Key Issues Financial Strategy 6.1 3 ways to increase the value of money Asset turnover model Financial objectives and the strategic profit model ROI model Gross margin return on investment Monitoring retail performance Direct product profitability Value of An Investment How much will your own portfolio be worth if … You start investing 10 years after graduation, & invest $2000 per year @ 10%, every year ‘til you retire? You start now, & invest $2000 per year @ 10%, but only for 10 years, then stop? Financial Strategy 6.2 A Simplified Cash Flow Diagram Financial Strategy 6.3 Cash Inventory Accounts Receivable Sales Increasing the Value of Money You have $1000. You’ve found a no-risk investment for which you will get a certain 20 percent ROI in 4 months. Your parents have offered to lend you $10,000 more, for 1 year. By how much can you grow your $1000 in a one-year period? And what’s your ROI? Margin Leveraging Our Investment Adding Stock Turnover (“turns”) Financial Strategy 6.4 Increasing the Value of Money Strategic Element ROI / Investment) ( Result Margin (no leverage or turnover) Leverage (no turnover) Investment = $1000 ( = profit) Turnover (no leverage) Margin, Leverage, Turnover Strategic Profit Model ROI = Margin x Leverage x Turnover = 20% x 11.0 x 3.64 = 800% Financial Strategy 6.5 Components of Gross Margin Gross Sales Less Returns Less customer allowances Gross Margin Net Sales COGS Financial Strategy 6.6 Retail Profit Accelerators: How Can Retailers Increase Profits? Increase Volume Increase Price Decrease COGS Decrease Expenses Sales COGS Gross margin Expenses Profit Profit increase $ Profit increase % Base Period $1,000,000 700,000 300,000 280,000 20,000 ----- Decrease COGS 5% Sales COGS Gross margin Expenses Profit Profit increase $ Profit increase % Financial Strategy 6.7 $1,000,000 665,000 335,000 280,000 55,000 35,000 175% Increase Unit Volume 5% $1,050,000 735,000 315,000 280,000 35,000 15,000 75% Decrease Expenses 5% $1,000,000 700,000 300,000 266,000 34,000 14,000 70% Increase Prices 5% $1,050,000 700,000 350,000 280,000 70,000 50,000 250% Developing Financial Objectives • The Objectives Themselves • The Plan to Meet the Objectives Profits? How should they be measured? Financial Strategy 6.8 Who is Most Successful? Store Total Sales Comp Store Gross Inventory Sales per Growth % Growth % Margin % Turnover Sq Ft $ JCPenney Dayton’s Toys R Us Home Depot -1 9 11 35 -2 2 2 11 33 26 30 28 3.4 4.6 3.1 5.6 137 198 na 348 Circuit City The Limited Wal-Mart Kmart Costco 18 17 35 8 26 1 3 10 4 14 26 29 21 25 9 4.7 6.0 4.5 3.0 11.8 1,083 302 279 na 670 1994 Data Financial Strategy 6.9 Examples of Performance Measures Used by Retailers Level of Output Input Organization (Output/Input) Corporate Net sales (measures of entire corporation) Net profits Growth in sales, profits Financial Strategy 6.10 Productivity Square feet of store space Return on assets Number of employees Asset turnover Inventory Sales per employee Advertising expenditures Sales per square foot Examples of Performance Measures Used by Retailers Level of Output Input Productivity Organization (Output/Input) Corporate (chief executive officer) Net profit Owners’ equity Merchandising Gross margin Inventory * Square foot *Inventory = Average inventory at cost Financial Strategy 6.11 Gross margin / inventory* = GMROI (merchandise manager and buyer) Store operations Net sales (director of stores, store manager) Net profit / owners’ equity = return on owners’ equity Net sales / square foot Income Statements: Wal-Mart vs Tiffany (2000, in millions) Wal-Mart Net sales Tiffany $ 139,208 $ 1,173 $ 108,725 $ 515 $ 30,483 $ 658 Less: Operating expense $ 22,363 $ 493 Less: Interest expense $ 950 $ 9 Total expense $ 23,313 $ 502 Net profit, pretax $ 7,170 $ 156 Less: Taxes* $ 2,740 $ 66 Less: Cost of goods sold Gross margin Tax rate 38.21% Net profit after tax $ 4,430 42.31% $ 90 * Effective tax rates often differ among corporations due to different tax breaks and advantages. Which has the higher net margin? Source: Levy & Weitz Financial Strategy 6.12 Profit Margin Model: Wal-Mart vs Tiffany (2000, in millions) Net Sales $139,208 $1,173 Cost of goods sold $108,725 $515 Operating expenses $22,363 $493 + Interest expenses $950 $9 Financial Strategy 6.13 Gross margin $30,493 $658 Total expenses $23,313 $502 Top Number = Wal-Mart Bottom Number = Tiffany Net profit before tax $7,170 $156 - Taxes $2,740 $66 Net profit after taxes $4,430 $90 Net sales $139,208 $1,173 Net profit margin 3.18% 7.68% Return on Assets Model Net Profit Margin Provo Bakery Zales Jewelry Financial Strategy 6.14 10% 90% X Asset = Turnover Return on Assets X 9 times = 90% 1 time 90% X = ROA: Turnover vs Margin High Turnover Unattainable Low Margin High Margin Failure Low Turnover Financial Strategy 6.15 Asset Turnover Model: Wal-Mart vs Tiffany (2000, in millions) What does this represent? Accounts receivable $1,118 $108 Top Number = Wal-Mart Bottom Number = Tiffany + Merchandise inventory $17,076 $481 + Cash $1,878 $189 Total current assets $21,123 $816 + + Other current assets $1,059 $37 Financial Strategy 6.16 Fixed assets $28,864 $241 Net sales $139,208 $1,173 Total assets $49,996 $1,057 From income statement Asset turnover 2.78 1.11 From balance sheet The sales $ generated by each $ of assets Financial Objectives: The Strategic Profit Model Return on Investment = Net Profit Net Worth Return on Assets x Net Profit Total Assets = Net Profit Total Assets Asset Turnover Net Sales Total Assets The $ sales generated by each $ of assets Financial Strategy 6.17 Return on Assets Leverage Ratio Total Assets Net Worth x Net Profit Margin Net Profit Net Sales The net profit generated by each $ of sales and so ... The Strategic Profit Model: The Financial Objective & Financial Program Rate of Return on Assets Return on Investment Net Profit Net Worth The Financial Objective = Net Profit Margin Net Profit Net Sales x Asset Turnover x Net Sales Total Assets The Financial Program (The SPM) Implications for Profitability? Financial Strategy 6.18 Leverage Ratio Total Assets Net Worth The Cougar Boutique Assets Current Cash & other Inventory Accounts receivable Total Fixed Total Assets Balance Sheet $ 50,000 500,000 200,000 750,000 250,000 $1,000,000 Liabilities Current Accounts payable Notes payable Other Total Long term Total liabilities Net worth Total liab. & NW $ 300,000 25,000 25,000 350,000 125,000 475,000 525,000 $1,000,000 Income Statement Net sales Less: cost of sales Gross margin Less: expenses Variable Fixed Total Net profit Financial Strategy 6.19 Dollars Percent $2,500,000 2,000,000 500,000 100 80 20 450,000 $50,000 18 2 $250,000 200,000 What is the ROI? The Cougar Boutique: ROI Simple Way: Diagnostic Way, Using the SPM: Financial Strategy 6.20 ROI Model, Including The Strategic Profit Model Which is … the income statement? Balance sheet? SPM? Net Sales Cost of goods sold Gross margin Variable expenses + Fixed expenses Total expenses Income Statement Balance Sheet Strategic Profit Model Net profit Net profit margin Net Sales x Inventory + Accounts receivable + Other current assets Financial Strategy 6.21 Net sales Total current assets + Fixed assets Total assets Return on assets x Asset turnover Financial Leverage = Return on Net Worth Effect of Changes in the SPM on ROI Return on Investment = Net Profit Margin Asset Turnover x Leverage Ratio x Basic Example: 9.5% = 2% x 2.5 x 1.9 2% x 2.5 x 3 Leverage Increased: 15% = Profit Margin Increased: 23.75% = 5% x 2.5 x 1.9 = 2% x 1 x 1.9 ROA Reduced: 3.8% Financial Strategy 6.22 SPM Examples Return on Investment = Big Lots: 24.6% Net Profit Margin % x Asset Turnover x Leverage Ratio 13.1 1.5 1.2 Albertson’s: 18.9% 2.1 4.2 2.1 The Dress Barn: 32.4% 7.4 2.9 1.5 Land’s End: 40.2% 6.8 3.1 1.9 The Limited: 32.3% 6.7 2.2 2.2 The Gap: 25.5% 6.6 2.4 1.6 1998 data Financial Strategy 6.23 Breakeven Analysis Shows number of units which must be produced & sold at a given price to cover all costs. Formulation: BE = Fixed Cost . Unit Contribution Example (women’s top coats): Avg. variable cost: $100 Tot. fixed cost: $200,000 Selling price: $166.67 Unit contribution: $66.67 BE = Financial Strategy 6.24 Controlling (Monitoring) Performance Customer Feedback Store Level Market Share Analysis Operating Ratios Sales Variance (Actual vs Planned) Department Level Sales-to-Expense Ratios Analysis of Allocation of Costs Direct Product Profitability Financial Strategy 6.25 E.g., Computing DPP Dollars per Case Retail Less: Cost Gross margin Plus: Discounts and allowances Payment discount Merchandising allowance Backhaul allowance Less: Direct handling costs Warehouse direct labor Warehouse inventory expense Warehouse operating expense Transportation to stores Retail direct labor Retail inventory expense Retail operating expense Direct product profit Financial Strategy 6.26 $ l8.70 14.96 3.74 0.30 0.50 0.00 0.41 0.18 0.12 0.14 1.78 0.15 0.81 $ 0.95 Using DPP to Calculate Return on Shelf Space Gross margin per case Less direct costs per case Plus discounts and allowances per case DPP per case Item A $9.33 4.22 0.21 5.32 Item B $8.02 3.80 2.02 6.24 Multiplied by cases per week DPP per week Divided by square feet of shelf facing 4.20 22.34 1.68 3.10 19.34 0.84 DPP per week per square foot of shelf space 13.30 23.03 Financial Strategy 6.27 Direct Product Profitability The per-unit profit of products: unit price less all direct unit costs High DPP per unit High Unit Volume Low Unit Volume Low DPP Financial Strategy 6.28