DOLLAR TREE, INC. SALONI BAID, ANGELA CIPOLA,EZRA KASSIN, Stephany Carvajal HISTORY Sector: Retail, Consumer Goods, Services Industry: Discount.Variety stores Full Time Employees: 17,600 Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety stores in the United States and Canada. Sells Variety of products Toys, food, gifts, greeting cards etc. Dollar Tree’s Business model: Everything $1 or less! Founded in 1986 Based in Chesapeake, Virginia. History Initial Public Offering in March of 1995 at $15 a share. Dollar Tree acquired many companies throughout the years. By 2012, operated approximately 5,080 stores and exceeded $7 billion in sales. Recently, the company is in talks to buy out Family Dollar WHY DOLLAR TREE To analyze the factors that contributed to the firm’s success Leading company that targets customers due to their low cost distribution Acquired and opened thousands of stores in the past few years Competitors are Family Dollar, 99 cents store, etc. Dollar Tree Today Balance Sheet Profitability Financial Strength Dollar Tree Ratios (2012-2014) Dollar Tree Vs. Comps Dollar tree vs. Industry Average Company Industry 2 1.19 0.51 0.51 Total Debt Ratio 57.76 53.61 Long Term Debt Ratio 27.3 37.4 Interest Coverage (TIE) 62.96 105.09 7.58 7.66 Profit Margin 7.61 4.23 ROA 21.52 8.23 ROE 47.62 17.61 23.42 37.28 Short term Solvency: Current Ratio Quick Ratio Long Term Solvency Asset management Measures Inventory Turnover Profitibility Measures Marekt Value Measures P/E CAPITAL STRUCTURE: DEBT & EQUITY Debt VS Equity 2014 Debt-Equity Ratio = 0.66 2014 Total Debt Ratio = 57.76% Sustainable Growth Rate SGR= [ROE x Retention Ratio]/[1 - (ROE x Retention Ratio)] SGR for 2014= [.509695054 x 1]/[1 – (.509695054 x 1)] = 1.039547037 x 100 = 103.95% SGR for 2013= [.37143853 x 1]/[1 – (.37143853 x 1)] = .5909342964 x 100 = 59.09% SGR for 2012= [.363156329 x 1]/[1 – (.363156329 x 1)] = .5702440733 x 100 = 57.02% Internal Growth Rate IGR= [ROA x Retention Rate]/[1-(ROA x Retention Ratio)] IGR for 2014= [.215267506 x 1]/[1 – (.215267506 x 1)] = .274319602726 x 100 = 27.43% IGR for 2013= [.225036337 x 1]/[1 – (.225036337 x 1)] = .290383082129 x 100 = 29.04% IGR for 2012= [.209696814 x 1]/[1 – (.209696814 x 1)] = .26533717403 x 100 = 26.53% Decomposing ROE using DuPont Identity ROE=Net Income Sales × Sales Assets × Assets Total Equity ROE for 2014= (596,700/7, 840,300) × (7,840,300/1, 035,300) × (1,035,300/1, 170,700) =0.5097 ROE for 2013= (619,300/7, 394,500) × (7,394,500/971700) × (971700/1, 667,300) =0.3714 ROE for 2012= (488,300/6, 630,500) × (6,630,500/867, 400) × (867,400/1, 344,600) =0.3632 Comparison ROE= Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover x Equity Multiplier Years ROE Profit Margin Total Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier 2014 0.5097 7.61% 7.5730 88.43% 2013 0.3714 8.38% 7.6099 58.28% 2012 0.3631 7.36% 7.6441 64.51% COST OF DEBT Using a competitor to determine cost of debt: Dollar General Dollar Gen Corp New 3.25% | Maturity:10 YTM = 4.45% After Tax Cost = 2.77% Corp Tax Rate= 37.8 DLTR Vs S&P 500 CAPM Calculation Treasury Rates 10 Year 0.02275 15 Year 0.0259 20 Year 0.0269 Beta Yahoo Finance Nasdaq.com Morningstar.com 0.7 0.87 0.76 In order to calculate WACC, we need to calculate The Cost of Equity (rE) using Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) CAPM CAPM= (.7+.03)*(.11-.03)= 8.6% Weighted Average Cost of Capital The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate of return that a company is expected to pay to all its security holders to finance its assets. WACC= (D/V) Rd (1-Tc) + (E/V) Re WACC = (520,550,000/14,580,550,000) (.0296) (1 - .3717) + (14,060,000,000/14,580,550,000) (.086) WACC = 8.36%