ECO 154/254 Intermediate Macroeconomics Prof. Michael B. McElroy Multimedia by: Mannig J. Simidian x2 x2a x2b x1a x2b x1 • • • • • • • • What is Scarcity? The Production Function The Production Possibilities Frontier Opportunity Cost Dynamics of the PPF: Economic Growth Choice: Investment or Consumption? Public vs. Private Spending Summary & Exercises What is Scarcity? Allow me to introduce myself…I am Scarcityman the hero who will never fail to remind you that there’s no such thing as a free lunch. You can’t get get away from scarcity; it is simply an inherent condition in nature, that we all must endure. I am sure you have noticed that you can’t just have or produce everything. Opportunity costs exist and we must constantly make choices. Decisions will always be about “this or that”, not “this and that” and “now or later” not “now and later.” No Free Lunch! Scarcityman won’t have to remind us to take our bitter pill, scarcity, we will constantly run into it as we further our study of Macroeconomics. We will come to realize that scarcity exists for everyone, rich or poor. For the richer country, scarcity forces people to work instead of play. If resources were not scarce, the people would pursue more leisure activities like vacation. For the poorer country, poverty and appalling living conditions make scarcity a matter of life and death. The Production Function The production function is a process of transforming inputs (labor (n), capital (k), institutional structure (inst) ) into outputs (final goods and services for a certain time period). The algebraic representation is: y = F ( n, k, inst) output is some function of our given inputs The Production Possibilities Frontier (The PPF) • Our goal in working with the PPF is to see the most output that can be produced given a certain amount of inputs. • So, first assume that as a nation, our inputs (n,k,inst) are fixed and we produce 2 goods, x1 and x2. In other words, right now, we only have a certain amount of workers, and capital to work with and a certain level of institutional efficiency within our society. • Next, we’d like to determine what combinations of our 2 goods we could produce…so here we go. Let’s say you decide to produce this amount of goods x2 and x1. x2 x2a Remember that points that lie outside the PPF, are unattainable. x2b Remember that points that lie inside the PPF are attainable, but not desirable. x1a x1b x1 Or you could cut back on x2 and increase your production of x1. Opportunity Cost The downward slope of the PPF depicts that the opportunity cost of producing more of one good is the amount of the other good that must be sacrificed. x2 10 units A Let’s say you are at point A, producing only good x2. Suddenly you decide to produce some of good x1 without reducing the production of good x2. B Uh oh…this is outside the PPF, so you must reduce production of x2. 7 units Notice that in order to gain 8 units of x1, you had to give up 3 units (10-7) of good x2. 0 units 8 units x1 Dynamics of the PPF: Economic Growth Now, let’s suppose we can increase our inputs (n,k,inst). This will shift out our PPF, making it possible to produce at a higher PPF. x2 PPF This action is called PPF Remember that any points that lie beyond even the higher PPF... are still unattainable!!! x1 9 measured in millions of dollars Investment Choice: Consumption or Investment? A nation at point A is choosing “zero-growth”, that is, they would rather consume right now, than invest and consume more later. C B 6 0 A nation choosing point B shows more willingness to invest. By investing more, the nation can increase its capital stock and therefore experience an increase in their PPF in the future. A 5 Consumption measured in millions of dollars 8 10 A nation choosing point C is investing even more and will see an even larger increase in their PPF. Consumption or investment? There is no “better” choice, it just depends on whether one places a higher value on current consumption, than on growth. Keep in mind that investment implies future consumption, so the decision is really about when to consume. measured in millions of dollars Investment 9 C A nation choosing point C, is said to have a Low Rate of Time Preference. B 6 5 Consumption measured in millions of dollars 8 A nation choosing point B, is said to have a High Rate of Time Preference. Public vs. Private Spending Public Output The issue of Public and Private spending must also run into the boundaries set by scarcity. There is an opportunity cost whereby more government output means less private output. B gB gA +Dg Starting at point A, if the government decides to increase public spending... It must diminish private spending and land at point B. A -D(c+i) (c+i)B (c+i)A Private Output This is known as Copyright 1997 Dead Economists Society • • • • • Historical Background A Glimpse of Adam Smith Market Clearing A Visit to The Classical Factory: AS* and AD Conclusions on the Classical Model Historical Background The Classical model of economics relates the standard supply-demand analysis to the macroeconomy. It holds that wages and prices will be “flexible” as opposed to “sticky.” Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations (1776) suggested that the economy was controlled by the “invisible hand” whereby the market system, instead of government would be the best mechanism for a healthy economy. A Glimpse of Adam Smith The central thesis of The Wealth of Nations is that capital is best employed for the production and distribution of wealth under conditions of governmental noninterference, or laissez-faire, and free trade. In Smith's view, the production and exchange of goods can be stimulated, and a consequent rise in the general standard of living attained, only through the efficient operations of private industrial and commercial entrepreneurs acting with a minimum of regulation and control by governments. To explain this concept of government maintaining a laissez-faire attitude toward commercial endeavors, Smith proclaimed the principle of the “invisible hand”: Every individual in pursuing his or her own good is led, as if by an invisible hand, to achieve the best good for all. Therefore any interference with free competition by government is almost certain to be injurious. "Smith, Adam," Microsoft® Encarta® 96 Encyclopedia. © 1993-1995 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. © Funk & Wagnalls Corporation. All rights reserved. Market Clearing Market clearing is an alignment process whereby decisions between suppliers and demanders reach an equilibrium. Here’s how it works... Let’s say you begin with an initial demand and supply curve for CDs. Remember that the demand curve slopes downward meaning that as you increase the price (by moving along the demand curve), the quantity demanded decreases. Conversely, the supply curve slopes upward implying that as the price increases (by moving along the supply curve), the amount supplied will increase. P P´ P* D D´ S The center point A is the place where market decisions reach an equilibrium. Now, suppose that there is a sudden increase in the demand for CDs. Demand will shift from D to D´. B A Q* Q´ Q The increase in demand places upward pressure on the price to point B since the original price, P* no longer clears the market. Welcome to... The place where Classical Model mechanics are made easy! P S P* D Q* Q