EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction Castlight Health (Castlight) is hoping to revolutionize healthcare with a simple proposition: comparison shopping. Its online shopping portal allows users to comparison shop the most common outpatient and inpatient procedures using what the company terms ‘true quality’ and ‘cost transparency’ metrics before they receive the prescribed healthcare service. At first glance, a healthcare quote system seems like a commonplace value proposition, but it is innovative in the context of the healthcare industry, which is inherently opaque due to the absence of an open marketplace and the existence of innumerable stakeholders. Today, an employer or healthcare consumer faces a dizzying array of inputs – deductible, co-pay, out of pocket maximums, HSA account level, and in or out-of-network status of provider – to determine the total out-of-pocket cost of a service. The current process places an enormous burden on buyers (Employers) and users (Employees and Other Consumers), who are unable to make an informed decision based on performance/price trade-offs before they commit to a healthcare supplier. Project Objective The objective of this paper is to identify a feasible ecosystem management strategy to address key risks associated with market and competitive uncertainty, which Castlight is sure to encounter as it grows. We have attempted to answer these questions: Current State (0-5 Years) Market Uncertainty Who is the target customer for Castlight’s offering? What scale can the company expect to achieve in this initial market? Competitive Uncertainty Future State (5-10 Years) Who can the target customer become? Are there any externalities to explore? Who are Castlight’s rivals? Whose support does Castlight need? Who is threatening whom? How can Castlight protect its position? KEY FINDINGS Methodology First, we mapped the ecosystem to identify key players, their roles and responsibilities, the value of the opportunity to each. Second, we determined the relative positions of each key player before and after (both current state and future state) the introduction of Castlight’s innovative offering. Third, we conducted a competitive landscape analysis to identify key rivals, and extrapolated future state scenarios for the entire industry. This exercise enabled us to determine which future state scenario Castlight is most likely to operate within, and to conceive an ecosystem management strategy recommendation to help it protect its market leadership position. Market Uncertainty: Ecosystem Evolution & Key Risks Current & Future State Customers: According to our ecosystem, value chain and competitive analyses, Castlight’s initial (current state) target market is comprised of large Employers. In the short-run, the company’s value proposition is most valuable to Employers. This stakeholder set holds the power within the ecosystem because they encompass a critical mass of claims that can be reverse-engineered to reveal the pricing scheme negotiated between their agents, the insurance company’s contracting department, and healthcare suppliers. In the long-run, we believe Castlight will begin to reap the benefits of network externalities. With a solid base of buyers and users, the company can push for the aggregation of claims data across suppliers so that it can uncover the fair market value of healthcare services across markets, be them a consumer segment or a geographical location. Castlight can then become the marketplace for healthcare services via a two-sided platform where it is the link between healthcare supply and demand. In this future state, its final customers are Employees and Other Consumers. In summary, we have discovered that Castlight facilitates the transition of the decision-making role from Insurers (via their contracting services) to Employers and ultimately, to Employees and Individual Consumers (end-users of healthcare services). The ecosystem’s evolution is covered in detail in our Ecosystem Analysis on page 3. 1 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 Key Risks & Sources of Potential Delays: Our analyses have uncovered several risks, which we have grouped into high, medium and low categories. The two most critical risks are: retaining access to claims (high risk) and managing healthcare providers’ ability to meet demand for services (medium risk). These risks are covered in detail in our Value Chain Analysis on page 5. Competitive Uncertainty: Maintaining Market Leadership Recommended Ecosystem Management Strategy: In Castlight’s ecosystem, unrestricted access to data is critical. Therefore, to compete and succeed, it must coordinate and cooperate with existing players. Our recommendation is covered in detail in our Competitive Analysis on page 6. Defining & Validating Success: A validation to this expectation is the fact that Castlight recently partnered with Cleveland Clinic and several small insurance companies, thereby signaling that the leadership team is well aware of the benefits of early and preemptive coordination. CASTLIGHT BACKGROUND Company Information Castlight was founded in 2008 by Dr. Giovanni Collella, Todd Park, and Bryan Roberts. It is backed by venture firms Venrock, Oak Investment Partners and Maverick Capital, as well as larger firms such as Morgan Stanley and Wellcome Trust. Currently, the company serves an estimated 50 clients, including Safeway and Hannaford Brothers, and healthcare consumers across the United States from its offices in San Francisco. How it Works To provide its price estimates, Castlight takes hundreds of thousands of data points from insurer payments and reverse engineers them into pricing data. This allows users to get a “this is the check I am going to write in two months” estimate – down to the dollar – for the selected healthcare service in real-time, via web or mobile applications. The company has recently introduced a robust set of enhancements to its platform to further enhance its value proposition. For example, it now boasts quality measurements from CMS (Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services) on providers, convenience information (e.g. distance from provider and hours of operation), and patient reviews (e.g. Yelp or Angie’s List with 1-5 star rankings across categories). See Appendix, page 9, for screenshots. Business Model Castlight currently operates a software-as-a-service platform (SaaS). In this model, employers pay a per-month, per-user fee on a subscription basis. The company provides training, implementation, and ongoing support to employers and member employees on an as-needed basis. New clients can be brought into the platform in 4-6 months, which includes time to process the data and train employees. In general, the service is highly scalable due to Castlight’s Agile Development process and the uniformity of its platform with 85-90% repeatable programming across all clients, implying low marginal costs. Target Customer In the short-run (current state), Castlight’s target customer is large self-insured Employers seeking to provide a win-win solution and mechanism to optimize employee healthcare spending with high-value providers (low-cost/high-quality). In an era where many employers are mandating or encouraging employees to switch to high-deductible insurance plans – leaving the employee exposed to the first several thousand dollars of spend per year – employers are seeking a way to smoothen this transition. They have found Castlight to be an empowering tool for their employees, the ultimate consumers of the healthcare services. In return for providing this tool free to employees, employers benefit by bringing their own healthcare expenses under control since their employees now pricecompare and utilize high-value providers. In the long-run (future state), Castlight expects to expand its offering to include small and mid-sized employers as well as individual, direct consumers. The company is working to combine claims data across employers into a single data set so that it can expand into these new segments and create a more robust and universal data set for the application. However, each employer owns its claims 2 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 information and in certain locations it is illegal to combine data sets. Regulation, therefore, presents one source of adoption delay for the company. Expectation The expectation is that Castlight will become analogous to J.D. Power & Associates or Kelley Blue Book – a third party data/insight provider and platform in the healthcare market for large employers and consumers – introducing an element of neutrality and objectivity while helping to cut costs in a high-potential market with a tangible need (i.e. healthcare cost increases consistently outpace inflation year-over-year). OPPORTUNITY ANALYSES ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS We have mapped the ecosystem to identify the key players – i.e. the influencers, suppliers, decision-makers, buyers, and users – affected by Castlight’s value proposition. We have also determined how their roles and responsibilities have change before and after – both current and future states – Castlight entered the landscape. 3 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 Key Players Government/Regulatory Bodies Before Current State Future State Role Influencer and evaluator Unchanged Unchanged Responsibilities Healthcare reform; protect employers by regulating healthcare insurers and suppliers Healthcare reform; protect data rights (e.g. no aggregation across employers or insurers) Continued enforcement of new healthcare reform requirements Value of Opportunity Opacity in pricing increases overall healthcare spending and reduces both government and private parties’ ability to assess performance/price trade-offs Market transparency “trims the fat” in healthcare where annual spending increases have reached the high single digits each year over the past decade Pushing new and effective uses of healthcare data to cut costs and increase service quality Current State Future State Insurers/Health Plans (Payers) Before Role Decision-maker Supplier Supplier Responsibilities Insurers act as an intermediary between healthcare service suppliers and employers by negotiating service packages and prices Value proposition stripped down to unattractive, low-margin claims processing, administration and billing activities Meet new requirements of Affordable Care Act (healthcare reform bill) in providing nominal estimates prior to service (quote system) Value of Opportunity Benefit from current noncompetitive market where suppliers and employers have no visibility into the pricing schemes negotiated across peers Market transparency limits opportunities for price discrimination and disengages insurers from high-value contracting services Ability to purchase a turn-key system that delivers compliance to current and future transparency requirements Hospitals, Doctors, Medical Service Providers (e.g. Pharmacies, Imaging & Test Laboratories) Before Current State Future State Role Suppliers Unchanged Unchanged Responsibilities Honor service packages and prices agreed to with insurers Substantiate cost structures, prompting the need for activitybased or value-based cost accounting Continue to deliver value-based services within their respective market segments in an effective, competence-enhancing manner Value of Opportunity Ability to inflate prices and massage cost structures Reduces ability/flexibility to allocate and shift costs across enterprise (e.g. surgeries subsidizing margin-eroding services) Refines their understanding of how they create value in the eyes of buyers and consumers, therefore improving their resource allocation decisions 4 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 Employers Before Current State Future State Role Buyer Buyer & Decision-Maker Buyer & Decision-Maker Responsibilities Control total healthcare spending through selection of competitive contracts designed by insurers Provide employees with a “tool” to research and learn about performance/price trade-offs in selected healthcare services Continue to educate employees and to optimize total healthcare spending through value-based decisions Value of Opportunity Faced with the burden of forcing employees to move to highdeductible health plans Insight into performance/price trade-offs for first time – “do I know who the high value providers are?” Ability to build a knowledge base on performance/price trade-offs and form partnerships with leading suppliers for effective resource allocation Employees/Independent Consumers Before Current State Future State Role User Informed User Buyer, Decision-Maker, User Responsibilities Decide which supplier to reward with deductible expenditure Make a value-based decision on which supplier to reward with deductible expenditure Take ownership of healthcare purchases independent of source of payment funds (employersponsored vs. individual healthcare exchange-based plan) Value of Opportunity Saves consumers the onerous manual process of obtaining healthcare service price estimates Able to assess price/quality/patient satisfaction metrics prior to committing to a supplier – “where can I get the best value?” Ability to get what you pay for – make wiser, data-driven decisions VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS We then conducted a value chain analysis to assess how changes in the relative position of each player (i.e. the power shifts across the value chain) may give rise to risk and potential adoption delays. 5 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 Market Power Shifts High Risk: The highest risk power shift involves Insurers, who go from being a dominant player to having little power. As discussed above, Castlight’s value proposition disengages Insurers from high-value contracting services, limiting their contribution to claims processing, administration and billing activities, which are commodities. Castlight’s biggest vulnerability is access to claims data and/or pricing information. Insurers may resist this power loss by lobbying the Government/Regulatory Bodies to further restrict Castlight’s ability to access claims information via Employers. This is a significant risk because in the current state, Castlight is best suited to serving large Employers who have deep claims databases – the company is currently unable to draw meaningful pricing insights for small employers due to their small data sample sizes. Any obstacles insurers manage to place in Castlight’s path to gathering and aggregating data will undoubtedly hamper its ability to build positive network externalities at a competitive pace. We believe the overall effect on Insurers’ power is a permanent, significant downgrade. Medium Risk: Medium risk power shifts involve healthcare suppliers, namely, Hospitals, Doctors and ancillary Medical Service Providers such as pharmacies, imaging and test laboratories. Castlight’s value proposition limits these suppliers’ ability to price discriminate across client segments (namely Employers) and geographies. Furthermore, it forces suppliers to adjust their pricing to remain competitive and to substantiate their cost structures, since price transparency implies greater public scrutiny, further limiting suppliers’ power. This is a risk because in the short-run, Castlight may greatly affect the supply-demand curves of each supplier, putting strain on the system and potentially compromising the overall experience for buyers and users. Castlight should strive to influence this process by working with suppliers to smooth out demand at high-quality facilities and helping high-cost ones adjust to the new environment. If it is successful, in the long-run, low-cost/high-quality providers stand to gain share while high-cost/low-quality and middling providers stand to lose share. This dynamic will stratify the market along a premium to low-cost continuum, which will deliver additional value to buyers and users by further simplifying the shopping process. We believe that the overall effect on providers’ power will be neutral for those companies that can meet consumers’ desired performance/price trade-offs. Low Risk: Finally, the low risk power shift involves the users, Employees and Other Consumers (e.g. individuals, government) of healthcare services. Although these users must increase their engagement in the shopping process by investing time in self-serve, upfront research, we believe compelling incentives are in place to support this behavioral change. Castlight offers consumers a free solution (currently subsidized by employers) which is easy to use and akin to other consumer shopping/price-compare platforms. The biggest risk lies in educating these consumers and forming new expectations regarding healthcare service quotes. We believe that with the current pace of healthcare reform and the ensuing regulatory pressures, Employers and Insurers will bear the brunt of this education effort, therefore lowering the risk for Castlight. We believe the overall effect on consumers’ power is a permanent, steady upgrade. COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS We have conducted a competitive landscape scan to identify Castlight’s competitors and understand their value propositions. Based on this information, we have extrapolated potential future state scenarios for the entire industry. We then selected the scenario we believe has the greatest likelihood of occurring and devised an ecosystem management strategy to help Castlight manage its growth. Competitive Landscape Scan At present, Castlight is the market leader in healthcare price transparency, although several competitors exist. Companies such as change:healthcare, Thomson Reuters, Aetna, and the New Hampshire state government are all dabbling in this emerging market space and seeking to clarify the currently opaque and complex system with their own unique offerings. Although all competitors seek to provide a minimum level of information transparency to consumers, Castlight is the first to provide a comprehensive and integrated platform that combines price, location, quality, patient satisfaction, and benefit assessment. With its first mover advantage, experienced management team, and enthusiastic early cohort of customers, Castlight is well-positioned to remain in a market leading position as this nascent market grows. 6 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 Potential Future State Scenarios Castlight can protect its current market leadership by adjusting its business model in one of three ways, depending on how the ecosystem evolves. In the first scenario, we assume that current munificent trends hold and that transparency continues to be pushed upon healthcare suppliers by regulators. Here, Castlight can continue to pursue its current strategy by attracting Employers and by remaining an ‘independent third party’ offering an objective quotation system. In the second scenario, we assume that the market continues to evolve but that suppliers, specifically Insurers, show resistance to any data gathering and aggregation attempts Castlight makes. Here, the mitigating strategy would be to pursue partnerships and joint ventures with these suppliers so that Castlight maintain its market penetration and growth rates. In the third scenario, we assume that Castlight will want to protect its ‘independent third party’ positioning despite any data aggregation challenges. In this case, it would have to pursue a direct-to-consumer strategy, which would require that it reach out to a diverse and fragmented customer base, one customer at a time. Recommendation We believe that it is unlikely that conditions will remain munificent given the sheer size of the opportunity in this new, emergent market. At the same time, it is unlikely that any single competitor, Castlight included, can succeed in building network externalities one customer at a time. Therefore, we recommend that Castlight pursue partnerships and joint ventures to increase the depth and breadth of its data set, allowing it to ramp up quickly and to provide more value to consumers ahead of the competition. SCENARIOS Current Strategy Partnerships & Joint Ventures Direct to Consumer Model PROs CONs Protects value proposition and remains independent while fostering stronger bonds with consumers Vulnerable to decreased service levels due to lack of consumer coverage (e.g. small employers) No incremental costs for data access Data ownership and aggregation issues and lack of coordination slows growth Partnering with suppliers (insurers or providers) enables Castlight to control its data set and ramp up scale fast to further entrench itself as the market leader Potential to be perceived as a’sell-out’ – i.e. losing objectivity depending on financial arrangements with partners – compromising current value proposition of impartiality Enables platform strategy to take hold – increases value to consumers by centrally locating data across plans, locations, providers, and services at the individual level regardless of employer Payments for data access erode margin Protects value proposition and remains independent while fostering stronger bonds with healthcare endusers Time and effort required to harness critical mass leaves Castlight more vulnerable to competitive threats as it becomes distracted from current value proposition CONCLUSION Castlight has embarked on a bold journey to change the way healthcare is purchase in the United States and in turn change healthcare as we know it. Value-based purchasing has been stressed as key to the future sustainability of healthcare in this country among leading academics for quite some time (e.g. Michael Porter, Elizabeth Teisberg, Jack Wennberg). Castlight’s all-in transparency play is quite a disruptive innovation to the current healthcare ecosystem. Winners and losers will be made as the supply-demand curve for each company shifts. In this context, Castlight has the opportunity to bring surplus value to consumers in a way that was previously unattainable. The impact of transparency can be observed in the travel industry (Travelocity, Orbitz, Expedia) and the automobile industry (Edmunds.com, Autotrader.com), where a comprehensive consumer-centric quote system has benefitted end-users immensely as they quickly came to demand greater value from their spending and forced suppliers (travel agents and auto dealers) to meet their price/performance trade-offs in a more efficient manner before they were willing to spend hard-earned dollars. If Castlight is able to 7 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 successfully ‘lift the veil’ in a manner similar to the travel and automotive industries, healthcare procurement will be a far easier and more enjoyable proposition in ten years than it is today. 8 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 APPENDIX: SCREENSHOTS 9 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 10 EIS Fall Renata Ferraz, Section 2 Johnny Kaye, Section 1 Castlight.com Mini Project October 10, 2011 11