Bank Management, 6th edition. Timothy W. Koch and S. Scott MacDonald Copyright © 2005 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning THE CHANGING BANK ENVIRONMENT Chapter 1 The banking industry is consolidating and diversifying simultaneously. The traditional definition of a bank has been blurred by new products and a wave of mergers, which have dramatically expanded the scope of activities and where products and services are offered. Formerly, a commercial bank was defined as both accepting demand deposits and making commercial loans. Today, these two products are offered by many financial services companies: including commercial banks, savings banks, credit unions, insurance companies, investment banks, finance companies, retailers, and pension funds. What constitutes a bank, today is not as important as the products and services are offered and the geographic markets in which it competes. While competition has increased the number of firms offering financial products and services, … the removal of interstate branching restrictions in the U.S. has dramatically reduced the number of banks but increased the number of banking offices (primarily branches). Consolidation, in turn, has increased the proportion of banking assets controlled by the largest banks. Not surprisingly, the same trends appear globally. The U. S. currently has several banks that operate in all 50 states and many places outside the U.S. The largest foreign banks have significant operations in the U.S. and throughout the world. Increased competition … quickly changing the nature of commercial banking. Competition also means geography no longer limits the trade area or the markets in which it competes. Individuals can open a checking account at: a traditional depository institution, a brokerage firm, or a nonbank firm, such as GE Capital, State Farm Insurance, and AT&T. You can deposit money electronically, transfer funds from one account to another, purchase stocks, bonds and mutual funds, or even request and receive a loan from any of these firms. Most allow you to conduct this business by phone, mail, or over the Internet. Regulatory restrictions on products and services offerings worked effectively in promoting a safe banking system until the later half of the twentieth century. Product innovations and technological advances of the late 1900s allowed investment banks to circumvent the regulations restricting their banking activities. In the late 1970s Merrill Lynch effectively created an “interest bearing checking account,” something banks had not been legally allowed to offer. Junk bonds became an alternative financing source for small business and other companies began to encroach upon the banks primary market. Goals and Functions of Bank Regulation To ensure Safety and Soundness To provide an efficient and competitive system Provide Monetary Stability Maintain Integrity of payment systems Protect consumers from potential abuses Three separate federal agencies along with each state's banking department issue and enforce regulations The Federal Reserve The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Most regulations can be classified in one of three basic categories: 1. supervision, examination, deposit insurance, chartering activity, and product restrictions are associated with safety and soundness 2. branching, mergers and acquisitions, and pricing are related to an efficient and competitive financial system 3. consumer protection. Depository institutions and their regulators Type of Commercial Bank Type of Regulation Safety and Soundness Supervision and Examination National Comptroller State member Insured state nonmember Federal Reserve FDIC and state and state authority authority Noninsured state nonmember Bank holding companies State authority Federal reserve Deposit Insurance FDIC FDIC FDIC State insurance or none Not applicable Chartering and Licensing OCC State authority State authority State authority Federal Reserve and state authority Efficiency and Competitiveness Federal Reserve FDIC and state and state authority authority Federal Reserve FDIC and state Mergers and Acquisitions Comptroller and state authority authority Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Pricing New Products and state and state and state authority authority authority Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Consumer Protection Federal Reserve FDIC, and state and state authority authority Branching Comptroller Federal Reserve and state authority Federal Reserve State authority and state authority Federal Reserve and state Not applicable authority Federal Reserve and state Not applicable authority State authority Supervision and Examination Regulators examine banks for safety and soundness. Capital adequacy Asset quality Management quality Earnings quality Liquidity Sensitivity to Risk 1 to 5 rating in each category If deficient, regulators issue a MOU or a Cease and Desist order Regulation- New Charters The U.S. System is a dual system with federal and state charters. • OCC regulates federal (national) banks • States individually regulate state chartered banks, with the FDIC acting as primary regulator • The FDIC regulates insured banks too, even if not the primary regulator • The Federal Reserve regulates state member banks and National banks that are required to be Fed members. Numbers and types of institutions in June 2003 Commercial Banks National Charter State Charter Federal Res. Member Federal Res.nonmemb. Savings institutions Credit Unions # instit. # Offices 7831 2047 5784 952 4832 1410 9369 73895 35238 38657 14890 23767 13883 NA Deposits 4.25 trillion 2.30 trillion 1.96 trillion 962 billion 993 billion 875 billion 477 billion Primary Regulator OCC Fed FDIC OTS/Fed NCUA Federal Reserve bank regulations REGULATION A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R Subject Loans to Depository Institutions Equal Credit Opportunity Home Mortgage Disclosure Reserve Requirements REGULATION S T U V Subject Reimbursement for Providing Financial Records Margin Credit Extended by Brokers and Dealers Margin Credit Extended by Banks Guarantee of Loans for National Defense Work Extensions of Consumer Credit (revoked) Borrowers Who Obtain Margin Credit Bank Holding Companies Electronic Fund Transfers W Limitations on Interbank Liabilities X Margin Credit Extended by Parties Other Than Banks, Brokers, and Y Dealers Membership Requirements for State Truth in Lending Z Chartered Banks Stock in Federal Reserve Banks AA Consumer Complaint Procedures Check Collection and Funds Transfer BB Community Reinvestment International Banking Operations CC Availability of Funds and Collection of Checks Interlocking Bank Relationships DD Truth in Savings Consumer Leasing EE Netting Eligibility for Financial Institutions Relationships with Foreign Banks Loans to Executive Officers of Member Banks Member Bank Protection Standards Interest on Demand Deposits, Advertising Interlocking Relationships Between Securities Dealers and Member Banks The Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act, 1994, mandates interstate branch banking, superseding state banking pacts Nonbank banks Edge Act corporations Edge Act corporations provide a full range of banking services but, by law, deal only in international transactions There are two types of Edge corporations: banks and investment companies Loan production offices (LPOs) make commercial loans but do not accept deposits Consumer banks outside their home state Consumer banks accept deposits but make only consumer loans Consumer Protection. State legislatures and the Fed have numerous laws and regulations to protect the rights of individuals who try to borrow. Regs. AA, B, BB, C, E, M, S, Z, and DD apply specifically to consumer regulation. Equal credit opportunity (Reg. B)makes it illegal for any lender to discriminate against a borrower on the basis of race, gender, marital status, religion, age, or national origin. Community reinvestment prohibits redlining in which lenders do not lend in certain geographic markets. Reg. Z requires disclosure of effective rates of interest, total interest paid, the total of all payments, as well as full disclosure as to why a customer was denied credit. Trends in federal legislation and regulation The fundamental focus since 1970 has been to define and expand the product and geographic markets served by depository institutions, and to increase competition. Subsequent problems with failed savings and loans and commercial banks raised concerns that only a few large organizations would survive and large firms would drive small firms out of business. Deposit insurance …The FDIC insures the deposits of banks up to $100,000 per account holder while almost all CUs are insured by the National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund (NCUSIF), which is controlled by the NCUA. The FDIC was created by the Banking Act of 1933, in response to the large number of bank failures after 1929. Originally the FDIC insured deposits up to $5,000. All newly chartered banks must obtain FDIC insurance. The FDIC also acts as the primary federal regulator of state- chartered banks that do not belong to the Fed System. State banks who are members of the Federal Reserve System are regulated by the Fed. The FDIC also has backup examination and regulatory authority over national and Fed-member banks. The FDIC is also the receiver of failed institutions. The FDIC handles failed institutions by either liquidating them or selling the institutions to redeem insured deposits. Two insurance funds under the FDIC: The Bank Insurance Fund (BIF) and the Savings Association Fund (SAIF). The OCC and state banking authorities officially designate banks as insolvent, but the Federal Reserve and FDIC assist in closings. The Federal Reserve also serves as the federal government's lender of last resort. When a bank loses funding sources, the Federal Reserve may make a discount window loan to support operations until there is a solution. The Central Bank …Congress created the Federal Reserve System in 1913 as the central bank of the U. S. and to provide the nation with a flexible and stable monetary and financial system The Fed's role in banking and the economy has expanded over the years, but its primary focus has remained the same. The Fed’s three fundamental functions are: 1. 2. 3. conduct the nation’s monetary policy, an effective and efficient payments system, supervise and regulate banking operations. All three roles have a similar purpose, that of maintaining monetary and economic stability and prosperity. The Federal Reserve System (The Fed) A decentralized central bank, with 12 districts reserve banks and branches across the country, Coordinated by a Board of Governors in Washington, D.C. The Board of Governors are appointed by the president of the United States and confirmed by the Senate for staggered 14-year terms. The seven-members of the Board Governors are the main governing body of the Federal Reserve System. The Board is charged with overseeing the 12 District Reserve Banks and with helping implement national monetary policy. Monetary Policy The Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy through actions designed to influence the supply of money and credit in order to promote price stability and long-term sustainable economic growth. There are basically three distinct monetary policy tools: 1. open market operations, 2. changes in the discount rate, and 3. changes in the required reserve ratio. Open market operations … are conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York under the direction of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The sale or purchase of U.S. government securities in the “open market” is the Fed’s most flexible means of carrying out policy objectives. Through the purchase or sale of securities, the Fed can adjust the level of reserves in the banking system. Fed open market purchases increase liquidity, hence reserves in the banking system, by increasing a bank’s deposit balances at the Fed. Fed open market sales of securities decrease bank reserves and liquidity by lowering deposit balances at the Fed. Changes in the discount rate …directly affect the cost of borrowing Banks can borrow deposit balances, or required reserves, directly from Federal Reserve Banks (in its role as lender of last resort). The discount rate is the interest rate that banks pay. When the Fed raises (decreases) the discount rate it discourages (encourages) borrowing by making it more (less) expensive. Many economists argue that the Fed changes the discount rate primarily to signal future policy toward monetary ease or tightness rather than to change bank borrowing activity. Changes in the discount rate are formally announced and market participants recognize that the Fed will likely be adding liquidity or taking liquidity out of the banking system. Changes in reserve requirements …directly affect the amount of legal required reserves and thus change the amount of money a bank can lend out. For example, a required reserve ratio of 10 percent means that a bank with $100 in demand deposit liabilities must hold $10 in legal required reserves in support of the DDAs. The bank can thus lend only 90 percent of its DDAs. When the Fed increases reserve requirements, it formally increases the required reserve ratio that directly reduces the amount of money a bank can lend. The reverse for reducing reserve requirements. Lower reserve requirements increase bank liquidity and lending capacity while higher reserve requirements decrease bank liquidity and lending capacity. Percent of Total, Depository Institutions Percent of Total, All Others There has been a fundamental shift in the structure of financial institutions over the past two decades. 20.0% 65.0% 18.0% 60.0% 16.0% 55.0% 14.0% 50.0% 12.0% 10.0% 45.0% 8.0% 40.0% 6.0% 35.0% 4.0% 30.0% 2.0% 25.0% 0.0% 1970 Dec-70 1975 Dec-75 1980 Dec-80 1985 Dec-85 1990 Dec-90 Dec-95 1995 Dec-00 2000 Dec-01 Monetary authority 5.1% 4.6% 3.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% Insurance Companies 16.8% 14.1% 13.9% 12.8% 14.6% 14.9% 11.6% 11.4% Pension and Retirement Funds 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.1% 8.6% 8.4% 7.2% 6.7% Mutual Funds 0.6% 0.6% 1.7% 4.9% 7.6% 10.2% 11.8% 12.5% Finance companies 4.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.9% 4.7% 3.8% 4.0% 3.8% Mortgage related Other 1.3% 4.2% 2.2% 4.9% 3.6% 5.3% 6.3% 7.4% 10.8% 8.6% 11.8% 12.4% 12.2% 18.8% 12.8% 19.6% Depository Institutions 60.5% 62.1% 58.9% 51.8% 42.8% 35.7% 31.9% 30.7% Year Consolidations, new charters and bank failures The number of failed banks increased sharply from 1980 through 1988 This period coincides with economic problems throughout various sectors of the U.S. economy ranging from agriculture to energy to real estate. As regional economies faltered, problem loans grew at banks and thrifts that were overextended and subsequent losses forced closings. New charters representing the start-up of a new bank’s operations declined from 1984 to 1994, increased through 1998, and then decreased through 2001. The major force behind consolidation has been mergers and acquisitions in which existing banks combine operations in order to cut costs, improve profitability, and increase their competitive position. Bankers who either lose their jobs in a merger or choose not to work for a large banking organization often find investors to put up the capital needed to start a new bank. Both mergers and new charters slowed dramatically in late 1998 as a result of a 25 percent fall in stock values at the largest bank holding companies and in 2001 with the continuing market decline. Structural changes among FDIC-insured commercial banks, 1980–2001 700 600 Number of Banks Mergers 500 400 300 New Charters 200 100 Failures 0 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 Organizational form of the banking industry The organizational structure of banking has changed significantly over the past two decades but changed most dramatically in the later half of the 1990’s due primarily to: the impact of interstate branching, the Federal Reserve System’s relaxation of securities powers restrictions using a clause in the Glass-Steagall Act and most recently with the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999. Banks can now branch across state lines and acquire insurance and securities firms by forming a Financial Holding Company under the provisions of Gramm-Leach-Bliley. Commercial banks are classified either as unit banks, with all operations housed in a single office, or as branch banks with multiple offices. Prior to the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994, which allows nationwide interstate branching, state law determined branching for commercial banks. Any organization that owns controlling interest in one or more commercial banks is a bank holding company (BHC). Control is ownership or indirect control via the power to vote more than 25% of the voting shares in a bank. Prior to interstate branching, the motivation to form a bank holding company was to circumvent branching and product restrictions. Unit versus Branch banking …The current structure of the commercial banking system as well as the dramatic changes in the number of banks has been heavily influenced by historical regulations which prevent branching to one degree of another. One of the primary reasons the number of banks has declined almost 50 percent since the mid 1980’s is the relaxation of branching restrictions provided by Riegle-Neal. Since the mid 1980’s, the number of banks has fallen about 50 percent while the number of branches has increased by 50 percent. Changes in the number of banks and bank branches, 1960 – 2001 80,000 70,000 Number of U.S. Banking Offices 60,000 All U.S. Banking Offices (Main Offices plus Branches) 50,000 40,000 Branches 30,000 20,000 10,000 Main Offices 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001* Branches 10,556 15,872 21,839 30,205 38,738 43,293 50,406 56,512 64,079 63,989 Banks 13,126 13,544 13,511 14,384 14,434 14,417 12,347 9,942 8,315 8,178 The number of interstate branches increased dramatically after interstate branching became fully effective in 1997. Unit banks each have their own board, officers, charters and technology. Expenses are usually higher for the parent that owns multiple independent banks as compared to branches of the “lead” bank. Relaxation in branching restrictions and more efficiency are motivating factors for a bank to form a BHC. Risk is considered higher with restrictive branching because individual banks were less diversified. States with the highest bank failure rates historically restricted branching. Branching generally reduces competitors, lowers expenses, allows greater asset diversification, and expands each bank’s consumer deposit base Each of these factors decreases the chances of failure, everything else being equal. Like commercial banks, bank holding companies are heavily regulated by states and the federal government. The Bank Holding Company Act stipulates that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System must approve all holding company formations and acquisitions. One-bank holding companies (OBHCs) control only one bank and typically arise when the owners of an existing bank exchange their shares for stock in the holding company. Multibank holding companies (MBHCs) control at least two commercial banks. The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 also gave regulatory responsibility over Financial Holding Companies to the Federal Reserve. The Glass-Steagall Act effectively separated commercial banking from investment banking Commercial banks were able to underwrite and deal in securities through Section 20 subsidiaries. The Fed resolved the issue of “principally engaged” by allowing banks in 1987 to earn only 5 percent of the revenue in their securities affiliates. This was raised to 10 percent in 1989 and to 25 percent in March of 1997. The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 repeals the restrictions on banks affiliating with securities firms The law creates a new financial holding company, authorized to engage in: underwriting and selling insurance and securities, conducting both commercial and merchant banking, investing in and developing real estate Financial holding companies (FHC) are distinct entities from bank holding companies (BHC). A company can form a BHC or a FHC or both. Advantages in forming a FHC is that they can engage in a wide range of financial activities not permitted in the bank or in a BHC including: insurance and securities underwriting merchant banking insurance company portfolio investment activities. activities that are "complementary" to financial activities also are authorized. The Fed may not permit FHC formation if any of its insured subsidiaries are not well capitalized and well managed, or did not receive at least a satisfactory rating in their most recent CRA exam. Nonbank activities permitted bank holding companies The Federal Reserve Board regulates allowable nonbank activities that are “closely related to banking” in which bank holding companies may acquire subsidiaries. Restrictions came about for three reasons. 1. It was feared that large financial conglomerates would control the financial system because they would have a competitive advantage. 2. There was concern that banks would require customers to buy nonbank services in order to obtain loans. 3. Some critics simply did not believe that bank holding companies should engage in businesses that were less regulated and thus relatively risky. Organizational structure of financial services company Financial Services Holding Company Bank Holding Company Thrift Holding Company Nonbank Subsidiaries Subsidiaries and Service Companies Securities Subsidiaries Insurance Subsidiaries Real Estate Subsidiary Organizational structure of the OBHC One-Bank Holding Company Board of Directors Parent Company Bank Subsidiary The bottom four levels have the same organizational form as the independent bank. Nonbank Subsidiaries Each subsidiary has a president and line officers. Organizational structure of the MBHC. MultiBank Holding Company Board of Directors Parent Company Bank Subsidiaries Nonbank Subsidiaries Bank Subsidiaries Key Legislation: 1970 - 1993 Depository Inst. Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 Garn-St. Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 The Tax Reform Act of 1986 Competitive Equality Banking Act of 1987 The Financial Inst. Reform, Recovery and Enforcement Act of 1989 The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Improvement Act of 1991 Market value accounting and FASB 115 Key Legislation: 1994 - 2004 Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994 The 1998 Credit Union Membership Access Act Financial Services Modernization Act (Gramm-Leach- Bliley) of 1999) USA Patriot Act of 2001 Sarbanes-Oxley Act 2002 Financial Services Modernization Act (Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999) The repeal of restrictions on banks affiliating with securities firms clearly tops the list of provisions of Gramm-Leach-Bliley. The Act, also addressed new powers and products of the financial services industry, functional regulation of the industry, insurance powers, the elimination of new charters for unitary savings and loan holding companies, and consumer privacy protection. The privacy section of the bill that has some of the most far reaching beyond banking. Banking business models …The business models followed by the majority of banks (small banks) is generally different that that of largest banks. Historically, small banks have been called independent or community banks while large banks have been labeled large holding company banks, multibank holding companies, or even money center banks. Nevertheless, banks of the same size often pursue substantially different strategies Business model structure of commercial banking The organizational structure of commercial banks can be characterized as banks falling into one of the following categories based on the range of products and services offered and the different geographic markets served: Global banks Nationwide banks Super Regional banks Regional banks Specialty banks limited region limited product line Specialty Community Banks …When many of us think of banks, we think of the largest banks in the country such as Bank of America, Citibank, etc. Of the approximate 8,100 commercial banks operating in the United States, however, only about 80 are greater than $10 billion in assets. The vast majority of banks are small banks (about 5,000), under $100 million in assets with a legal lending limit of less than $1 million. In fact, almost 96% of all banks have total assets less than $1 billion. Still, the largest banks (over $10 billion) hold almost 70 percent of all bank assets The largest commercial banks: (thousands of dollars, 2003) A. Largest Commercial Banks Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Name JP Morgan Chase Bank Bank of America NA Citibank NA Wachovia Bank NA Bank One NA Wells Fargo Bk NA Fleet National Bank US Bank, NA SunTrust Bank HSBC Bank USA State NY NC NY NC IL CA RI MN GA NY Total Assets 628,662,000 617,962,335 582,123,000 353,541,000 256,787,000 250,474,572 192,265,000 189,159,050 124,453,567 92,958,123 Historically, banks, savings associations, and credit unions each served a different purpose and a different market. Commercial banks mostly specialize in short-term business credit, but also make consumer loans and mortgages, and have a broad range of financial powers. Banks accept deposits in a variety of different accounts and invest these funds into loans and other financial instruments. Their corporate charters and the powers granted to them under state and federal law determines the range of their activities. Savings and loan associations and savings banks, have historically specialized in real estate lending; e.g., loans for single-family homes and other residential properties. Savings associations are generally referred to as “thrifts” because they originally offered only savings or time deposits They have acquired a wide range of financial powers over the past two decades, and now offer checking accounts, make business and consumer loans, mortgages, and offer virtually any other product a bank offers. Savings institutions must maintain 65% of their assets in housing-related or other qualified assets to maintain their savings institution status. This is called the “qualified thrift lender” (QTL) test. The number of thrifts has declined dramatically during the last two decades. The savings and loan crisis of the 1980s forced many institutions to close or merge with others, at an extraordinary cost to the federal government. Due to liberalization of the QTL, there was a resurgence in the thrift charter, and many insurance and securities firms, as well as non-financial, acquiring a unitary thrift holding company in order to bypass prohibitions in the Glass Steagall Act and the Bank Holding Company Act. This resurgence stopped with the passage of Gramm-Leach- Bliley, which eliminated the issuance of new unitary thrift charters. Credit unions are nonprofit institutions with an original purpose to encourage savings and provide loans within a community at low cost to their members. A “common bond” defines their members, although this common bond can be loosely defined. Members pool funds to form the deposit base and the members own and control the institution. Credit unions accept deposits in a variety of forms. CUs have savings, checking, time deposits, with some offering and money market accounts. Products and activities include almost anything a bank or thrift offers, including home loans, issuing credit cards, and even commercial loans. CUs are exempt from federal taxation and sometimes receive subsidies, in the form of free space or supplies, from their sponsors. Largest savings institutions and credit unions (thousands of dollars, 2003) C. Largest Savings Institutions Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Name Washington Mutual Golden West Financial Corp. Sovereign Bancorp Astoria Financial Corp Telebanc Financial Corp ING USA Holding Co. Temple-Inland Webster Financial Corp. USAA Bancorp Indymac Bancorp State WA CA PA NY VA DE TX CT CA CA Total Assets 235,442,148 82,049,858 43,610,071 22,419,375 20,288,424 19,145,012 17,275,395 14,441,069 13,721,232 13,189,979 D. Largest Credit Unions Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Name Navy Federal CU State Employees' CU Pentagon Federal CU Golden 1 CU Boeing Employees Orange County Teachers Fed. CU United Airlines Employees' CU Suncoast Schools Federal CU American Airlines Security Service Federal CU STATE VA NC VA CA WA CA IL FL TX TX Total Assets 20,039,756 11,339,309 6,057,833 4,860,270 4,672,619 4,562,145 4,352,392 3,935,904 3,924,129 3,185,393 Five fundamental forces have transformed the financial services market 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Deregulation/re-regulation Financial innovation Securitization Globalization Advances in technology. The latter factors actually represent responses to deregulation and re-regulation. Historically, commercial banks have been the most heavily regulated companies in the United States Regulations took many forms including : maximum interest rates that could be paid on deposits or charged on loans, minimum capital-to-asset ratios, minimum legal reserve requirements, limited geographic markets for full-service banking, constraints on the type of investments permitted, and restrictions on the range of products and services offered. Banks and other market participants have consistently restructured their operations to circumvent regulation and meet perceived customer need In response, regulators or lawmakers would impose new restrictions, which market participants circumvented again. This process of regulation and market response (financial innovation) and imposition of new regulations (reregulation) is the regulatory dialectic. Increased competition The McFadden Act of 1927 and the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 determined the framework within which financial institutions operated for the next 50 years. The McFadden Act sheltered banks from competition with other banks by extending state restrictions on geographic expansion to national banks. The Glass-Steagall Act forbade banks from underwriting equities and other corporate securities, thereby separating banking from commerce. The fundamental forces of change … increased competition Competition for deposits Competition for loans Competition for payment services Competition for other financial services Discussion: What do you think is the result of this increased competition? Competition for deposits High inflation reduced the stable spread between asset yields and liability costs in the late 1970s. In 1973, several investment banks created money market mutual funds (MMMFs). Without competing instruments, MMMFs increased from $10.4 billion in 1978 to almost $189 billion in 1981. Congress passed legislation enabling banks and thrifts to offer similar accounts including money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) and Super NOWs. Competition for loans Loan yields fell relative to borrowing costs, as lending institutions competed for a decreasing pool of quality borrowers. High loan growth also raised bank capital requirements. Junk bonds, commercial paper, auto finance companies, credit unions, and insurance companies compete directly for the same good quality customers. Competition for loans (continued) As bank funding costs rose, competition for loans put downward pressure on loan yields and interest spreads. Prime corporate borrowers had the option to issue commercial paper (CP) or long-term bonds rather than borrow from banks. Glass-Steagall prevented commercial banks from underwriting CP, banks lost corporate borrowers, who now bypassed them by issuing commercial paper at lower cost. Competition for loans (continued) The competition for loans comes in many forms: Commercial paper Captive automobile finance companies Other finance companies The development of the junk bond market extended loan competition to medium-sized companies representing lower-quality borrowers. The growth in junk bonds reduced the pool of good-quality loans and lowered risk-adjusted yield spreads over bank borrowing costs. Today, different size banks generally pursue different strategies. Small- to medium-size banks continue to concentrate on loans but seek to strengthen the customer relationship by offering personal service. These same banks have generally rediscovered the consumer loan. The largest banks, in contrast, are looking to move assets off the balance sheet. Regulatory capital requirements and the new corporate debt substitutes often make the remaining loans too expensive and too risky. Loan concentrations: Consumer and commercial credits Credit Risk Diversification Commercial borrowers Consumer loans 80.0% 70.0% Percent of loans 60.0% 69% 67% 65% 64% 62% 60% 58% 59% 60% 60% 59% 57% 55% 55% 57% 57% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 36% 38% 35% 31% 33% 43% 45% 45% 43% 43% 42% 41% 40% 40% 41% 40% Captive automobile finance companies The three largest U.S. automobile manufacturers as well as most foreign automobile manufactures are aggressively expanding in the financial services industry as part of their long-term strategic plans. Competition for payment services In an American Banker article, Diogo Teixeira comment that: GE Capital has almost $300 billion of financial assets. GMAC has $12 billion of financial services revenue, more than Microsoft's total corporate revenue. Microsoft has no leasing subsidiary, takes no deposits, makes no loans, and offers not a single financial product -- in an age when everybody has financial products. Yet Microsoft is viewed as the threat, not GE Capital or GMAC. Competition for payment services …the impact of technology Once the domain of banks and other depository institutions only, the payment system has become highly competitive. The real challenge for the Federal Reserve System and the banking industry is in the delivery of payment processing services. This competition is coming from emerging electronic payment systems, such as: smart and stored-value cards automatic bill payment bill presentment processing It's not just electronic payment systems that are eroding the banks traditional markets Cash can be acquired at any ATM machine all over the country. You can open a checking account, apply for a loan and receive the answer and funds electronically. Direct deposit of paychecks, credit cards, electronic bill payment, and smart cards means that competition for financial services goes well beyond the traditional banking services lines we think of from the recent past! Although cash remains the dominate form of payment, the average payment size of cash is the smallest Volume of Transactions % of Cashless Growth: Cash Cheques issued Electronic Transactions: ACH ATM Credit Card Debit Card Total retail electronic Chips % Total Payments 19952000 2000 200 2000 0 550,000 82.3% #N/A 69,000 10.3% 58.2% 1.8% 6,900 13,200 20,000 9,275 49,375 58 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 1.4% 7.4% 0.0% 5.8% 11.1% 16.9% 7.8% 41.7% 0.0% 14.6% 6.4% 6.0% 42.1% 10.7% 2.6% Fed Wire 108 Total wholesale electronic 166 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 7.4% 41.8% Total Electronic 49,541 Value of Transactions % Growth: Average Total 1995- Transaction 1995 2000 2000 2000 Size 2000 #N/A 2,200,000 0.3% $ 4.00 73,515,000 85,000,000 10.9% 2.9% $ 1,231.88 12,231,500 20,300,000 656,600 800,000 879,000 1,400,000 59,100 400,000 13,826,200 22,900,000 310,021,200 292,147,000 2.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 2.9% 37.4% 10.7% $ 2,942.03 4.0% $ 60.61 9.8% $ 70.00 46.6% $ 43.13 10.6% $ 463.80 -1.2% $ 5,037,017 7.3% 5.5% 222,954,100 379,756,000 48.6% 532,975,300 671,903,000 85.9% 11.2% $ 3,516,259 4.7% $ 4,047,608 10.7% 546,801,500 694,803,000 88.8% 4.9% $ 14,025 Competition for other bank services Banks and their affiliates offer many products and services in addition to deposits and loans. Trust services Brokerage Data processing Securities underwriting Real estate appraisal Credit life insurance Personal financial consulting “Non-bank” activities of banks …the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act. Since the Glass-Steagall and Bank Holding Company acts, banks could not directly underwrite securities domestically. Today, a bank can enter this line of business by forming a financial holding company through provisions of the Gramm-LeachBliley Act. A financial holding company owns a bank or bank holding company as well as an investment subsidiary. The investment subsidiary of a financial holding company is not restricted in the amount or type of investment underwriting. Investment banking Commercial banks consider investment banking attractive because most investment banks: already offer many banking services to prime commercial customers and high net worth individuals and sell a wide range of products not available through banks. can compete in any geographic market without the heavy regulation of the FRS, FDIC, and OCC. earn extraordinarily high fees for certain types of transactions and can put their own capital at risk in selected investments. Investment banking Investment banking encompasses three broad functions: 1. 2. 3. underwriting public offerings of new securities trading existing securities advising and financing mergers and acquisitions Deregulation and re-regulation Deregulation is the process of eliminating regulations, such as the elimination of Regulation Q (interest rate ceilings imposed on time and demand deposits offered by depository institutions.) Deregulation is often confused with reregulation, which is the process of implementing new restrictions or modifying existing controls on individuals and activities associated with banking. Efforts at deregulation and reregulation generally address: Pricing issues removing price controls on the maximum interest rates paid to depositors and the rate charged to borrowers (usury ceilings). Allowable geographic expansion The Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994 has eliminate branching restrictions. New products and services Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 has dramatically expanded the banks’ product choices; e.g., insurance, brokerage services, and securities underwriting. Financial innovation Financial innovation is the catalyst behind the evolving financial services industry. Innovations take the form of new securities and financial markets, new products and services, new organizational forms, and new delivery systems. Regulation Q brought about financial innovation as depository institutions tried to slow disintermediation. Financial innovation (continued) Banks developed new products to compete with Treasury bills, MMMFs, and cash management accounts. Regulators typically imposed marginal reserve requirements against the new instruments, raising the interest rate ceiling, and then authorized a new deposit instrument. Recent innovations take the form of new futures, options, options-on-futures, and the development of markets for a wide range of securitized assets. Response of banks One competitive response to asset quality problems and earnings pressure has been to substitute fee income for interest income. Banks also lower their required capital and reduce credit risk by selling assets and servicing the payments between borrower and lender rather than holding the same assets to earn interest. This process of converting assets into marketable securities is called securitization. Securitization Securitization is the process of converting assets into marketable securities. It enables banks to move assets off-balance sheet and increase fee income. It increases competition for standardized products such as: mortgages and other credit-scored loans Eventually lowers the prices paid by consumers by increasing the supply and liquidity of these products. The objectives behind securitization include the following: Free capital for other uses Improve ROE via servicing income Diversify credit risk Obtain new sources of liquidity Reduce interest rate risk Generally, any loan that can be standardized can potentially be securitized. Securitization allows nonbank firms to originate loans, package them into pools, and sell securities collateralized by securities in the pools. This increases the competition for the securitized asset and will eventually lead to lower rates. Off-balance sheet activities, asset sales and Enron Enron engaged in questionable activities including not reporting losses from business activities that the firm inappropriately moved off-balance sheet. Enron hid losses on the business activities and/or used its off-balance sheet activities to artificially inflate reported earnings. Many banks also enter into agreements that do not have a balance sheet impact until a transaction is effected. An example might be a long-term loan commitment to a potential borrower. Off-balance sheet positions generate noninterest income but also entail some risk as the bank must perform under the contracts. Globalization Gradual evolution of markets and institutions so that geographic boundaries do not restrict financial transactions. Financial markets and institutions are becoming increasingly global in scope. Firms must recognize that businesses in other countries as well as their own are competitors, and that international events affect domestic operations. Increased consolidation The dominant trend of the structure of financial institutions is that of consolidation. With the asset quality problems of Texas banks in the 1980, regulators authorized acquisitions by outof-state banks. By 1998, effectively all interstate branching restrictions had been eliminated this has lead to consolidation frenzy in which we have almost half as many banks as compared to the 1980’s The later half of the 1990s saw not only a large number of bank mergers but also several of the largest bank consolidations: Citicorp merges with Travelers Chase Manhattan acquires Chemical Banking Chase Manhattan acquires J.P. Morgan Mellon Bank acquires Dreyfus NationsBank acquires BankAmerica Bank of New York acquires Irving Bank Corp Fleet Financial Group acquires BankBoston Bank One acquires First USA Southern National acquires BB&T Financial The removal of restrictive branching laws as well as “merger mania” of the late 1990s has dramatically reduced the number of banks. The primary factor leading the reduction in the number of banks from a high of 14,364 in 1979 to about 8,000 at the beginning of 2002 can be attributed to the removal of branching restrictions provided by RiegleNeal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994 GE Capital Services is the financial subsidiary of General Electric GECS divides its operations into two segments, Financing and Specialty Insurance. The operations of GECS Financing are divided into four areas: Consumer services provides products such as private-label and bank credit card loans, personal loans, time sales and revolving credit and inventory financing for retail merchants, auto leasing and inventory financing, mortgage servicing, consumer savings and insurance services . Equipment management provides leases, loans, sales, and asset management services for equipment. Mid-market financing provides loans and financing and operating leases for middle-market customers for a variety of equipment. Specialized financing provides loans and leases for major capital assets, commercial and residential real estate loans, and investments; and loans to and investments in management buyouts and corporate recapitalizations. Specialty insurance provides U.S. and international property and casualty reinsurance; specialty insurance and life reinsurance; financial guaranty insurance (principally on municipal bonds and structured finance issues); private mortgage insurance; and creditor insurance covering international customer loan repayments. Bank Management, 6th edition. Timothy W. Koch and S. Scott MacDonald Copyright © 2005 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning EVALUATING BANK PERFORMANCE Chapter 2 Balance Sheet Assets = Liabilities + Equity. Balance sheet figures are calculated at a particular point in time and thus represent a “snapshot” of bank values. Bank Assets http://www2.fdic.gov/ubpr/UbprReport/SearchEngine/Default.asp Cash and due from banks vault cash, deposits held at the Fed and other financial institutions, and cash items in the process of collection. Investment Securities assets held to earn interest and help meet liquidity needs. Loans the major asset, generate the greatest amount of income, exhibit the highest default risk and are relatively illiquid. Other assets bank premises and equipment, interest receivable, prepaid expenses, other real estate owned, and customers' liability to the bank Balance Sheet PNC National Bank PNC BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION BALANCE SHEET —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total % Cha —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/04 % of $ 1,000 Total ASSETS Loans: Real estate loans Commercial loans Individual loans Agricultural loans Other LN&LS in domestic off. LN&LS in foreign off. Gross Loans & Leases Less: Unearned Income Loan & Lease loss Allowance Net Loans & Leases Investments: U.S. Treasury & Agency securities Municipal securities Foreign debt securities All other securities Interest bearing bank balances Fed funds sold & resales Trading account assets Total Investments Total Earning Assets Nonint Cash & Due from banks Premises fixed assets & capital leases Other real estate owned Investment in unconsolidated subs. Other assets Total Assets Average Assets During Quarter 1.2% -8.4% -4.4% 9.2% -20.5% 15.6% -4.6% 8.0% -5.8% -4.5% 15,639,089 11,879,285 2,501,847 984 3,022,795 1,190,025 34,234,025 44,867 606,886 33,582,272 25.2% 19.2% 4.0% 0.0% 4.9% 1.9% 55.2% 0.1% 1.0% 54.1% 32.4% 23.8% 52.6% 57.0% -0.8% 2.8% 26.9% 0.2% -3.8% 27.5% 20,701,894 14,707,458 3,816,861 1,545 2,999,113 1,222,904 43,449,785 44,949 583,915 42,820,921 28.0% 19.9% 5.2% 0.0% 4.1% 1.7% 58.9% 0.1% 0.8% 58.0% 90.6% -46.9% -100.0% 1.1% 16.4% -54.6% -9.1% 8.7% 5,574,108 7,719 0 8,804,028 259,318 1,106,733 945,042 16,686,948 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.2% 0.4% 1.8% 1.5% 26.9% 15.9% 1606.0% 0.0% 3.0% 51.8% 56.2% 78.3% 16.5% 6,460,936 131,685 0 9,064,146 393,713 1,728,372 1,667,330 19,446,182 8.8% 0.2% 0.0% 12.3% 0.5% 2.3% 2.3% 26.3% -0.5% 50,269,220 81.1% 23.9% 62,267,103 84.4% -6.9% 21.8% 21.8% 252.4% 51.8% 6.8% 2,926,330 1,039,603 14,208 17,386 7,754,149 62,020,896 5.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 100.0% 8.5% 2.5% 0.7% -12.4% -6.2% 19.0% 3,174,493 1,066,028 14,301 15,223 7,272,017 73,809,165 4.3% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 100.0% 6.8% 62,719,462 101.1% 17.0% 73,391,052 99.4% Community National Bank COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK BALANCE SHEET —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/04 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total ASSETS Loans: Real estate loans Commercial loans Individual loans Agricultural loans Other LN&LS in domestic off. LN&LS in foreign off. Gross Loans & Leases Less: Unearned Income Loan & Lease loss Allowance Net Loans & Leases Investments: U.S. Treasury & Agency securities Municipal securities Foreign debt securities All other securities Interest bearing bank balances Fed funds sold & resales Trading account assets Total Investments Total Earning Assets Nonint Cash & Due from banks Premises fixed assets & capital leases Other real estate owned Investment in unconsolidated subs. Other assets Total Assets Average Assets During Quarter 4.0% -5.8% 26.7% 0.0% 13.0% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 6.7% 2.2% 75,324 34,288 8,454 0 26 0 118,092 0 1,258 116,834 39.1% 17.8% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 61.3% 0.0% 0.7% 60.6% 12.9% 12.9% -5.2% 0.0% 284.6% 0.0% 11.7% 0.0% 28.5% 11.5% 85,050 38,716 8,011 0 100 0 131,877 0 1,617 130,260 40.5% 18.4% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 62.8% 0.0% 0.8% 62.0% 73.0% 50.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 175.0% 0.0% 111.0% 34,937 613 0 2,104 4,428 7,000 0 49,082 18.1% 0.3% 0.0% 1.1% 2.3% 3.6% 0.0% 25.5% 24.8% -0.5% 0.0% -2.2% -57.5% -21.4% 0.0% 9.3% 43,591 610 0 2,057 1,881 5,500 0 53,639 20.7% 0.3% 0.0% 1.0% 0.9% 2.6% 0.0% 25.5% 20.6% 165,916 86.1% 10.8% 183,899 87.5% -16.6% 12.2% -84.3% 0.0% 259.8% 18.6% 13,083 5,642 325 0 7,761 192,727 6.8% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 4.0% 100.0% -10.7% 2.2% -100.0% 0.0% 13.2% 9.0% 11,682 5,768 0 0 8,783 210,132 5.6% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 100.0% 17.5% 191,480 99.4% 9.4% 209,525 99.7% Adjustments to total loans …three adjustments are made to obtain a net loan figure. First, the dollar amount of outstanding leases is included in gross loans. Second, unearned income is deducted from gross interest received. Finally, gross loans are reduced by the dollar magnitude of a bank's loan-loss reserve, which exists in recognition that some loans will not be repaid. Bank investments and FASB 115 Following FASB 115 a bank, at purchase, must designate the objective behind buying investment securities as either: held-to-maturity securities are recorded on the balance sheet at amortized cost. trading account securities are actively bought and sold, so the bank marks the securities to market (reports them at current market value) on the balance sheet and reports unrealized gains and losses on the income statement. available-for-sale, all other investment securities, are recorded at market value on the balance sheet with a corresponding change to stockholders’ equity as unrealized gains and losses on securities holdings. Bank liabilities Demand deposits transactions accounts that pay no interest Negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOWs) and automatic transfers from savings (ATS) accounts pay interest set by each bank without federal restrictions Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) pay market rates, but a customer is limited to no more than six checks or automatic transfers each month Savings and time deposits represent the bulk of interest-bearing liabilities at banks. Bank liabilities (continued) Two general time deposits categories exist: Time deposits in excess of $100,000, labeled jumbo certificates of deposit (CDs). Small CDs, considered core deposits which tend to be stable deposits that are typically not withdrawn over short periods of time. Deposits held in foreign offices balances issued by a bank subsidiary located outside the U.S. Rate-sensitive borrowings: Federal Funds purchased and Repos Core versus volatile funds Core deposits are stable deposits that are not highly interest rate- sensitive. Core deposits are more sensitive to the fees charged, services rendered, and location of the bank. Core deposits include: demand deposits, NOW accounts, MMDAs, and small time deposits. Large, or volatile, borrowings are liabilities that are highly rate- sensitive. Normally issued in uninsured denominations. Ability to borrow is sensitive to the markets perception of their asset quality. Volatile liabilities (net non-core) include: large CDs, deposits in foreign offices, federal funds purchased, RPs, and other borrowings with maturities less than one year.* *The UBPR also includes brokered deposits less than $100,000 and maturing within one year in the definition of net noncore liabilities. BALANCE SHEET % Cha PNC BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION —— HISTORICAL—— —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of 12/31/04 $ 1,000 Total % Cha $ 1,000 % of Total LIABILITIES Demand deposits All NOW & ATS Accounts Money market deposit accounts Other savings deposits Time deposits under $100M Core Deposits 2.6% 9.9% 6.8% 5.0% -15.9% 2.0% 7,070,434 1,529,861 24,502,371 2,055,659 6,242,628 41,400,953 11.4% 2.5% 39.5% 3.3% 10.1% 66.8% 20.1% 8.9% 8.8% 35.4% 13.1% 12.7% 8,488,607 1,666,003 26,665,024 2,782,931 7,063,499 46,666,064 11.5% 2.3% 36.1% 3.8% 9.6% 63.2% Time deposits of $100M or more Deposits held in foreign offices Total deposits -17.6% 71.5% 3.2% 1,775,943 2,371,548 45,548,444 2.9% 3.8% 73.4% 80.5% 26.3% 16.1% 3,205,331 2,994,623 52,866,018 4.3% 4.1% 71.6% Fed funds purchased & resale FHLB Borr. < 1 year Other borrowings inc mat < 1 yr Memo: S.T. non core funding Memo: Volatile liabilities FHLB Borr. > 1 year Other borrowings inc mat > 1 yr Acceptances & other liabilities Total Liabilities before Sub. Notes Sub. Notes & Debentures Total Liabilities 25.2% 898.2% 99.4% 73.5% 36.2% -90.0% -2.9% -0.1% 4.6% 16.2% 4.9% 499,232 1,000,000 2,264,921 7,111,124 6,911,644 115,406 1,765,851 3,864,388 55,058,242 1,340,133 56,398,375 0.8% 1.6% 3.7% 11.5% 11.1% 0.2% 2.8% 6.2% 88.8% 2.2% 90.0% 221.8% -100.0% 34.5% 25.7% 57.0% -23.3% 105.2% 18.7% 19.5% 41.4% 20.1% 1,606,647 0 3,046,632 8,936,809 10,853,233 88,508 3,624,223 4,585,994 65,818,022 1,895,482 67,713,504 2.2% 0.0% 4.1% 12.1% 14.7% 0.1% 4.9% 6.2% 89.2% 2.6% 91.7% -4.1% 4.0% 5,622,521 62,020,896 9.1% 100.0% 8.4% 19.0% 6,095,661 73,809,165 8.3% 100.0% 0.0% -19.4% 21.8% -10.2% 23.4% 23.4% 2 14,211 14,208 1,378,603 2,114 14,383,741 14,385,855 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 23.2% 23.2% 50.0% 58.0% 0.7% 20.9% -100.0% 8.9% 8.8% 3 22,449 14,301 1,667,154 0 15,656,767 15,656,767 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 21.2% 21.2% 14.2% 1,533,123 2.5% 49.3% 2,289,151 3.1% All common and preferred capital Total Liabilities & Capital Memoranda: Officer Shareholder Loans (#) Officer Shareholder Loans ($) Non-investment ORE Loans Held for Sale Held-to Maturity Securities Available-for-Sale-Securities Total Securities All Brokered Deposits NA BALANCE SHEET COM M UNITY NATIONAL BANK —— HISTORICAL—— —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of 12/31/04 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total % Cha $ 1,000 Total LIABILITIES Demand deposits 12.6% 72,500 37.6% 12.4% 81,514 All NOW & ATS Accounts 15.5% 12,478 6.5% 39.7% 17,437 8.3% Money market deposit accounts 56.7% 46,458 24.1% 5.3% 48,908 23.3% 7.3% 7,812 4.1% 26.7% 9,896 4.7% Other savings deposits Time deposits under $100M Core Deposits Time deposits of $100M or more Deposits held in foreign offices 38.8% 4.0% 24,469 12.7% -14.4% 20,949 10.0% 20.7% 163,717 84.9% 9.2% 178,704 85.0% 4.9% 13,572 7.0% 8.4% 14,714 7.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 19.3% 177,289 92.0% 9.1% 193,418 92.0% Fed funds purchased & resale 0.0% 1,000 0.5% 0.0% 1,000 0.5% FHLB Borr. < 1 year Total deposits 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% Other borrowings inc mat < 1 yr 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% Memo: S.T. non core funding 0.1% 7,901 4.1% 28.7% 10,169 4.8% Memo: Volatile liabilities 4.5% 14,572 7.6% 7.8% 15,714 7.5% FHLB Borr. > 1 year 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% Other borrowings inc mat > 1 yr 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% Acceptances & other liabilities -11.0% 395 0.2% 31.6% 520 0.2% Total Liabilities before Sub. Notes 19.1% 178,684 92.7% 9.1% 194,938 92.8% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 19.1% 178,684 92.7% 9.1% 194,938 92.8% 15,194 7.2% Sub. Notes & Debentures Total Liabilities All common and preferred capital Total Liabilities & Capital 12.0% 14,043 7.3% 8.2% 18.6% 192,727 100.0% 9.0% 2,101 100.0% 0.0% 1 0.0% Memoranda: Officer Shareholder Loans (#) Officer Shareholder Loans ($) -50.0% 1 0.0% 31.7% 1,852 1.0% 22.2% 2,263 1.1% -84.3% 325 0.2% -100.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% Held-to Maturity Securities 36.7% 4,073 2.1% -56.2% 1,785 0.8% Available-for-Sale-Securities 89.4% 33,581 17.4% 32.4% 44,473 21.2% 19.5% 22.9% 46,258 22.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% Non-investment ORE Loans Held for Sale Total Securities All Brokered Deposits 81.8% 14.2% 37,654 0 Stockholders equity Subordinated notes and debentures: notes and bonds with maturities in excess of one year. Stockholders' equity Ownership interest in the bank. Common and preferred stock are listed at par Surplus account represents the amount of proceeds received by the bank in excess of par when it issued the stock. The income statement Interest income (II) Interest expense (IE) Interest income-interest expense=net interest income (NII) Loan-loss provisions (PL) represent management's estimate of potential lost revenue from bad loans. Noninterest income (OI) Noninterest expense (OE) noninterest expense usually exceeds noninterest income such that the difference is labeled the bank's burden Taxes Income statement (interest income and expenses): PNC and Community National Bank PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Income Statement Interest Income: Interest and fees on loans Income from lease financing M emo: Fully taxable Tax-exempt Estimated tax benefit Income on Loans & Leases (TE) —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total -17.5% -20.6% -17.7% -25.7% -27.7% -17.8% 1,730,575 189,910 1,905,782 14,703 7,347 1,927,832 48.2% -0.7% 1.0% -15.4% 3.7% -2.4% 34,418 366,877 504 117,866 1,008 519,665 43.8% -32.4% 216.9% 127.2% -14.2% 4,835 18,682 805 39,477 2,511,266 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.9% 54.4% -14.7% -29.5% -30.5% -29.8% 17,335 67,714 369,702 454,751 Interest on Fed funds purchased & resale 2.2% Interest on Trad Liab & Oth Borrowings -59.0% Interest on mortgages & leases 0.0% Interest on Sub. Notes & Debentures -17.9% Total interest expense -30.6% U.S. Treasury & Agency securities Mortgage Backed Securities Estimated tax benefit All other securities income Memo: Tax-Exempt Securities Income Investment Interest Income (TE) Interest on due from banks Interest onFed funds sold & resales Trading account income Other interest income Total interest income (TE) Interest Expense: Int on Deposits held in foreign offices Interest on CD's over $100M Interest on All Other Deposits: Total interest expense on deposits Net interest income (TE) -8.1% 37.5% 4.1% 41.3% 0.3% 0.2% 41.7% —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/04 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total 8.3% -30.1% 4.6% -3.2% -22.3% 4.4% 1,875,058 132,839 1,993,668 14,229 5,711 2,013,608 38.4% 2.7% 40.8% 0.3% 0.1% 41.2% 0.7% 221,4% 7.9% -8.1% 0.0% 565.1% 2.6% -31.2% 0.0% 728.4% 11.2% 2.4% 110,614 337,110 3,352 81,129 8,350 532,205 2.3% 6.9% 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 10.9% -24.8% 57.9% 2455% -47.2% 4.3% 3,638 29,503 20,575 20,847 2,620,376 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 53.6% 0.4% 1.5% 8.0% 9.8% 144.0% 6.4% 1.8% 7.9% 42,290 72,032 376,244 490,566 0.9% 1.5% 7.7% 10.0% 13,260 26,001 0 55,449 549,461 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 1.2% 11.9% 204.9% 429.4% 0.0% 52.1% 37.0% 40,232 137,637 0 84,240 752,975 0.8% 2.8% 0.0% 1.7% 15.4% 1,961,805 42.5% -4.8% 1,867,401 38.2% COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK Income Statement Interest Income: Interest and fees on loans Income from lease financing M emo: Fully taxable Tax-exempt Estimated tax benefit Income on Loans & Leases (TE) —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/04 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7,923 0 7,923 0 0 7,923 73.6% 0.0% 73.6% 0.0% 0.0% 73.6% 7.5% 0.0% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 8,521 0 8,521 0 0 8,521 72.1% 0.0% 72.1% 0.0% 0.0% 72.1% -6.2% -12.6% 23.5% 28.1% 28.1% -7.4% 427 368 21 41 41 857 4.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 8.0% 28.3% 62.8% 81.0% 80.5% 80.5% 46.9% 548 599 38 74 74 1,259 4.6% 5.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 10.7% 164.3% -7.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.6% 37 133 0 15 8,965 0.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 83.3% 21.6% -23.3% 0.0% 13.3% 10.9% 45 102 0 17 9,944 0.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% 84.1% 0.0% -19.2% -20.5% -20.2% 0 375 1,060 1,435 0.0% 3.5% 9.8% 13.3% 0.0% 6.4% 3.6% 4.3% 0 399 1,098 1,497 0.0% 3.4% 9.3% 12.7% Interest on Fed funds purchased & resale -52.2% Interest on Trad Liab & Oth Borrowings 0.0% Interest on mortgages & leases 0.0% Interest on Sub. Notes & Debentures 0.0% Total interest expense -20.6% 11 0 0 0 1,446 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 90.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 21 0 0 0 1,518 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 7,519 69.8% 12.1% 8,426 71.3% U.S. Treasury & Agency securities Mortgage Backed Securities Estimated tax benefit All other securities income Memo: Tax-Exempt Securities Income Investment Interest Income (TE) Interest on due from banks Interest onFed funds sold & resales Trading account income Other interest income Total interest income (TE) Interest Expense: Int on Deposits held in foreign offices Interest on CD's over $100M Interest on All Other Deposits: Total interest expense on deposits Net interest income (TE) 4.5% PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Income Statement Noninterest Income: Fiduciary Activities Deposit service charges Trading revenue Investment Banking Advisory Insurance Commissions & Fees Net Servicing Fees Loan and Lease gain (losses) Other Net Gains (Losses) Other Non-interest income Total noninterest income —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total -5.4% 4.8% 61.8% 3.5% -74.8% -7.9% -13.4% -39.1% 10.5% 3.7% —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/04 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total 291,582 422,100 88,985 562,482 (660) 32,245 134,969 10,036 474,040 2,018,779 6.3% 9.1% 1.9% 12.2% 0.0% 0.8% 2.9% 0.2% 10.3% 43.7% 1.6% 2.1% -24.4% 32.7% -1896% 45.3% -3.0% -88.8% 1.3% 9.8% 296,226 431,169 67,267 746,475 11,856 51,212 130,953 1,124 479,982 2,216,264 6.1% 8.8% 1.4% 15.3% 0.2% 1.0% 2.7% 0.0% 9.8% 45.4% Adjusted Operating Income (TE) -2.5% Non-Interest Expenses: Personnel expenses 5.7% Occupancy expense 11.8% Goodwill impairment 0.0% Other intangible amortization -4.6% Other operating expense (incl. intangibles) 10.9% Total Noninterest Expenses 8.6% 3,980,584 86.2% 2.6% 4,083,665 83.6% 1,112,208 352,506 0 4,006 956,533 2,425,253 24.1% 7.6% 0.0% 0.1% 20.7% 52.5% 27.8% -0.6% 0.0% 186.5% 3.9% 14.5% 1,421,341 350,550 0 11,476 994,122 2,777,489 29.1% 7.2% 0.0% 0.2% 20.3% 56.8% Provision: Loan & Lease Losses Pretax Operating Income (TE) Realized G/L Hld-to-Maturity Sec. Realized G/L Avail-for-Sale Sec. Pretax Net Operating Income (TE) Applicable Income Taxes Current tax equivalent adj. Other tax equivalent adj. Applicable Income Taxes Net Operating Income Net Extraordinary Items Net Income -39.1% -11.5% 0.0% 12.6% -10.4% -13.4% -26.4% 0.0% -13.6% -8.6% 0.0% -8.6% 176,612 1,378,719 0 89,786 1,468,505 490,376 7,851 0 498,227 970,278 0 970,278 3.8% 29.8% 0.0% 1.9% 31.8% 10.6% 0.2% 0.0% 10.8% 21.0% 0.0% 21.0% -70.8% -9.0% 0.0% -44.5% -11.2% -22.1% 15.4% 0.0% -21.5% -5.9% 0.0% -5.9% 51,553 1,254,623 0 49,792 1,304,415 381,926 9,063 0 390,989 913,426 0 913,426 1.1% 25.7% 0.0% 1.0% 26.7% 7.8% 0.2% 0.0% 8.0% 18.7% 0.0% 18.7% Cash Dividends Declared Retained Earnings Memo: Net International Income Memo: Total operating income Memo: Net operating income 87.5% -66.7% 0.0% -6.7% -2.5% 750,000 220,278 0 4,619,831 3,980,584 16.2% 4.8% 0.0% 100.0% 86.2% 6.7% -48.5% 0.0% 5.8% 2.6% 800,000 113,426 0 4,886,432 4,083,665 16.4% 2.3% 0.0% 100.0% 83.6% COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK Income Statement Noninterest Income: Fiduciary Activities Deposit service charges Trading revenue Investment Banking Advisory Insurance Commissions & Fees Net Servicing Fees Loan and Lease gain (losses) Other Net Gains (Losses) Other Non-interest income Total noninterest income —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/03 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total —— HISTORICAL—— 12/31/04 % of % Cha $ 1,000 Total 0.0% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% -66.7% 0.0% -100.0% -1012% -31.9% -16.6% 0 1,070 0 0 1 0 0 73 590 1,588 0.0% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.7% 5.5% 14.7% 0.0% 30.5% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% -75.3% -15.8% 18.2% Adjusted Operating Income (TE) 0.1% Non-Interest Expenses: Personnel expenses -2.4% Occupancy expense 4.5% Goodwill impairment 0.0% Other intangible amortization 0.0% Other operating expense (incl. intangibles) -2.8% Total Noninterest Expenses -1.4% 9,107 84.6% 13.1% 10,303 87.2% 4,202 1,256 0 11 2,064 7,533 39.0% 11.7% 0.0% 0.1% 19.2% 70.0% 3.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 3.1% 4,335 1,284 0 11 2,133 7,763 36.7% 10.9% 0.0% 0.1% 18.0% 65.7% Provision: Loan & Lease Losses Pretax Operating Income (TE) Realized G/L Hld-to-Maturity Sec. Realized G/L Avail-for-Sale Sec. Pretax Net Operating Income (TE) Applicable Income Taxes Current tax equivalent adj. Other tax equivalent adj. Applicable Income Taxes Net Operating Income Net Extraordinary Items Net Income 42.5% -8.9% 0.0% 110.8% 2.4% -2.2% 23.5% 0.0% -1.1% 4.3% 0.0% 4.3% 684 890 0 215 1,105 355 21 0 376 729 0 729 6.4% 8.3% 0.0% 2.0% 10.3% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 3.5% 6.8% 0.0% 6.8% -12.3% 118.0% 0.0% -100.0% 75.6% 80.6% 81.0% 0.0% 80.6% 73.0% 0.0% 73.0% 600 1,940 0 0 1,940 641 38 0 679 1,261 0 1,261 5.1% 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.4% 5.4% 0.3% 0.0% 5.7% 10.7% 0.0% 10.7% -100.0% 58.8% 0.0% -2.3% 0.1% 0 729 0 10,768 9,107 0.0% 6.8% 0.0% 100.0% 84.6% 0.0% 73.0% 0.0% 9.8% 13.1% 0 1,261 0 11,821 10,303 0.0% 10.7% 0.0% 100.0% 87.2% Cash Dividends Declared Retained Earnings Memo: Net International Income Memo: Total operating income Memo: Net operating income 0 1,396 0 0 2 0 0 (18) 497 1,877 0.0% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2% 4.2% 15.9% Interest income …the sum of interest and fees earned on all of a bank's assets. Interest income includes interest from: Loans Deposits held at other institutions, Municipal and taxable securities, and Investment and trading account securities. Noninterest expense …composed primarily of: Personnel expense: salaries and fringe benefits paid to bank employees, Occupancy expense : rent and depreciation on equipment and premises, and Other operating expenses: utilities and deposit insurance premiums. Non-interest expense Expenses and loan losses directly effect the balance sheet. The greater the size of loan portfolio, the greater is operating overhead and PLL. Consumer loans are usually smaller and hence more expensive (non-interest) per dollar of loans. Relationship between the balance sheet and income statement Ai = dollar amount of asset I Lj = dollar amount of liability j NW = dollar amount of stockholder’s equity Yi = average yield on asset I Cj = cost of liability j n m A L i 1 i j 1 j NW m c Interest Expense = j 1 j Lj n Net Interest Income = y A c i i 1 m n Net Income = m y A c L i 1 i i i 1 j i j i 1 j Lj Burden PLL SG T Return on equity (ROE = NI / TE) … the basic measure of stockholders’ returns ROE is composed of two parts: Return on Assets (ROA = NI / TA), represents the returns to the assets the bank has invested in. Equity Multiplier (EM = TA / TE), the degree of financial leverage employed by the bank. Also equals 1/capital or leverage ratio. Return on assets (ROA = NI / TA) …can be decomposed into two parts: Asset utilization (AU) → income generation Expense ratio (ER) → expense control ROA = = AU (TR / TA) ER - (TE / TA) Where: TR = total revenue or total operating income = Int. inc. + non-int. inc. + SG(L) and TE = total expenses = Int. exp. + non-int. exp. + PLL + Taxes ROA is driven by the bank’s ability to: …generate income (AU) and control expenses (ER) Income generation (AU) can be found on the UBPR (page 1) as: Int. Inc. Non. int. Inc. Sec gains (losses) AU TA TA TA Expense Control (ER) can be found on the UBPR (page 1) as: Int . Exp . Non int . Exp . PLL ER TA TA TA * Note, ER* does not include taxes. Bank Performance Model Returns to Shareholders ROE = NI / TE Interest Rate Composition (mix) Volume INCOME Fees and Serv Charge Non Interest Trust Other Return to the Bank ROA = NI / TA Rate Interest Composition (mix) Volume EXPENSES Overhead Salaries and Benefits Occupancy Degree of Leverage EM = 1 / (TA / TE) Prov. for LL Taxes Other Expense ratio (ER = Exp / TA) … the ability to control expenses. Interest expense / TA Cost per liability (rate) Int. exp. liab. / $ amt. liab. Composition of liabilities $ amt. of liab. / TA Volume of debt and equity Non-interest expenses / TA Salaries and employee benefits / TA Occupancy expenses / TA Other operating expense / TA Provisions for loan losses / TA Taxes / TA Asset utilization (AU = TR / TA): … the ability to generate income. Interest Income / TA Asset yields (rate) Composition of assets (mix) Interest income asset (i) / $ amount of asset (i) $ amount asset (i) / TA Volume of Earning Assets Earning assets / TA Non interest income / TA Fees and Service Charges Securities Gains (Losses) Other income Aggregate profitability measures Net interest margin NIM = NII / earning assets (EA). In practice I often use NII divided by total assets. Spread Spread = (int inc / EA) (int exp / int bear. Liab.) (Also note that spread can equal average asset rates less average deposit rates). Earnings base Eb = ea / ta Burden / TA (Noninterest exp. - Noninterest income) / TA Efficiency ratio Non int. Exp. / (Net int. Inc. + Non int. Inc.) Fundamental risks : Credit risk Liquidity risk Market risk Operational risk Capital or solvency risk Legal risk Reputational risk Credit risk …the potential variation in net income and market value of equity resulting from nonpayment or delayed payment. Three Question need to be addressed: 1. What has been the loss experience? 2. What amount of losses do we expect? 3. How prepared is the bank? Credit ratios to consider What has been the loss experience? Net loss to average total LN&LS Gross losses to average total LN&LS Recoveries to avg tot LN&LS Recoveries to prior period losses. Net losses by type of LN&LS What amount of losses do we expect? Non-current LN&LS to tot loans Total P/D LN&LS - incl nonaccural Non-curr restruc LN&LS / GR LN&LS Curr-Non-curr restruct / GR LN&LS Past due by loan type Credit ratios to consider (continued) How prepared are we? Loss Provision to: average assets and avg tot LN&LS LN&LS Allowance to: net losses and total LN&LS Earnings coverage of net loss Credit risk ratios : PNC and Community National CALC PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Dec-03 Dec-04 UBPR PEER1 CALC UBPR PEER1 7 7 7 7 0.73% 0.59% 0.13% 19.00% 0.73% 0.59% 0.13% 19.03% 0.53% 0.41% 0.12% 22.26% 0.00% 0.40% 0.28% 0.12% 19.5% 0.00% 0.40% 0.28% 0.12% 19.52% 0.36% 0.25% 0.11% 23.76% 90 days past due / EOP LN&LS Total Nonaccrual LN&LS / EOP LN&LS Total Noncurrent / EOP LN&LS 8A 8A 8A 0.21% 0.79% 1.00% 0.21% 0.79% 1.00% 0.13% 0.66% 0.83% 0.13% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% 0.33% 0.46% 0.10% 0.46% 0.59% LN&LS Allowance to total LN&LS LN&LS Allowance / Net losses LN&LS Allowance/Total Non Accrual Earn Coverage of net losses Net Loan and lease growth rate 7 7 7 7 1 1.77% 2.90x 1.77x 7.44x -4.55% 1.78% 2.92x 2.24x 7.44x -4.55% 1.44% 1.34% 4.18x 5.20x 2.73x 2.92x 10.92x 11.61x 10.14% 27.51% 1.35% 5.23x 4.12x 11.61x 27.51% 1.27% 7.51x 3.73x 19.94x 17.96% UBPR RISK RATIOS Credit Risk Gross loss / Avg. Tot LN&LS Net loss / Avg. Tot LN&LS Recoveries / Avg. Tot LN&LS Recoveries to prior credit loss Pg # UBPR RISK RATIOS Credit Risk Gross loss / Avg. Tot LN&LS Net loss / Avg. Tot LN&LS Recoveries / Avg. Tot LN&LS Recoveries to prior credit loss Pg # CALC COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK Dec-03 Dec-04 UBPR PEER4 CALC UBPR PEER4 7 7 7 7 0.54% 0.53% 0.01% 6.70% 0.54% 0.26% 0.53% 0.21% 0.01% 0.06% 6.70% 29.21% 0.21% 0.20% 0.02% 3.1% 0.00% 0.21% 0.20% 0.20% 0.16% 0.02% 0.05% 3.08% 0.00% 24.53% 90 days past due / EOP LN&LS Total Nonaccrual LN&LS / EOP LN&LS Total Noncurrent / EOP LN&LS 8A 8A 8A 0.16% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% 0.19% 0.35% 0.00% 0.16% 0.16% 0.00% 0.16% 0.16% LN&LS Allowance to total LN&LS LN&LS Allowance / Net losses LN&LS Allowance/Total Non Accrual Earn Coverage of net losses Net Loan and lease growth rate 7 7 7 7 1 1.07% 2.10x 3.05x 2.57x 2.16% 1.07% 1.25% 1.23% 2.08x 11.89x 6.70x 5.49x 4.35x 7.77x 2.57x 23.89x 10.38x 2.16% 11.61% 11.49% 0.13% 0.47% 0.66% 0.10% 0.41% 0.56% 1.23% 1.20% 6.71x 14.52x 7.77x 5.63x 10.38x 30.80x 11.49% 14.24% Liquidity risk …the variation in net income and market value of equity caused by a bank's difficulty in obtaining cash at a reasonable cost from either the sale of assets or new borrowings. Banks can acquire liquidity in two distinct ways: By liquidation of assets. 1. Composition of investments Maturity of investments By borrowing. 2. Core deposits Volatile deposits Liquidity risk ratios : PNC and Community National UBPR RISK RATIOS Pg # Liquidity Risk %Total (EOP) Assets (except where noted) Total equity 11 Core deposits 10 S.T Non-core funding 10 Net loans & leases / Total Deposits 10 Net loans & leases / Core Deposits 10 Avg. Available for sale securities / Avg. TA6 Short-term investments 10 Pledged securities 10 CALC 9.07% 67.41% NA 73.73% 81.11% 21.41% NA NA PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Dec-03 Dec-04 UBPR PEER1 CALC UBPR PEER1 9.07% 66.75% 11.47% 73.73% 81.11% 21.90% 2.73% 46.50% 8.95% 8.26% 53.75% 64.84% 23.24% NA 87.72% 81.00% 115.16% 91.76% 21.11% 22.12% 6.25% NA 49.08% NA 8.26% 63.23% 12.11% 81.00% 91.76% 22.03% 3.02% 51.76% 9.74% 54.19% 23.42% 88.28% 116.1% 21.00% 5.23% 54.78% UBPR RISK RATIOS Pg # Liquidity Risk %Total (EOP) Assets (except where noted) Total equity 11 Core deposits 10 S.T Non-core funding 10 Net loans & leases / Total Deposits 10 Net loans & leases / Core Deposits 10 Avg. Available for sale securities / Avg. TA6 Short-term investments 10 Pledged securities 10 CALC CALC 9.07% 67.41% NA NA 73.73% 81.11% 21.41% NA NA NA NA 7.29% 84.26% 65.90% 71.36% 14.44% COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK Dec-03 Dec-04 UBPR PEER7 CALC UBPR 7.29% 84.95% 4.10% 65.90% 71.36% 13.39% 5.99% 29.25% 9.28% 71.85% 11.90% NA 78.94% 93.85% 15.88% 5.41% NA 40.34% NA 7.23% 85.00% 67.35% 72.89% 19.38% 7.23% 85.04% 4.84% 67.35% 72.89% 19.04% 5.72% 28.49% PEER7 9.42% 71.10% 12.21% 81.42% 97.58% 15.80% 5.26% 41.20% Market risk …the risk to a financial institution’s condition resulting from adverse movements in market rates or prices . Market risk arises from changes in: Interest rates Foreign exchange rates Equity and security prices. Interest rate risk …the potential variability in a bank's net interest income and market value of equity due to changes in the level of market interest rates. Example: $10,000 Car loan 4 year Car loan at 8.5% 1 year CD at 4.5% Spread 4.0% But for How long? Funding GAP = $RSA - $RSL, where $RSA = $ amount of assets which will mature or reprice in a give period of time. In this example: GAP3m = $0.00 - $10,000 = - $10,000 This is a negative GAP. Foreign exchange risk … the risk to a financial institution’s condition resulting from adverse movements in foreign exchange rates. Foreign exchange risk arises from changes in foreign exchange rates that affect the values of assets, liabilities, and off-balance sheet activities denominated in foreign currencies. This risk is often found in off-balance sheet loan commitments and guarantees denominated in foreign currencies Equity and security price risk …change in market prices, interest rates and foreign exchange rates affect the market values of equities, fixed income securities, foreign currency holdings, and associated derivative and other offbalance sheet contracts. Large banks must conduct value-at-risk analysis to assess the risk of loss with their trading account portfolios. Operational risk …measures the cost efficiency of the bank's activities; i.e., expense control or productivity. Typical ratios focus on: total assets per employee total personnel expense per employee noninterest expense ratio There is no meaningful way to estimate the likelihood of fraud or other contingencies from published data A bank’s operating risk is closely related to its operating policies and processes and whether is has adequate controls Operational risk ratios: PNC and Community National UBPR RISK RATIOS Pg # Operational Risk Total Assets / Number of employees 3 Personnel expense / number of employees3 Efficiency ratio 3 CALC 0.00% 0.00% $4.09 73.43x 60.93% PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Dec-03 Dec-04 UBPR PEER1 CALC UBPR PEER1 0.00% 0.00% $4.02 $5.17 $4.71 72.06x 60.48x 90.68x 60.96% 57.73% 68.01% $4.44 $6.09 85.48x 65.26x 67.97% 57.92% UBPR RISK RATIOS Pg # Operational Risk Total Assets / Number of employees 3 Personnel expense / number of employees3 Efficiency ratio 3 COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK Dec-03 Dec-04 CALC UBPR PEER7 CALC UBPR PEER7 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $3.00 65.46x 82.72% $2.75 $2.95 $2.98 60.03x 48.27x 61.47x 82.75% 66.06% 75.35% $2.84 $3.08 58.58x 50.10x 75.34% 65.99% Capital risk … closely tied to asset quality and a bank's overall risk profile The more risk taken, the greater is the amount of capital required. Appropriate risk measures include all the risk measures discussed earlier as well as ratios measuring the ratio of: tier 1 capital and total risk based capital to risk weighted assets, equity capital to total assets, dividend payout, and growth rate in tier 1 capital. Definitions of capital Tier 1 capital is: total common equity capital plus noncumulative preferred stock, plus minority interest in unconsolidated subsidiaries, less ineligible intangibles. Risk weighted assets are: the total of risk adjusted assets where the risk weights are based on four risk classes of assets. Importantly, a bank's dividend policy affects its capital risk by influencing retained earnings. Capital risk ratios : PNC and Community National UBPR RISK RATIOS Pg # Capital Risk Tier 1 Leverage Capital / Total Assets Tier 1 Capital / Risk-weighted assets Total RBC / Risk weighted Assets Equity Capital / Total Assets Dividend Payout Growth rate in total equity capital Equity growth less asset growth 11A 11A 11A 11 11 11 11 PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Dec-03 Dec-04 CALC UBPR PEER1 CALC UBPR PEER1 0.00% 0.00% 8.28% 9.91% 12.91% 9.07% 77.30% -4.09% -8.09% 0.00% 8.37% 9.89% 12.89% 9.07% 77.30% -4.09% -8.09% 7.67% 6.89% 7.14% 11.13% 8.65% 8.36% 13.08% 11.55% 11.55% 8.95% 8.26% 8.26% 57.26% 87.58% 87.58% 10.34% 8.42% 8.42% 0.59% -10.59% 0.00% -10.59% 7.71% 11.17% 12.98% 9.74% 46.73% 20.28% 4.55% UBPR RISK RATIOS Pg # Capital Risk Tier 1 Leverage Capital / Total Assets Tier 1 Capital / Risk-weighted assets Total RBC / Risk weighted Assets Equity Capital / Total Assets Dividend Payout Growth rate in total equity capital Equity growth less asset growth 11A 11A 11A 11 11 11 11 COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK Dec-03 Dec-04 CALC UBPR PEER7 CALC UBPR PEER7 0.00% 0.00% 7.27% 7.31% 8.97% 7.27% 7.29% 9.11% 10.73% 10.73% 12.64% 10.27% 10.27% 12.64% 11.70% 11.70% 13.80% 11.35% 11.35% 13.76% 7.29% 7.29% 9.28% 7.23% 7.23% 9.42% 0.00% 0.00% 30.77% 0.00% 0.00% 29.34% 11.99% 11.99% 10.99% 8.20% 8.20% 11.32% -6.56% 0.00% -6.56% 0.41% -0.83% 0.00% -0.83% 0.28% Legal risk …the potential that unenforceable contracts, lawsuits, or adverse judgments can disrupt or otherwise negatively affect the operations or condition of banking organization Legal risk include: Compliance risks Strategic risks General liability issues Reputational risk Reputational risk is the potential that negative publicity regarding an institution’s business practices, whether true or not, will cause a decline in the customer base, costly litigation, or revenue reductions. Risk, return, and maximizing shareholder wealth Notice PNC’s ROA vs. Loan Loss Reserve for the past 4 years: 2002 PNC PG1 LLR 0.49 0.38 ROA 1.78 1.29 2001 2000 PNC PG1 PNC PG1 1.42 0.40 0.20 0.33 0.77 1.19 1.50 1.11 1999 PNC PG1 0.23 0.25 1.53 1.32 It appears that PNC may have understated LLR in 2000 to report higher ROA, but then “paid the price” in 2001 as evidenced by lower ROA. Managers can maximize shareholder value by focusing on some of the key areas: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Asset management (composition and volume) Liability management (composition and volume) Management of off-balance sheet activities Interest rate margin/spread management Credit risk management Liquidity management Tax Management Can Managers Manipulate Financial Statements? In a word, yes. •Off-balance Sheet activities, both to increase income, and in bad cases, to hide losses •Window dressing at period end •Using preferred stock •Manipulating non-performing loans •Allowance for loan losses •Securities gains and losses •Non-recurring sales of assets Bank Management, 6th edition. Timothy W. Koch and S. Scott MacDonald Copyright © 2005 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning MANAGING NONINTEREST INCOME AND NONINTEREST EXPENSE Chapter 3 A common view among bank managers and analysts is that banks must rely less on net interest income and more on noninterest income to be more successful. The highest earning banks will be those that generate an increasing share of operating revenue from noninterest sources. A related assumption is that not all fees are created equal. Some fees are stable and predictable over time, while others are highly volatile because they derive from cyclical activities. The fundamental issue among managers is to determine the appropriate customer mix and business mix to grow profits at high rates, with a strong focus on fee-based revenues. Trends in net interest margin and noninterest income: 1990 - 1997 NIM rose from 1990 to 1994, on average, and has fallen sharply thereafter for both banks under $100 million in assets and larger banks. It is widely recognized that the days of recordbreaking net interest margins for banks are long gone. NIMs have fallen sharply since 1994 for both banks under $100 million in assets and larger banks. This recent decline in NIMs reflects competitive pressures on both the cost of bank funds and yields on earning assets. Pressure on margins Inexpensive core deposit growth has slowed because customers have many alternatives, such as mutual funds and cash management accounts, that offer similar transactions and savings services and pay higher rates. Loan yields have fallen on a relative basis because of competition from nonbank lenders, such as commercial and consumer finance companies, leasing companies, and other banks that compete for the most profitable small business loans, credit card receivables, and so on. Over-reliance on net interest margin? Potential earnings difficulties are compounded by the fact that asset quality was quite strong during the late 1990s, such that loan loss provisions were low and not likely to show much improvement. Problem loans are often made at the peak or end of the business cycle. The U.S. economy fell into a modest recession in March 2001, around which loan quality worsened. The impact is that banks must grow their noninterest income relative to noninterest expense if they want to see net income grow. 50.00% The largest banks rely much more on this source of revenue 45.00% 40.00% Assets > $1 Billion Assets < $1 Billion 35.00% Smaller banks still rely more heavily on net interest income. 30.00% 25.00% Net operating revenue equals the sum of net interest income and noninterest income. Mar-02 Nov-01 Jul-01 Mar-01 Nov-00 Jul-00 Mar-00 Nov-99 Jul-99 Mar-99 Nov-98 Jul-98 Mar-98 Nov-97 Jul-97 Mar-97 Nov-96 Jul-96 Mar-96 Nov-95 Jul-95 Mar-95 Nov-94 Jul-94 20.00% Mar-94 Quarterly noninterest income, % of net operating income Sustained increase in all banks’ noninterest income as a fraction of net operating revenue Composition of noninterest income …biggest contributors are deposit service charges and ‘other.’ (other includes items such as safe deposit boxes, bank drafts, etc.) Percent of Total Noninterest Incom e Net Gains On Asset Sales Other Noninterest Incom e Net Gains/Losses On Sales Of Other Assets Service Charges on Deposit Accounts Trading Gains & Fees Investm ent Banking/Brokerage Fees Venture Capital Revenue Net Gains/Losses On OREO Sales Net Gains/Losses On Loan Sales Insurance Com m issions & Fees Fiduciary Incom e Net Securitization Incom e Net Servicing Fees Minimum balance requirements to avoid fees and average fees charged on transactions accounts at all U.S. banks from 1994 to 1999. Change in fees that banks charge for special actions related to customer transaction accounts from 1994 to 1999. Special actions consist of stoppayment orders, NSF checks, overdrafts, and returned deposit items. Percent of Total Noninterest Income Number of Banks Reporting Non-Zero Balances Percent of All Banks Fiduciary Income 13.00% 1,505 18.60% Service Charges on Deposit Accounts 17.00% 7,829 96.70% Trading Gains & Fees 7.60% 149 1.80% Investment Banking/Brokerage Fees 5.10% 1,948 24.00% Venture Capital Revenue 0.10% 42 0.50% Net Servicing Fees 8.50% 1,582 19.50% Net Securitization Income 11.00% 80 1.00% Insurance Commissions & Fees 2.00% 3,449 42.60% Net Gains/Losses On Loan Sales 4.40% 1,568 19.40% Net Sales Net Gains/Losses Gains/Losses On On OREO Sales Of Other Assets 0.00% 1,155 14.30% -0.10% 1,174 14.50% Other Noninterest Income 31.40% 7,841 96.80% Total Noninterest Income 100% 7,972 98.40% Net Gains On Asset Sales 4.20% 2,774 34.20% Noninterest Income Source Increasing amount of fees from investment banking and brokerage activities at the larger banks. Investment and brokerage activities contribute a far greater portion of noninterest income at the largest banks. This explains why noninterest income is a much higher fraction of their operating revenue. These fees are highly cyclical in nature and depend on the capital markets. In late 1998, many large banks reported large trading losses on activities in Russia and Asia. Community banks generated most of their noninterest income from: deposit account fees, trust fees, mortgage fees, insurance product fees and commissions and investment product fees. Percent of Average Assets Number of institutions reporting Total noninterest income Fiduciary activities Service charges on deposit accounts Trading account gains & fees Investment banking, advisory, brokerage, and underwriting fees and commissions Venture capital revenue Net servicing fees (servicing real estate mort., credit cards, and Net securitization income Insurance commission fees and income Net gains(losses) on sales of loans net gains (losses) on sales of other real estate owned Net gains (losses) on sales of other assets (excluding securities) Other noninterest income Securities gains (losses) < $100 mill > $1 bill 12/31/2001 12/31/2001 4486 400 1.02% 2.63% 0.05% 0.34% 0.43% 0.41% 0.00% 0.23% 0.01% 0.16% 0.00% 0.14% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.01% -0.01% 0.19% 0.29% 0.05% 0.07% 0.00% 0.04% 0.29% 0.03% 0.83% 0.08% Noninterest expense The Uniform Bank Performance Report lists three components of noninterest expense: 1. Personnel expense 2. Occupancy expense 3. wages, salaries, and benefits rent and depreciation on buildings and equipment Other operating expenses, general overhead, data processing and other expenses not listed Bankers and analysts typically measure performance over time and versus peer Key ratios measuring noninterest expense and income performance are: Burden = nonint. exp. minus nonint. inc., Net non-interest margin = burden / total assets, Efficiency ratio = nonint. Exp. (net int. inc. + nonint. inc.) Better performance is indicated by a smaller figure or percentage. Annual efficiency ratios 1991 – 2004 69 Efficiency ratio % 67 Assets<$1 Billion Assets>$1 Billion 65 63 61 59 57 55 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Assets<$1 Billion 68 65.3 65.5 64.6 63.1 62 61.7 62.6 62.6 62.7 64.1 62 Assets>$1 Billion 67.7 64.4 63.3 63.1 61.4 60.5 58.6 60.7 57.9 57.7 56.6 54.9 63 63 55 55.5 Operating risk ratios …differentiate performance attributable to cost controls versus fee generation. The lower the operating risk ratio, the better the bank’s operating performance because it generates proportionately more of its revenues from fees, which are more stable and thus more valuable. The ratio subtracts fee income from noninterest expense and divides the total by NIM: Nonint exp - Fee inc. Operating risk ratio Net interest margin Operating risk ratio signals the benefit of fee income Operating Risk Ratio Signals the Benefit of Fee Income Ratio Return on Assets (ROA) Net Interest Margin (NIM) Percent of Average Total Assets: Net interest income Noninterest income (fee) Operating Revenue Noninterest Expense Earning Assets Taxes Efficiency Ratio: Operating Risk Ratio: RAROC = risk – adjusted income capital RORAC = income allocated risk capital Bay Bank 1.4% 4.0% River Bank 1.4% 4.625% 3.20% 1.40% 4.60% 3.00% 80.00% 0.20% 65.22% = 0.03/(0.032+0.014) 40.00% = (0.03-0.014)/0.04 3.70% 0.90% 4.60% 3.00% 80.00% 0.20% 65.22% = 0.03/(0.037+0.009) 45.41% = (0.03-0.009)/0.04625 Productivity ratios …indicate how efficiently banks are using their employees relative to capital assets. Two commonly cited ratios are: 1. 2. Assets per full time employee and Average personnel expense. The more productive bank typically has fewer employees per dollar of assets held and often controls personnel expense per employee better. The second ratio is often high for high performance banks because they operate with fewer people but pay them more. Community banks also typically examine two additional ratios …Because loans typically represent the largest asset holding, it is meaningful to calculate a loans-peremployee ratio as an indicator of loan productivity. Since loans are often an the largest asset held, community banks examine: Loans per full time employee A ratio of net income per employee generally indicates the productivity and profitability of a bank’s workforce: = Net income / Number of full time employees Customer profitability and business mix Typical analyses of customer profitability profiles suggest that banks make most of their profit from a relatively small fraction of customers. The traditional view is that up to 80 percent of a bank's customers are unprofitable when all services are fully costed. Such figures support the increase in fees assessed by most banks over the past few years. Which customers are profitable? The first step in identifying profitable growth is to determine which of the bank’s customers and lines of business are profitable. RAROC / RORAC framework can be used to assess the risk-adjusted return on allocated capital for a specific product or line of business. Data on customer profitability are beneficial in helping management target niches, develop new products, and change pricing. Debit Cards Residential Mortgages Credit Life ACH Origination Online Banking Credit Cards Life Insurance Cash Management Annuities Mutual Funds Stock Brokerage Financial Planning Accounts Receivable Financing Personal Trust Business Property and Casualty Insurance* Personal Property and Casualty Insurance* Equipment Leasing Online Brokerage Title Insurance Real Estate Brokerage/ Management* Auto Leasing Factoring Municipal Bond Underwriting Travel Agency Product offerings at community banks Currently offer Plan to offer 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Percentage offering various products 90 100 Aggregate results from total customer account profitability indicates… A small fraction of customers contribute the bulk of bank profits. Many customer profitability models show that a significant difference between profitable and unprofitable accounts is that profitable customers maintain substantial loan and investment business with the bank. Strategies to manage noninterest expense Four different strategies are: 1. expense reduction, 2. increase operating efficiency, 3. Revenue enhancement, and 4. pursuing contribution growth whereby noninterest revenues rise by more than noninterest expense. Cost management strategies …expense reduction Many banks begin cost management efforts by identifying and eliminating excessive expenses. Given that noninterest expenses consist primarily of personnel, occupancy, and data processing costs, these are the areas where cuts are initially made. Cost management strategies …increase operating efficiencies Another strategy is to increase operating efficiency in providing products and services. This can be achieved in one of three ways: 1. reducing costs but maintaining the existing level of products and services, 2. increasing the level of output but maintaining the level of current expenses, or 3. improving work flow. All these approaches fall under the label of increasing productivity because they involve delivering products at lower unit costs. Cost management strategies …revenue enhancement This strategy involves changing the pricing of specific products but maintaining a sufficiently high volume of business so that total revenues increase. It is closely linked to the concept of price elasticity. Here, management wants to identify products or services that exhibit price inelastic demand. Cost management strategies …contribution growth With this strategy, management allocates resources to best improve overall long-term profitability. Increases in expenses are acceptable, but they must coincide with greater anticipated increases in associated revenues. An example might be investing in new computer systems and technology to provide better customer service at reduced unit costs once volume is sufficiently large. In essence, expenses are cut in the long run but not in the near future.