UNDERSTANDING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS THE ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Fraser & Ormiston Chapter 5 Overview of Financial Analysis • First order of business is to SPECIFY THE OBJECTIVES OF THE ANALYSIS • Focus on WHO is the financial statement user • Remember -- the identity of the user helps define what information is needed Potential Financial Statement Users: • Creditors • Investors • Managers • What types of questions do each of these users seek answers to? Creditors • Why does the firm want/need to borrow funds? • What is the firm’s capital structure? How leveraged are they? • How will they pay it back? What kind of cash flows are being generated by operations? Investors • How has the firm performed/what are future expectations? • How much RISK is inherent in the capital structure? • What are expected returns from the firm? • What is firm’s competitive position? Managers • Need all info creditors and investors need PLUS: • What operating areas have contributed to success and which have not? • What are strengths/weaknesses of company’s financial position? • What changes are indicated to improve future performance? Caution!!! • Keep in mind: management PREPARES financial statements • Analyst should be alert to potential for management to influence reporting to make data more “appealing” • May want to supplement analysis with information apart from Annual Report prepared by management Where to look for data... • • • • Financial statements (and notes) Auditor’s report MD&A Supplementary schedules • All of the above are in Annual Report -can also look further... Other Data Sources • 10K and 10Q reports filed with SEC • Computerized data bases – Info on industry norms/ratios – Info on particular companies/industries/mutual funds • Articles in popular/business press • Ever-expanding websites Basic Tools • • • • • • Common size financial statements Financial ratios Trend analysis Structural analysis Industry comparisons Common sense and judgment (often the hardest to use!) Common Size Statements • Common size income statement – expresses each income statement category as a percentage of net sales • Common size balance sheet – expresses each item on balance sheet as a percentage of total assets or equities • Both statements facilitate structural analysis of the firm Financial Ratio Categories • Liquidity Ratios – measure a firm’s ability to meet cash needs as they arise • Activity Ratios – measure the liquidity of specific assets and the efficiency of managing assets Ratio Categories (continued) • Leverage Ratios – measure the extent of a firm’s financing with debt relative to equity and its ability to cover interest and other fixed charges • Profitability Ratios – measure the overall performance of a firm and its efficiency in managing assets, liabilities and equity Caution!!!!!! • Ratios are valuable, BUT….. – They do not provide answers in an of themselves and are not predictive – They should be used with other elements of financial analysis – There are no “rules of thumb” that apply to interpretation of ratios • KEEPING THIS IN MIND, LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF THE RATIOS…. Liquidity Ratios • Current Ratio – Current Assets/Current Liabilities – Measures ability to meet short-term cash needs • Quick or Acid Test Ratio – Current Assets-Inventory/Current Liabilities – Measure ability to meet short-term cash needs more rigorously Liquidity Ratios (continued) • Cash Flow Liquidity Ratio – Cash+Marketable Securities+Cash Flow from Operating Activities/Current Liabilities – Focuses on ability of the firm to generate operating cash flows as a source of liquidity Activity Ratios • Average Collection Period – Accounts Receivable/Average Daily Sales – Helps gauge liquidity of accounts receivable (ability to collect cash from customers) • Accounts Receivable Turnover – Net Sales/Accounts Receivable – Another measure of efficiency of firm’s collection and credit policies Activity Ratios (continued) • Inventory Turnover – Cost of Goods Sold/Inventory – Measures efficiency of inventory management • Fixed Asset and Total Asset Turnover – Net Sales/Net PP&E (Fixed Asset T/O) – Net Sales/Total Assets (Total Asset T/O) – Both assess effectiveness in generating sales from investment in assets Leverage: Debt Ratios • Debt Ratio – Total Liabilities/Total Assets • Long-Term Debt to Total Capitalization – Long-term Debt/Long-term Debt + Stockholders’ Equity • Debt to Equity Ratio – Total Liabilities/Stockholders’ Equity • All three measure extent of firm’s financing with debt Leverage: Coverage Ratios • Proportion and amount of debt in capital structure is important to analyst • Tradeoff between risk and return • Use of debt involves risk -- commitment to fixed charges • Fixed charges must be COVERED -following are some ratios to assess coverage…... Coverage Ratios (continued) • Times Interest Earned – Operating Profit/Interest Expense – Indicates how well operating earnings cover fixed interest charges • Fixed Charge Coverage – Operating Profit + Lease Payments/Interest Expense + Lease Payments – Broader measure of how well operating earnings cover fixed charges Coverage Ratios (continued) • Cash Flow Adequacy – Cash Flow from Operating Activities/ Average Annual Long-Term Debt Maturities – Measures firm’s ability to cover long-term debt maturities each year – Rationale is that over the long-run operating cash flows must be adequate to cover investing activities financed with debt Profitability Ratios • Gross Profit Margin – Gross Profit/Net Sales • Operating Profit Margin – Operating Profit/Net Sales • Net Profit Margin – Net Earnings/Net Sales • All measure firm’s ability to translate sales dollars into profits Profitability Ratios (continued) • Cash Flow Margin – Cash Flow from Operating Activities / Net Sales – Measures ability to translate sales into cash (with which to pay bills!) Profitability Ratios (continued) • Return on Investment (or Return on Assets -- same thing, different words!) – Net Earnings/Total Assets • Return on Equity – Net Earnings/Stockholders’ Equity • Both measure overall efficiency of firm in managing investment in assets and generating return to stockholders Profitability Ratios (continued) • Cash Return on Assets – Cash Flow from Operating Activities / Total Assets – Useful comparison to return on investment – Indicates firm’s ability to generate cash from utilizing its assets Other Ratios You Hear About.. • Earnings per Common Share – Net Earnings/Average Common Shares Outstanding – Indicates return on a per share basis • Price to Earnings – Market Price of Common Stock/Earnings per Common Share – Expresses a multiple the stock market places on earnings Other Ratios (continued) • Dividend Payout – Dividends per Share/Earnings per Share – Shows percentage of earnings paid out to stockholders • Dividend Yield – Dividends per Share/Market Price of Common Share – Shows rate earned by shareholders from dividends relative to current stock price Analyzing the Company • Now that some of the “tools” of financial analysis have been illustrated, where does one go from here? • Taking a general approach to financial statement analysis, one might proceed as follows…... Steps of a F/S Analysis • Establish objectives of the analysis – Who are you and why are you interested in this company? – What questions would you like to have answered? – What info is vital to the decision at hand? Steps (continued) • Study the industry in which the firm operates and relate industry climate to current and projected economic developments – individual company does not operate in a vacuum – are we dealing with a growth industry? a dying industry? a changing industry?... Steps (continued) • Develop knowledge of firm and quality of management (unless you buy an awful lot of stock, you can’t DO much about the latter!) – how well does this firm seem to be run? – are they taking advantage of opportunities? – are they innovative, forward-looking, etc? Steps (continued) • Evaluate financial statements (numbercrunching time!) using basic tools • Focus on major areas: – short-term liquidity – capital structure/long-term solvency – operating efficiency/profitability – market ratios – segmental analysis if relevant Steps (concluded) • Summarize findings • Reach conclusions about the firm relevant to your established objectives • NOW, WHAT HAVE WE ACCOMPLISHED AS WE HAVE “WADED” THROUGH THE LAST FIVE CHAPTERS? Accomplishments • TRIED to turn a maze into a map • Reviewed all the basic financial statements and know what they are • Practiced the rudiments of financial analysis • If nothing else, hopefully gained an appreciation of what information is available and how one might use it... A Final Note • Financial analysis is only as good as the information upon which it is based -hence we need to be concerned about honest, straightforward, comprehensible financial reporting • Financial analysis is only valuable to me if it answers MY questions -- I need to THINK about what I need/would like to know BEFORE I crunch numbers A Final Final Note (really!) • Analyzing financial information can be fun (as well as profitable) • You can never know too much about a company you plan to have a relationship with (as an investor, a creditor, a manager, an employee) • GO FIND THE INFORMATION AND USE IT INTELLIGENTLY -- YOU CAN DO IT!