A PROGRAM FOR T ELCO C OMPANIES IN W ISCONSIN It’s a big state. Someone has to provide the phone service for 5.5 million talkative folks. L AND L INES ARE IN TROUBLE US Phone Landlines Per 100 Population US Statistical Abstract C REATIVE D ESTRUCTION Monopolies have become competitive Cable is muscling in on phone companies Phone companies are fighting back with TV Both are offering the internet Wireless is stealing from both You have to offer many services to survive C ELL P HONES TAKING O VER Annual Household Spending on Telephone Service Y OU HAVE TO OFFER EVERYTHING T HE Adding products boosts revenue AND improves the retention rate of land line customers EFFECT OF BUNDLING Every additional product that you add improves loyalty and reduces churn by 25%. TO KEEP SUBSCRIBERS , BUILD A M ARKETING DATABASE A database is more than a list of subscribers It is a tool to use to retain subscribers and to sell them additional products M ARKETING D ATABASE FED FROM O PERATIONAL D ATABASE The Marketing Database can be outsourced to a vendor. Advantage: keep the costs down, and control what he does. Appended Data This is your in house billing database Operational Database Sales, shipments, payments Transactions General Ledger Model Scores RFM & Lifetime Value Marketing Database Marketing Communications Promotions Surveys & & Responses Preferences D ETERMINE THE LIFETIME VALUE OF YOUR SUBSCRIBERS We are looking at the career of 60,000 subscribers over a three year period. Land Line Customer Customers Churn Rate Retention Rate ARPU Revenue Year 1 60,000 0.75% 91.0% $41.00 $29,520,000 Year 2 54,600 0.73% 91.2% $41.50 $27,190,800 Year 3 49,817 0.71% 91.5% $42.00 $25,107,788 The lifetime profit from each of the 60,000 is $96.33 CCPU - Cash Cost per User CPGA - Cost per gross add Total Cost $18,720,000 $9,000,000 $27,720,000 $17,035,200 $15,542,916 $17,035,200 $15,542,916 To beat that we have to improve something. Gross Profit Discount Rate Net Present Value Profit Cumulative NPV Profit Lifetime Value $10,155,600 1.11 $9,149,189 $10,949,189 $54.75 $9,564,872 1.15 $8,317,280 $19,266,469 $96.33 $1,800,000 1.00 $1,800,000 $1,800,000 $9.00 W HAT CAN WE DO TO KEEP THEM ? Communicate with them often Put them on automatic paper-free billing Sell them a second product: DSL, TV E FFECT Churn rate down ARPU Up CCPU up CPGA up Revenue up Lifetime value way up. OF ADDING DSL Land Line Customer With Broadband Customers Churn Rate Retention Rate ARPU Revenue Year 1 60,000 0.70% 91.6% $76.00 $54,720,000 Year 2 54,960 0.68% 91.8% $76.50 $50,453,280 Year 3 50,475 0.66% 92.1% $80.00 $48,456,253 CCPU - Cash Cost per User CPGA - Cost per gross add Total Cost $33,120,000 $15,000,000 $48,120,000 $30,337,920 $27,862,346 $30,337,920 $27,862,346 $20,115,360 1.11 $18,121,946 $24,721,946 $123.61 $20,593,908 1.15 $17,907,746 $42,629,692 $213.15 Gross Profit Discount Rate Net Present Value Profit Cumulative NPV Profit Lifetime Value $6,600,000 1.00 $6,600,000 $6,600,000 $33.00 DSL B OOSTS P ROFITS Land Line Customer Without DSL With DSL Increase With 60,000 Subscribers Year 1 $9.00 $33.00 $24.00 $1,440,000 Year 2 $54.75 $123.61 $68.86 $4,131,827 Year 3 $96.33 $213.15 $116.82 $7,008,967 A DDING TV: T HE TRIPLE PLAY The LTV has gone down. Why? It is expensive to add TV -much more than to add DSL. And, the churn rate has gone up? Why? Competition from Cable and Satellite. Land Line Customer Broadband & TV Customers Churn Rate Retention Rate ARPU Revenue Year 1 60,000 1.10% 86.8% $131 $94,320,000 Year 2 52,080 1.05% 87.4% $141 $88,119,360 Year 3 45,518 1.00% 88.0% $151 $82,478,471 CCPU - Cash Cost per User CPGA - Cost per gross add Total Cost $58,320,000 $72,000,000 $130,320,000 $50,621,760 $44,243,418 $50,621,760 $44,243,418 Gross Profit Discount Rate Net Present Value Profit Cumulative NPV Profit Lifetime Value ($36,000,000) 1.00 ($36,000,000) ($36,000,000) ($180.00) $37,497,600 1.11 $33,781,622 ($2,218,378) ($11.09) $38,235,053 1.15 $33,247,872 $31,029,494 $155.15 TV IS NOT A WORLD BEATER Land Line Customer With Landline Only With DSL and TV Increase With 60,000 Subscribers Year 1 $9.00 ($180.00) ($189.00) ($11,340,000) Year 2 $54.75 ($11.09) ($65.84) ($3,950,270) Year 3 $96.33 $155.15 $58.82 $3,528,907 There is more competition with TV: Cable, Satellite, and over the air. But TV and Wireless are important ways of staying in the game and keeping your customers. The main way to win: communicate often. W HY COMMUNICATION IS VITAL All Wisconsin Telcos have additional services to sell. All have churn problems. Solution: set up regular e-mail communications with all subscribers. Use those communications to sell more services, and keep from losing the subscribers you have now. E- MAILS : L OW C OST S ELLING E- MAIL – VERSATILE AND INEXPENSIVE F IRST STEP : A UTOMATIC B ILL PAYING “Stop by or call us” You cannot do this on line. What is the benefit to the subscriber? YOU CANNOT SIGN UP ON LINE IN W ISCONSIN “Visit or call our office” S EE HOW AT&T D OES A UTO B ILL PAYING W HY AT&T AND V ERIZON SEND E - MAILS Automatic Bill Paying is the entry point for monthly e-mails that promote additional products. This is why they pay you $10 or $15 for signing up. S UPPOSE W ISCONSIN T ELCOS USED A COOP EMAILING SERVICE One company could provide online bill paying service application service with a link on each Telco website. Each subscriber would get a weekly e-mail from his Telco, with local news, sports news, and what is on TV this week, plus info about Telco products. A coop e-mail and text mail service might reach most of the households of WSTCA members with news and promotions from their local Telco. E ACH T ELCO GETS THEIR OWN E - MAIL SERVICE W HAT DOES IT COST TO SEND E - MAILS TO SUBSCRIBER HOMES ? 52 e-mail campaigns per year to for 20 Telcos with 6,000 subscribers per Telco. Cost $10.00 per thousand. Cost per Telco per year – 20 companies participating, perhaps $3,120 per year for the delivery plus $12,000 per year for the part time editor. What would be the benefits? A SSUMPTIONS Assume that 20 Telcos participate. There are 52 e-mail campaigns per year. There is a monthly contest for e-mail subscribers. One winner of $5,000 per month. To enter: click on an entry box in the e-mail. Nothing to buy. Each Telco designs their own e-mails. Each has one part time editor @ $1000 per month developing e-mail copy. W HAT WOULD BE IN THE E MAILS ? What sports, events and movies would be on TV this week – time and channel Local results of local sports teams. Video of local sports supplied by teams, and their supporters. Local to the Telco area. Every opened e-mail is an automatic entry in the monthly $5,000 contest. Nothing to buy, Ads from local merchants Ads for Telco products B ENEFITS OF THE E - MAILS Assume each Telco has 6,000 e-mail subscribers The open rate is 30% because of the $5,000 prize per month. One half of one percent of the e-mails result in a sale of a Telco product (DSL or TV or PC) with an annual revenue per product of $419.40 Note, average sales due to e-mails from other companies varies from 0.5% to 3%. Resulting sales per Telco per year $196,279 D ETAILS OF THE E - MAIL PROGRAM Subscribers E-mails/Sub E-mails Open Rate Opened E-mails Sales per opened e-mail Saes per year Revenue per sale Annual Revenue New Sales Annual Profit @ 40% Cost per thousand e-mails E-mail Delivery Cost per Year Part time e-mail creator / year Share of $5,000 prizes Total Cost First Year Profit after costs Three year profit from year 1 Two year profit from Year 2 One Year Profit from Year 3 Total three year profit 6,000 52 312,000 30% 93,600 0.50% 468 $419.40 $196,279 $78,512 $10 $3,120 $12,000 $3,000 $18,120 $60,392 $181,175 $120,783 $60,392 $362,350 Assume a phone company with 6,000 subscribers who sign up for e-mails. Assume 20 Telcos sign up as members to send emails Assume a part time local e-mail editor who gets $1,000 per month for creating the four e-mails sent out by the Telco Over three years the e-mail marketing program could produce total profits of $362,350 per Telco S ERVICES PROVIDED BY THE E - MAIL VENDOR COMPANY Link to sign up subscribers and auto bill payers for each member Telco. Telcos do their own billing, and receive all revenue directly from subscribers. Maintain a central database of subscribers for each Telco. Send e-mails from this database. Telcos can access DB on line and do segmentation. Use cookies so Telco websites and e-mails are personalized. Shopping cart in e-mails so subscribers can buy services from Telcos on line. Deliver all e-mails for the Telcos. Provide a template to each Telco for them to enter their own content for the e-mails. H OW TO GET STARTED WSTCA enlists members in the project. Get at least 20 to sign up. Set up an e-mail corporation with each Telco an owner. WSTCA drafts an RFP for a company to provide the services. Selected vendor creates software for each Telco website to enlist auto bill payers, subscribers, and shopping carts to sell Telco services. Sends both e-mails and cell phone text content. Creates the monthly contest. G ET THE BOOKS Arthur.hughes@dbmarketing.com Arthur Middleton Hughes VP The Database Marketing Institute, Ltd. 954 767 4558