Managing Finance and Budgets Seminar 4 Seminar Four - Activities Preparation: read Chapter 7 (M & A 2nd Edition) Or Chapter 6 (M & A 1st Edition) Describe key concepts: Analysing accounts Ratios Exercises: M & A (2nd Ed.) Exercise 7.3 (pages 239-240) and Exercise 7.5 (pages 241-242) Or M & A (1st Ed.) Exercise 6.3 (pages 215-216) and Exercise 6.5 (pages 217-218) Starting Points Describe what is meant by Financial Ratio Analysis, and outline the key steps in performing such an analysis. State some of the things we need to consider when we are examining accounts, and some of the factors which might affect such our analysis. The key steps of financial ratio analysis Identify users and their information needs Select and calculate appropriate ratios Interpret and evaluate the results Key Ratios State the different categories of financial ratio that can be used in analysing accounts, and describe the purpose of each one. State some of the measures within each category. Financial ratio classification Categories Profitability Efficiency Liquidity Gearing Investment Profitability Formula Return on ordinary shareholders’ funds Net profit after taxation and preference dividend (if any) x 100 Ordinary share capital + Reserves Return on capital employed Net profit before interest and taxation x 100 Share capital + Reserves + Long-term loans Net profit margin Net profit before interest and taxation Sales Gross profit margin Gross profit Sales Sales x 100 x 100 Efficiency Formula Average stock turnover period Average settlement period for debtors Average settlement period for creditors Average stock held Cost of sales Trade debtors Credit sales x 365 x 365 Trade creditors x 365 Credit purchases Sales to capital employed _______ Sales__________ Long-term capital employed Sales per employee _______Sales_______ Number of employees The main elements comprising the ROCE ratio Net profit before interest and taxation sales multiplied by Sales______ Long-term capital employed equals Return on capital employed Liquidity Formula Current ratio Acid test ratio Operating cash flows to maturing obligations Current assets_______________ Current liabilities (creditors due within one year) Current assets (excluding stock) Current liabilities Operating cash flows Current liabilities Gearing Formula Gearing ratio Interest cover ratio Long-term liabilities _______ Share capital + Reserves + Long-term liabilities Profit before interest and taxation_ Interest payable The effect of financial gearing Investment ratios Formula Dividend per share Dividend payout ratio Dividend yield ratio Earnings per share Operating cash flow per share Price/earnings ratio (P/E) Dividends announced during the period Number of shares in issue Dividends announced for the year x 100 Earnings for the year available for dividends Dividend per share/(1-t) Market value per share x 100 Earnings available to ordinary shareholders Number of ordinary shares in issue Operating cash flows – preference dividends Number of ordinary shares in issue Market value per share Earnings per share Calculating and Using the Ratios (1) What are the criteria that an investor should look for when selecting a company in which to invest? McLaney & Atrill Exercise 7.3 (6.3 1st ed) 1 0 Retail banks Water Electricity Food retailers Media Distribution Tobacco Pharmaceuticals Engineering Chemicals Building and construction Oil exploration and production Dividend yield ratios Source: Financial Times 31 May 1997 6 5 4 3 2 10 5 0 Retail banks Water Electricity Food retailers Media Distribution Tobacco Pharmaceuticals Engineering Chemicals Building and construction Oil exploration and production Average P/E ratios Source: Financial Times 31 May 1997 40 35 30 25 20 15 Calculating and Using the Ratios (2) What criteria should a supplier look for when deciding whether to supply a business customer? McLaney & Atrill Exercise 7.5 (6.5 1st ed) Average current ratio and average acid test ratio for 1996 for UK listed companies in various industrial sectors Current ratio 1.6 Acid test ratio 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Mineral extraction General industries Consumer goods Services Utilities Graph plotting current ratio against time Current ratio XYZ Ltd Industry average 19X1 19X2 19X3 19X4 19X5 Time Calculating and Using the Ratios (3) What early-warning signs can be detected that a company may be heading towards insolvency and failure? Mean ratios of failed and non-failed businesses Failed firms Non-failed firms Cash flow Total debt Net income Total assets Total debt Total assets 0.79 +0.1 +0.45 0.78 +0.35 0.0 +0.25 0.65 0.58 +0.15 0.51 -0.1 +0.05 0.44 -0.05 0.37 -0.2 -0.15 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Mean ratios of failed and non-failed businesses Failed firms Non-failed firms Working capital Total assets Current ratio 0.42 No credit interval 3.5 +0.15 3.0 +0.05 2.5 -0.05 2.0 -0.15 0.36 0.30 0.24 0.18 0.12 0.06 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Scatter diagram showing the distribution of failed and non-failed businesses Failed businesses Non-failed businesses Current ratio ROCE ratio