Options on Stock Indices and Currencies

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Options on Stock
Indices and Currencies
Chapter 15
15.1
Goals of Chapter 15
๏ฌ
๏ฌ
The effects of introducing the dividend yield
on option pricing
Introduce index options
–
–
๏ฌ
How to hedge portfolios with index options
The valuation of index options
Introduce currency options
–
–
The valuation of currency options
Introduce the range-forward contracts, which
consist of a currency call and a currency put with
different strike prices
15.2
15.1 Dividend Yield and
Option Pricing
15.3
European Options on Stocks
Paying Dividend Yields
๏ฌ
We get the same probability distribution for
the stock price at time ๐‘‡ in each of the
following cases:
1. The stock starts at price ๐‘†0 and provides a
dividend yield ๐‘ž
๏ฎ
To reflect the decline in the stock price due to the
dividend yield payment, the expected growth rate of the
stock price becomes ๐‘Ÿ − ๐‘ž
2. The stock starts at price ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ and provides no
dividend payments
Check: ๐ธ[๐‘†๐‘‡ ] in the first case is ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž ๐‘‡ and ๐ธ[๐‘†๐‘‡ ]
in the second case is ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ โˆ™ ๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ = ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž ๐‘‡
15.4
European Options on Stocks
Paying Dividend Yields
๏ฌ
Recall the general pricing rule based on the
RNVR, i.e.,
๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ ๐ธ[payoff(๐‘†๐‘‡ )|in the risk−neutral world]
=
๏ฌ
๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡
∞
payoff
0
๐‘†๐‘‡ ๐‘“ ๐‘†๐‘‡ ๐‘‘๐‘†๐‘‡
Since the above two cases are with the
identical probability density function ๐‘“ ๐‘†๐‘‡ , the
option values are the same under these two
cases
15.5
European Options on Stocks
Paying Dividend Yields
๏ฌ
To take the dividend yield into account,
European options can be priced by only
reducing the stock price to ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ based on
the BSM formula introduced on Slide 13.18
๐‘ = ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ ๐‘ ๐‘‘1 − ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ ๐‘(๐‘‘2 ),
๐‘ = ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ ๐‘ −๐‘‘2 − ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ ๐‘ −๐‘‘1 ,
where ๐‘‘1 =
๐‘‘2 =
ln ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ /๐พ + ๐‘Ÿ+๐œŽ 2 /2 ๐‘‡
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
ln ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ /๐พ + ๐‘Ÿ−๐œŽ 2 /2 ๐‘‡
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
=
=
ln ๐‘†0 /๐พ + ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž+๐œŽ 2 /2 ๐‘‡
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
ln ๐‘†0 /๐พ + ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž−๐œŽ 2 /2 ๐‘‡
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
= ๐‘‘1 − ๐œŽ ๐‘‡
15.6
Binomial Tree Model for Stocks
Paying Dividend Yields
๏ฌ
Capture the effect of dividend yield payments
in the binomial tree model
– Since the expected growth rate of the stock price is
๐‘Ÿ − ๐‘ž in the risk-neutral world, the risk-neutral
probability, ๐‘, should be
๐‘†๐‘ก ๐‘ข
๐‘†๐‘ก
๐‘†๐‘ก ๐‘‘
๐‘ก
๐‘๐‘†๐‘ก ๐‘ข + 1 − ๐‘ ๐‘†๐‘ก ๐‘‘ = ๐‘†๐‘ก
๐‘ก + Δ๐‘ก
๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž Δ๐‘ก
๐‘’ (๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž)Δ๐‘ก − ๐‘‘
⇒๐‘=
๐‘ข−๐‘‘
15.7
Binomial Tree Model for Stocks
Paying Dividend Yields
– Note that the dividend yield payment does not affect
the variance of ๐‘†๐‘ก+Δ๐‘ก , so ๐‘ข = ๐‘’ ๐œŽ Δ๐‘ก and ๐‘‘ = ๐‘’ −๐œŽ Δ๐‘ก
in the CRR binomial model still holds
– For any derivative on this stock, it can be priced as
๐‘“ = ๐‘’ −๐‘ŸΔ๐‘ก [๐‘๐‘“๐‘ข + 1 − ๐‘ ๐‘“๐‘‘ ] (Note that the discount
rate is still the risk free interest rate)
๐‘“๐‘ข
๐‘“
๐‘“๐‘‘
๐‘ก
๐‘ก + Δ๐‘ก
15.8
Extension of Results in Ch. 10
๏ฌ
When the dividend yield payment is
considered, the technique of replacing ๐‘†0 with
๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ can be applied to deriving the lower
bounds and the put-call parity for stock options
– The lower bounds for European calls and puts
๐‘ ≥ ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ − ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡
๐‘ ≥ ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ − ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡
– The put-call parity for European options
๐‘ + ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ = ๐‘ + ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡
– The put-call parity for American options
๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘ž๐‘‡ − ๐พ ≤ ๐ถ − ๐‘ƒ ≤ ๐‘†0 − ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡
15.9
15.2 Index Options
15.10
Index Options
๏ฌ
The most popular indices underlying index
options in the U.S. are
– Dow Jones Industrial Average times 0.01 (DJX)
– Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX)
– Russell 2000 Index (RUT)
– S&P 100 Index (OEX and XEO)
– S&P 500 Index (SPX)
โ€ปContracts are on 100 times index, or equivalently,
one point of index level is worth $100
โ€ปThey are settled in cash
โ€ปOEX is American and the rests are European
15.11
LEAPS
๏ฌ
Long-term Equity AnticiPation Securities
(LEAPS)
– Leaps are options on stock indices that last up to 3
years
– They have December expiration dates
๏ฎ
For other index options, they are issued on January, February,
or March cycle
– The index is adjusted appropriately (divided by five or
ten) for the purposes of quoting the strike price and the
option price
– Leaps also trade on some individual stocks
15.12
Portfolio Insurance with Index
Options
๏ฌ
An example for calculating the payoff of an
index option
– Consider a call option on an index with a strike
price of 560
– Suppose one of this index call option is
exercised when the index level is 580
– The payoff is max 580 − 560,0 × $100 = $2000
15.13
Portfolio Insurance with Index
Options
๏ฌ
The general rule to use index options to hedge
portfolio
– Suppose the value of the index is ๐‘†0 and the strike
price is ๐พ
– If a portfolio has a ๐›ฝ of 1.0, the portfolio insurance is
obtained by buying 1 put option contract on the
index for each 100๐‘†0 dollars of the portfolio
– If the ๐›ฝ is not 1.0, the portfolio manager buys ๐›ฝ put
options for each 100๐‘†0 dollars held
– In both cases, ๐พ is chosen to give the appropriate
insurance level which the hedger requires
15.14
Portfolio Insurance with Index
Options
๏ฌ
Example 1 for portfolio beta equal to 1.0
– The portfolio is currently worth $500,000
– The index currently stands at 1000
– What trade is necessary to provide insurance
against the portfolio value falling below $450,000
after 3 month?
โ€ปLong 5 3-month puts with the strike price to be 900
* Suppose the index drops to 880 in 3 months:
880
– The portfolio will be worth about $500,000 ×
1000
= $440,000
– The payoff from the 5 put options will be 5 × max(900
15.15
Portfolio Insurance with Index
Options
๏ฌ
Example 2 for portfolio beta equal to 2.0
–
–
–
–
The portfolio is currently worth $500,000
The index currently stands at 1000
The risk-free rate is 12% per annum
The dividend yield on both the portfolio and the
index is 4%
– How many put option contracts should be
purchased to ensure the value of the portfolio
higher than $450,000?
โ€ปLong 10 puts with the strike price to be 960
15.16
Portfolio Insurance with Index
Options
๏ฌ
Calculating the relation between the index
level and the portfolio value after 3 months
– If the index rises to 1040, it provides a 40/1000 or
4% return in 3 months
– Total return (including dividends) = 5%
– Excess return over the risk-free rate = 2%
๏ฎ
Note that the risk-free rate is 3% in 3 months
– Based on the CAPM, the total return of the portfolio
being hedged = 3% + 2×2% = 7%
– The net return of the portfolio excluding dividends =
7% – 1% = 6%
– The end-period portfolio value = $500,000×(1 + 6%)
15.17
= $530,000
Portfolio Insurance with Index
Options
Value of Index in 3
months
Expected Portfolio Value
in 3 months ($)
1,080
1,040
1,000
960
920
880
570,000
530,000
490,000
450,000
410,000
370,000
โ€ป Examine the expected portfolio value given different
scenarios of the stock index
๏ƒž A put with a strike price of 960 will provide the protection such that
the portfolio value will not be lower than $450,000 after 3 months15.18
Valuing Index Options
๏ฌ
How to pricing index options
– For European index options, use the formula for
an option on a stock paying a continuous
dividend yield on Slide 15.6:
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
Set ๐‘†0 to be the current index level
Set ๐‘ž to be the expected dividend yield of the market
index portfolio during the life of the option
15.19
Valuing Index Options
– Use the binomial tree model introduced on Slides
15.7 and 15.8 to price both European and
American index options
๏ฎ
For each iteration of the backward induction, ๐‘“
= ๐‘’ −๐‘ŸΔ๐‘ก [๐‘๐‘“๐‘ข + 1 − ๐‘ ๐‘“๐‘‘ ] is computed, where ๐‘
=
๏ฎ
๐‘’ (๐‘Ÿ−๐‘ž)Δ๐‘ก −๐‘‘
๐‘ข−๐‘‘
and ๐‘ข = ๐‘’ ๐œŽ
Δ๐‘ก
and ๐‘‘ = ๐‘’ −๐œŽ
Δ๐‘ก
For American options, the option value for each node
equals the maximum of ๐‘“ and the early exercise value
15.20
15.3 Currency Options
1.21
Currency Options
๏ฌ
Currency options trade on the NASDAQ
OMX
๏ฌ
There also exists an active over-the-counter
(OTC) market
– The exchange-traded market for currency options
is much smaller than the over-the-counter market
๏ฌ
Currency options are commonly used by
corporations to buy insurance when they
have an foreign exchange exposure
15.22
Currency Options
๏ฌ
Valuation of European currency options
– A foreign currency can be regarded as an asset
that provides a continuous “dividend yield” equal
to the foreign interest rate ๐‘Ÿ๐‘“
๏ฎ
The owner of one unit of the foreign currency can earn
the continuous compounding foreign interest rate ๐‘Ÿ๐‘“
– We can use the formula for an option on a stock
paying a continuous dividend yield on Slide 15.6:
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
Set ๐‘†0 to be the current exchange rate (the value of one
unit of the foreign currency in terms of domestic dollars)
Set ๐‘ž to be the foreign interest rate ๐‘Ÿ๐‘“
15.23
Currency Options
– The formulae for currency calls and puts
๐‘ = ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ ๐‘‡ ๐‘ ๐‘‘1 − ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ ๐‘(๐‘‘2 ),
๐‘ = ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ ๐‘ −๐‘‘2 − ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘“๐‘‡ ๐‘ −๐‘‘1 ,
where ๐‘‘1 =
๐‘‘2 =
ln ๐‘†0 /๐พ + ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ +๐œŽ 2 /2 ๐‘‡
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
ln ๐‘†0 /๐พ + ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ −๐œŽ 2 /2 ๐‘‡
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
= ๐‘‘1 − ๐œŽ ๐‘‡
โ€ปThe symmetrical relationship between currency
puts and calls:
A put option to sell currency A for currency B at a
strike price ๐พ is the same as a call option to buy
currency B with currency A at a strike price of 1/๐พ 15.24
Currency Options
– Alternative formulae for currency calls and puts
using the forward exchange rate ๐น0 = ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ−๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ ๐‘‡
๐‘ = ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ [๐น0 ๐‘ ๐‘‘1 − ๐พ๐‘ ๐‘‘2 ],
๐‘ = ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ [๐พ๐‘ −๐‘‘2 − ๐น0 ๐‘ −๐‘‘1 ],
where
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
ln ๐น0 /๐พ +๐œŽ 2 ๐‘‡/2
๐‘‘1 =
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
ln ๐น0 /๐พ −๐œŽ 2 ๐‘‡/2
๐‘‘2 =
๐œŽ ๐‘‡
= ๐‘‘1 − ๐œŽ ๐‘‡
For the above equation to be correct, the maturities of
the forward contract and the option must be the same
The advantage of the alternative formulae: they avoid
the need to estimate ๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ because all the information
needed about ๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ is in ๐น0
15.25
Currency Options
๏ฌ
Valuation of American currency options
– Use the binomial tree model introduced on Slides
15.7 and 15.8
๏ฎ
For each iteration of the backward induction, ๐‘“
= ๐‘’ −๐‘ŸΔ๐‘ก [๐‘๐‘“๐‘ข + 1 − ๐‘ ๐‘“๐‘‘ ] is computed, where ๐‘
=
๏ฎ
๐‘’
(๐‘Ÿ−๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ )Δ๐‘ก
−๐‘‘
๐‘ข−๐‘‘
and ๐‘ข = ๐‘’ ๐œŽ
Δ๐‘ก
and ๐‘‘ = ๐‘’ −๐œŽ
Δ๐‘ก
For pricing American currency options, option value
= max(๐‘“, early exercise value) for each node
15.26
Extension of Results in Ch. 10
๏ฌ
The lower bounds and the put-call parity for
currency options
– The lower bounds for European currency calls and
puts
๐‘ ≥ ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ ๐‘‡ − ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡
๐‘ ≥ ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ − ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ ๐‘‡
– The put-call parity for European options
๐‘ + ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡ = ๐‘ + ๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘“๐‘‡
– The put-call parity for American options
๐‘†0 ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ ๐‘‡ − ๐พ ≤ ๐ถ − ๐‘ƒ ≤ ๐‘†0 − ๐พ๐‘’ −๐‘Ÿ๐‘‡
15.27
Range Forward Contracts
๏ฌ
A range forward contract is a variation on a
standard forward contract for hedging foreign
exchange risk
– Short (long) range forward: buying (selling) a
European put with a strike price ๐พ1 and selling
(buying) a European call with a strike price ๐พ2
Payoff of long
range forward
Payoff of short
range forward
Asset
Price
K1
K2
Short forward
K1
Long forward
K2
Asset
Price
15.28
Range Forward Contracts
– Consider a U.S. company that knows it will receive
one million pounds sterling in three months
1. Entering into a short forward contract with the delivery
price to be $1.6200/๏ฟก
2. Entering into a short range-forward contract with ๐พ1 =
$1.6000/๏ฟก and ๐พ2 = $1.6413/๏ฟก
The value of
1๏ฟก in US$
Short forward
contract
Short range-forward contract
(๐’‘ ๐‘ฒ๐Ÿ = ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ − ๐’„(๐‘ฒ๐Ÿ = ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘))
๐‘†๐‘‡ < ๐พ1
$1.62
๐‘†๐‘‡ + (๐พ1 – ๐‘†๐‘‡ ) = ๐พ1 = 1.6000
๐พ1 ≤ ๐‘†๐‘‡ < ๐พ2
$1.62
๐‘†๐‘‡
๐‘†๐‘‡ ≥ ๐พ2
$1.62
๐‘†๐‘‡ – (๐‘†๐‘‡ – ๐พ2 ) = ๐พ2 = 1.6413
* ๐‘†๐‘‡ denotes the final exchange rate after 3 months
15.29
Range Forward Contracts
Effective exchange rate
K2
1.62
K1
ST
K1
K2
– Range forward contracts have the effect of
ensuring that the exchange rate paid or received
will lie within a certain range
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
The U.S. company will receive ๏ฟก1,000,000 × ๐‘†๐‘‡ if ๐‘†๐‘‡ is
in [๐พ1 , ๐พ2 ]
The U.S. company enjoys the gains (suffers the losses)
of the appreciation (depreciation) of the British pounds
but the gains (losses) are limited when ๐‘†๐‘‡ > ๐พ2 (๐‘†๐‘‡ < ๐พ1 )15.30
Range Forward Contracts
– Normally the price of the put equals the price of
the call in a range forward
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
It costs noting to set up the range-forward contract, just
as it costs nothing to enter into a forward contract
In the above numerical example, suppose ๐‘Ÿ and ๐‘Ÿ๐‘“ are
both 5%, the spot exchange rate is $1.62/๏ฟก, and the
exchange rate volatility is 14% ๏ƒž ๐‘(๐พ1 = 1.6000) and
๐‘(๐พ2 = 1.6413) are both worth $0.03521/๏ฟก
15.31
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