Commercial Bank Financial Statements Like other intermediaries, commercial banks facilitates the flow of funds from savers to borrowers. The main characteristics of commercial banks are as follows: 1-Most banks own few fixed assets, and thus low operating leverage. 2- Many bank liabilities are payable on demand or carry short-term maturities so depositors can negotiate rates as market rates change. As a result interest expenses changes coincidentally with short-run changes in market interest rates. 3- Banks operates with less equity capital than nonfinancial companies. Each characteristic presents special problems and risks to the bank manager. The Balance Sheet It present financial information comparing what a bank owns with what it owes and the ownership interest of stockholders. •Assets indicates what the bank owns •Liabilities represent what the bank owes. •Equity refers to the owners’ interest. Assets = Liabilities + Equity Bank Assets It falls into one of four general categories as follows: Loans, which are the major asset in most banks’ portfolios and generate the greatest amount of income before expenses and taxes. Loans may be group into several categories, such as: – – – Real estate loans. They are secured by real estate and generally consist either of (1) property loans or (2) interim construction loans. Commercial Loans which consist of commercial and industrial loans, loan to financial institutions, and obligations(other than securities) to state and political subdivisions. Individual Loans include those negotiated directly with individuals for household, family and other personal expenditures. Bank Assets-con. – Agricultural Loans which are directed to finance agricultural production and other loans of farmers. – Loans in Domestic Offices include all other loans and all lease-financing receivables in domestic offices. – Loan and Lease in Foreign offices, are essentially business loans and lease receivables made to foreign companies or loans guaranted by foreign governments. – Net loans and leases can be calculated as follows: Bank Assets-con. Net Loans and Leases = Gross Loans and Leases – Unearned Income – Loan and Lease Loss Allowances. 2. Investment Securities. They are held to earn interest, help to meet liquidity needs, speculate on interest rate movement, and serve as part of bank’s dealer functions. Investment securities may be group into several categories, such as: • • • • • • Treasury and Agency Securities. Municipal Securities Foreign Debt Securities. Other Securities. Interest-Bearing Bank Balances. Total Earning Assets = Net Loan and Leases + Total Investment • Other items included in the assets account are Non-interest Cash and Due from Banks. They consist of: • Vault Cash: it is coin and currency that the bank holds to meet customers withdrawals. • Deposit held at Federal Reserve Banks: They are demand balances used to meet legal reserve requirements, assist in check clearing and wire transfers, or effect the purchase and sale of Treasury Securities. • Deposit held at other Financial Institutions, called correspondent banks, primary to purchase services. • Items in the process of collection. • Other assets are residual assets of relatively small magnitude, including customers’ liabilities to the bank under acceptance, the depreciated value of bank premises and equipment, other real estate owned (OREO)., etc. Bank Liabilities and Stock Holders’ Equity Bank funding sources are classified according to the type of debt instrument and equity component. They consist of the following: • Demand Deposit, they are transaction accounts held by individuals, partnerships, corporations, and government that pay no interest. Bank Liabilities and Stock Holders’ Equity.cont. • Negotiable Order of Withdrawal (NOW), Automatic Transfer From Savings (ATS) accounts, and Money Markets Deposits Accounts (MMDAs), represent interestbearing transactions accounts. NOW and ATS accounts pay interest set by each bank without federal restrictions. NOW are available only to non-commercial customers. Bank Liabilities and Stock Holders’ Equity.cont. • Saving and Time Deposits: They have in the past, represented the bulk of interestbearing liabilities at banks. Now a days MMDAs and time deposit under some certain amount of money have become the largest source of interest-bearing liabilities. Bank Liabilities and Stock Holders’ Equity. cont. Deposits Held in Foreign Offices: They refer to the same types of dollar-denominated demand and time deposits discussed above except that the balances are issued by a bank subsidiary (owned by the bank holding company) located outside the country. Bank Liabilities and Stock Holders’ Equity .cont. Subordinated Notes and Debentures: they consist of notes and bonds with maturities in excess of one year. Most meet requirement as bank capital for regulatory purposes. When bank fails, depositors are paid before subordinated debt holders. Bank Liabilities and Stock Holders’ Equity. cont. All Common and Preferred Capital or Stock Holders’ equity: It is the ownership interest in the bank. • Common an d preferred stock are listed at their par values while the surplus account represents the amount of proceeds received by the bank in excess of par when it issued the stock. • Bank Cumulative Net Income = Retained Earnings since the Firm Started Operation – All Cash Dividends Paid to Stock Holders. • Other equity is small and usually reflects capital reserves. Income Statement A Bank’s Income statement reflects the financial nature of banking, as interest on loan and investments comprises the bulk of revenue. • Income Statement Format starts with interest income, and end with the net income, which is divided between dividends and retained earnings. Income Statement. CON. • Net Income is calculated as follows: • NI = NII – Burden – PL - + SG – T NII = Net Interest Income before provisions. Burden = Represents Bank burden (noninterest expense > non-interest Income). PL = Provision for Loan Losses. SG = Securities Gains (losses). T= Taxes including accounting adjustments and extraordinary items. Income Statement. CON. NI can be calculated as follows: NII= II – IE II = Total Interest Income. IE = Total interest expense. Burden = OE – OI OE = Noninterest Expense or overhead expense. OI = Noninterest Income. Income Statement. CON. Bank Efficiency Ratio (Eff) is calculated as follows: Eff = OE/(NII + OI). The contribution of each of the components is summarized bellow: NII 2,425.141 -Burden -972,382 -PLL -65,000 + SG 40817 -T 527,690 --------------------------= NI $900,886 Income Statement. CON. Eff = 2343936/(2425141+1371554)= 0.617 This ratio is widely used in the practice. It measure the banks’ ability to control non interest expense relative to net operating income (NII – non interest income). It indicate how much a bank pays in no-interest expense for one dollar of operating income. Bank analyst expect to keep this ratio below 55% per dollar of operating income. The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement -Both sheets are correlated. The net income is determined by the composition of assets and liabilities and the relationship different interest rates. -The Mix of deposits between consumer commercial consumers affects the services provided by and thus the magnitude of noninterest income and noninterest expense. The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement The ownership of nonbank subsidiaries increases fee income but often raises noninterest expense. The following analysis emphasizes the above interrelationships. As it is known: Assets = liabilities + equity This equation can be restated as: The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement A = L + NW Where, While net interest income can be represented as: n m i 1 j 1 NII ri Ai rj L j The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement Where: Ai = dollar magnitude of the ith asset L = dollar magnitude of the jth j liabilities. NM = dollar magnitude of the stockholders’ equity. r th asset i i = average pretax yield on the C = average interest cost of the jth liabilities j The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement n Interest Earned on asset = r A Total Interest Income Interest Paid on each liability = r L Total Intesest Expense -The new statement of NII indicates what factors can cause net interest income to change over time. These factors are: 1- Changes in the composition or volume of assets and liabilities. As portfolio composition change, the respective A’s and L’s change in magnitude. i 1 i i m j 1 j j The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement This alters net interest income because A or L is multiplied by different interest rates. 2- A change in average asset yields and interest costs may rise or fall due to changing in interest rates and lengthening or shortening of maturities on underlying instruments. The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement We distinguish between two type of banks: 1- Retail Banks which focus on individual consumers banking relationships. Therefore, individual demand, saving, and time deposits comprise most of liabilities while consumers and small businesses loans linked to key individuals are a higher fraction of the loan portfolio. The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement 2- Wholesale Banks deal primarily with commercial consumers so that they typically operate with fewer consumers deposits, more purchased liabilities, and hold proportionately more business loans to large firms. This difference in portfolio composition produces different yields on earning assets (ri) and costs of liabilities (cj). The relationship between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement Again we refer to NI equation: NI = r A r L – Burden – PL - + SG – T Net income in excess of dividends payments to shareholders increase retained earnings and thus total equity. n i 1 m i i j 1 j j The Return on Equity Model The return on equity model is adopted her to analyze bank profitability and identifies specific measures of credit risk, interest rate risk, operation risk, and capital risk. This means the adoption of ratio analysis, the Dupont system of financial analysis. The Return on Equity Model-Con. The Uniform Bank Performance Report. The UBPR is a comprehensive analytical tool adopted for supervisory purposes. The UBPR contains a wealth of profitability and risk information. Profitability Analysis Aggregate bank profitability is generally measured and compared in terms of Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA). The ROE model relates ROE to ROA and financial leverage, and then composes ROA into its contributing elements. The Return on Equity Model-Con. By definition: ROE = Net Income/Total Equity -It measures the percentage return on each dollar of stockholder’ equity. - The higher the return the better, as banks can add more to retained earnings and pay more in cash dividends when profits are higher. The Return on Equity Model-Con. ROE cab rewritten as follows: Net Income AverageTotal Assets ROE * AverageTotal Assets AverageTotal Equity ROE ROA * EM Where EM is the equity multiplier. EM measures financial leverage and represents both profit and risk measure. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Example of two banks A and B Bank Total Assets (Million) Equity Debt A 100 10 90 B 100 5 95 ME of Bank A = 100/10 = 10x ME of Bank B = 100/5 =20x The Return on Equity Model-Con. In the above example if both banks earned 1% on assets, Bank A would report a ROE of 10% while the ROE of Bank B would equal 20%. This means Bank B provide shareholders a return that is twice that of Bank A. If each bank reported a negative of 1% of ROA, the ROE of Bank B would equal (– 20%) or twice a loss of Bank A. The Return on Equity Model-Con. EM represents a risk measure because it reflects how many assets can go into default before a bank become s insolvent. Consider the ratio of total equity to total assets or 1/EM, the ratio for bank A equals 10% while the ratio for bank B is 5%. Both hold the identical assets, but bank A is less risky Bank than B. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Expense Ratio and Asset utilization The UBPR provides a wealth of data to assist in the analysis of a bank’ performance. The ROA is composed of two principle parts: 1. Income generation 2. Expense control (including taxes) Recall that net income NI is: NI = Total Return (TR) – Total Operating Expenses (TXP) – Taxes Dividing both sides of the above equation by the average total assets (TA) will get: The Return on Equity Model-Con. NI TR EXP Taxes TA TA TA TA ( ROA ) AU ER TAX The Return on Equity Model-Con. Where: AU = Assets Utilization ER = Expense Ratio Tax = Tax Ratio Expense Decomposition: ER Components. It provides intuitive interpretation. For example if ER = 5%, it means that bank’ gross operating expenses equal 5% of total asset. The lower ER the more efficient a bank will be in controlling expenses and vise versa. The Return on Equity Model-Con. There are three isolated types of specific ratios of operating expenses: Interest Expense ( IE ) Interest expense ratio = AverageTotalAssets (TA) Noninterest Expense Ratio = Provision for loan Loss Ratio = No int erest Expens (OE ) AverageTotal Assets (TA) Pr ovision for loan losses ( PLL) AverageTotal Assets(TA) The Return on Equity Model-Con. The sum of these three ratios equals ER: ER = IE OE PLL TA TA TA The ER can be calculated directly from UBPR report or to sum all the three ratios. The fist way is: ER = (Total interest expense + Total Non-interest Expense + Provision for Loan & lease Losses)/Average Total Assets. The Return on Equity Model-Con. The second way is to sum all three ratios to get the ER. All other factor being equal, the lower each ratio, the more profitable the bank. -Interest expense and noninterest expenses required to be examined by source. -Interest expense may vary between banks for three reasons: 1-rate effects 2- Composition effects. 3- Volume effects. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Noninterest expense can decomposed into: • Personnel expense (salaries and benefit payments) • Occupancy expense. • Other operating expenses. Income Decomposition: Asset Utilization Components (AU). The greater is AU, the greater the bank’s ability to generate income from the assets that the own. When a bank’s AU is 10%, means its gross return on total assets equal 10%. A higher figure indicates higher profit. If a bank ER is 7%, then bank net return on investment (assets) before tax is 3%. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Total revenue TR can be divided into three components: TR = Interest Income (II) + Noninterest Income (OI) + Realized Security Gains or Losses (SG) Divide both side of the above equation by TA: TR II OI SG TA TA TA TA The Return on Equity Model-Con. This equation indicates the sources of income. Yield on asset can be calculated as follows: Interest Income on Asseti Yield on Asseti Average balanceof Asseti Interest income would be decomposed into its components to examine the percentage of each asset relative to total assets. The Return on Equity Model-Con. The Bank’s Earning Base (EB) ratio is used to examine whether one bank has more or less assets earning interest than peers. EB can be calculated as follows: Earning Assets ER Average Total Assets Earning assets include all assets that generate explicit interest income or lease receipts. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Noninterest Income can be decomposed into its contributing sources, in order to examine the contribution of each source to assets utilization (AU). Earning Base -The bank earning base can be used to compare the proportionate investment in earning assets to total assets. -It indicates whether one bank has more or less assets earning interest than peers. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Earning base can be calculated as follows: Earnings Base Earning Assets AverageTotal Assets Earning Assets includes all assets that generate explicit interest income or lease receipt. The Return on Equity Model-Con. Tax payment is the other factor which affect the ROA, accordingly, ROE can be calculated as follows: ROE = ROA*EM,therefore, ROE = [AU – ER – TAX]*EM Several profitability measures are used in the practice such as Net Interest Margin (NIM), Spread, Burden Ratio, and Efficiency Ratio. The can calculated as follows: The Return on Equity Model-Con. Net Interest Income NIM Earning Assets Interest Income Interest Expense Spread Earning Assets Interest Bearing Kiabilitie s Non int erest Expense Non int erest Income Burden Ratio AverageTotal Assets Non int erest Expense Efficiency Ratio Net Interest Income Non int erest Income The Return on Equity Model-Con. *NIM is a summary measure of net interest return on income producing assets. *Spread is a measure of the rate spread or funding differential. It is the difference between the average yield on earning assets and the average cost of interest-bearing liabilities. *Both NIM and Spread are extremely important in evaluating a bank’s ability to manage interest rate risk. For example if interest rate increase, both interest income and interest expense will increase because some assets and liabilities will re-price at higher at higher rates. The Return on Equity Model-Con. The Burden Ratio measures the amount of non-interest expense covered by fees, service charges, securities gains and other incomes, as a fraction of total average assets. The Efficiency Ratio measures a bank’s ability to control non-interest expense relative to net operating income. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. -Wealth maximization of the shareholders is the main goal of bank management. -This means to evaluate the present value of the cash flows under risk and uncertainty conditions. Bank’s profitability will vary directly with riskiness of its portfolio and operations. Therefore management act in order to reduce effect the anticipated risk. Risk management is the process by which managers identify, asses, monitor, and control risk associated with financial institution’s activities. It is stated that there are six types of risk. They are: Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Credit Risk. Liquidity Risk. Market Risk. Operating Risk. Reputation Risk. Legal Risk. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Credit Risk It is associated with quality of individual assets and the likelihood of default. It is difficult to assess individual asset quality because of information shortage . Credit risk is the potential variation in net income and market value of equity resulting from nonpayment or delay of borrowers of the principal and interest. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. -Different types of assets and activities have different default probabilities. Loans are associated with greatest risk. -Many other kind of loans are associated with risk according to many conditions such as general economic conditions and firm’s operating environment. -Bank investment securities are assciated with less credit risk. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Credit risk is evaluated basically by asking three basic questions: 1. What is the historical loss rate and investments? 2. What are expected losses in the future? 3. How is the bank prepared to weather the losses? Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. So, the concern here about the expected losses. Some standards are used here. These are: Gross loan losses (charge-offs) is the dollar value of loans actually written off as uncollectable during a period. Recoveries refer to dollar amount of loans that were previously charged-off but now collected. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Net charge-off is the difference between gross charge-offs and recoveries. Some ratios are used to examine the expected future losses. These ratios include: 1. Loans past due to total asset ratio. 2. Non-accrual to total asset ratio. 3. Total non-current loans to total asset ratio. 4. Classified loans to total asset ratio. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Loans past due loans represent loans for which contracted interest and principal payments have not been made within 90 days after the due date but still accruing interest. Non- Accrual Loans are those with past due payments which are not currently accruing interest. Total non-current loan is the sum of these two types of loans. Classified loans are a general category of loans in which regulators have forced management to set aside reserves for clearly recognized losses. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Another ratio used to measure a bank ability to cover current period losses is: Earning coverage ratio: It is a measure of net operating income before taxes, securities gains (losses), extraordinary items, and the provision for loan losses divided by net loan and lease losses. A higher ratio indicates greater coverage and thus greater protection. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. There are two other sources of credit risk: High growth of loan create greater risk. Country risk, which refer to the potential loss of interest and principal on international loans due to borrowers in a country refusing to make timely payments. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Liquidity Risk it is the current and potential risk to earnings and the market value of stockholders’ equity that a bank cannot meet payment or clearing obligations in timely and costeffective manner. This risk is a result of either funding problems or market liquidity risk. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Funding liquidity risk is the inability to liquidate assets or obtain adequate funding from new borrowing. Market liquidity risk is the inability of the bank to easily unwind or offset specific exposures with out significant losses from inadequate market depth or market disturbances. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Risk measures indicate both the bank’s ability to borrow funds and its liquid assets near maturity or available-forsale. The equity asset ratio and volatile (net non-core) liability asset ratio represent the bank’s equity base and borrowing capacity in the money market. Core deposits are stable deposits that are not highly interest rate-sensitive, but more sensitive to fees charges services rendered, and location of the bank. It includes demand deposits, NOW account, MMDAs, and small time deposit that the bank expects to remain on deposit over the business cycle. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Pledging Requirements stipulate that banks pledge either Treasury or Municipal securities as collateral against deposit liabilities such as Treasury deposits, municipal deposits, borrowing from federal reserve banks. Cash Assets are held to meet customer withdrawals and legal reserve requirements or to purchase services from other financial institutions. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Market Risk It is a current and anticipated risk earnings and stockholders’ equity resulting from undesirable movements in the market rates or prices. These risks are in terms of: 1. Interest rate or reinvestment rate risk. 2. Security price risk. 3. Foreign exchange risk. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Interest risk analysis compares the sensitivity of interest income to change in asset yield with sensitivity of interest expense to change in interest costs of liabilities. This analysis will determine how much net interest income will vary with movements in the market interest rates. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Duration gap analysis is used to compare the duration of assets with the duration of liabilities. It assess the impact of rate changes on net interest income and the market value of stockholders’ equity. Foreign exchange risk arise from changes in foreign exchange rates that effect the value of assets, liabilities, and off-balance sheet activities denominated in currencies different from the bank’s domestic currency. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Operating Risk It refers to the possibility that operating expenses might vary sharply from what is anticipated, which cause a decline in the net income. The cause of fluctuations are: 1. Inefficiency in controlling direct cost and employee processing errors. 2. Theft and fraud of both employee and costumer. It is difficult to be measured. But some measures are adopted such as ratios of total assets per employee and total personnel expense per employee. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Legal and Reputation Risk It is the risk that unenforceable contracts, lawsuits, or adverse judgments could disrupt or negatively effect the operations, profitability, condition or solvency of the institution. It is difficult to measure. Bank Risks and Returns: The Profitability, Liquidity, and Solvency Trade-off. Capital or Solvency Risk It is not separated from all previous risks. All above risk affect the bank’s capital. Capital risk refers to the potential decrease in the market value of assets below the market value of liabilities indicating economic net worth is zero or less. One indicator of capital risk is a comparison of stockholders’ equity with the bank’s assets. The greater equity is to asset, the greater the amount of assets that can default without the bank becoming insolvent. A bank with equity to assets equal 10% can withstand the risk with a bank with 5%.