1st ANNUAL WORKSHOP NAS-WIDE SIMULATION IN SUPPORT OF NEXTGEN: REQUIREMENTS AND CAPABILITIES Lance Sherry Center for Air Transportation Systems Research George Mason University 1 Workshop Background • NAS-wide Simulations will play a major role in the development of NextGen Concepts-of-Operations – authorization of development funding – authorization of implementation funding CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 2 Objective of Workshop • Identify potential “gaps” for NAS-wide Simulation 1. What Con-Ops should be simulated in NASwide Simulation 2. What “functions” are required to model a given Con-Op 3. Risks (Con-op not defined, performance measure ambiguous, algorithm to support absent) CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 3 Definition: NAS-Wide Models • • Simulates the performance of the NAS at the granularity of individual flights over the course of one day. Sequencing of individual flights through runways and airspace – may include gates and taxiways • Inputs: – – – – • Flight Schedule for Day (itinerary, fleet assignment, seat size, engine-types), routes and Crz FLs (optional), Airport Arrival/Departure Capacity, Sector capacity, Flow Management (may include delays, sequencing, and re-routing for weather) Outputs: – – – – – Delays per Flight (Delays per flight segment) Actual Airport Arrival/Departure Airspace Utilization, ATCo workload, complexity, Fuel Burn, Noise, Emissions CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 4 NextGen Con-Ops Current NAS-wide Sims (Con-Ops Supported) NextGen NASwide Sims (Concept Elements Proposed) Flight Schedule for Day (itinerary, fleet assignment, seat size, engine-types), Tail Number Tracking Dynamic Scheduling Routes and Crz FLs (optional), Re-routing 4DTs, gate to gate 4DTs during super-density surface operations Integrated Surface and Ramp Traffic Management System 4D trajectories negotiation between air and ground Continuous Descent Approaches Airport Arrival/Departure Capacity, Sector Capacity, Improved airport ability to operate in low visibility Dynamic resource and airspace management Delegated (airborne) separation Closely Spaced Parallel Approaches Flow Management (may include delays, sequencing, and re-routing for weather) Flow strategy and trajectory impact analysis Safety Improved runway incursion prevention algorithms CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 5 Workshop Outcomes 1. NextGen Con-Ops that should appropriately be modeled in NAS-wide Simulations – e.g. Airborne Re-routing, integrated surface ops? 2. NAS-wide Simulation Functions required to support NextGen Con-ops – e.g. Airborne Re-routing Con-Ops will require “functions” to perform: route planning function, trajectory conflict detection 3. Risks – – – NextGen Con-Ops not defined in sufficient detail (e.g. Dynamic Airspace Allocation) No consensus on definition of Performance Measure (e.g. Probabilistic Capacity) Algorithms/Behaviors need to be developed and tested CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 6 Agenda Welcome & Objectives State-of-the-Art and Near Term Plans 08:30 Welcome & Logistics Lance Sherry 08:35 Objectives of Workshop Vicki Cox 11:00 NASPAC Joe Post/ Kimberly Noonan 11:30 System-wide Modeler Peter Kuzminski 12:00 Lunch 13:00 ACES Robert Windhorst 13:25 FACET Banavar Sridhar 13:50 LMI-Net Shahab Hassan 14:15 Break 14:45 PNP George Hunter 15:10 NFM Matthew Berge 15:35 RAMS Kenny Martin 16:00 CSE/CRRT Chip Hathaway 16:30 Wrap-up/ Conclusions 17:00 End Needs Assessment 08:45 ATO-P Joe Post 09:15 JPDO/SEAD Yuri Gawdiak 09:30 FAA Tech Center Al Schwartz 10:00 NASA - Airspace Karlin Toner 10:30 Break • Coffee/Tea available during breaks • Lunch (Bistro, Food Court, Restaurant) • • Presentations posted on website http://catsr.ite.gmu.edu CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 7 NextGen Con-Ops Separation Management (SM) Runway/Airspace Demand Actual Capacity Trajectory Management (TM) Capacity Management (CM) Flightplan Demand Forecast Capacity Flow Contingency Management (FCM) Scheduled Demand CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 8 NextGen Con-Ops Implementation 1. Reduced Separation Distance – – Vector 4-D Planning 2. Reduced Conflict Resolution – – Trajectory Forecasting 4-D Planning 3. Probabilistic Capacity and Demand Forecasting – – Probabilistic Decision-Making Collaborative Decision-making CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 9 2-Day Workshop (Mid-Feb ’09) • Demand for workshop on this topic – 60+ registered for this workshop • Increased scope – Demand Modeling (forecasting, itin assignment, depeaking, …) – Performance Metrics – Safety – Environment – Passengers – Monetization of Benefits CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 10 Introductions • Name • Affiliation CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 11 Backups CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 12 WELCOME 1st ANNUAL WORKSHOP NAS-WIDE SIMULATION IN SUPPORT OF NEXTGEN RESEARCH 1 BUILDING ROOM 401 CENTER FOR AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH 13