2014 UTC - Presentation Challenge #1 PRESENTATION CHALLENGE In order to successfully complete this challenge, each Team will need to deliver a written submission and make a short PowerPoint presentation. Team Presentations must: 1. Identify the potential risks faced by the company. 2. Develop a hedging solution for those risks that the group believes need to be hedged. 3. Provide a graphical scenario analysis showing the impact of the hedges across a number of positive and negative market outcomes. 4. Develop a proposal for funding the new mine project in Australia. Each team will be allocated 15 minutes to make their ‘pitch’ to the client. The PowerPoint presentation should take 5-8 minutes, leaving time for questions. The client pitch is to be made by two of the team members with the other two team members answering the follow-up questions. ©2014 CapitalWave Inc. and University Trading Challenge | All Rights Reserved. Page 1 OVERVIEW The group project is designed to test Team’s ability to: Identify the different types of market and business risks faced by an international company Develop hedging strategies for the identified risks using traditional cash market and derivative products Present a client proposal in a clear and ordered fashion Client Overview OroMondo Exploration is a New York listed mining company that specializes in finding and developing gold mining prospects across the globe. Existing fully operational mines in Canada and South Africa currently produce 180,000 ounces of gold per year. Canada South Africa Australia (New Mine) Gold Output (Ounces) 100,000 80,000 65,000 (starting in 6 months) Production Cost per Ounce CAD 690 ZAR 5,650 AUD 750 Production costs per ounce include cash costs, government royalties and the marginal cost per ounce of mining and ore processing. They recently discovered a significant prospect in Australia and are now at the stage of bringing it into production. They require AUD 375 million in order to develop the project and envisage full gold production would commence in 6 months’ time. The company has 312 million shares on issue and they are currently trading at USD2.74 each. The company is rated BB The management of OroMondo Exploration believes gold will likely stabilize around current levels and stay within 10% over a 12 month time horizon and 20% over a 2 year horizon. They are concerned about the prospects for rising interest rates and extreme currency movements. ©2014 CapitalWave Inc. and University Trading Challenge | All Rights Reserved. Page 2 OroMondo Exploration Company Facts Consolidated Balance Sheet (USD ‘000) June 30 2014 June 30 2013 ASSETS Current Assets Cash and Cash Equivalents 23,810 16,070 Trade and Other Receivables Inventory Other Current Assets 6.560 20,390 1,502 52,262 6,426 11,966 1,517 35,979 5,914 459,477 4,478 3,035 432,377 4,247 522,131 475,638 37,437 32,543 69,690 53,584 39,415 92,999 141,562 17,768 5,148 164,478 136,318 11,848 4,464 152,630 555,691 0 -268,017 287,673 458,504 3,561 -232,056 230.009 Non-Current Assets Loan due from related party Property, plant and equipment Other Assets TOTAL ASSETS LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Trade payables Other Current Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Other liabilities Site reclamation obligations EQUITY Issued Share Capital Warrants Accumulated Deficit 522,131 475,638 Liabilities The long term debt is primarily comprised of a $150 million floating rate bank loan with interest set at 6 month USD LIBOR plus 150 basis points, and 5 years remaining to maturity. ©2014 CapitalWave Inc. and University Trading Challenge | All Rights Reserved. Page 3 KEY MARKET DATA Market Current Rate Spot Gold USD/ZAR USD/CAD AUD/USD USD 1190.75 11.316 1.1240 0.8675 Interbank Interest Rates / Swap Rates USD 0.25% 0.30% 0.35% 0.80% 1.27% 1.60% 1.88% 2.25% 2.58% 3 month 6 month 12 month 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year 7 year 10 year CAD 1.12% 1.23% 1.29% 1.44% 1.63% 1.81% 1.97% 2.23% 2.57% AUD 2.59% 2.75% 2.69% 2.78% 2.91% 3.16% 3.31% 3.57% 3.83% ZAR 6.05% 6.25% 6.52% 6.93% 7.2% 7.42% 7.61% 7.87% 8.15% Interest Rate Swap Conventions: Assume all interest rate swap rates are Semi-annual, 30/360 day count basis, vs. 3 month floating rate. The rates for 3 months through 12 months represent mid-market interbank deposit rates. The swap rates are for maturities 2 years – 10 years. Gold Futures GCX14 (Nov '14) GCZ14 (Dec '14) GCG15 (Feb '15) GCJ15 (Apr '15) GCM15 (Jun '15) GCQ15 (Aug '15) GCV15 (Oct '15) GCZ15 (Dec '15) GCG16 (Feb '16) GCJ16 (Apr '16) GCM16 (Jun '16) GCQ16 (Aug '16) GCZ16 (Dec '16) GCM17 (Jun '17) GCZ17 (Dec '17) GCM18 (Jun '18) GCZ18 (Dec '18) GCM19 (Jun '19) GCZ19 (Dec '19) GCM20 (Jun '20) 1,192.50 1,192.90 1,193.50 1,194.10 1,194.80 1,195.60 1,196.40 1,197.70 1,199.30 1,201.20 1,203.40 1,206.30 1,212.10 1,223.20 1,236.90 1,251.90 1,269.70 1,290.80 1,316.90 1,346.90 ©2014 CapitalWave Inc. and University Trading Challenge | All Rights Reserved. Page 4 ANNUALIZED CURRENCY OPTION VOLATILITIES Maturity 1 month 2 month 3 month 4 month 5 month 6 month 9 month 12 month USD/CAD 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% USD/ZAR 8.50% 8.70% 8.90% 9.15% 9.38% 9.60% 9.80% 10.25% GOLD OPTIONS Call Options Strike 1,000.00 1,025.00 1,050.00 1,075.00 1,100.00 1,125.00 1,150.00 1,175.00 1,200.00 1,225.00 1,250.00 1,275.00 1,300.00 1,325.00 1,350.00 1,375.00 1,400.00 AUD/USD 8.3% 8.4% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% Put Options 3 Month 6 Month 12 Month 3 Month 6 Month 12 Month 198.40 175.00 152.10 130.00 108.70 88.60 70.30 53.80 40.10 28.80 20.30 14.10 9.60 6.80 4.80 3.70 2.90 205.00 182.50 160.60 139.50 119.50 100.50 83.00 67.50 54.20 43.00 33.60 26.20 20.20 15.80 12.40 10.00 8.10 219.50 198.50 178.30 158.90 140.20 122.40 106.50 91.80 78.80 67.80 57.90 49.30 41.80 35.70 30.50 26.00 22.70 5.00 6.60 8.70 11.60 15.30 20.10 26.80 35.30 46.60 60.30 76.80 95.60 116.00 138.20 161.20 185.10 209.20 10.40 12.90 16.00 19.80 24.80 30.80 38.20 47.80 59.40 73.20 88.70 106.30 125.30 145.90 167.50 190.00 213.00 22.40 26.40 31.20 36.60 42.90 50.00 59.00 69.20 81.10 95.00 110.00 126.40 143.70 162.60 182.30 202.70 224.30 ©2014 CapitalWave Inc. and University Trading Challenge | All Rights Reserved. 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