Analyzing Your Financial Ratios Overview Any successful business owner is constantly evaluating the performance of his or her company, comparing it with the company's historical figures, with its industry competitors, and even with successful businesses from other industries. To complete a thorough examination of your company's effectiveness, however, you need to look at more than just easily attainable numbers like sales, profits, and total assets. You must be able to read between the lines of your financial statements and make the seemingly inconsequential numbers accessible and comprehensible. This massive data overload could seem staggering. Luckily, there are many well-tested ratios out there that make the task a bit less daunting. Comparative ratio analysis helps you identify and quantify your company's strengths and weaknesses, evaluate its financial position, and understand the risks you may be taking. As with any other form of analysis, comparative ratio techniques aren't definitive and their results shouldn't be viewed as gospel. Many off-the-balance-sheet factors can play a role in the success or failure of a company. But, when used in concert with various other business evaluation processes, comparative ratios are invaluable. Profitability and Efficiency Ratios (Ordinary and Higher level) Return on Capital Employed Indicates the efficiency and profitability of a company’s capital investments i.e. an indicator of how well the company is using capital to generate revenue _____________ Should normally be higher than the rate the company borrows at, otherwise any increase in borrowings will reduce shareholders earnings. Return on Shareholde rs’ Funds ( Owners’ Equity) % Capital Employed Return on Shareholders’ Funds reveals how much profit a company earned in comparison to the total amount of shareholder equity found on the balance sheet. Shareholder equity is equal to total assets minus total liabilities. It’s what the shareholders “own”. Shareholder equity is a creation of accounting that represents the assets created by the retained earnings of the business and the paid-in capital of the owners. A business that has a high return on equity is more likely to be one that is capable of generating cash internally. For the most part, the higher a company’s return on equity compared to its industry, the better. Net Profit +I & T ( operating profit) Net Profit – I & T ______________ % Shareholders’ Funds Shareholders’ Funds = Issued Ordinary Cap+ retained earnings (reserves) 1 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Or = Total Assets – Total Liabs Gross Margin /Profit % Indicates what the company's pricing policy is and what the true mark-up margins are. The gross margin is not an exact estimate of the company's pricing strategy but it does give a good indication of financial health. Without an adequate gross margin, a company will be unable to pay its operating and other expenses and build for the future. A company that boasts a higher gross profit margin than its competitors and industry is more efficient. Investors tend to pay more for businesses that have higher efficiency ratings than their competitors, as these businesses should be able to make a decent profit as long as overhead costs are controlled [overhead refers to rent, utilities, etc.] Gross Profit ___________ % Sales ● Results may skew if the company has a very large range of products. ● It is a very useful ration when comparing with previous years. ● A 33% gross margin means products are marked up 50% etc. 2 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Percentage The percentage of the cost of sales accounted for by Mark-up on the Gross profit Cost Gross profit ___________ % Cost of sales Net Margin / Profit % This ratio tracks how the company has integrated sales efforts, prices, and costs. The ratio is an indication of how effective a company is at cost control. The higher the net margin is, the more effective the company is at converting revenue into actual profit. The net margin is a good way of comparing companies in the same industry, since such companies are generally subject to similar business conditions. However, the net margins are also a good way to compare companies in different industries in order to gauge which industries are relatively more profitable.( also called net profit margin). Net profit _______________ % Sales Total Expenses / Sales ratio Expenses to sales ratio gives an indication of the efficency of the cost structure of your business. Expenses ____________ % Sales Can be further analysed by using different categories of expenses, such as administration, selling etc. Working Capital Current assets minus current liabilities. Working capital measures how much in liquid assets a company has available to build its business. The number can be positive or negative, depending on how much debt the company is carrying. In general, companies that have a lot of working capital will be more successful since they can expand and improve their operations. Companies with negative working capital may lack the funds necessary for growth.( also called net current assets or current capital.) Current Assets – Current Liabilities Working capital management involves the relationship between a firm's short-term assets and its short-term liabilities. The goal of working capital management is to ensure that a firm is able to continue 3 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 its operations and that it has sufficient ability to satisfy both maturing short-term debt and upcoming operational expenses. The management of working capital involves managing inventories, accounts receivable and payable, and cash. Liquidity / Solvency ratios (Ordinary and Higher level) Liquidity The ability of an asset to be converted into cash quickly and without any price discount. Liquidity Ratios are ratios that come off the Balance Sheet and hence measure the liquidity of the company as on a particular day i.e the day that the Balance Sheet was prepared. These ratios are important in measuring the ability of a company to meet both its short term and long term obligations. Solvency The financial ability to pay ALL its debts when they become due. The solvency of a company tells an investor whether a company can pay its debts. Current Ratio This ratio is obtained by dividing the 'Total Current Assets' of a company by its 'Total Current Liabilities'. The ratio is regarded as a test of liquidity for a company. It expresses the 'working capital' relationship of current assets available to meet the company's current obligations. C. Assets : C Liabilities This ratio is obtained by dividing the 'Total Quick Assets' of a company by its 'Total Current Liabilities'. Sometimes a company could be carrying heavy inventory as part of its current assets, which might be obsolete or slow moving. Thus eliminating inventory from current assets and then doing the liquidity test is measured by this ratio. The ratio is regarded as an acid test of liquidity for a company. It expresses the true 'working capital' relationship of its cash, accounts receivables, prepaids and notes receivables available to meet the company's current obligations. Liquid assets : CL Quick ratio Acid Test Liquid ratio Norm 2 : 1 If higher, it could indicate an inefficient use of resources and a build-up of stock Liquid assets = Current Assets – Stock and Prepayments Also = Debtors and Bank / Cash If this ratio goes above 1: 1, then there may be too 4 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 much cash lying around idle, which could be generating profits When a business has insufficient finance to sustain its Overtrading level of trading. A business is said to be overtrading when it tries to engage in more business than the investment in working capital will allow. This can happen even in profitable circumstances Avoiding overtrading Effective debt management and credit control can help you avoid overtrading, by ensuring that you get paid more efficiently and Definition O`ver`trad´ing have the cash to pay suppliers and staff. n. 1. The act or practice of buying goods beyond the means of payment; a glutting of the market. ● Set new payment terms Overtrading is a common problem, and it often happens to recently started businesses and to rapidly expanding businesses. Cash often has to leave the business before more cash comes into it. For example, wages and salaries are usually payable weekly or monthly, and there may also be other expenses that need to be met promptly, such as telephone bills and rent.Although you may pay suppliers on credit, your customers may also pay you on credit. It doesn't ● Offer discounts for prompt payment ● Encourage automated payments ● Use factoring or invoice discounting take much to upset the balance.It is also possible to run out of cash, even if your customers pay cash and ● Negotiate payment do not have credit accounts. For example if you have terms with your suppliers to pay suppliers quickly, perhaps even in advance, or if you have to hold stock for a long time. What matters is the amount of working capital and the timing of cash coming in and going out. ● Improve your stock control ● Lease your assets or buy them on hire purchase. ● Inject new capital ● Reduce the money taken out ● Cut costs and be more 5 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 efficient Activity Ratios (Ordinary and Higher Level) Activity ratios measure the operating characteristics of the firm. Activity ratios include the stock turnover rate, average collection period, average payment period. ( Asste Turnovers may also be included here) Stock Turnover Ratio The STOCK TURNOVER RATIO shows how many times over the business has sold the value of its stocks during the year. The higher the stock turnover the better, because money is then tied up for less time in stocks. A quicker stock turnover also means that the firm gets to make its profit on the stock quicker, and so the firm should be more competitive. However, it will vary between industries and so it is important to compare within an industry. Cost of Sales __________ ( times) Average Stock NB Average Stock = Opening S + Closing S 2 Debtors’ Average period of Credit Indicates the average time taken to collect trade debts. For example, when the average collection days lengthen it could be the result of economic factors, such as a recession. It could be that a particular industry sector is hardening with the result cashflow and margins are tighter for all companies involved. Monitoring average collection is also a great way of monitoring credit control performance; if you stop chasing the debts for a month then you can expect the average collection days to increase. For start-ups it is all about cashflow and not paper profits and average collection days helps put credit control into focus rather than it being a blur. Trade Debtors x 365 _________________ (days) Credit sales For months, use 12 instead of 365 in the fraction 6 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Creditors Average Period of Credit This ratio is much the same as the debtor ratio. It expresses the relationship between credit purchases and the liability to creditors. It can be stated as the number of days that credit purchases are carried on the books. There is no need to pay creditors before payment is due. The company’s objective should be to make effective use of this source of free credit, while maintaining a good relationship with creditors. Trade Creditors x 365 ______________ (days) Credit Purchases For months, use 12 instead of 365 in the fraction 7 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Gearing Ratios ( Higher level only) Gearing Gearing is the relationship between long term liabilities and capital employed. Shareholders ought to have the upper hand because if they don't that could cause them problems as follows: ● ● Shares earn dividends but in poor years dividends may be zero: that is, businesses don't always need to pay any! Fixed Interest Capital x 100 Capital Employed (Fixed Interest Capital = Loans + Debentures + Preference Shares) Long term liabilities are usually in the form of loans and they have to be paid interest; even in bad years the interest has to be paid Fixed Interest Capital x 100 ● Equity shareholders have the voting rights at general meetings and can make significant decisions Equity Capital ● Long term liability holders don't have any voting rights at general meetings but they have the power to override the wishes of the shareholders if there are severe problems over their interest or capital repayments (Equity capital = OSC+Reserves) Low Gearing If Fixed Interest Capital is < 50% of the Total Capital, or if it is < the Equity Capital High Gearing If the Fixed Interest Capital is > than 50% of the Total Capital or is > the Equity Capital A highly geared company is one where there is a high proportion of debt to equity, and can be considered a risky investment as there is a higher likelihood of the company being unable to pay its large debts Interest A ratio used to determine how easily a company can pay interest on outstanding debt. The ratio is PBIT 8 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Cover calculated by dividing a company's earnings before interest and taxes (PBIT) of one period by the company's interest expenses of the same period The lower the ratio, the more the company is burdened by debt expense. When a company's interest coverage ratio is 1.5 or lower, its ability to meet interest expenses may be questionable. An interest coverage ratio below 1 indicates the company is not generating sufficient revenues to satisfy interest expenses, and may be having solvency problems. Interest Charges for the Year ( expressed as number of times) 9 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Investment Ratios (Higher Level only) Earnings Per Share (EPS) The portion of a company's profit allocated to each ordinary share. EPS serves as an indicator of a company's profitability. Net Profit ( after Pref Div) Earnings per share is generally considered to be the single most important variable in determining a share's price. It is also a major component of the P/E ratio. Number of Ord. Sh. Issued An important aspect of EPS that's often ignored is the Capital that is required to generate the earnings (net income) in the calculation. Two companies could generate the same EPS , but one could do so with less equity (investment) - that company would be more efficient at using its capital to generate income and, all other things being equal, would be a "better" company. Investors also need to be aware of earnings manipulation that will affect the quality of the earnings number. It is important not to rely on any one financial measure, but to use it in conjunction with statement analysis and other measures. Price earnings ratio (P/E) The market price of an ordinary share divided by its earnings per share for 12 months. Market Price of one Ord Sh The ratio indicates the number of years it would take to recover the share price, based on the current earnings of the company. Earnings Per Share (EPS) The P/E ratio of a share is used to measure how cheap or expensive share prices are. It is probably the single most consistent red flag to excessive optimism and over-investment. It also serves, regularly, as a marker of business problems and opportunities. ... Expressed as a number of years. However, the P/E ratio doesn't tell us the whole story by itself. It's usually more useful to compare the P/E ratios of one company to other companies in the same industry, to the market in general or against the company's own historical P/E Dividend Per Ordinary Share DPS shows how much the shareholders were actually paid by way of dividends. Dividend x 100 ( Be careful not to confuse this with EPS) Number of Ord Sh Issued 10 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 (DPS) Dividend Cover (Dividend Payout) ( expressed in cents) It is called the dividend 'cover' because it shows us literally how many times over the profits could have paid the dividend. For example, if the figure is 3, this means that the firm's profits (or earnings) were three times the level of the dividend paid out. So is this good news or bad news? It depends. EPS DPS For investors looking for an income from their shares, it is probably bad news as it implies that the firm could have paid a considerably higher dividend from the level of profits earned. However, for an investor who is looking for future growth in the capital value of their investment it is probably good news as it implies that the firm has kept 2/3 of the profit back to re-invest in the business. Or Net Profit (ATPD) Ordinary Dividend Generally speaking, a ratio of 2 or higher is considered safe (in the sense that the company can well afford the dividend), but anything below 1.5 is risky. If the ratio is under 1, the company is using its retained earnings from a previous year to pay this year's dividend. Dividend Yield The dividend yield ratio allows investors to compare the latest dividend they received with the current market value of the share as an indictor of the return they are earning on their shares. Note, though, that the current market share price may bear little resemblance to the price that an investor paid for their shares. Take a look at the history of a business's share price over the last year or two and you will see that today's share price might be a lot higher or a lot lower than it was a year ago, two years ago and so on. Dividend per Ordinary Share x100 Market price per Ordinary Share We clearly need the latest share price for this ratio and we can get that from newspapers such as the Financial Times, The Irish Times, The Irish Independent. We can also find the share prices on the Internet at http://www.londonstockexchange.com and www.ise.ie Period to recoup Indicates how long it will take an ordinary shareholder to get back his/her investment Market price of Ord Share 11 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Price at payout rate (Price Dividend payout ratio) based on the dividend payout policy of the company DPS Expressed as number of years 12 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Debenture Holders [2010, 2006, 2001] Key Questions and concerns Key Ratios Debentures are loans that are usually secured and are said to have either fixed or floating charges with them. A secured debenture is one that is specifically tied to the financing of a particular asset such as a building or a machine. Then, just like a mortgage for a private house, the debenture holder has a legal interest in that asset and the company cannot dispose of it unless the debenture holder agrees. If the debenture is for land and/or buildings it can be called a mortgage debenture. Debenture holders have the right to receive their interest payments before any dividend is payable to shareholders and, most importantly, even if a company makes a loss, it still has to pay its interest charges. If the business fails, the debenture holders will be preferential creditors and will be entitled to the repayment of some or all of their money before the shareholders receive anything. How well is the company managing to cover the interest payments out of profits? Interest Cover Is the company liquid? Is it managing its working capital properly? What’s in the bank account? Current Ratio, Acid Test, Credit to Drs, Credit from Crs. Is the company profitable? Is it controlling its margins? Return on Capital Employed; Margins Will their loan be fully redeemed (repaid) at the end of its term? How highly geared is the company? Are there other loans for repayment and / or redemption? What reserves has the company? Gearing Is there a Debenture Redemption Reserve What is the company’s Dividend Policy? Does it 13 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 pay out large dividends Dividend Payout Rate, DPS, Are the Debentures secured on e.g. Fixed Assets? Ordinary Shareholders 2007,2005,1999,1998] [2009, 2008, Prospective Shareholders [ 2004,2003,2002,2000] Key Questions and Concerns Key Ratios How profitable is this company? What is the Return on Capital Employed? Return on Shareholders’ Funds? Return on Capital Employed How is the company managing its margins? Gross / Net Margin Is the company liquid? Is it managing its working capital effectively? Can it pay short-term creditors? Is it collecting debts effectively? Current ratio; Acid Test; Credit to Debtors; Credit from Creditors? Is the company highly geared? Is there a large interest liability or pref. dividend liability which has first call on profits before ordinary dividend? How well are the company’s profits covering the interest? Gearing How much return is there on one ordinary share? What is the actual dividend payout on one share? How does this compare with returns and payouts in other companies in the same sector, or if the Return on Shareholders’ Funds Interest Cover EPS, DPS 14 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 money was invested in a high-earning deposit account? How long would it take to get back the market price of one share at the current payout rate? What length of time will it take to recover the share price based on current earnings? Are these shares cheap or expensive? What are the comparative P/E’s for other companies? Dividend Payout Rate P/E What dividend yield was there from one share at its current market price? Dividend Yield Company has applied for a loan : Advising the Bank Manager [2011, 2007, 1999] Key Questions and Concerns Sector :What type of business is the company in? Are there any issues to be aware of? ( seasonality, exposure to downturn in the economy, export, etc) What is the purpose of the loan? Purchasing a Fixed Asset (land, building etc)? For Working Capital (purchasing stock, paying creditors) Key Ratios Check the Question for any details given which you can use in your answer 15 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Is the company liquid? Is it managing its cash Current ratio, Acid Test, Credit to flow and working capital effectively? How will the Debtors, Credit from Creditors new loan ( repayments of interest + capital) affect liquidity? How profitable is the company? What is the return on Capital Employed? Is the company generating enough profits and cash to pay back existing debts and prospective debts? Can the company pay existing loans, if any? How well can the company cover interest out of profits? How will the new loan affect this? Is the company highly geared? What effect would granting the loan have on the solvency of the company in the event of profits declining? How sure is the bank that it will be repaid the capital sum + interest on time? Return on Capital Employed, Interest Cover Interest Cover, Acid Test ( Do a calculation of the potential repayments ) Gearing Dividend Policy – how much of earnings are being distributed to shareholders? Will there be enough to repay the loan? Dividend Cover Security – will there be security on the loan ? Fixed assets? Investments? Maybe they are already secured on the Debentures or other loans? 16 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Reasons why a Gross Margin may have declined [2005, 1998]( Tyrrell) Has Sales volume fallen or price per unit or both? Has there been an increase in the cost of sales that has not been passed on to the customers by increasing the selling price? Has the buyer been purchasing stock that cannot be sold at a profit causing stock losses? Has there been a substantial theft of goods causing lower closing stock? Has there been incorrect stock valuation? Has closing stock been undervalued or opening stock overvalued, causing higher cost of goods sold, and therefore lower Gross Profit? Has there been a change in the Sales mix? Have there been more sales of lowprofit/mark-up type goods and lower sales of high-profit type goods? Has there been a reduction in selling price – a price mark-down during sales without corresponding drop in cost of sales? Has there been theft of cash from cash registers causing drop in sales figures? Has there been extra competition because of opening up of markets? 17 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Having assessed Watson plc what actions would you advise the company to take? [2009] The company has a liquidity problem. The Acid Test Ratio is only 0.74:1, which has dropped from 0.98 :1 in 2007. I would advise the company to take the following action: Raise cash and improve liquidity by: 1. Paying out lower or no dividends 2. Selling investments rather than issuing debentures. 3. Issuing the remaining 50,000 shares. 4. Improving Gross Profit percentage of 19.9% by reducing cost of sales or by passing on the increased costs. 5. Diversifying into other areas. 6. Collection of debts more quickly. 7. Sale and Leaseback A rising liquidity ratio is a sign of prudent management. Briefly discuss. [ 2008] A rising liquidity ratio is not always a sign of prudent management. A rising liquidity ratio could be a sign of prudent management because it indicates that it is easier for the firm to pay its short-term debts on time and thus avoid paying interest or enables to avail of cash discount. However, if the liquidity ratio rises significantly above 1:1, it could mean that too much of the company’s resources are tied up in liquid assets when they could be used to earn more profits. Management may be leaving cash resources idle. 18 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013 Ratios Higher Level Section (a) 1999 – 2009 ● Dividend Yield ● Opening Stock if Stock Turnover is 10 (based on average stock) ● Earnings per Ordinary Share in 2007 ● How long would it take one ordinary share to recoup its 2007 market price based on present dividend payout rate? ● Cash Purchases if the period of credit received from Trade Creditors is 2.4 months. ● Interest Cover ● Dividend Yield ( check year that is being asked) ● How long would it take one ordinary share to recover its value at present payout rate. ● The projected market value of one ordinary share in 2007 ● Cash Sales if the average period of credit given to Debtors is 2 months ● Return on Capital Employed in 2004 ● Ordinary Dividend Cover in 2004 ● Market value of one ordinary share in 2003 if P/E ratio is 9 ● Price / Earnings Ratio ● How long it would take one ordinary share to recoup its value at present rate of earnings. 19 LC Accounting Notes Ratios and Interpretation of Accounts last update 10 September 2013