PPT3 Shadow Banking

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Chapter 13 and 14

Part ii

Shadow Banking

What is Shadow Banking System (i)

• “Shadow banking" is a term used to describe banking institutions, practices and instruments that operate beyond the reach of regulation – including hedge funds and money market fund that handles trillions of dollars.

What is Shadow Banking System (ii)

• A new kind of semi-banking system that emerged in the 21 st century.

• Shadows banks are acting like Commercial banks but technically they are not CB because they are not regulated.

– Such as Country Wide, a big shadow bank organization.

– They make all kinds of loans, like credit card loan, car loan, home loan, boat loan, merchandise loan, etc

What is Shadow Banking System(iii)

• Investment banks are taking the roles of

Shadow banks, such as Lehman Brothers.

– Investment banks may conduct much of their business in the shadow banking system (SBS), but most are not SBS institutions themselves

• Convergence of banks creates big banks that have both CB and SB (IB)

– JP Morgan Chase

– Citi group

– Bank of America

Comparison between CB and IB(i)

• Both make loans for borrowers, such as homeowners.

• CB receive deposits as resources for loans, not

SB

• CB get money @ 1% from depositors

• CB loan them out @6% to homeowners as mortgage.

• CB makes 5% of profits.

• CB are insured by FDIC and CB can borrow at

Fed discount window, not SB

Comparison between CB and IB(ii)

• So how do SB make money?

• Repo market to borrow for short term @ low rate

– Repo is like short term loan but with collateral such as

TB.

• Use the borrowed short term fund to lend out for long term @ higher rate

• Bundle the loans as securities (such as mortgage backed security) and sell them to

– Hedge funds

– Pension funds, etc

Can Bank Run Occur in SB?

• Definitely.

• When short term loan provider (repo investor) does not renew the loan, there is no liquidity for SB.

• When you think this tends to occur?

• We have seen this type of running happening in the crisis.

• Why bank run does not occur in CB anymore?

One Example of How SB operates (I)

• Imagine you can get loan from Wells Fargo @8%.

• You found that Nationwide is charging 6%, all else equal.

• You chose Nationwide’s loan.

• After the deal is closed, what tends to happen with your loan?

– Securitization of loans of yours and tens of thousands of others.

• AAA bond, AA bond, A bond, and lower ranking ones

– Securities were sold to investors

• Eg., Pension funds invest in AAA bond and get 2% rate

• Hedge funds invest in AA bond and get 3% or in BBB bond and get 4%, etc.

One Example of How SB operates (II)

• But are those mortgage backed securities as safe as loans from CB?

– CB’s loans are much safer

• Fed is CB’s lender of last resort

• CB has to meet capital adequacy ratio required by Fed

• CB is insured by FDIC

• CB has checks and balances from depositors

– SB has no safe net from the government and thus is much riskier.

One Example of How SB operates (III)

– So “bank run” would be more likely for SB

• Leverage of SB is much higher than CB

• No lending in repo market or short term market

– One cause of the failing of Lehman brother and Bear Stern

– Economist Paul Krugman described the run on the shadow banking system as the "core of what happened" to cause the crisis.

Reference http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadow_banking_system

Why SB is still running

• Before the crisis, about 60% of mortgage was issued by SB, and the rest is by CB

– Demand is higher than that can provided by CB

• So SB is a key component of our economy

• Without SB, many homeowners could not buy their dream houses.

• However, the assets (bonds) of SB (such as mortgage backed securities) are considered as toxic assets

– too hard to price them to find investors.

• Banks are becoming too big to fail.

Lehman Brothers Failed due to “Run on Repo” (i)

• Lehman Brothers is a pure IB

• It is acting as a SB as well

• Lehman Brothers heavily involved in repo market to get access to short term capital

– Repo is similar to deposit which is short term loan

• Then invested the borrowed capital in subprime securities and other securities

Lehman Brothers Failed due to “Run on Repo” (ii)

• So if repo investors (like depositors) fear of failure of Lehman Brothers

– Due to housing market value declined and subprime securities’ value declined

– They would not renew repo when it was due

– The “run on repo” occurs.

– The values of securities (subprime securities) held by Lehman Brothers declined

– Lehman Brothers could not rescue itself

– Government bailed out Bear Stern and Merrill

Lynch and did not bail out Lehman Brothers.

Debate about Regulations on Shadow Banking (i)

.

• Fed should regulate both CB and IB (SB)

• Regulate hedge funds with assets over 150m

• Formalize over-the-counter derivative trading

• Dodd Frank Act provisions

Debate about Regulations on Shadow Banking (ii)

• The G20 is still trying to stop banks becoming

"too big to fail", which covers banks the markets believe would be bailed out in a crisis.

• Instead, the Institute of International Finance, a global association of financial institutions, has asked world leaders to adopt shadow banking regulations tailored to individual banking sectors, rather than imposing blanket regulations

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