Evolution to 3G : Financial and Technical Perspectives March 29, 2000 Myungsoon Park SK Telecom Contents 1. SK Telecom and Korean Wireless Market 2. 2G Network Architecture 3. IS-2000 Network 1. Objectives & Benefits, Market Forecasting, etc 4. Network Evolution Plan 1. Evolution Scenario, Rollout Plan, etc 5. Summary 2 SK Telecom 17 years of cellular and paging operation CDMA commercial service in Jan. 1996 World’s largest CDMA cellular service provider Subscriber base (as of Feb, ‘00) Cellular : 10.2M Operation scale (as of Feb, ‘00) Cellular : over 40 MSCs, over 3,000BTSs Subsidiary SK Teletech : Mobile & multimedia handsets manufacturer SK Telink : International call service Netsgo : Internet service provider Strategic allianceship with STI 3 Korean Cellular Penetration SKT’s Subscribers Korean Cellular Penetration [%] (‘000) Cellular Penetration surpass Fixed line in Aug. 99 12,000 12000 2,000 60 10,000 10000 50 Fixed line 8000 4,034 40 30 4,571 Cellular 4000 20 2,891 1,680 1996 1997 1,395 2000 10 0 1996 5,966 6000 0 1997 1998 1999E 2000E 1998 1999 2000E 4 CDMA Operators in Korea Samsung LGIC Hyundai Lucent Motorola Samsung LGIC Hyundai SK Teletech Hanhwa Maxson Appeal SK Telecom Shinsegi Telecom KT Freetel Hansol LG Telecom Infrastructure Vendors Operators Handset Manufacturers (Dec 1999) CDMA(Cellular) CDMA(PCS) Total Operator SKT STI KTF HS LGT Subs. (thousand) 10,110 3,238 4,267 2,741 3,085 Systems LGIC Samsung Hyundai Samsung Hyundai Lucent Samsung Motorola (Daewoo) Samsung Lucent LGIC 23,441 Source : SK Telecom 5 2G Network Architecture Intelligent Network & VAS VMS E1 PPS VPN IS41 LG Samsung AUC Hyundai PSTN R2 T1/E1 E1 ITU-T IS41/ISUP E1 ITU-T ITU-T STI/PCS ISUP IS41 STP IS41/ISUP HLR T1/E1 CDMA (IS-95A/B) LAPD SMS External Networks Cellular Network Iridium GSM World UWCN IS41 World ITU-T IS41 IS41 IS41 CDMA (IS-2000) International Roaming IP E1 ISUP Paging Network RFC Under development POCSAG FLEX IWF TCP/IP TCP/IP NMS RTMS FMS PMS COIS CMS TMS CD Billing 6 IS-2000 Network IS-2000 Network Objectives & Benefits Market Forecasting Financial Value Rollout Plan Network Configuration 2G Interworking 7 Objectives & Benefits Objectives Secure data market leadership Cost effective network investment – Capacity : larger than IS-95A/B – Compact : more reliable and better quality system Enhanced quality & service capability – Standby time, enhanced features Benefits First mover into high speed wireless data market Smooth migration to 3G network (IMT-2000) 8 Market Forecasting SKT’s Cellular Penetration Thousand Subscribers Market trends 16,000 Total subscribers 14,000 Penetration almost saturates Wireless internet & data market will supercede voice 12,000 10,000 95A Subscribers requirements 8,000 6,000 various data services in higher speed lower price IS-2000 4,000 95B 2,000 4Q 3Q 2Q 4Q 1Q 2003 3Q 2Q 4Q 1Q 2002 3Q 2Q 4Q 1Q 2001 3Q 2Q 1Q 2000 1999 4Q 0 9 Financial Value Revenue Forcecasting Profit Value Revenue : $Mil 1,600 Total Expense : $1.2B IRR : 28% NPV : $520M 1,400 Total 1,200 1,000 Voice 800 Assumptions 600 Data 400 200 Data market will supercede voice In 2002, IMT-2000 (3G phase 2) service will be launched 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 0 10 Rollout Plan System development Network implementation Technical trial : ‘99. 9 Installation : ‘00. 6 ~ 8 Requirement : ‘00. 1 Optimization : ‘00. 9 Pilot test : ‘00. 4 Trial/commercial svc : ‘00. 10 Field test : ‘00. 6 ~ 9 Coverage Cities/Towns Highways (Km) Coverage (% of Pop) Total 2000 2001 2002 79/234 73% 100% - 2,500 65% 89% 100% - 75.3% 88.4% 100% 11 Network Configuration SCP SCE/SMS SMSC HLR VMS/FMS IP Fax MT BTS PSTN 2G(95-A/B) BSC MSC/VLR BSC IP Phone MT Notebook MSC/VLR BTS IWF PDA Notebook MT Maintenance Console Managed WAN Internet PDSN BTS Gateway Router BSC IP Fax MT IP Phone IP Fax BTS IS-2000 RADIUS Server HA 12 2G Interworking Backward compatibility Handoff – 2G-3G soft handoff – Data handoff : 2G->3G ,3G-> 2G Roaming to 2G network Service differentiation depends on network 2G network : low speed data services (14.4k, 64k) 1X network : high speed data services(144k) – Packet mode : fast internet accto for N-generation 13 Network Evolution Plan Network Evolution Plan Evolution Scenario Rollout Plans 3G System Technology 3G Network Deployment Strategy 3G Network Architecture 14 Evolution Scenario to 3G 2G Network (IS-95A/B) 3G Network (phase 1) (IS-2000) 3G Network (phase 2) (IMT-2000) Reduce technological risks by phased enhancement of network and services Avoid uncertainties for 3G service market Provide medium rate data services and create higher rate data service need with 3G phase 1 network 15 Rollout Plans Jan 1996(IS-95A) Aug 1999(IS-95B) 2000 4Q 2002 2Q 2G Network (IS-95A/B) 2G Network (IS-95A/B) 2G Network (IS-95A/B) 3G ph.1 Network (IS-2000) 3G ph.1 Network (IS-2000) 3G ph.2 Network (IMT-2000) 2G 2G 2G 2G 2G 2G 3G 3G ph.1 ph.1 2G 3G 3G 3G ph.1 ph.2 ph.2 16 3G System Technology IMT-MC IMT-DS MSC MSC Evolved GSM Evolved ANSI-41 Evolved from existing CDMA technology Complementary method of MC and DS Advantage in global roaming IMT-MC to build upon IS-2000 network DS-41 system to bridge existing CDMA technology with IMT-DS 17 3G Network Deployment Strategy 2GHz 800MHz IS-95C System 2GHz IMT-MC IMT-DS BTS BTS BSC HA PDSN MSC/ VLR Gateway Router WAN ANSI-41 MAP HLR IWF RADIUS Server O&M Server Minimize IMT-2000 investment cost by deploying IS-2000 network capable of supporting IMT-MC/DS Expand IMT-2000 upon IS-2000 core network to ensure call quality 18 3G Network Architecture Develop core technology MS MSC MSC BTS Voice Network PSTN BTS Internet Data Network HA PDSN RNC MS GMSC HLR RNC MS 2G Cellular BTS RADIUS Server Server DNS Directory Service Platform IMMC Portal Web ... 19 Summary Benefits of IS-2000 Marketing – Secure data market leadership Technical – Enhanced quality and service capability Financial – Cost effective network investment Network evolution – Smooth migration to IMT-2000 20