WITS Tariff and Trade Simulation

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ASEAN WITS
(World Integrated Trade Solution): Usage and Data
Requirements
ASEANstats Presentation
High-Level Seminar on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-2020
Bogor, Indonesia, 17-18 June 2014
Introduction
o Part of the Support to the AIMO: AEC
Integration Monitoring Report (AIMR)
1. In-depth analysis of services liberalization and FDI
2. Merchandise trade analysis – development
(customization) of the WITS for ASEAN
o To facilitate trade data analysis
o Facilitate trade negotiation
o To perform various kinds of simulation
WITS Customization
o Funded by AADCP II, Technical support from
World Bank
o Dialogue with WB since mid/late 2011
o Key issue:
o Accessibility of the data: should be for wider
public, not only for ASEC, AMSs government and
World Bank staff concerned
o Under construction
ACSS Committee-Related Decisions
ACSS Committee 2nd Session, Siem Reap,
Cambodia, September 2012:
o Endorsed a policy to provide access to IMTS data at
6-digit HS level to wider public and 8-digit AHTN for
ASEAN purposes
o Endorsement of data support for the ASEAN WITS is
pending, subject to further understanding about the
usage and WITS capability
ACSS Committee-Related Decisions
ACSS Committee 3rd Session, Brunei Darussalam,
September 2013
o Adopted the ACSS Policy on Data Sharing,
Confidentiality and Dissemination of Statistics
o Reiterated its support to the development of the
WITS-ASEAN module
o Noted that ASEANstats will utilize IMTS at 6-digit
Harmonised System (HS) on per country level for
this purpose
Brief about the WITS
(Extract from Regional Workshop on IMTS 23-24 October 2012)
o A software developed by the World Bank, in close
collaboration with UNSD, WTO, UNCTAD, ITC
o A Data consultation and extraction software with
simulation capabilities
o integrate several trade-related databases and provide easy
access international trade and protection related data
o offers built-in analytical tools to assess the impact of tariff
changes
Brief about the WITS
(Extract from Regional Workshop on IMTS 23-24 October 2012)
o International Trade and Protection related data
• The UNCTAD TRAINS.
 Annual tariffs structures (MFN Applied and Preferential
tariffs, Ad Valorem or not)
 Non-Tariff Barriers information (1988)
• The WTO IDB/CTS;
 Annual imports (values)
 tariff structures (current and final Bound, MFN Applied
and Preferential tariffs, Ad Valorem or not) since 1996
Brief about the WITS
(Extract from Regional Workshop on IMTS 23-24 October 2012)
o International Trade and Protection … (contd)
• The UNSD COMTRADE.
 Annual trade flow information covering gross-imports,
gross -exports, Re-Imports and Re-Exports.
 Subject to technical restriction of number of
downloadable records per query.
 170 countries since 1962
WITS Functionality
• Data retrieval and analysis
• Quick query
• Advanced query
• Tariff Change Simulations
• Other options
– Utilities
– Support materials
10
WITS Functionality
• Quick Search:
– To define a simple query and obtain results quickly
• Advance Query:
– Offers a lot of flexibility and options to define large and
complex queries.
• Tariff change Simulations:
– The SMART simulation tool to estimate the impact of tariff
changes on tariff structures, on trade, tariff revenues and
welfare.
WITS Functionality
• Results:
– to check the status of your submitted queries and
simulations, view results, add/remove indicators/columns
to your results, and download the data.
• Utilities:
– gathers various tools aimed at increasing your productivity
with WITS like definition and sharing of product and
country groups, you often use in your queries.
• Support materials:
– give access to reference material like database catalogs,
nomenclatures and concordances
Quick Query
To define a simple query and obtain results
quickly
– By country and/or by product
– Export raw data
– Extraction by criteria
Quick Search-by Country
Nomenclature
ReporterCode
ReporterISO3
ReporterName
ProductCode
PartnerCode
PartnerISO3
PartnerName
Year
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
1
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
2
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
3
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
4
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
5
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
6
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
7
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
8
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
9
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
11
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
12
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
22
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
23
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
24
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
25
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
26
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
27
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
28
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
29
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
32
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
33
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
34
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
41
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
42
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
43
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
51
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
52
156 CHN
China
2010
S2
360 IDN
Indonesia
53
156 CHN
China
2010
TradeFlowName
TradeValueRowNum
in 1000 USD
Gross Exports641.778
1
Gross Exports 1.625
2
Gross Exports
73890.48
3
Gross Exports
15474.07
4
Gross Exports
40561.46
5
Gross Exports
1368.074
6
Gross Exports
79576.65
7
Gross Exports
10328.37
8
Gross Exports
75537.07
9
Gross Exports660.502
10
Gross Exports
7299.981
11
Gross Exports
1426.866
12
Gross Exports
1317419
13
Gross Exports
147601.7
14
Gross Exports
659447.6
15
Gross Exports
62979.94
16
Gross Exports
30314.48
17
Gross Exports
1455966
18
Gross Exports
109820.9
19
Gross Exports
4393887
20
Gross Exports
1291203
21
Gross Exports
339521.4
22
Gross Exports17.081
23
Gross Exports
2293456
24
Gross Exports
213294.6
25
Gross Exports
872475.8
26
Gross Exports
40051.67
27
Gross Exports
31194.79
28
Quick Search-by Product
Nomenclature
ReporterCode
ReporterISO3
ReporterName
ProductCode
PartnerCode
PartnerISO3
PartnerName
Year
S4
8 ALB
Albania
4
0 WLD
World
2010
S4
8 ALB
Albania
4
100 BGR
Bulgaria
2010
S4
8 ALB
Albania
4
276 DEU
Germany
2010
S4
8 ALB
Albania
4
300 GRC
Greece
2010
S4
8 ALB
Albania
4
688 SER
Yugoslavia
2010
S4
8 ALB
Albania
4
807 MKD
TFYR Macedna 2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
0 WLD
World
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
120 CMR
Cameroon
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
124 CAN
Canada
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
251 FRA
France+Monac 2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
368 IRQ
Iraq
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
434 LBY
Libya
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
562 NER
Niger
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
686 SEN
Senegal
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
757 CHE
Switz.Liecht
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
788 TUN
Tunisia
2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
854 BFA
Burkina Faso 2010
S4
12 DZA
Algeria
4
887 YEM
Yemen
2010
S4
31 AZE
Azerbaijan
4
0 WLD
World
2010
S4
31 AZE
Azerbaijan
4
268 GEO
Georgia
2010
S4
31 AZE
Azerbaijan
4
276 DEU
Germany
2010
S4
31 AZE
Azerbaijan
4
376 ISR
Israel
2010
S4
31 AZE
Azerbaijan
4
398 KAZ
Kazakhstan
2010
S4
31 AZE
Azerbaijan
4
643 RUS
Russian Fed
2010
TradeFlowName
TradeValueRowNum
in 1000 USD
Gross Exports622.482
1
Gross Exports47.864
2
Gross Exports 5.678
3
Gross Exports30.846
4
Gross Exports447.67
5
Gross Exports90.424
6
Gross Exports
2865.778
7
Gross Exports17.497
8
Gross Exports19.324
9
Gross Exports 4.687
10
Gross Exports71.253
11
Gross Exports
4.10E-02
12
Gross Exports961.086
13
Gross Exports180.325
14
Gross Exports 0.644
15
Gross Exports
1569.271
16
Gross Exports 1.547
17
Gross Exports40.103
18
Gross Exports
4145.934
19
Gross Exports
3400.244
20
Gross Exports 1.084
21
Gross Exports40.897
22
Gross Exports38.112
23
Gross Exports114.794
24
Advance Query
• Multi country/period/product extractions of
trade data as well as product or country
aggregations.
• According to 5 listed dimensions:
Importers/Reporters, Products,
Exporters/Partners, Years, Tariffs/trade flows
• Building our own country/product groups
Utilities
o Create country groups
o Create product groups
o Define tariff changes
o Share Groups
To share the country and product groups created by
you with other users.
o
Data Visualizer
Map visualizer
Bubble visualizer
17
Building and Managing Product Groups
Nomenclature
ReporterISO3
ProductCode
ReporterName
PartnerISO3
PartnerName
Year
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2002
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2002
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2003
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2003
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2004
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2004
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2005
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2005
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2006
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2006
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2007
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2007
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2008
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2008
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2009
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2009
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2010
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2010
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2011
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2011
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
BRN
Brunei
2002
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
BRN
Brunei
2002
H2
ASEAN
AgricultureASEAN --- ASEAN
BRN
Brunei
2003
TradeFlowName
TradeFlowCode
TradeValue in
Export
6 1321554
Import
5 1475369
Export
6 1517030
Import
5 1798584
Export
6 2223734
Import
5 2405671
Export
6 2345757
Import
5 2355803
Export
6 2641022
Import
5 2683426
Export
6 3775331
Import
5 3838619
Export
6 5198075
Import
5 5934709
Export
6 4295074
Import
5 4791565
Export
6 6529380
Import
5 6568616
Export
6 5268765
Import
5 6984794
Export
6 39695.49
Import
5
241.16
Export
6 38310.64
Building and Managing Country Groups
Nomenclature
ReporterISO3
ProductCode
ReporterName
PartnerISO3
PartnerName
Year
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1988
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1988
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1989
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1989
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1990
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1990
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1991
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1991
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1992
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1992
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1993
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1993
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1994
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1994
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1995
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1995
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1996
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1996
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1997
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1997
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1998
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1998
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1999
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
1999
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2000
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2000
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2001
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2001
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2002
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2002
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2003
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2003
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2004
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2004
S3
ASEAN
0 ASEAN --- ASEAN
ASEAN
ASEAN --- ASEAN
2005
TradeFlowName
TradeFlowCode
TradeValue in 1000 USD
Export
6 92425.23
Import
5 6507.817
Export
6 124272.9
Import
5 116987.7
Export
6 163749.4
Import
5 154147.2
Export
6 173324.3
Import
5 190351.8
Export
6 210321.2
Import
5 208388.6
Export
6 220712.3
Import
5
243893
Export
6 245839.4
Import
5 243553.3
Export
6 249022.7
Import
5 257904.3
Export
6 277939.5
Import
5
290740
Export
6 247856.3
Import
5 261147.5
Export
6
200952
Import
5 218639.7
Export
6 154139.2
Import
5 154199.2
Export
6 139693.8
Import
5 120374.5
Export
6 150170.1
Import
5 132352.9
Export
6 140052.9
Import
5 132025.7
Export
6 133796.2
Import
5 172666.5
Export
6 110139.3
Import
5 153367.6
Export
6 144986.4
WITS Data visualizer
Indonesia exports to ASEAN and its main trading partners, 2000
WITS Data visualizer
High-technology exports of ASEAN-4, China and India, 2000
Tariff and Trade Simulations:
SMART Simulation tool
• Estimate the impact of tariff changes on tariff
structures, on trade, tariff revenues and welfare.
• Trade creation (TC)
– Increased exports as a results of changes in demand and
prices
• Trade diversion (TD)
– Changes in market shares/substitution of goods from
different exporters, due to changes in relative prices
• Total trade effect = TC + TD
• Other effects
– Tariff revenue changes, welfare effects
Tariff and Trade Simulations
A Scenario to be defined:
• Products for which the tariff is changed
• Partners that will be affected by the tariff reform.
• Formula on how tariffs are to be affected
User defined cut (new rate)
Maximum Rate
Linear Cut - certain percentage cut over all products.
Swiss Formula
Elasticity is to be assumed, which define behaviors
and affect the magnitude of the impact (Demand,
Supply and Substitution between two suppliers)
WITS Tariff and Trade Simulation
Indonesia, SITC Rev3, The Impact of Tariff on Revenue
WITS Tariff and Trade Simulation
Indonesia, SITC Rev3, The Impact of Tariff on Trade Creation
Data Requirements
Clearly identified
o
o
o
o
o
6 digit HS level of details
Export, Import, Re-export
Tariff information (MFN, Preferential, Val, Non-Adval)
NTM
Entire trade and tariff information on the non-ASEAN
reporters are available in the ASEAN WITS server (WTO,
UNTACD, COMTRADE database, CTS)
Note: in most other cases, users could not clearly define the
data needs/requirements.
THANK YOU
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