FOREIGN DRUG PROHIBITION, THE MNE’S FDI DECISION AND HOME COUNTRY INSTITUTIONAL STABILITY Ram Mudambi, Temple University Chris Paul, Georgia Southern University Prepared for presentation at the 3rd IGMS Research Forum Philadelphia, PA March 2002 OBJECTIVE • Employ the O-L-I paradigm to identify the determinants of the location decisions of the Extra-legal Enterprise (XLE) • Apply research findings from the prohibition and rent-seeking literatures to determine implications for the home and host countries © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 2 The O-L-I paradigm* – 1 • Ownership: Firm specific advantages that emanate from the ownership or control of a resource • For the XLE the risk of expropriation means that it will prefer to control resources that are legally owned by others. As the XLE possesses enforcement or coercive capabilities, most of the disadvantages of surrogate ownership are mitigated. * (Dunning 1977) © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 3 The O-L-I Paradigm – 2 • Location: Resources, networks and institutions that are immovable and countryspecific. – Natural resources and climate (Rugman and Gestrin, 1993) – Wages and salary levels – Culture (Dunning, 1988) – Political risk (Mudambi, 2002) © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 4 The O-L-I Paradigm – 3 • Internalization: Results from reducing transaction costs by internalizing a market operation. • Market imperfections (Buckley and Casson, 1976) – Government regulations or prohibitions – Poorly organized markets – Asymmetric information © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 5 Prohibition and Internalization • Prohibition increases incentives to internalize market operations – Prohibited status of the product /service increases the relative costs of external markets (Dick, 1995) – Gains to internalization are enhanced by economies of scale in the provision of coercion (Rubin, 1973). © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 6 Prohibition, Institutions and Behavior • Rents: Any payment in excess of opportunity costs – A Peruvian farmer makes $1/kg with legal crops and $3.5/kg for coca, receiving a rent of $2.5/kg. • Rents increase with (a) a higher discount rate; (b) a lower wage rate; (c) lower risk aversion • The higher the rents from an activity, the greater will be the rents from entrepreneurship or corruption based on this activity (Cadot, 1987). © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 7 Rent seeking and Legal Status – 1 • Rent seeking: Expending resources to increase the probability of capturing an existing prize, when competition results in behaviors that generate social waste (Buchanan, 1980) • In legal markets – Stigler’s (1971) capture theory of regulation – Reduce quantity, restrict entry to create monopoly rents • In illegal markets – Prohibition artificially reduces quantity – This creates rents and eliminates state enforced property rights © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 8 Rent seeking and Legal Status – 2 • Illegal markets provide an opportunity to study the social consequences of the absence of property rights. Alchian and Demsetz (1973) • “As a result of government prohibition” drugs are “extraordinarily profitable for producers and traffickers.” Bertram, et al, (1996) © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 9 Results of private provision of property rights by the XLE • Violence: Rent seeking and rent defending in the absence of due legal process • Corruption: Rent seeking by political office holders • Retarded economic development: Reallocation of resources to non-productive uses • Institutional instability: Externalities © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 10 The MNC - FDI effects Repatriated Taxes, tariffs and other payments to the govt. HOST Inflow of capital, inputs Subsidiary profits HOME Parent Exports 3rd Country Spillover of technology and management practices Suppliers Local net jobs created – Followdirect, the-leader indirect exports © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 11 Home jobs created The XLE - FDI effects Increased costs, prices Inflow of due to interdiction capital, inputs Subsidiary Repatriated rents, profits Parent HOST HOME Spillover of operational and management practices Home Local Resource job market Misallocation distortion – direct, Institutional indirect effects © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 12 Home job market distortion Coercive business environment Local Labor Market Rent-seeking, Corruption Judiciary, Government agencies Business Policies Rent payments Repatriated rents Legal (Controlled) Enterprises XLE Parent Patronage, Rents HOME COUNTRY GOVERNMENT Diverted labor supply Output RentSeeking, Corruption Enforcement agencies Prohibition Policy © Mudambi, Temple / Paul, Georgia Southern, 2002 13 XLE Subsidiary