Slide #1: Lecture 16 – M&M Proposition I without taxes and Bankruptcy costs Welcome to Lecture 16: M&M Proposition I without taxes and Bankruptcy costs. Slide #2: Topics covered In this lecture, we will cover the following topics: 1. We will first define the variables and terms related to the M&M Proposition I. 2. Next, we will discuss the assumptions of the model. 3. We will then properly introduce the M&M Proposition I, what it says, in words and in formula. 4. We will then go through the formula associated with the model, and interpret the meaning of the model and its implication. 5. The meaning and implications will become more apparent as we go through a numerical example. 6. And, last but never least, you will get a practice problem, with check answers, which you can work on at your leisure. Slide #3: Variable definitions So, let’s start by giving the definitions of the variables and terms we will be using in this lecture to discuss the M&M proposition. First, let’s define a couple of important terms. When we refer to the capital structure decision of a firm, we are talking about the decision of the firm regarding how much debt and equity to use to finance the assets of the firm. When we speak of an unlevered firm, what we mean is a firm that has no financial leverage, i.e., a firm that is financed entirely with equity and zero debt. On the other hand, when we talk about a levered firm, we are talking about a firm that is financed with a mixture of debt and equity. So, for an unlevered firm, the debt-equity ratio is equal to 0. For a levered firm, the debt-equity ratio is greater than 0. Now, we move on to the definitions of some variables. EBIT (which stands for Earnings Before Income and Taxes) is a number that measures the earnings before interest and taxes for a firm. EBIT is usually calculated as Revenues minus costs. The letter D is a symbol used to represent the dollar amount borrowed, i.e., owed to a firm’s Debtors. Usually, this number consists of both long-term debt and current liabilities. The letter E is a symbol used to represent the market value of the shares in the firm. Its value is usually calculated as the market value of the firm, less the amount of debt owed to debtors. VU represents the value of an unlevered firm, that is, a firm financed completely with equity. VL represents the value of a levered firm, that is, a firm that is financed with both debt and equity. RUE represents the cost of Equity for the Unlevered firm. We will use these variables almost constantly throughout this lecture, so it is a good idea to have them memorized at this point. You might want to pause this video right here, take a breath, and memorize them here and now. Slide #4: Model assumptions Before we start going into, or indeed using, the M&M propositions/models, we must keep in mind the following three key assumptions: 1. The financial market is assumed to be perfect, which means that anyone and any firm can go to the market to borrow or lend at the same interest rate. 2. There are no taxes, personal or corporate or otherwise. 3. There are no bankruptcy costs, i.e., it costs nothing for a firm or a person to declare bankruptcy. This assumption does not say that bankruptcy does not occur; it just says that there are no costs to declaring bankruptcy. Slide #5: M&M So, what is M&M? ‘M&M’ actually refers to two finance professors, Dr. Franco Modigliani and Dr. Merton Miller. They wanted to find the answer to the research question: ‘Will a change in capital structure cause a subsequent change in the value of the firm? In practice, if the manager of a firm decides to increase the firm’s financial leverage, will the firm value increase or decrease, or will it stay the same?’ Slide #6: M&M Proposition I Modigliani and Miller’s first proposition on the relationship between firm value and capital structure is as follows: Given a world without taxes and bankruptcy costs, with perfect market, two firms with the same EBIT stream where one firm is financed entirely with equity, and the other firm is financed by a mix of equity and debt. Aside from this difference in capital structure, the two firms are identical. We call the equity-financed firm an unlevered firm, and the other firm a levered firm. Given these conditions, M&M Proposition I states that both firms should have the same value, and that this value can be calculated simply as the present value of the EBIT stream, discounted at the unlevered cost of equity: VU = EBIT/RUE = VL = DL + EL. Secondly, the value of the levered firm can also be calculated as debt plus equity. Slide #7: Toaster Arbitrage Toaster #1 $20 Toaster #2 $30 Modigliani and Miller reached their famous conclusion by using the no-arbitrage argument. So, what is an arbitrage opportunity? An arbitrage opportunity occurs when we can make profits without risk or initial cash flow. So, for example, let’s say we have found two lovely and identical toasters at two different stores. Store #1 sells the toaster at a price of $20, and Store #2 sells the toaster at $30. What can we do to make arbitrage profits? We can go to Store #1, buy their toaster at $20, then go wait outside Store #2 and sell your toaster to that store’s customer for $25. It’s a deal for these customers, and you will make $5 for each toaster you sell! All you have to do is simply buy and sell toasters to earn riskless profits! And of course, one will also have to evade the Security people at Store #2. The trouble with this type of opportunities is that, sooner or later, everyone will see the existence of these profit opportunities, and then everyone will go buy toasters at Store #1. After a while, Store #1 will learn that they can raise their toaster price and customers will still buy from them, as long as the price is lower than that at Store #2. Store #2 will learn that if they don’t reduce the price, they will lose all their toaster customers. As Store #1 raises toaster price and Store #2 lowers toaster price, there will come a time of “equilibrium”, where the two stores will charge the same price for the (identical) toasters, say, $25 per toaster. The free-profit will then disappear for everyone else. This is the essence of the no-arbitrage argument. In an efficient and perfect market, there are no arbitrage opportunities, as any profits will be competed away at the equilibrium. Slide #8: Arbitrage opportunity – VL < VU So, given that we believe in the existence of an efficient and perfect market, the same noarbitrage argument can be applied to firm value and capital structure. If two firms have the same EBIT stream and are identical in every way except for their capital structures, there should not be any difference between their firm values. If the value of the levered firm is lower than the value of the unlevered firm as indicated in the pies above, investors will buy low and sell high. They will buy the debt and shares of the levered firm and sell the shares of the unlevered firm. Let’s say that the levered firm is financed by 50% debt and 50% equity, with debt valued at $1,000 and equity valued at $1,000, thus yielding a levered firm value of $2,000. The unlevered firm’s equity, on the other hand, is valued by the market at $3,000. Both of these firm values are based on the market’s evaluation of the future income stream from the two firms. Since both firms are identical in every respect, they should be worth the same value. The fact that this is not true will attract investors to buy the levered firm and sell the unlevered firm. Let’s say I currently own 10% of the shares in the unlevered firm. I can sell my shares for 0.1 x $3,000 = $300. I then take this $300 and buy $150 worth of debt and $150 worth of equity in the levered firm. This will give me $150/$1000 = 0.15 = 15% of the debt and equity in the levered firm. That is, I now own 15% of the levered firm. This gives me 15% on the same identical cash flow stream as that of the unlevered firm. All I had to do was switch my allegiance from the unlevered firm to the levered firm. It does not cost me anything to get an additional 5 percent of the same future cash flow stream. I have just profited from an arbitrage opportunity without any cash outlay or any additional risk. Slide #9: Arbitrage opportunity – VL > VU Similarly, if the value of the levered firm is greater than that of an identical unlevered firm, we would sell the levered firm’s debt and equity, and use the proceeds to buy the unlevered firm’s equity. We will gain percentage ownership without any initial cash outlay or any other risk. Slide #10: EQUILIBRIUM! With the no-arbitrage argument, eventually, prices for the two firm’s debt and equity will balance each other out, in such a way that the value of the levered firm will equal the value of the unlevered firm. That is, the debt + equity of the levered firm will equate with the equity value of the unlevered firm. Slide #11: Equal firm values We calculate the value of the levered firm as the sum of its equity value and debt value: Value of the levered firm =VL = EL + DL The value of the unlevered firm is calculated as the present value of the perpetuity, EBIT, discounted at the unlevered cost of capital, RUE: VU = EBIT/RUE. At the equilibrium point, the value of the levered firm must equal the value of the unlevered firm: VL = EL + DL = VU = EBIT/RUE Slide #12: M&M Proposition I formulae That is how we arrive at the three M&M Proposition I formulae below: VU = EBIT/RUE VL = DL + EL VL = VU = EBIT/RUE Take a moment to memorize them, as these are the important formulae relating to this model. Slide #13: Numerical example And now, let’s try out these formulae with this numerical example here. Two identical firms have identical expected future EBIT-streams of $9,000 per year. Firm U is financed entirely by issuance of 1,000 shares at a cost of 15%. Firm L is financed by issuance of 500 shares and $30,000 in debt at an interest rate of 8%. (a) What (b) What (c) What (d) What (e) What is is is is is the the the the the value of Firm U? value of Firm L? value of equity in Firm L? share price in Firm U? share price in Firm L? Slide #14: Numerical example (cont.) First, we write down the information we have been given: EBIT = $9,000 Firm U: # shares = 1,000 Cost of capital = RUE = 0.15 Firm L: # shares = 500 Debt = $30,000 Debt interest rate = 0.08 To answer part (a) of the problem, we calculate the value of the unlevered firm as: VU = EBIT/RUE = $9,000 / 0.15 = $60,000 To answer part (b), we calculate the value of the levered firm as: VL = VU = $60,000 To answer part (c), we calculate the equity value of the levered firm using the formula: VL = EL + DL Subtracting DL from both sides, we get EL = VL – DL = $60,000 - $30,000 = $30,000 Slide #15: Numerical example (cont.) To answer part (d), which asked for the share price of the unlevered firm, we know that share price is calculated as the firm’s equity value divided by the number of shares. The value of the unlevered firm is the same as its equity value (as it is 100% equity-financed). Therefore, the unlevered firm’s share price, PU, is: PU = VU / # shares = $60,000 / 1,000 = $60 To answer part (e), which asked for the share price of the levered firm, we again use the formula: share price = equity value divided by number of shares We know that the equity value in Firm L is $30,000 and that there are 500 shares outstanding. This gives us Firm L’s share price, PL, as: PL = EL / # shares = $30,000 / 500 = $60 Note that it is not necessarily always true that the share price of the unlevered firm is the same as the share price of the levered firm. It just works out this way with the numbers in this numerical example. Slide #16: Practice problem They say in academic circles: Publish or Perish. Here, we are fanatical about finance, so, practice or perish! Here’s a practice problem for you to test your understanding of M&M Proposition I without taxes and bankruptcy costs. We have two companies. Quebec Inc., is an unlevered firm that has 100,000 shares outstanding. The common stock of this company is currently selling at $15 per share, and its cost of capital is 20%. Conversely, Ontario Corp. is a levered firm with 60,000 shares outstanding and $700,000 in debt outstanding. The cost of debt for Ontario Corp. is 10%. We are then asked two questions: (a) What is the debt-equity ratio for Ontario Corp., if it has the same expected future stream of EBIT as the unlevered firm Quebec Inc.? (b) What is the expected EBIT per year for Quebec Inc.? You may want to pause here, and take down all the information given. Try to work out the answers and then continue the video to the next slide to see the check answers. Slide #17: Check answer for practice problem Here are the check answers for the practice problem. Given the following information: Unlevered firm: Share price = $15 Number of shares = 100,000 Cost of equity = RUE = 20% = 0.2 (a) D/E ratio for Levered Firm: Vu = Share price x Number of shares = $15 x 100,000 = $1,500,000 VL = VU = $1,500,000 VL = DL + EL EL = VL – DL EL = $1,500,000 - $700,000 = $800,000 DL/EL = 700,000/800,000 = 0.875 (b) Cost of equity for Unlevered Firm: VU = EBIT/RUE => EBIT = VU x RUE = $1,500,000 x 0.2 = $300,000 per year Slide #18: End of Lecture 16 Here ends Lecture 16 on M&M Proposition I without taxes and bankruptcy costs.