WTM Latin America Trends Report 2015 The latest trends from the Latin American travel industry WTM Latin America Trends Report Key Findings Latin America Overview Brazil: Religious Tourism South America: Travel with family Caribbean: Luxury Hotels WTM Latin America 2015 The inaugural WTM Latin America Trends Report 2015, in association with Euromonitor International, highlights the emerging travel trends in the Latin American market. The comprehensive report follows in the footsteps of the WTM Global Trends Report which is presented annually at World Travel Market in London. The WTM Portfolio and Euromonitor International have been working together, predicting the major travel trends in the industry since 2006. This WTM Latin America Trends Report 2015 will be no different, but focusing on key Latin American markets – Brazil, South America and the Caribbean. I would like to thank Euromonitor International for compiling the WTM Latin America Trends Report 2015. I hope you find the report useful and interesting and wish you a thought-provoking and productive WTM Latin America 2015. Lawrence Reinisch, Exhibition Director, WTM Latin America Euromonitor International Euromonitor International delivers an unrivalled level of research and analysis for all travel categories in 210 countries worldwide. We have more than 40 years of experience publishing international market reports, business reference books and online databases on consumer markets. Euromonitor International are delighted with the partnership beyond World Travel Market in London with WTM Latin America. It is a key indicator of the growth and development of this industry in Latin America and Brazil. Our market insights are valuable content capable of making a difference for tourism companies, and experts that want to take advantage of the opportunities in the region. Marcel Motta, Country Manager, Euromonitor International, Sao Paulo Travel and Tourism Tourism Flows and Spending Lodging Travel Modes Activities Booking LATIN AMERICA OVERVIEW Inbound Tourism in Latin America Turns a Corner 8 7.1 7 6.2 6 5.1 4.9 5 4.4 4 2.8 2.7 3 4.0 3.2 3.8 3.7 3.8 2.6 2.0 1.9 2 2.4 1 0 Middle East Asia Pacific Australasia and Africa % CAGR Arrivals 2008-2013 • Latin America World % CAGR Arrivals 2013-2018 Eastern Europe North America Western Europe Source: Euromonitor International After underperforming the global average over the review period, Latin America inbound arrivals will post a 4.4% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) between 2013-2018, slightly above the global CAGR of 4%. Latin America Inbound Tourism Overview Mexico Performance Brazil 2013 : 84 million arrivals 2008-2013 CAGR: 2.8% Argentina 2013-2018 CAGR: 4.4% Dominican Republic Chile Peru • In 2013, Latin America registered a total of 84 million arrivals, representing 3% growth over 2012. • Mexico accounted for 30% of total arrivals in the region. This can be mainly attributed to the country’s proximity to the biggest source market for Latin America: the US. • Brazil follows with an 8% share of total arrivals. Visa requirements, crowded flights, bad infrastructure and language are strong barriers to growth for international tourism in the country. Uruguay Others Source: Euromonitor International Key Destinations 1. Mexico 30% 2. Brazil 8% 3. Argentina 7% 4. Dominican Republic 6% 5. Chile 4% Top Five (Total) 55% Global Economy Helps Latin America Tourism Real GDP % Y-o-Y Growth 2009-2018 4 3 2 1 0 -1 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 -2 -3 -4 -5 North America Eurozone France Source: Euromonitor International • Economic recession in main source markets (North America and Eurozone) negatively impacted arrivals in Latin America between 2008-2013. The stabilisation of the economy in those regions is expected to increase arrivals in Latin America over the following five years. Rising Income Boosts Intra-Regional Tourism Distribution of the Latin America Population by Gross Income Range (%) 2008/2013/2018 2018 2013 2008 0 10 20 Population with Income of US$40,001+ 30 40 50 Population with Income of US$10,001-40,000 60 70 80 Population with Income of US$0-10,000 Source: Euromonitor International • Between 2008 and 2013, 44 million people joined the region’s population group with income of R$31,000 – 125,000 (US$10,001-40,000). This is more than the population of Argentina in 2014 (41 million). • Like many consumers worldwide, Latin Americans love to travel, and take steps to ensure that they have the financial resources to escape to the beach, the countryside or a lively urban centre. In fact, Latin Americans prioritise travel above all else when it comes to discretionary spending. Fastest Growing Markets • Between 2013 and 2018, Mexico’s arrivals will post a 5% CAGR to reach 31 million. This growth will be mainly driven by US economic recovery. • Brazilian inbound tourism will benefit from increased awareness underpinned by the 2014 FIFA World Cup and 2016 Rio Olympics. However, Peru will be the country to register the strongest growth in arrivals over the forecast period. Government policy efforts to promote inbound tourism will play an important role in this growth. 35 12% 30 10% 25 8% 20 6% 15 4% 10 2% 5 0 0% Mexico Brazil Argentina Source: Euromonitor International 2013 Dominican Republic 2018 Chile CAGR 2013-2018 Peru Ecuador CAGR 2013-2018 Million arrivals Inbound arrivals in Latin America by Fastest Growing Markets, 2013-2018 BRAZIL: RELIGIOUS TOURISM Brazil Religious Tourism Overview • • Religious heritage sites are important tourism destinations, attracting between 300-330 million tourists every year worldwide, according to UNWTO estimates. Religious tourism contributes to the building of tolerance, respect and mutual understanding through interactions between visitors and host communities. In Brazil, the Tourism Ministry estimates that 7.7 million domestic trips were motivated by faith in 2014. This is the equivalent of Uruguay’s total domestic trips in 2012. Religious tourism has an important role in the economy for many cities in the country, such as Juazeiro do Norte in the state of Ceará and Cachoeira Paulista in the state of São Paulo. In 2014, the Sanctuary of Our Lady of Aparecida received 12 million tourists according the Sanctuary’s estimates. This is almost twice the number of visitors to the Eiffel Tower in 2013. Juazeiro do Norte Tourism Secretary estimates over 2.5 million pilgrims visited the city in 2011 to participate in masses and religious celebrations. This is more than Paraguay’s total domestic trips in 2014. Catholicism Remains Predominant • According to Vatican figures, Brazil's Population Distribution by Religion, 2010 Brazil has the most Catholics in the world, with over 12% of the global Catholic population. This 2.7% 8.3% corresponds to 137 million people, almost the population of 0.4% Russia. 2.5% Catholics • The proportion of people who are Evangelical Christians has been increasing in Brazil. According to the National Statistics Office (IBGE), the religion accounted for 21% of the country’s population in 2010, or 42 million people (same size as Argentina’s population in 2014). Evangelicals Spiritualists 20.8% Umbanda and Candomblé 65.3% Others No Religion Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - IBGE Increased Awareness of Catholicism in Brazil • The election of a Latin American pontiff, Pope Francis, in 2013 has revitalised tourists’ interest in the ruins of Jesuit missions in the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul, among them the UNESCO World Heritage site São Miguel das Missões. • In 2013, Brazil hosted World Youth Day. The Catholic mega-event gathered 671,000 tourists, of which 212,000 were international, according to Brazil’s Tourism Ministry. Local Industry Starts to Invest in Catholic Tourism • Since 2012, the largest tour operator in Brazil, CVC, has been expanding its portfolio of religious tourism packages. Offers however are still restricted to key international religious heritage sites, mainly in Europe, Israel and Jordan. • On the other hand, specialised tour agencies offer package tours for domestic sanctuaries, such as Our Lady of Aparecida (Aparecida, São Paulo), Santa Paulina (Curitiba, Parana) and Pai Eterno (Trindade, Goiás ). These packages often also include activities other than religious, such as shopping and entertainment (eg amusement parks). • Pai Eterno (Trindade, GO) The popularity of Brazilian priest singers in the country has led to the development of religious cruises in Brazil. However, these are sporadic and it is still not clear if there is a strong demand for this kind of service. Santa Paulina (Curitiba, PR) Other Religions Remain Unexplored • According to a study published by IBGE, Brazil is on the way to becoming the only country in the world to change its traditionally dominant religion. Academics estimate* that Evangelicals will outnumber Catholics in Brazil by 2040. Although they have far smaller numbers, African-Brazilian religions such as Umbanda and Candomblé are increasing awareness among the middle class in Brazil. According to IBGE data, 13% of all followers of African-Brazilian religions have higher education, above the country’s average of 11%. Population by Religion in Brazil, 1980-2010 140 120 100 Million People • 80 60 40 20 0 1980 1990 2000 Catholics Evangelicals Other Religions No Religion Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - IBGE * ALVES et al. A dinâmica das filiações religiosas no Brasil entre 2000 e 2010. Congresso ABEP, 2012. 2010 SOUTH AMERICA: TRAVEL WITH FAMILY Latin Americans Travel More With Family • • • Between 2006 and 2014, family trips rose in popularity and have now become the most common way for Argentinians to travel abroad. Since 2010, family trips are the most common form of travel among Brazilian outbound tourists. In Peru and Colombia, family trips accounted for almost half of all leisure outbound trips in 2014. Share of Family Travellers in Total Leisure Outbound Trips 2006/2014 Country 2006 2014 Argentina 15% 30% Brazil 24% 35% Peru 38% 43% Colombia 41% 45% Source: Euromonitor International Family Trips to Enhance Parent-Children Relationship Latin America Annual Disposable Income Per Capita and Fertility Rates 1990-2030 16,000 3.50 14,000 3.00 12,000 2.50 10,000 2.00 8,000 1.50 6,000 1.00 4,000 0.50 2,000 0 - Annual Disposable Income Per Capita (US$ Current Prices) Fertility Rates Source: Euromonitor International • • Over recent decades, Latin America has witnessed a decline in fertility rates and an increase in annual disposable income per capita. On the other hand, time-pressed parents now have less time to spend with their children. As a result, parents are spending more money and less time with their children. Family trips gain importance as a way to enhance parent-children relationships through sharing experiences. Have What I Did Not • Newer generations of parents in Latin America grew up in times of unfavourable economic and social conditions, but entered adulthood in times of economic prosperity. Now, with increased disposable income and more opportunities, they want to give to their children what they did not have when they were young, such as international travel and experiences. • Not surprisingly, leisure outbound trips in Latin America posted a 7% CAGR over 2003-2013, while leisure domestic trips registered a 4% CAGR. • Million trips In addition, vanishing dividing lines between children and parents – the disappearing generation gap – is contributing to parents becoming “peerents”, working through issues with their children and sharing experiences in a form of “collaborative parenting”. 600 7% 500 6% 5% 400 4% 300 3% 200 2% 100 1% 0 0% Leisure Outbound Trips 2003 2013 Source: Euromonitor International Domestic Trips CAGR 2003-2018 CAGR 2013-2018 • Latin America Leisure Outbound Trips vs Domestic Trips Is it Worth Focusing on Family Travel? Family respondents say yes. According to a global survey conducted by Euromonitor in 2013, they are quite willing to pay, and pay extra, for children's activities. Family travellers are also more willing to pay for children's activities than for almost every other type of trip add-on. Source: Euromonitor International CARIBBEAN LUXURY HOTELS Inbound Prospects Increase Allure of Caribbean Region Inbound Arrivals in the Caribbean Region 2008/2013/2018 25,000 20% 18% 20,000 16% ‘000s arrivals 14% 15,000 12% 10% 10,000 8% 6% 5,000 4% 2% 0 0% 2008 2013 Arrivals ('000s) • 2018 Arrivals Growth (%) Between 2013 and 2018, inbound arrivals in the Caribbean region are expected to post an 18% CAGR, compared to a 12% CAGR between 2008-2013. Luxury Drives Inbound Demand in Caribbean Hotels Occupancy Rates in Antigua by Price Range 2007-2014 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 Budget 2011 Mid Range 2012 2013 2014 Luxury Source: Antigua Hotel and Tourist Association • Historically, luxury hotels have registered higher occupancy rates among Caribbean countries. In Antigua, between 2007-2014, with the exception of 2009, when the segment was negatively impacted by the global economic recession. Luxury Hotel Chains Increase Investments in Caribbean Gansevoort Playa Imbert in Dominican Republic Azul Sensatori Jamaica All Inclusive - 2014 Opened in December 2014, the luxury resort is located in the northern coastal city of Cabarete. It features 48 suites including apartments with private plunge pools and a collection of 4-bedroom penthouses. Hyatt Zilara Rose Hall and Hyatt Ziva Rose Hall in Jamaica Jamaica’s Prime Minister, Portia Simpson-Miller, declared the official opening of the country’s first Hyatt-branded all-inclusive resorts in March 2015. The guestroom resorts are the culmination of an investment of more than US$85 million. Chic The Boutique Hotel Trinidad and Tobago, 2014 CHIC All-Exclusive Resorts - Dominican Republic, 2014 Kimpton Hotels resort in Cayman In 2013, Kimpton Hotels & Restaurants announced plans to open the brand’s first Caribbean resort in Cayman in 2016. The 263-room boutiquestyle hotel will be located on Seven Mile Beach in Grand Cayman, and is set to be the first new development on this location in a decade. Marriott Hotel – Haiti, 2015 Luxury Revisited: Green and Guilt-Free Return of classic luxury Multi-generational Guilt-free travel expands In emerging markets, luxury travel remains a status symbol for the rich exclusivity and high-end comfort are key goals for many. Holidays for multiple generations are an evergrowing segment in luxury travel. Cruises, safaris and activity holidays are the latest luxury attractions for family groups. As luxury travel continues to grow in popularity, the notion of guilt-free travel is expanding. Mature luxury markets have shifted towards authentic experiences. There are growing numbers of Brazilian luxury consumers keen to experience this type of luxury. These trips tend to be highly organised, often with specialised activities suitable for each generation, ranging from grandparents to young children. Luxury travellers are digitally well-connected, with social media an important tool. Sustainable options remain key to many luxury holidays, such as zero-impact luxury hotels, using locally-grown produce and offering guests eco-based experiences. Sustainable Luxury Hotels: An Opportunity? • Eco lodges are a strong trend in Costa Rica. These are mainly independent hotels integrated with the natural, built and social environments. • Eco resorts offer authentic experiences for environmentally responsible tourists. Customers have the opportunity to reconnect with nature, but with the comfort of a luxury hotel. • An example is the Lapa Rios Ecolodge, which is set in a 400-hectare private nature reserve on the Osa Peninsula, Costa Rica. The luxury hotel has the maximum five stars in the government’s Certificate of Sustainable Tourism. With a mainly locally-sourced work force, the eco lodge keeps visitors safe from the jungle, but also makes them feel integrated with it. For more information Alexis Frick Research Analyst Euromonitor International, São Paulo, Brazil Tel: +55 11 2970 2150 info-brazil@euromonitor.com www.euromonitor.com @Euromonitor Nicole Collett Press and PR Executive World Travel Market Latin America Tel: +44 20 8910 7836 Nicole.collett@reedexpo.co.uk www.wtmlatinamerica.com @WTMLAT