Development Review - Long Essay (Please circle one) Number __2__ 2005 Copy the Question here: Question: What are the determinants of economic growth? What are the 2-3 key words in the question to pay attention to? You should underline these in a real test situation. List Verb(s) and Nouns (concepts): determinants Economic growth What are the concepts to provide definitions for? Define them precisely here: Economic growth: The increase in real output of an economy over time. It can be one-time or sustained over a long period of time. It is usually measured by the real GNP or real GNP per capita. For the rest of the essay, the focus will be on sustained economic growth. Structure of your answer What graph should you draw for this point? What example can you provide to illustrate your point? (Use numbered lists or bullet points: develop and explain your argument so that others can understand – no need to write them out here as this is only for your review. Please insert more rows as necessary). Remember to EVALUATE for Part B of Long Essays: Comment: At the very beginning, the idea should be highlighted that economic growth is on REAL output, with inflation effect taken out. Thus, The SRAS/AD/LRAS graph should be drawn government policies to increase aggregate demand can result in only short run economic growth, and the economy will return to its long run equilibrium eventually. here. Thus, the only way the economy can have sustained economic growth is when the LRAS shifts to the right, or the PPF shifting to the right. Thus the sources of such shifts are the sources of economic growth over time. PPF can shift if quantity and/or quality of inputs change. PPF shift rightwards Sources of growth 1. Quantity of inputs 1. Land But –diminishing returns -Rcih natural resources may not sufficient for growth, or unable to exploit—rely on MNCs --Sacrifice future development—over exploitation of natural resources (negative externalities) 2. Labor Increased workforce But --diminishing returns—lower productivity --low GNP per capita 3. Capital Directly: factories, equipment, Indirectly: road, etc Productivity may increase—economic growth But: --Investment requires saving --saving means sacrifice of current consumption --opportunity cost of investment is particular high for Develop polders to increase the cropland are windfalls: oil discoveries natural gas newly descoveried in South China Sea China with 10% economic growth, but low GDP/capita as huge population LDCs --Saving may not sufficient for growth—vicious circle --Inappropriate technology—should use more labor intensive rather than capital intensive Quality of inputs There should be some evaluative comment here to emphasize that quality of inputs is more important than quantity of inputs to long term economic growth. Cannot just passively list the factors. 1. Land Green revolution: high yield gains But May impose negative externalities over the ecosystem—sacrifice future development 2. Labor Education and training—increase productivity—economic growth But Spending on education has opportunity cost 3. Capital Productivity Generate high income Technology progress—new markets and new demand But The challenge of appropriate technologies But Spillover: firms may not benefit fully from R&D Externality graph India—rice production China & Japan--hybrid seeds Intel in Silica valley There should be some evaluative element here: ie. capital productivity, due to its spillover effects, is an very important determinant of economic growth. 4. Role of entrepreneur Gap-filler and input-completer Innovator But Profit making regardless of externalities The question is determinants of economic growth, not just sources or factors. Your answer should help people understand why certain countries grow faster than others. Merely listing the factors is not sufficient to explain why some countries have all the resources but still grow slowly. In addition to the ones listed above, there should be other points to consider (otherwise, growth is too easy!): 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Institutional Legal Historical International environment Government strategies Summary Conclusion (one sentence) Improvements of quantity and quality of factors of production can promote economic growth, but improved quality is more desirable. In addition to the sources of growth, other factors play a key role as well.