Principles of Investing FIN 330 CHAPTER 11 Fixed-Income Securities Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 1 Student Learning Objectives A. B. C. D. E. F. G. Characteristics of Debt Instruments Types of Debt Instruments Bond Market Operation Bond Ratings Global Debt Securities Managing Bond Portfolios Review of Yield Curves & Forward Rates Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 2 Characteristics of Debt Instruments A. Indenture Agreement, 1. 2. 3. 4. B. 5. Loan contract between lender and company Appoints the trustee; a fiduciary responsible for guarding the lenders' interests. Terms and conditions, legal remedies Sets the coupon rate (interest) and interest (coupons) payment schedules Maturity date of the issue Special Repayment Provisions 1. 2. 3. 4. Serial Redemption Sinking Funds Call provision: early retirement of bonds (with premiums to be paid) Put provision: permits bond buyer to sell bond back at face value. Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 3 Types of Debt Instruments A. Secured Debt: collateralized with real assets [mortgage bonds, equipment trust certificates] B. Unsecured Debt: backed by full faith and credit of the issuer [debentures] C. Income (Revenue) Bonds: interest paid only in issuer makes $$$ Bills/Notes/Bonds frequently called Fixed Income Securities Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 4 Bond Market Operation A. Most bonds sell in the OTC market B. Government bonds by far the largest dollar volume: Bills, Notes, Bonds, Agency bonds C. Municipal bonds: issued by states, counties, cities [general or revenue bonds] interest not taxable by Federal Government D. Corporate Bonds: typically better rates than government/municipal bonds. E. Short-Term Securities: 1. 2. T-Bills, Commercial paper, Bankers’ Acceptances, Negotiable CDs S-T securities are mostly held in money market funds Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 5 Bond Ratings A. Credit Worthiness key to interest rates paid, probability of default 1. 2. 3. High Quality/Investment Grade: AAA / AA, A, BBB Speculative (“Junk”): BB, B Default: [CCC, CC, C,] D 1. Standard & Poor’s: Mainly corporate (industrials) and sovereign debt Moody’s: Banking, Insurance, Corporates Fitch’s: Full range of coverage including international issuers Dun & Bradstreet: small to medium sized companies (213 million world-wide) B. Rating Agencies 2. 3. 4. Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 6 Impact of bond volatility on investors A. Bond volatility affects potential for profits from anticipated changes B. Active bond portfolio management more important in light of volatility - especially since volatility increases potential for losses. C. Volatility makes it difficult to predict the annual rate of return making strategies to minimize interest rate risk more important Managing Bond Portfolios A. Actively managed bond portfolios require the investor to estimate: 1. interest rate trends (rising, falling) 2. interest rate volatility B. Interest Rate Expectations Strategies 1. As interest rate rise, bond prices fall a. short maturities are preferred. 2. As interest rate fall, bond prices rise a. long maturities are preferred. Managing Bond Portfolios A. Bond portfolio composition depends on the relationship between yield and maturity 1. term structure of interest rates B. Adjustments to the average duration of a bond portfolio alters the portfolio’s sensitivity to changes in interest rates. C. Volatility in bond portfolio values may also be lowered by immunization and hedging strategies. Shape of the yield curve A. Upward sloping yield curve (classic) indicates short-term rates are lower than long-term rates. B. Changes in the yield curve and its shape reflect changes in relationship of rates and term to maturity. 1. Normal 2. Flat 3. Inverted Normal Yield Curve: Maturity versus Yield 7 .0 0 % 6 .5 0 % Yie ld 6 .0 0 % 5 .5 0 % 5 .0 0 % 4 .5 0 % 4 .0 0 % 0 5 10 15 20 M a t u r it y ( y e a r s ) 25 30 35 Current Yield Curve (Bloomberg.com) Nov 14, 2000 Implied Forward Rates A. The Spot Rates are today’s prevailing rates. B. The Forward Rate is the expected rate at some point in the future C. If forward rates are implied in the current spot rates, then knowing the spot rates allows calculating the forward rates. D. Knowing the spot one year rate and the spot two year rate allows calculation of the expected one year forward rate a year from now. Implied Forward Rates A. Finding implied forward rate t r n: 1. The rate for a loan made at the end of time t maturing at time n. (1 R n ) t rn t (1 R ) t n 1 n t 1 Locking in Forward Rates A. Computing forward rates from spot rates implies that investors can lock in future rates of return. B. To lock in a rate one year in the future: 1. Sell short the one-year bond today. 2. Purchase a multiple of a longer comparable risk bonds today. 3. The net cash outlay must be zero. Global Debt Markets A. Dollar Denominated: Yankee or Eurodollar B. Foreign-Pay: denominated and paid in foreign currency HOMEWORK A. Questions: 2, 3, 11, 12, 15 B. Problems: 1, 6 Dr David P Echevarria All Rights Reserved 16