Chapter 37 International Trade McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter Objectives • Comparative advantage and the gains from trade • Exports and imports • Economic effects of tariffs and quotas • Arguments for protectionism 37-2 Some Key Facts • U.S. trade deficit in goods –$815 billion in 2007 • U.S. trade surplus in services –$107 billion in 2007 • Canada largest U.S. trade partner • Trade deficit with China –$257 billion in 2007 • Exports are 12% U.S. output • Dependence on oil 37-3 World Exports Percentage Share of World Exports, Selected Nations, 2007 0 Germany United States China Japan France Netherlands United Kingdom Italy 2 4 6 8 10 12 9.20 8.59 8.02 5.38 4.06 3.83 3.71 3.40 Source: World Trade Organization 37-4 Economic Basis for Trade • Nations have different resource endowments • Labor-intensive goods • Land-intensive goods • Capital-intensive goods 37-5 Comparative Advantage • Assumptions –Two nations –Same size labor force –Constant costs in each country –Different costs across countries –U.S. absolute advantage in both • Opportunity cost ratio –Slope of the curve –Coffee sacrificed per ton of wheat 37-6 Comparative Advantage 45 45 (a) United States 40 35 35 30 30 Coffee (Tons) Coffee (Tons) 40 25 20 25 20 15 15 12 10 A 10 5 4 5 0 (b) Brazil 5 10 15 18 20 Wheat (Tons) 25 30 0 B 5 8 10 15 Wheat (Tons) 20 37-7 Comparative Advantage • Self-sufficiency output mix • Specialization and trade • Produce good with lowest domestic opportunity cost • Opportunity cost 1 ton wheat –1 pound of coffee in U.S. –2 pounds of coffee in Brazil 37-8 Comparative Advantage • Terms of trade –U.S. 1W = 1C –U.S. will sell 1W for more than 1C –Brazil 1W = 2C –Brazil will pay less than 2C for 1W –Settle between the two –Depends on supply/demand factors –Assume 1W = 1.5C 37-9 Comparative Advantage • Gains from trade –Trade possibilities line –Slope equals terms of trade –Improved options • Complete specialization • More of both goods • More efficient resource allocation 37-10 Economic Basis for Trade 45 45 C’ (a) United States (b) Brazil 40 40 35 C 25 20 A’ 15 12 10 Trading Possibilities Line 25 20 c 15 A 10 B’ 5 4 5 0 30 Coffee (Tons) Coffee (Tons) 30 35 Trading Possibilities Line W 5 10 15 18 20 Wheat (Tons) 25 30 0 B 5 w w’ 8 10 15 20 Wheat (Tons) 37-11 Comparative Advantage • Trade with increasing costs –Concave production curve –Resources not perfectly substitutable –Incomplete specialization • The case for free trade –Promote efficiency –Promote competition 37-12 Supply and Demand Analysis • World price • Domestic price with no trade • World price > domestic price –Export surplus –Export supply curve • World price < domestic price –Import shortage –Import supply curve 37-13 Supply and Demand Analysis (a) U.S. Domestic Aluminum Market Sd Price (Per Pound; U.S. Dollars Price (Per Pound; U.S. Dollars Surplus = 100 (b) U.S. Export Supply and Import Demand 1.50 1.50 Surplus = 50 c 1.25 1.25 1.00 1.00 .75 Shortage = 50 .50 0 75 100 125 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Pounds) a U.S. Import Demand .75 x .50 y Dd Shortage = 100 50 b U.S. Export Supply 150 0 50 100 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Pounds) 37-14 Supply and Demand Analysis (b) Canada’s Export Supply and Import Demand Price (Per Pound; U.S. Dollars Price (Per Pound; U.S. Dollars (a) Canada’s Domestic Aluminum Market 1.50 1.50 Surplus = 100 Sd 1.25 1.25 Surplus = 50 s 1.00 1.00 .75 .50 Shortage = 50 0 50 75 100 Dd 125 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Pounds) 150 .75 r Canadian Export Supply q Canadian Import Demand .50 t 0 50 100 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Pounds) 37-15 International Equilibrium Price (Per Pound; U.S. Dollars Import demand = Export supply U.S. Export Supply 1.00 .88 Canadian Export Supply e Equilibrium U.S. Import Demand .75 Canadian Import Demand 0 50 100 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Pounds) 37-16 Trade Barriers • Tariffs –Revenue tariff –Protective tariff • Import quota • Nontariff barrier (NTB) • Voluntary export restriction (VER) 37-17 Trade Barriers • Economic impact of tariffs • Direct effects –Decline in domestic consumption –Increase in domestic production –Decline in imports –Tariff revenue • Indirect effects 37-18 The Case for Protection • • • • • • • Different arguments Military self-sufficiency Diversification for stability Infant industry Protection against dumping Increased domestic employment Cheap foreign labor 37-19 The WTO Protests • World Trade Organization has 151 member nations –Liberalize trade through negotiation • Protest groups –Labor unions, environmentalists, socialists, anarchists • Key issues for the protestors –Labor protection and environmental standards 37-20 Key Terms • • • • • • • • • • • • • labor-intensive goods land-intensive goods capital-intensive goods opportunity-cost ratio principle of comparative advantage terms of trade trading possibilities line gains from trade world price domestic price export supply curve import demand curve equilibrium world price • • • • • • • • • • • tariffs revenue tariff protective tariff import quota nontariff barrier (NTB) voluntary export restriction (VER) strategic trade policy dumping Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Round 37-21 Next Chapter Preview… The Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates, and Trade Deficits 37-22