 Finance School of Management Limitations of Ratio Analysis A firm’s profitability as reflected in its financial statements may sometimes seem awful but may just be inevitable result of a long-run strategy of restructuring or repositioning which will ultimately make the firm much more profitable. It is difficult to define a set of comparable firms to serve as a benchmark for judging a company’s performance. Financial statements reflect the conventions of the accounting profession, which may not reflect what is most relevant from a financial decision-maker’s perspective. 31 School of Management Finance The Financial Planning Process Financial Planning is a dynamic process following a cycle of – making plans, – implementing them, and – revising them in the light of actual results. Strategic plans Planning horizon 32 Finance School of Management Steps of Financial Planning Process Forecasting the key external factors that determine the demand for the firm’s products and its production costs. Forecasting the firm’s revenues, expenses, cash flows, and estimating the implied need for external financing. Establishing performance targets. Measuring actual performance, correcting actions and adjusting targets. Distributing the rewards and starting again the planning cycle. 33 School of Management Finance An Illustration: GPC Percent-of-sales method – making a forecast of sales for the next year. – assuming that most of the items on the income statement and balance sheet will remain the same ratio to sales as in the previous year. Additional Financing Needed = Change in Assets – Increase in Retained Earnings – Increase in Payables 34 School of Management Finance GPC Financial Statements: 2xx1-2xx3 2xx1 Sales revenues Cost of goods sold Gross margin Gen sell, & admin exp EBIT Interest expense taxes Net income dividends Chg retained earn 200.00 (110.00) 90.00 (30.00) 60.00 (30.00) (12.00) 18.00 (5.40) 12.60 2xx2 2xx3 240.00 (132.00) 108.00 (36.00) 72.00 (45.21) (10.72) 16.07 (4.82) 11.25 288.00 (158.40) 129.60 (43.20) 86.40 (64.04) (8.94) 13.41 (4.02) 9.39 2xx0 2xx1 2xx2 2xx3 Assets Cash & mkt'ble secs Receivables Inventories Pp&e 600.00 10.00 40.00 50.00 500.00 720.00 12.00 48.00 60.00 600.00 864.00 14.40 57.60 72.00 720.00 1,036.80 17.28 69.12 86.40 864.00 liabilities payables 300.00 407.40 540.15 703.56 Short-term debt Long-term debt 30.00 120.00 150.00 36.00 221.40 150.00 43.20 346.95 150.00 51.84 501.72 150.00 Shareholders’ equ 300.00 312.60 323.85 333.24 Balance Sheet 35 School of Management Finance GPC Common-Size Financial Statements: 2xx1-2xx3 2xx1 2xx2 2xx3 100.0% (55.0) 45.0 (15.0) 30.0 (15.0) (6.0) 9.0 (2.7) 6.3 100.0% (55.0) 45.0 (15.0) 30.0 (18.8) (4.5) 6.7 (2.0) 4.7 100.0% (55.0) 45.0 (15.0) 30.0 (22.2) (3.1) 4.7 (1.4) 3.3 2xx1 2xx2 2xx3 360.0% 6.0 24.0 30.0 300.0 360.0% 6.0 24.0 30.0 300.0 360.0% 6.0 24.0 30.0 300.0 203.7 225.1 244.3 Short-term debt Long-term debt 18.0 110.7 75.0 18.0 144.6 62.5 18.0 174.2 52.1 Shareholders’ equ 156.3 134.9 115.7 Sales revenues Cost of goods sold Gross margin Gen sell, & admin exp EBIT Interest expense taxes Net income dividends Chg retained earn Balance Sheet Assets Cash & mkt'ble secs Receivables Inventories Pp&e liabilities payables 36 School of Management Finance GPC Forecast Financial Statements: 2xx1-2xx3 2xx1 Sales revenues Cost of goods sold Gross margin Gen sell, & admin exp EBIT Interest expense taxes Net income dividends Chg retained earn 200.00 (110.00) 90.00 (30.00) 60.00 (30.00) (12.00) 18.00 (5.40) 12.60 2xx2 2xx3 2xx4e 240.00 (132.00) 108.00 (36.00) 72.00 (45.21) (10.72) 16.07 (4.82) 11.25 288.00 (158.40) 129.60 (43.20) 86.40 (64.04) (8.94) 13.41 (4.02) 9.39 345.60 (190.08) 155.52 (51.84) 103.68 (87.26) (6.57) 9.85 (2.96) 6.90 15% 8% 2xx0 2xx1 2xx2 2xx3 2xx3 Assets Cash & mkt'ble secs Receivables Inventories Pp&e 600.00 10.00 40.00 50.00 500.00 720.00 12.00 48.00 60.00 600.00 864.00 14.40 57.60 72.00 720.00 1,036.80 17.28 69.12 86.40 864.00 1,244.16 20.74 82.94 103.68 1,036.80 liabilities payables 300.00 407.40 540.15 703.56 904.02 Short-term debt Long-term debt 30.00 120.00 150.00 36.00 221.40 150.00 43.20 346.95 150.00 51.84 501.72 150.00 62.21 691.81 150.00 Shareholders’ equ 300.00 312.60 323.85 333.24 340.14 Balance Sheet 37 School of Management Finance Sustainable Growth Rate Assumptions: – The firm will not issue any new equity shares, so that growth in equity capital occurs only through the retention of earnings. – The firm will not increase its ratio of debt to equity, so that external debt financing will grow at the same rate as equity grows through retained earnings. Sustainable Growth Rate = Earings Retention Rate × ROE Implications: – The maximum sustainable growth rate is equal to the firm’s ROE. – If a firm tries to grow faster than this rate, it will have to issue new shares and/or increase its debt. 38 School of Management Finance An Illustration: Rapid Industries Asset Turnover = 0.5 Times per Year Debt/Equity Ratio = 1.0 Dividend Payout Ratio = 0.4 ROE = 20% per Year 2xx1 Sales Net income Dividends Chg retained earn &1,000,000 200,000 80,000 120,000 Sustainable Growth Rate = 0.6 × 20%=12% 2xx2 &1,120,000 224,000 89,600 134,400 2xx3 &1,254,400 250,880 100,352 150,528 2xx0 2xx1 2xx2 Assets $2,000,000 $2,240,000 $2,508,800 $2,809,856 Debt 1,000,000 1,120,000 1,254,400 1,404,928 Equity 1,000,000 1,120,000 1,254,400 1,404,928 Balance Sheet 2xx3 39 School of Management Finance Working Capital Management In most cases cash must be paid out to cover expenses before any cash is collected from the sale of the firm’s products. – If a firm’s need for working capital is permanent rather than seasonal, it usually seeks long-term financing for it. – Seasonal financing needs are met through short-term financing arrangements. The main principle of efficient working capital management – To minimize the amount of the firm’s investment in nonearning assets such as receivables and inventories. – To maximize the use of “free” credit such as prepayments by customers, accrued wages, and accounts payable. 40 School of Management Finance The Cash Flow Cycle Ordered Finished Goods Sold Arrives Raw Material Purchased Inventory Period Cash Received Receivables Period Time Payables Period Cash Cycle Time Invoice Received Cash Paid A firm can reduce its need for working capital by: – reducing the amount of time that goods are held in inventory. – collecting accounts receivable more quickly. – paying its own bills more slowly. 41