Fundamentals of Monetary Policy Chen Wu, Ph.D. Assistant Professor of Economics Plymouth State University The Uses of Money • Barter is the direct ( ) of one good for another, without the use of ( ). • The three functions of money (anything serving these purposes is money): • Medium of exchange–is accepted as ( ) for goods and services and debts. • Store of value–can be held for future ( ). • Standard of value–serves as a ( ) for measuring the prices of goods and services. 13-2 LO-1 Cash versus Money • The concept of money includes more than dollar bills and coins. • ( )( ) can and do perform the same market function as cash. • Money is anything generally accepted as a medium of ( ). • A transactions account is a bank account that permits direct ( ) to a third party (e.g., with a check). • The balance in your transactions account substitutes for cash and, therefore, is a form of ( ). 13-3 LO-1 Basic Money Supply (M1) • The basic money supply is typically referred to by the abbreviation M1. • M1 is ( ) held by the public, plus balances in ( ) accounts. • Cash is only part of the money supply; most money consists of balances in transactions accounts. • Credit cards are another popular medium of exchange. • Credit cards are ( ) a form of money. • They are simply a payment service, not a store of value. • The money supply (M1) includes: • ( ) in circulation • ( ) balances • Traveler’s ( ) 13-4 LO-2 13-5 Near Money • • • • Savings accounts Certificates of deposit (CDs) Money-market mutual funds These represent additional measures of the money supply (M2, M3, etc.). • We will limit our discussion to M1, the basic money supply. 13-6 LO-2 Cashless Society? We’re keeping a smaller percentage of the money supply as cash as we: • Rely more on ( ) cards for purchases. • Receive ( )( ) for paychecks. • Use more checks instead of cash. • Rely more on ( )( ) for transactions. • Complete many transactions via direct wire transfer of money. 13-7 LO-2 Creation of Money: Deposit Creation • The Bureau of Engraving and Printing and the U.S. Mint play only a minor role in creating money. • Most of what we call money is bank balances, not cash. • Deposit Creation: • In making a loan, a bank effectively creates money, because transactions-account balances are counted as part of the money supply. • Banks create ( ) balances by making ( ). • Deposit creation–the creation of transactions deposits by bank lending. 13-8 LO-3 Example of Deposit Creation • A Monopoly Bank: • Assume: one bank in a town, and no one regulates bank behavior. • You deposit $100 from your piggy bank into the monopoly bank and receive a new ( )( ). • When you deposit cash or coins in a bank, you are changing the composition of the money supply, not its size. • An Initial Loan: • The monopoly bank loans $100 to Campus Radio. • It deposits $100 into Campus Radio’s ( ) account. • ( ) has been created because the checking account is considered to be money. • Using the Loan: • The money supply does not contract when Campus Radio 13-9 spends the $100. • The ownership of the deposit (changes). LO-3 Fractional Reserves • Bank Reserves are assets held by a bank to fulfill its ( ) obligations. • Bank reserves are only a fraction of total transactions deposits. • The Reserve Ratio is the ratio of a bank’s ( ) to its total transactions ( ): Reserve ratio = bank reserves total deposits • The ability of a monopoly bank to hold fractional reserves results from two facts: • People use ( ) for most transactions. 13• There is no other bank. 10 LO-3 Required Reserves • If a bank could create money at will, it would have a lot of control over aggregate demand. • In reality, no private bank has that much power. • The power to create money resides in the banking system, not in any single bank. • The Federal Reserve System requires banks to maintain some minimum reserve ratio. • Required Reserves are the minimum amount of ( )a bank is required to hold by government regulation. • The minimum reserve requirement directly ( ) depositcreation possibilities. • Required Reserves are equal to the required reserve ratio times transactions deposits: Required required total = X reserves reserve ratio deposits 1311 LO-3 Excess Reserves • Excess reserves are bank reserves in excess of (required) reserves: Excess Reserves = (Total) Reserves – (Required) Reserves • The ability of banks to make loans depends on access to ( ) reserves. • So long as a bank has excess reserves, it can make additional ( ). • If a bank currently has $100 in reserves and is required to hold $75, it can ( o1u3t-) 12 the excess $25. LO-3 The Money Multiplier • A Multibank World: • In reality there is more than one bank in town. • The key issue is not how much excess reserves any specific bank holds but how much excess reserves exist in the entire banking system. • ( )( ) are the source of bank lending authority. • The cumulative amount of new loans is determined by the money multiplier. • The money multiplier is the number of deposit (loan) dollars that the banking system can create from $1 of excess reserves: Money multiplier = 1 required reserve ratio 1313 LO-4 The Money Multiplier Process: Example • An initial deposit of $100 is made at University Bank. • University Bank keeps $75 (75% of the $100 new deposit) on reserve and loans out $25, which is deposited in Bank Two. • Bank Two keeps 75% of the new deposit on reserve ($18.75) and loans out $6.25 • Bank Three keeps 75% of the new deposit on reserve ($4.69) and loans out $1.56. • This process continues until all ( ) reserves have disappeared. 1314 LO-4 1315 Limits to Deposit Creation • The potential of the money multiplier to create ( summarized by the equation: Potential deposit creation = money multiplier x ) is excess reserves of banking system • If the required reserve ratio = .75: • The multiplier = ( ) • If the banking system has $25 in excess reserves: • Potential deposit creation is ($ ) x ( • Excess Reserves as Lending Power: ) = ($ ) • Each bank may lend an amount equal to its ( ) reserves and no more. • The entire banking system can increase the volume of loans by the total amount of ( ) reserves in the banking system multiplied 13by the ( )( ). 16 LO-4 The Macro Role of Banks • Banks can create ( ). • Since virtually all market transactions involve the use of money, banks must have some influence on macro outcomes. • Financing Aggregate Demand • Banks perform two essential functions: • • Banks transfer money from savers to spenders by ( ) funds (reserves) The banking system creates additional money by making ( ) . 1317 LO-5 Constraints on Money Creation • There are four major constraints on banks’ lending ability: • Bank Deposits • Bank reserves will be lower if people prefer to hold ( ) rather than make ( ) in their transactions accounts. • Willing Borrowers and Lenders • If consumers, businesses, and governments don’t want to borrow, ( ) deposits will be created. • Banks may not be willing to satisfy credit demands, choosing instead to hold ( ) reserves. • Government Regulation 13• The Federal Reserve regulates bank ( ) prac1t8ices. LO-5 Recent Development in Money • Digital Money • The most common forms of money used in brick-and-mortar malls cannot be used as a medium of exchange in electronic malls. • Credit Cards • Almost all Internet purchases are completed with a credit card. • Dependence on credit cards limits the potential of e-commerce because of: • Security issues such as credit card number ( ). • Use and sale of credit card databases by e-retailers for ( purposes. ) • E-Payments • Some companies offer a quasi-banking service by storing ( ( ) that consumers and e-retailers can access. • Consumers must “deposit” e-cash with credit card advances. ) • Speed of Spending • Consumers still need cash and checking-account balances to pay for their e-purchases. • Virtual malls allow consumers to spend money balances ( ), 13thereby ( ) aggregate demand. 19 LO-5 The Federal Reserve System • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) is the central banking system of the United States • Created in 1913, it consists of two components: • Headquarters in Washington, D.C. • ( ) District Banks • Monetary Policy • A central responsibility of the Federal Reserve is monetary policy—the use of ( ) and ( ) controls to influence macroeconomic activity. 1420 LO-1 1421 1422 The Board of Governors • The key decision maker for ( ) policy. • Located in Washington, D.C • Consists of ( ) members appointed by the President and confirmed by the U.S. Senate. • Board members are appointed for ( )-year terms and cannot be reappointed. • 1423 LO-1 Federal Reserve District Banks • The 12 district banks perform many critical services, including the following: • Clearing ( ) between private banks • Holding bank ( ) • Providing ( ) • Providing ( ) (called discounting) • The Fed Chairman • The Chairman is the most visible member of the Federal Reserve System. • This person is selected by the President for a ( )-year term and may be reappointed. • ( ) is the current Chairman of the 14Fed. 24 LO-1 Monetary Tools • The Fed has the power to alter the money supply through three tools (4 tools since 2009): • Reserve requirements • Discount rate • Open market operations • Changes in the interest rate paid on reserves 1425 LO-2 Reserve Requirements • By changing the reserve requirement, the Fed can directly alter the ( ) capacity of the banking system. • Required reserves are the minimum amount of reserves a bank is required to hold by government regulation. • The ability of the banking system to make additional loans (create deposits) is determined by the amount of ( ) reserves banks hold and the ( )( ): Available lending capacity of the banking system = Money Excess multiplier x Reser1v4e- s 26 LO-2 Reserve Requirements • A decrease in required reserves directly ( ) excess reserves. • Excess reserves are bank reserves in excess of ( ) reserves: Excess = reserves Total reserves Required – reserves • A change in the reserve requirement causes: • A change in ( ) reserves • A change in the money ( ) • A lower reserve requirement ( multiplier: • Money Multiplier = ) the value of the money 1 Reserve Requirement Ratio 1427 LO-2 1428 The Discount Rate • The discount rate is the rate of interest charged by the Federal Reserve Banks for lending reserves to ( ) banks. • Sometimes bank reserves run low and they must replenish their reserves temporarily. • There are three sources of last-minute extra reserves: • Federal Funds Market, where banks may borrow from a reserve-rich bank • Securities Sales • Discounting – obtaining reserve credits from the Federal Reserve System • By raising or lowering the discount rate, the Fed changes the ( ) of money for banks and the incentive to ( ) reserves. 1429 LO-2 Open-Market Operations • Open-market operations are the principal mechanism for directly altering the reserves of the banking system. 1430 LO-3 Hold Money or Bonds? • The Fed attempts to influence whether individuals hold idle funds in ( ) accounts (in banks) or government ( ). • Open-Market Activity • Open-market operations–Federal Reserve purchases and sales of government ( ) for the purpose of altering bank ( ) (and thus money supply): • If the Fed buys bonds, it ( ) bank reserves (and money supply). • If the Fed sells bonds, it ( ) bank reserves. 1431 LO-3 Changes in the interest rate paid on reserves • In October 2008, Congress granted the Fed authority to pay ( ) on reserves of banks • If the Fed raises the interest rate on reserves and thereby reduces the differential between the federal funds rate and the interest rate on reserves, banks have ( ) incentive to lend reserves in the federal funds market • Federal Funds Market (FFM) – A private overnight market (made up mostly of banks) in which banks can borrow reserves from other ( ) that want to lend them • Federal Funds Rate - The interest rate that banks pay to borrow reserves in the interbank ( ) 32 Powerful Levers • To summarize, there are three levers of monetary policy: • Reserve ( ) • ( ) rates • Open-market ( ) • Changes in the interest rate paid on ( ) • The Fed has effective control of the nation’s money supply. • Shifting Aggregate (Demand) • The ultimate goal of all macro policy is to stabilize the economy at its ( t) potential. 14• Monetary policy may be used to shift AD 33 LO-2 Expansionary Policy • Monetary policy can be used to move the economy to its full-employment potential. • The Fed can increase AD by ( ) the money supply by: • • • • ( ( ( ( ) reserve requirements ) the discount rate ) more bonds to increase bank lending capacity ) the interest rate paid on reserves • As a result of the near financial meltdown and recession of 2008-09, the Fed took on a massive expansionary policy by expanding its balance sheet, e.g. ( ) many government securities and non-government assets) and 14( ) interest rates to historic levels. LO-4 Restrictive Policy • Monetary policy can also be used to ( overheating economy. • The Fed can decrease AD by ( money supply by: • ( ) reserve requirements • ( ) the discount rate • ( ) bonds in the open market • ( ) an ) the ) the interest rate paid on reserves 1435 LO-4 Interest-Rate Targets • Interest rates are a key link between changes in the money supply and shifts of the ( ) curve. • Price versus Output Effects • The success of monetary policy depends on the conditions of AD and AS. • Increases in the money supply shift AD to the ( ). • The shape of the AS curve determines the effectiveness of expansionary monetary policy. • Horizontal AS–output ( ) without any ( ). • Vertical AS– ( ) occurs without changing ( ). • Upward-sloped AS – both prices and output are affected 14by monetary policy. 36 LO-4 1437 Fixed Rules or Discretion? • The shape of the AS curve spotlights a central policy debate. • Should the Fed try to fine-tune the economy with constant adjustments of the money supply? • Or should the Fed instead simply keep the money supply growing at a steady pace? • The near financial meltdown of 2008 has raised the tone of this debate. 1438 LO-5 Discretionary Policy • The economy is constantly beset by positive and negative ( ). • There is a need for continual ( ) to the money supply. • This view is supported by ( ) economists who believe the economy is relatively unstable and needs help. 1439 LO-5 Fixed Rules • Critics of discretionary monetary policy raise objections linked to the shape of the AS curve. • The AS curve could be ( ) or at least ( ). • With an upward-sloping AS curve, too much expansionary monetary policy leads to ( ). • Fixed rules for money-supply management are less prone to error than discretionary policy. • The Fed should increase the money supply by a constant ( ) rate each year. • The growth rate of Ms should be consistent with the ( growth rate. • This idea was supported by economists such as Milton Friedman. ) 1440 LO-5 The Fed’s Eclecticism • The Fed currently uses a pragmatic, eclectic approach of: • ( ) rules • ( ) discretion • The Fed mixes money-supply and interest-rate adjustments to do whatever is necessary to promote price ( ) and economic ( ). • Inflation Targeting • Ben Bernanke, the former Fed Chairman, has been a bit more specific about the Fed’s policy. • He believes the Fed should set an ( )( ) on inflation (called inflation targeting), then manipulate ( )( ) a1n4dthe ( )( ) to achieve it. 41 LO-5