Voter Turnout Learning Objective 4: Analyze changes in voting patterns and behavior over time among demographic groups including religion, gender, race, age, and education. Historical Qualifications Religion (eliminated by state leg.) Property (eliminated by state leg.) Race (eliminated by 15th amend.) Sex (eliminated by 19th amend.) Income (eliminated by 24th amend; poll tax) Literacy (eliminated by Voting Rights Act ’65) Min. age of 21 (eliminated by 26th amend.) Current Qualifications Citizenship Residency (21 days before election in OR.) Age (18; 26th Amend) Registration (in all states, except N. Dakota) Turnout in the U.S. U.S. -- 50% in presidential, 30-40% in midterm congressional elec., lower in state/local (decline since ’60) Industrialized countries (W. Europe)-- as high as 90% Why? Some countries impose penalties (e.g, fines, stamped papers) Multi-party system allows for more clear choices Automatic/same day registration Voting as national holiday or on weekends General elections National Learning Objective 4: 60.1% in ’04 36.8% in ’06 mid-terms 61.7% in ’08 general 37.8% in ’10 mid-terms 58.7% in ’12 general Oregon 64.3% in ‘12 (#14 in Country) 48.7% in ‘10 mid-terms 85.6% in ’08 gneral Analyze changes in voting patterns and behavior over time among demographic groups including religion, gender, race, age, and education. Barriers to Voting Registration: National Voter Registration Act 1993: “Motor Voter Bill” designed to increase turnout Ballot Fatigue (excessive number of measures/offices to vote on) Excessive number of elections Type of election General Election > Primary Election (where you vote for nominee of party) Presidential > Legislative National > State Barriers Continued Absentee ballots (if living abroad) Young people have lowest turnout Political Reasons Political efficacy Dissatisfaction Lack of strong 2-party competition Weakness of parties in mobilizing voters Who Votes? Level of education: greatest predictor of voting, those with higher income vote more regardless of race, sex, or income status Income: higher income level votes more often Age: older voters more likely to vote Race: whites more likely to vote, blacks more likely than hispanics Sex: historically women voted at lower rate than men, comparable today. Does Turnout Matter If voters represented a true cross section of the U.S. (e.g., race, gender, income), than low turnout would matter Older whites with high levels of income are overrepresented (problem of class bias) Studies show that nonvoters are not that politically different from voters and would not vote in a significantly different way Learning Objective 4: Analyze changes in voting patterns and behavior over time among demographic groups including religion, gender, race, age, and education. Other Forms of Participation Petitions Demonstrations/Marches Local Party Mtgs. Campaign Contributions Writing letters/e-mail Trying to persuade others