SANEDI strategic 5-year plan 2012/13 – 2016/17 Final A corporation established under Section 7 of the National Energy Act, 2008 (Act No. 34 of 2008) energy development and planning context 1 The transition to a low-carbon economy is globally recognised as a competitive and development priority, but with the understanding that this will require farreaching changes in technology, finance, policy and societal behaviour. 2011 3/12/2016 LTMS: Peak 2024: LTMS 550Mt CO2 ‘cap’ 2025: 42 % emission reduction commitment (Copenhagen) 2015 IRP 2020 + 34% emission reduction commitment (Copenhagen) IRP 2018 IRP 2016 EE Strategy Target date IRP 2014 RE White paper Target date IRP 2012 COP 17, National EE Strategy Review process, IEP (date) 2020 2025 2035 Decline commitment for carbon emissions 2024 Plateau commitment for carbon emissions. 275 Mt CO2 (50%) ‘owned’ by energy sector (IRP 2010) 2020 Planning horizon current capacity expansion programme (IRP 2010) 2020 New Growth Path target for 5 million jobs and 15% less unemployment South Africa also requires urgent solutions for sustainable energy supply and economic development 275 Mt CO2 ‘owned’ by energy sector (IRP 2010) 275 Mt CO2 to be allocated to remainder of economic sectors 2030 LTMS: Plateau South African Energy Development Institute 2035 2040 LTMS: Decline Time (years) and prominent milestones in the energy policy and climate mitigation landscape 5 SANEDI incorporates two key building blocks of sustainable energy solutions and a low carbon economy energy conservation energy innovation 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 6 vision, mission and mandate 2 vision 3/12/2016 To serve as a catalyst for sustainable energy innovation, transformation and technology diffusion in support of South Africa’s sustainable development that benefits our nation. South African Energy Development Institute 8 mission 3/12/2016 Advance innovation of clean energy solutions and rational energy use that effectively supports South Africa’s national energy mandate and transition towards a sustainable, low carbon energy future. South African Energy Development Institute 9 mandate 3/12/2016 The National Energy Act, 2008 (Act No. 34 of 2008), Section 7 (2) provides for SANEDI to direct, monitor and conduct energy research and development as well as undertake measures to promote energy efficiency throughout the economy. South African Energy Development Institute 10 the south african energy development institute’s strategic contribution 3 SANEDI’s role and goals have been defined in direct support of the energy policy and climate mitigation landscape 3.) Foster a culture of greater efficiency and more rational use of energy 2.) Accelerated transformation to a less energy and carbon intensive economy LTMS: Peak 2024: LTMS 550Mt CO2 ‘cap’ 2025: 42 % emission reduction commitment (Copenhagen) IRP 2018 IRP 2016 IRP 2014 EE Strategy Target date 2015 275 Mt CO2 ‘owned’ by energy sector (IRP 2010) IRP 2020 + 34% emission reduction commitment (Copenhagen Pledge) 2011 RE White paper Target date IRP 2012 COP 17, National EE Strategy Review process, IEP 9date) 1.) Enable well Informed and high confidence energy planning, decision-making and policy development. 2020 2025 275 Mt CO2 to be allocated to remainder of economic sectors 2030 LTMS: Plateau 2040 2035 LTMS: Decline Time (years) and prominent milestones in the energy policy and climate mitigation landscape 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 12 3 strategic orientated goals have been identified for realising SANEDI’s vision Strategic outcome orientated goal 1 Strategic outcome orientated goal 2 Strategic outcome orientated goal 3 Enable well Informed and high confidence energy planning, decision-making and policy development Accelerated transformation to a less energy and carbon intensive economy Foster a culture of greater efficiency and more rational use of energy Actively stimulate ‘green’ energy industry development, capacity building, skills development and job creation to support the immediate concern of job scarcity and also support economic development and the critical transformation of the South African economic structure/activities to less energy and carbon intensive activities during the transition period identified by national commitments*. Actively influence consumer consciousness and behaviour to improve the energy-efficiency of existing economic activity and energy consumption by 10% during the shortterm (period of supply constraints) and to contribute to achieving a energy resource efficient society (described by energy intensity levels on par with international benchmarks) in the medium to long term (2020). Develop a technical knowledge base of cost effective, proven (low risk) alternative, clean energy solutions and technologies to (1) adequately inform energy planning, policy development and decision-making and (2) enable the country’s transition to a competitive, low carbon economy within the relevant planning horizon*. 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 13 Incorporating 6 priority programmes that were defined in support of these goals Strategic outcome orientated goal 1 Strategic outcome orientated goal 2 Strategic outcome orientated goal 3 Enable well Informed and high confidence energy planning, decision-making and policy development Accelerated transformation to a less energy and carbon intensive economy Foster a culture of greater efficiency and more rational use of energy Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Programme 5: Working for energy programme 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 14 The programmes also align with the 2 main focus areas identified by the SANEDI business case Energy Efficiency Focus Programme 1: Applied energy research Energy Research and Development Focus ✔ Programme 2: Data and knowledge management ✔ ✔ Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation ✔ ✔ Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development ✔ ✔ Programme 5: Working for energy programme ✔ ✔ Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme ✔ 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 15 …and aim to directly support the priorities of the Department of Energy Departmental Programmes Minister’s KPIs (5-year Strategic Plan 2011/12 - 2015/16) (Government Outcomes), 27 May 2011) Programme 2 Progamme 3 Programme 1: Applied energy research ✔ ✔ Programme 2: Data and knowledge management ✔ ✔ Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation ✔ Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development ✔ OUTCOME 6 ✔ OUTCOME 10 ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Programme 5: Working for energy programme ✔ Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Programme 2 (Hydrocarbons and Energy Planning): Integrated energy planning to promote the sustainable use of energy resources by developing appropriate policies and regulations that promote the efficient use of petroleum products, coal, gas and renewable energy sources; Programme 3 (Electricity, Nuclear and Clean Energy): Monitor developments in the electricity, 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 16 nuclear and clean energy sectors. Improve and implement appropriate policies governing these sectors. Promte universal access to electricity by the broader South African Population.; OUTCOME 6: An efficient, competitive and responsive economic infrastructure network; OUTCOME 10: Environmental assets and natural resources that are well protected and continually These specific programmes were prioritised because of their contribution to reducing the carbon intensity of the economy CO2 intensity of the economy The result of a combination of efforts 3/12/2016 = Energy intensity • Improved energy efficiency • Optimal energy application / rational use of energy • Green industry growth (shift away from energy intensive activities) • Advanced metering (smart grids and infrastructure) South African Energy Development Institute × CO2 intensity of energy supply • Increased reliance on renewable / clean energy • Mitigation of CO2 from existing sources • Transportation fuels with higher biogenic content • Optimal supply infrastructure (smart grids) 17 SMART strategic objectives describe the outputs expected from the programmes (…1) Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Strategic Objective 1.1: Knowledge creation in the energy sector in support of policy direction Develop a portfolio of demonstrable, cost-effective, sustainable energy options with an emissions intensity of less than 40 gCO2/MJ that have the potential to increase the low carbon content of the South African energy mix by 5% (225 million GJ/a) by 2020) . Strategic Objective 1.2: Intelligent energy systems infrastructure Finalise an accepted, comprehensive National Smart Grid 2030 vision with tangible system benefits, and define SANEDI’s role and mandate towards realising this vision by 2012. Suggested contributions may be structured as: a 20% reduction in South Africa’s electricity peak demand, 100% system availability for critical loads, 40% improvement in system efficiency and asset utilization (to achieve a load factor of 70%) and incorporate 9% electricity capacity from distributed and renewable energy sources. Strategic Objective 1.3: Optimised energy research investments Consolidate energy related public spend for research and innovation and pursue increased overall energy research investments (nationally and internationally) to correspond with the goal of 1,5% of GDP (R5.6bn/annum for the energy sector) by 2014 of which 30% (R1 864 800 000/annum) (i.e. 0.5% of GDP for the energy sector) to be invested from public funds. Programme 5: Working for energy programme Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 18 SMART strategic objectives describe the outputs expected from the programmes (…2) Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Strategic Objective 2.1: Establishment of a Technology Management Centre Establish a highly competent, independent technology management centre by 2017 that can adequately support energy related analysis and decision-making and tracking of progress indicators towards a low carbon economy (refer equation A, Section 8 of this plan) Strategic Objective 2.2: Develop and maintain a comprehensive, central data repository with high quality data relating to the areas of SANEDIs focus Compilation and maintenance of a credible and current energy dataset to the adopted IEA standard at an adequate level of disaggregation for the areas and indicators directly under SANEDIs influence (Energy Efficiency, Renewable Energy, Clean Carbon Technology and Clean Oil and Gas, Carbon Capture and Storage, Smart grids, Working for Energy, Tax incentives) by 2013 and thereafter maintain as current and continue to develop in response to national requirements. Strategic Objective 2.3: Enhanced access to energy information and knowledge Provide appropriate (in a suitably controlled manner to protect confidentiality commitments) access and disseminate available energy data to a broad range of users as soon as possible and sustained over the planning horizon. Programme 5: Working for energy programme Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 19 SMART strategic objectives describe the outputs expected from the programmes (…3) Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Strategic Objective 3.1: Increase the share of demonstration and commercialisation phase projects in SANEDI’s portfolio Increase the focus on innovation and demonstration by increasing the share of projects in the portfolio that are in the Demonstration and Commercialisation phase to 40% (currently 32% of the portfolio by number of projects and spend) by 2017. Strategic Objective 3.2: Facilitate technology innovation progress to commercialisation Transfer one fully-fledged, commercially viable concept for every R500 million spent on Research and Development to TIA or EDC or similar for active business incubation and deployment. Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Programme 5: Working for energy programme Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 20 SMART strategic objectives describe the outputs expected from the programmes (…4) Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Strategic Objective 4.1: Growing the pool of active and productive researchers, technicians and support staff Actively contribute to strengthening research leadership and capacity and contribute to job creation and skills development by creating 100 additional research positions (i.e. ~25% increase for the sector) (including research chairs, assistant research chairs, fellowships as well as internal research positions) by 2017. Strategic Objective 4.2: Facilitate the development of a skilled workforce that meets the needs of the changing economy Mobilise and coordinate an industry-wide skills development initiative (which should include, amongst others, establishment of a reference and support group for green jobs and skills and a key occupations review process) for energy efficiency and renewable energies that leverages and complements existing frameworks and structures and resolve identified gaps. Strategic Objective 4.3: Promote job creation through innovation Deliver at least 1 permanent employment position for every R1,5 million spent on technology innovation (demonstration and commercialisation innovation stages) until 2017. Programme 5: Working for energy programme Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 21 SMART strategic objectives describe the outputs expected from the programmes (…5) Programme 1: Applied energy research Strategic Objective 5.1: Demonstrated increase in employment levels within participating communities. Create 400 new full time employment opportunities and 120 000 person days of temporary employment during the five years until 2017 and hence contribute 0.01% (equivalent to 500 new jobs) towards the 5 million new jobs by 2020 targeted by the new growth path. Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Strategic Objective 5.2: Rural clean energy production and provision Establish clean energy and electricity production/generation and supply facilities equivalent to 5MWp and 25 GWh/a within (rural) communities by 2017 with all associated economic, social and sustainability benefits. Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Strategic Objective 5.3: Demonstrated Energy Management opportunities Develop and demonstrate the rural application of energy efficiency technologies to deliver energy savings of 0.5 MW and 1.5 GWh/a by 2017 with all associated economic and environmental benefits. Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Programme 5: Working for energy programme Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 22 SMART strategic objectives describe the outputs expected from the programmes (…6) Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Programme 5: Working for energy programme Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme 3/12/2016 Strategic Objective 6.1: Establish NEEA as National Champion for Energy Efficiency Define NEEA’s role to play a central role and for an optimal impact on South Africa’s energy culture; develop and implement a plan for NEEA to transition into fulfilling this role comprehensively by 2017. Strategic Objective 6.2: Energy Efficiency improvements in Public Facilities Target an annual reduction in energy consumption by 250 GWh and GHG emissions by 250 tCO2e in public facilities by 2017. Strategic Objective 6.3: Create large-scale awareness of energy efficiency and market demand for energy efficient and green technologies Improve general awareness levels** across all sectors by 5% by 2015 relative to 2012 (in support of equation A, term 1, Section 8 of this plan). **define awareness scope i.e. recognition of the need to save energy, how to save energy, etc . Strategic Objective 6.4: Create market demand for energy efficient and green technologies Achieve a 10% real increase (over and above existing trends) in sales of energy efficient and green technologies by 2017. Strategic Objective 6.5: Support the Income Tax Amendment Act section 12i and 12 l relating to the tax rebate for energy efficiency improvements Establish the capacity to support the certification of energy savings for tax reduction claims . Strategic objective 6.6: Management of the EEDSM hub and oversight of transition of Hub to CORD Continue the Energy Efficiency Hub initiative to strengthen energy related researches, human capacity development, and market transformation and enterprise development initiatives South African Energy Development Institute 23 Linking SANEDI strategy to climate change response strategy 4 2035 Decline commitment for carbon emissions 2024 Plateau commitment for carbon emissions. 275 Mt CO2 (50%) ‘owned’ by energy sector (IRP 2010) 2020 Planning horizon current capacity expansion programme (IRP 2010) 2020 New Growth Path target for 5 million jobs and 15% less unemployment Climate Change Response Strategy detail plans ready Within 2 years of publication of Strategy Further Urgency: Climate Change Response Strategy requires detailed plans completed within 2 years of Strategy publication The strategy quantifies energy generation alone to produce around 40% of GHG emissions in South Africa (vs 50% for which the IRP 2010 took responsibility) Plans to be completed within 2 years after the publication on the Climate Change Response Strategy includes: 2024: LTMS 550Mt CO2 ‘cap’ 2025: 42 % emission reduction commitment (Copenhagen) 2020 2025 IRP 2018 4) Roll-out of downscaling methodology with appropriate M&V safeguards. IRP 2016 IRP 2014 EE Strategy Target date 2015 275 Mt CO ‘owned’ by energy sector (IRP 2010) 2 3) A methodology to downscale climate information and comprehensive impact assessments to provinces and municipalities. IRP 2020 + 34% emission reduction commitment (Copenhagen) 2011 RE White paper Target date 2) Strategy to continuously update and maintain the South African Risk and Vulnerability Atlas (SARVA). IRP 2012 COP 17, National EE Strategy Review process, IEP (date) 1) 10 year Global Change Research Plan for South Africa. 275 Mt CO2 to be allocated to remainder of economic sectors 5) Ensure all National Communications submitted as part of UNFCCC commitments contain the most up to date modeling results and risk and impact assessments. 2030 2035 LTMS: Peak LTMS: Plateau 2040 LTMS: Decline Time (years) and prominent milestones in the energy policy and climate mitigation landscape 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 25 Climate Change Response Strategy Objectives and Key Elements Objective 1: Make a fair contribution to the global effort to stabilise GHG concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that avoids dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system within a timeframe that enables economic social and environmental development to proceed in a sustainable manner. Objective 2: Effectively manage inevitable climate change impacts through interventions that build and sustain South Africa’s social, economic and environmental resilience and emergency response capacity. Key Element 1 - Setting the Performance Benchmark: Using a National GHG Emissions Trajectory Range to measure the collective outcome of all mitigation actions will be measured. Key Element 2 - Identifying desired sectoral mitigation contributions: Defining desired emission reduction outcomes for each significant sector and sub-sector of the economy based on mitigation potential and options, science, evidence and cost and benefits assessment. Key Element 3 - Defining Carbon Budgets for significant GHG emitting sectors and/or sub-sectors: Adopting a carbon budget approach to provide flexibility and least-cost mechanisms for companies at company level desired emission reduction outcomes. Key Element 4 - Mitigation Plans: Requiring companies and economic sectors or sub-sectors to prepare and submit mitigation plans to achieve the desired emission reduction outcomes. Key Element 5 - The use of different types of mitigation approaches, policies, measures and actions: Developing and implementing a wide range and mix of approaches, policies, measures and actions that optimise outcomes, job creation and other sustainable developmental benefits. Key Element 6 - Using the Market: The deployment of a range of economic instruments to support the system of desired emissions reduction outcomes, including3/12/2016 pricing of carbon and economic incentives, use of emissions offset or emission reduction trading mechanisms. Key Element 7 - Monitoring and Evaluation: A national system of data collection to provide detailed, complete, accurate and up-to-date emissions data in the form of a GHG Inventory and a Monitoring and Evaluation System. South African Energy Development Institute 26 Linking Climate Change Response Strategy Key Elements with SANEDI Strategic 5-year plan priority programmes Climate Change Response Strategy SANEDI Strategic 5-year plan Goal 1: Enable well Informed and high confidence energy planning, decision-making and policy development Key Element 1: Setting the Performance Benchmark Key Element 2: Identifying desired sectoral mitigation contributions Key Element 3: Defining Carbon Budgets for significant GHG emitting sectors and/or sub-sectors Programme 1: Applied energy research Programme 2: Data and knowledge management Goal 2: Accelerated transformation to a less energy and carbon intensive economy Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Key Element 4: Mitigation Plans Key Element 5: The use of different types of mitigation approaches, policies, measures and actions Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Programme 5: Working for energy programme Key Element 6: Using the Market Key Element 7: Monitoring and Evaluation 3/12/2016 Goal 3: Foster a culture of greater efficiency and more rational use of energy Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme South African Energy Development Institute 27 SANEDI’s programmes directly support the mitigation plans and approaches identified in the Climate Change Response Plan Option 2: Significant upscaling of energy efficiency applications EE Hub + smart Grids Option 3: Promoting transportrelated interventions Green transport +smart grids Green transport Carbon Capture & Storage research Carbon Capture & Storage demonstration Option 4: Carbon capture and storage in the synthetic fuels industry Programme 4: Green industry capacity building and development Programme 3: Low energy and carbon intensity innovation cultivation Clean energy pilots and demonstration projects Programme 6: Energy efficiency programme Clean energy solutions + carbon capture and storage +smart grids Programme 5: Working for energy programme Option 1: Shifting to lowercarbon electricity generation options Programme 2: Data and knowledge management PRIORITY MITIGATION OPTIONS (identified and listed in Section 6.3 of Climate Change Response Plan) Programme 1: Applied energy research SANEDI PROGRAMMES RE part of Programme Small-scale RE solutions EE part of Programme NEEA Option 5: mitigating non-energy emissions in agriculture and land-use Option 6: Transitioning society and economy to more sustainable consumption and production patterns. Smart grids South African Energy Development Institute Directly supported in SANEDI plan Directly supported in SANEDI plan SANEDI furthermore plays a leading role in three of the identified near-term priority flagship programmes 8.1 The Climate Change Response Public Works Flagship Programme Working for Energy 8.4 The Energy Efficiency and Energy Demand Side Management Flagship Programme NEEA and specifically the Public Buildings Energy Efficiency Programme 8.7 The Carbon Capture and Sequestration Flagship Programme SANERI’s Carbon Capture and Storage South African Energy Development Institute financing the strategic plan 5 3 operation scenarios where considered for SANEDI, each with specific investment requirements, however scenario 4 is what has emerged by default and not by design Scenario 1 Rapid transition and full operationalisation as independent entity with programme implementation in parallel Scenario 2 Rapid transition and full operationalisation as independent entity with skeleton programme only Scenario 3: Focussed programme implementation with gradual transition to independence Scenario 4 SANEDI in survival mode Year 1 2012/13 R 255 192 831 R 154 712 387 R 136 579 179 R 50 110 000 R1 578 334 991 R 2 768 474 563 R 264 193 372 Total 5 year budget 2012/13 – 2016/17 R 2 794 851 532 3/12/2016 South African Energy Development Institute 31 In addition to cost considerations, each scenario also has associated delivery implications Scenario 1: Rapid transition and full operationalisation as independent entity with programme implementation in parallel Scenario 2 Scenario 3: Rapid transition and full Focussed programme operationalisation as implementation with independent entity with gradual transition to skeleton programme only independence Scenario 4: SANEDI in survival mode Benefits • Full programme benefits and contribution achieved (as per this plan) • Rapid establishment of SANEDI as independent entity • Financial commitment for year 1 is reduced • The budget requirement for year 1 is less onerous than scenario 1 • Full programme benefits and contribution can be achieved • SANEDI sustained until funding is made available Considerations • Significant financial commitment required. • Continuity of operation to receive priority attention 3/12/2016 • Programme benefits as • Slow transition to presented in this plan independence moves out with one year • Opportunities may be lost • Synchronisation with IRP and other planning processes impeded • Existing and planned partnerships and initiatives may be at risk South African Energy Development Institute • SANEDI is operating in survival mode • Keeping the lights burning 32 thank you 6