CHAPTER 2 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Zoubida SAMLAL - MBA , CFA Member, PHD candidate for HBS program LEARNING OBJECTIVES 1. List the four major financial statements required by the SEC for publicly traded firms 2. Discuss the difference between book value of stockholders’ equity and market value of stockholders’ equity 3. Compute the measures that describe a firm’s performance 4. Discuss the uses of the DuPont identity in disaggregating ROE, and assess the impact of increases and decreases in the components of the identity on ROE. LEARNING OBJECTIVES 5. Describe the importance of ensuring that valuation ratios are consistent with one another. 6. Distinguish between cash flow, as reported on the statement of cash flows, and accrual-based income, as reported on the income statement 7. Explain what is included in the management discussion and analysis section of the financial statements 8. Explain the importance of the notes to the financial statements. DISCLOSURE OF FINANCIAL INFORMATION • Financial Statements – Firm-issued accounting reports with past performance information – Filed with the SEC • 10Q – Quarterly • 10K – Annual – Must also send an annual report with financial statements to shareholders DISCLOSURE OF FINANCIAL INFORMATION • Preparation of Financial Statements – Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) – Auditor • Neutral third party that checks a firm’s financial statements DISCLOSURE OF FINANCIAL INFORMATION • Types of Financial Statements – Balance Sheet – Income Statement – Statement of Cash Flows – Statement of Stockholders’ Equity BALANCE SHEET • A snapshot in time of the firm’s financial position • The Balance Sheet Identity: Assets Liabilities Stockholders' Equity BALANCE SHEET • Assets – What the company owns • Liabilities – What the company owes • Stockholder’s Equity – The difference between the value of the firm’s assets and liabilities BALANCE SHEET • Assets – Current Assets: Cash or expected to be turned into cash in the next year • Cash • Marketable Securities • Accounts Receivable • Inventories • Other Current Assets – Example: Pre-paid expenses BALANCE SHEET • Assets – Long-Term Assets • Net Property, Plant, & Equipment – Book Value = Acquisition cost – Depreciation (and Accumulated Depreciation) • Goodwill and intangible assets – Amortization • Other Long-Term Assets – Example: Investments in Long-term Securities GLOBAL CONGLOMERATE CORPORATION BALANCE SHEET FOR 2009 AND 2008 BALANCE SHEET • Liabilities – Current Liabilities: Due to be paid within the next year • Accounts Payable • Short-Term Debt/Notes Payable • Current Maturities of Long-Term Debt • Other Current Liabilities – Taxes Payable – Wages Payable BALANCE SHEET • Net Working Capital – Current Assets – Current Liabilities BALANCE SHEET • Liabilities – Long-Term Liabilities • Long-Term Debt • Capital Leases • Deferred Taxes GLOBAL CONGLOMERATE CORPORATION BALANCE SHEET FOR 2009 AND 2008 BALANCE SHEET • Equity – Book Value of Equity • Book Value of Assets – Book Value of Liabilities – Could possibly be negative – Market Value of Equity (Market Capitalization) • Market Price per Share x Number of Shares Outstanding – Cannot be negative TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Problem – Rylan Enterprises has 5 million shares outstanding. – The market price per share is $22. – The firm’s book value of equity is $50 million. – What is Rylan’s market capitalization? – How does the market capitalization compare to Rylan’s book value of equity? ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Solution – Rylan’s market capitalization is $110 million • 5 million shares × $22 share = $110 million. • The market capitalization is significantly higher than Rylan’s book value of equity of $50 million. BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS – Liquidation Value • Value of the firm if all assets were sold and liabilities paid – Market-to-Book Ratio Market-to-Book Ratio • Value Stocks – Low M/B ratios • Growth stocks – High M/B ratios Market Value of Equity Book Value of Equity BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS • Debt-Equity Ratio – Measures a firm’s leverage Debt-Equity Ratio Total Debt Total Equity – Using Book Value versus Market Value • Enterprise Value Enterprise Value Market Value of Equity Debt Cash TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Problem – In January 2009, Rylan Corporation (from Alternative Example 2.1) had a market capitalization of 110 million, a market-to-book ratio of 2.2, a book debt to equity ratio of 1.4, and cash of $6.3 million. What was Rylan’s enterprise value? ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Solution – As stated in Alternative Example 2.1, Rylan’s book value of equity was $50 million. Given a book debt-equity ratio of 1.4, Rylan had total debt of 1.4 X 50 = 70 million. Thus, Rylan’s enterprise value was 110+70 – 6.3 = $173.7 million. BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS • Other Balance Sheet Information – Current Ratio • Current Assets / Current Liabilities – Quick Ratio • (Current Assets – Inventories) / Current Liabilities INCOME STATEMENT • Total Sales/Revenues – minus • Cost of Sales – equals • Gross Profit INCOME STATEMENT • Gross Profit – minus • Operating Expenses • Selling, General, and Administrative Expenses • R&D • Depreciation & Amortization – equals • Operating Income INCOME STATEMENT • Operating Income – plus/minus • Other Income/Other Expenses – equals • Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) INCOME STATEMENT • Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) – plus/minus • Interest Income/Interest Expense – equals • Pre-Tax Income INCOME STATEMENT • Pre-Tax Income – minus • Taxes – equals • Net Income GLOBAL CONGLOMERATE CORPORATION INCOME STATEMENT FOR 2009 AND 2008 INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS • Earnings per Share Net Income $2.0 million EPS $0.556 per share Shares Outstanding 3.6 million shares • Stock Options • Convertible Bonds • Dilution – Diluted EPS INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS Gross Profit Gross M arg in Sales Operating Income Operating M arg in Sales Net Income Net Profit Margin Total Sales INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS • Working Capital Days – Accounts Receivable Days Accounts Receivable Days Accounts Receivable Average Daily Sales • EBITDA – Reflects the cash a firm has earned from its operations INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS • Leverage Ratios/Interest Coverage Ratios – EBIT / Interest Expense – Operating Income / Interest Expense – EBITDA / Interest Expense INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS • Investment Returns – ROA Net Income Return on Assets Total Assets – ROE Return on Equity Net Income Book Value of Equity INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS • The DuPont Identity Total Assets Net Income Sales ROE Sales Total Assets Book Value of Equity Net Profit Margin Asset Turnover Return On Assets Equity Multiplier TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Valuation Ratios P/E Ratio Market Capitalization Share Price P / E Ratio Net Income Earnings per Share Enterprise Value to Operating Income Market value of Equity Debt Cash Enterprise Value to EBIT EBIT Enterprise Value to Sales Market value of Equity Debt Cash Enterprise Value to Sales Sales TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE Problem: Consider the following data for the year ended Dec. 31, 2008 for Yahoo! and Google (in millions): Yahoo! Google 7,209 21,796 Operating Income 12 6,632 Net Income 424 4,227 Market Capitalization 22,830 177,380 Cash 2,292 8,657 Debt 2,439 3,529 Sales Compare Yahoo and Google’s operating margin, net profit margin, P/E ratio, and the ratio of enterprise value to operating income and sales. ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE Solution: Yahoo! Had an operating margin of 12/7,209=0.17%, a net profit margin of 424/7,209=5.88%, and a P/E ratio of 22,830/424=53.84. Its enterprise value was 22,830+24392292=22,977 million, which has a ratio of 22,977/12=1914.75 to operating income and 22,977/7,209=3.19 to sales. Google had an operating margin of 6,632/21,796=30.4%, a net profit margin of 4,227/21,796=19.39%, and a P/E ratio of 177,380/4,227=41.96. Its enterprise value was 177,380+3,5298,657=172,252 million, which has a ratio of 172,252/6,632=25.97 to operating income and 172,252/21,796=7.90 to sales. ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • To summarize: Ratio Yahoo! Google Operating Margin .17% 30.4% Net Profit Margin 5.88% 19.39% P/E Ratio 53.84 41.96 1914.75 25.97 3.19 7.90 Enterprise Value to Operating Income Enterprise Value to Sales ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE Solution Even though Yahoo! And Google are competitors, their ratios look much different. Yahoo! has much lower profit margins, yet their P/E ratio is higher than Google’s. Their enterprise value to operating income ratio is also higher, mostly because of low operating income. Enterprise value to sales ratio is lower than that of Google. The difference is consistent with Yahoo!’s lower margins. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS • Net Income typically does NOT equal the amount of Cash the firm has earned. – Non-Cash Expenses • Depreciation and Amortization – Uses of Cash not on the Income Statement • Investment in Property, Plant, and Equipment STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS • Three Sections – Operating Activities – Investment Activities – Financing Activities STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS • Operating Activities – Adjusts net income by all non-cash items related to operating activities and changes in net working capital • Accounts Receivable – deduct the increases • Accounts Payable – add the increases • Inventories – deduct the increases STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS • Investing Activities – Capital Expenditures – Buying or Selling Marketable Securities • Financing Activities – Payment of Dividends • Retained Earnings = Net Income – Dividends – Changes in Borrowings GLOBAL CONGLOMERATE CORPORATION STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS FOR 2009 AND 2008 TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE OTHER FINANCIAL STATEMENT INFORMATION • Management Discussion and Analysis – Off-Balance Sheet Transactions • Statement of Stockholders’ Equity • Notes to the Financial Statements TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Problem – Campbell Soup Company reported the following sales revenues by category: U.S. Soup, Sauces and Beverages Baking and Snacking International Soup and Sauces Other $ $ $ $ 2009 3,257 1,747 1,255 1,084 Total $ 7,343 $ $ $ $ 2008 3,098 1,742 1,227 1,005 $ 7,072 – What was the percentage growth for each category? – If Campbell’s has the same percentage growth from 2009 to 2010, what will its total revenues be in 2010? ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Solution – U.S. Soup, Sauces and Beverages • ($3,257 ÷ $3,098) − 1 = 5.13% – Baking and Snacking • ($1,747 ÷ $1,742) − 1 = 0.29% – International Soup and Sauces • ($1,255 ÷ $1,227) − 1 = 2.28% – Other • ($1,084 ÷ $1,005) − 1 = 7.86% – Total • ($7,343 ÷ $7,072 ) − 1 = 3.83% ALTERNATIVE EXAMPLE • Solution (continued) – Estimated 2007 Total Revenue • $7,343 × (1 + 3.83%) • $7,343 × 1.0383 = $7,624 Financial Reporting in Practice • Even with safeguards, reporting abuses still happen: – Enron – WorldCom – Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) DISCUSSION OF KEY TOPIC • If either Ford or Microsoft’s P/E ratio is lower than the industry average, do you expect the stock price to go up? Could there be reasons other than undervaluation for a firm to have a low P/E?