Colonial First State An Introduction to Managed Funds Disclaimer This presentation is given by a representative of Colonial First State Investments Limited AFS License 232468 (Colonial First State). The presenter does not receive specific payments or commissions for any advice given in this presentation. The presenter, other employees and directors of Colonial First State receive salaries, bonuses and other benefits from it. Colonial First State receives fees for investments in its products. For further detail please read our Financial Services Guide (FSG) available at colonialfirststate.com.au or by contacting our Investor Service Centre on 13 13 36. All products are issued by Colonial first State Investments Limited ABN 98 002 348 352. Prospectuses or Product Disclosure Statements (PDSs) describing the products are available from Colonial First State. The relevant prospectus or PDS should be considered before making a decision about any product. This presentation does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. You should assess whether the information is appropriate for you and consider talking to a financial adviser before making an investment decision. The information is taken from sources which are believed to be accurate but Colonial First State accepts no liability of any kind to any person who relies on the information contained in the presentation. Agenda What is a Managed Fund? Asset Classes What is the right balance for me? Why managed funds Investing for the long term What is a Managed Fund? Your money is pooled with other investors You decide on the type of fund (e.g. Australian share fund, international share fund, balanced fund) Your fund manager researches and selects the companies (or assets) in which to invest Risk / return trade off = Global shares Return = Australian shares = Global property = Listed property = Fixed Interest & Cash Risk Asset Classes Shares Ownership in a company Growth Asset Capital growth (earnings) Income (dividends) Potential for high return Higher risk Asset Class Comparison Value of $10,000 invested Jun 1984 – Jun 2004 170,000 150,000 Australian shares Global shares 130,000 110,000 $ 90,000 70,000 Annualised return = 13.2% Annualised return = 12.7% 50,000 30,000 10,000 Jun84 Jun86 Jun88 Jun90 Jun92 Jun94 Jun96 Jun98 Source: IRESS - S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Price Index (A$), All dividends reinvested, excluding fees and charges Jun00 Jun02 Jun04 Property Investment in property securities Growth asset Income (rent) Capital Growth (increase in value of property) Hedge against inflation 1980’s Diversify Hotels, office towers, shopping centres Asset Class Comparison Value of $10,000 invested Jun 1984 – Jun 2004 170,000 150,000 Australian shares Global shares Property securities 130,000 110,000 $ 90,000 Annualised return = 12.7% 70,000 50,000 30,000 10,000 Jun84 Jun86 Jun88 Jun90 Jun92 Jun94 Jun96 Jun98 Jun00 Source: IRESS - S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Price Index (A$), All dividends reinvested, excluding fees and charges Jun02 Jun04 Bonds Income producing asset Purchase of bond = lending funds to issuer Income payments (coupons) Can be traded on secondary market Can generate both a profit & a loss Distinct relationship between Bond prices Interest rates Bond example Fund Manager holds $1,000 worth of Govt. bonds with a interest rate of 8%pa ($80) Interest rates fall to 6% ($60) Investor prefers 8% (profits) Interest rates rise to 10% ($100) Investor prefers 10% (loss) There is an inverse relationship between interest rates and bonds Asset Class Comparison Value of $10,000 invested Jun 1984 – Jun 2004 170,000 150,000 Australian shares Global shares Property securities 130,000 Australian fixed interest 110,000 $ 90,000 Annualised return = 11.0% 70,000 50,000 30,000 10,000 Jun84 Jun86 Jun88 Jun90 Jun92 Jun94 Jun96 Jun98 Jun00 Source: IRESS - UBS Australian Composite Bond Index, S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Price Index (A$), All dividends reinvested, excluding fees and charges Jun02 Jun04 Cash Security Capital Short term, i.e. 12 months or less Cash Management Trust Generally provides better return than a bank account Asset Class Comparison Value of $10,000 invested Jun 1984 – Jun 2004 170,000 150,000 130,000 110,000 $ 90,000 Australian shares Global shares Property securities Australian fixed interest Cash Annualised return = 9.1% 70,000 50,000 30,000 10,000 Jun84 Jun86 Jun88 Jun90 Jun92 Jun94 Jun96 Jun98 Jun00 Source: UBS Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1999), UBS Australian Composite Bond Index, S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Price Index (A$), All dividends reinvested, excluding fees and charges Jun02 Jun04 What is the Right Balance? What is the right balance? List income & growth needs Consider time horizon & degree of risk Consider investment alternatives (which meet your needs) Reassess your balance of investments as your needs and the economic environment change What is the right balance? Diversification across asset classes Fixed Interest Property $$$ Cash Shares Spreading your savings helps your chances of achieving your retirement goals What is the right balance? Risk / return trade off = Australian shares = Fixed Interest & Cash CFS High Growth Fund Return = Global shares = Listed property CFS Diversified Fund = Global property CFS Balanced Fund CFS Conservative Fund Risk Why managed funds? Why managed funds? Spread investment risk Potential for higher returns Liquidity of asset holding Fund manager expertise Ability to invest in overseas markets that are otherwise difficult to access Asset class returns (%pa) Annual Returns to 30th June 2004 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 AUSTRALIAN Cash 7.1 7.8 6.8 5.1 5.0 5.6 6.1 4.7 5.0 5.3 11.9 9.5 16.8 10.9 3.3 6.2 7.4 6.2 9.8 2.3 Listed Prop 7.9 3.6 28.5 10.0 4.3 11.9 13.9 14.9 12.1 17.2 Shares 5.7 15.8 26.6 1.6 15.3 15.1 9.1 -4.5 -1.6 21.7 6.7 28.5 41.6 8.2 23.7 -5.8 -23.3 -18.3 19.4 Bonds INTERNATIONAL Global shares 14.1 Percentage return over 1 year to 31st March 2004. Source: UBS Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1999), UBS Australian Composite Bond Index, S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Price Index (A$), and the SSB World Government Bond Index *ex Australia Hedged to A. All dividens reinvested excluding fees and charges Why managed funds? Taking the best of each asset class 170,000 150,000 130,000 110,000 Australian shares Global shares Property securities Australian fixed interest Cash Diversified $ 90,000 70,000 50,000 30,000 10,000 Jun84 Jun86 Jun88 Jun90 Jun92 Jun94 Jun96 Jun98 Jun00 Source: UBS Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1999), UBS Australian Composite Bond Index, S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Price Index (A$), All dividends reinvested, excluding fees and charges Jun02 Jun04 Why managed funds? Gain access to global markets World equity markets by market capitalisation as at 30th November 2003 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% US Source: Rimes Data to 30th November 2003 UK Europe (ex Uk) Japan Asia Pacific (ex Japan) Aust Why managed funds? Putting it into perspective Australia A$bill USA A$bill News Corp 49 General Electric 479 BHP 47 Microsoft 411 NAB 45 Exxon Mobil Corp 409 Commonwealth Bank 41 Pfizer 360 ANZ 33 Citigroup 323 Telstra 31 Wal Mart 312 Westpac 31 AIG 253 AMP 12 Bank of America 240 Woolworths 12 Intel 233 St George 11 Johnson & Johnson 226 48% of ASX 300 A$649 bill 23% of S&P 500 US$10,408 bill Source: IRESS, ITG. Data as at 30th June 2004. Global stock data as at 12th July 2004 Understanding the current market Understanding the current market International shares… we’ve seen better! 6200 The 21st C Global shares in AUD 5200 4200 3200 2200 1200 Dec-90 Dec-93 MSCI – World Net Index ($A) Source: IRESS. Data to 30th June 2004 Dec-96 Dec-99 Dec-02 Understanding the current market US sharemarket and company earnings 4500 US Sharemarket 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 US company earnings 1000 500 Mar-90 Mar-93 Mar-96 Mar-99 Source: Bloomberg. Sharemarket data and earnings data to October 2003 Mar-02 Share prices & company profits grow together 35 4000 30 $bill 25 3000 Australian share price index 20 2000 15 10 1000 Corporate profits 5 0 Sep-59 Sep-70 Sep-81 Corporate profits -Source: RBA Bulletin table G12. Data to 31st March 2004 Australian Share price index – Source: IRESS. Data to June 2004 Sep-92 0 Sep-03 Understanding the current market A ‘new’ era? Recessions – USA, Europe, Japan Wars – Afghanistan, Iraq Pestilence – SARS Terror – September 11 Scandals – Enron Recessions in 1970s, 1980s, 1990s Korea, Cold War, Gulf War AIDS IRA, Red Brigade, Black September Barings, S&L crisis Investing for the Long Term Investing for the long term Patience has been rewarded 80% 70% 60% 1 year rolling returns (%) 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 -40% Source: Rimes. Returns from the MSCI World Net Index $A, calendar years to 30th November 2003 Patience has been rewarded 50% 40% 3 year (%) 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 -20% Source: Rimes. Returns from the MSCI World Net Index $A, calendar years to 30th November 2003 Patience has been rewarded 35% 30% 5 year (%) 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 -10% Source: Rimes. Returns from the MSCI World Net Index $A, calendar years to 30th November 2003 Time in the market, not timing Australian shares to 30th June 2004 10 years less 30 best days 3.04% 10 years less 20 best days 5.07% 10 years less 10 best days 7.33% 10 years less 5 best days 8.61% 10 year return (%p.a) 0% 10.50% 2% Source: IRESS, Colonial First State *All Ordinaries Accum Index used prior to April 2000 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Conclusion Understand how sensitive you are to changes in the market & know your investment time frame Managed funds making accessing a range of asset classes easy Invest for the long term Diversification is the key