WSTS Press Releases
WSTS Semiconductor Market Forecast Release
World Release Date: 28 May 2001
Taipei R. O. C. – Spring 2001 Forecast Session 15 - 18 May 2001
- From The WSTS Board Of Directors According to the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), the world semiconductor market will
decrease by 13.5% in 2001 over 2000 to reach $176.8B. The industry's expectation at the previous
forecast session in autumn last year in Hawaii, USA, was more optimistic when the growth rate for 2001
was expected at 20.3% with a total market posting $250B. This expectation was mostly influenced by the
very strong second and third quarter of the year 2000, exceeding 10% quarter-to-quarter growth. However
the fourth quarter of 2000 showed a decline of 3% over the third quarter and the first quarter of 2001
showed a decline of 19% over the fourth quarter of 2000.
The forecast session in Taipei, attended by some 70 representatives of 41 leading semiconductor
companies and industry associations developed a consensus about the near term and long-term
development of this industry.
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The period of downturn will come to an end in the middle of 2001. The third quarter 2001 will
resume positive growth in all major markets and products.
Microcomponents together with memories will lead the up-turn and other products will follow
closely. Despite of the significant recovery in the second half of 2001 the year-to year growth over
2000 will be negative 13.5%.
For the following years into 2004 a compound annual growth of 15.6% is expected.
Americas
Europe
Japan
Asia Pacific
Total World
1999
Total
47.5
31.9
32.8
37.2
149.4
2000
Total
64.1
42.3
46.7
51.3
204.4
2001
Total
50.4
39.8
43.4
43.3
176.8
2002
Total
57.3
45.3
48.7
50.1
201.4
Discrete
Optoelectronic
Sensor
IC
Bipolar Digital
Analog
Micro
Logic
Memory
Total Products
13.1
5.8
0.3
130.2
1.0
22.1
51.7
23.2
32.3
149.4
16.9
9.8
0.7
176.9
1.1
30.5
61.5
34.6
49.2
204.4
15.3
9.7
1.0
150.8
0.6
27.7
52.7
30.9
38.9
176.8
16.8
10.8
1.2
172.7
0.5
31.4
59.3
34.7
46.8
201.4
All amounts in $B
% Growth
00/99 01/00 02/01
34.9% -21.4% 13.8%
32.7% -5.9% 13.8%
42.4% -7.2% 12.3%
37.9% -15.6% 15.8%
36.8% -13.5% 13.9%
29.5%
69.7%
130.5%
35.9%
7.9%
38.2%
19.0%
49.3%
52.5%
36.8%
-9.8%
-1.1%
37.6%
-14.7%
-44.3%
-9.3%
-14.3%
-10.6%
-20.9%
-13.5%
9.8%
11.1%
22.6%
14.5%
-19.9%
13.3%
12.5%
12.3%
20.2%
13.9%
For further information, please consult:
In the Americas
In Europe
In Japan
In Asia Pacific
World
Bill Jewell - Americas Vice Chairman
+1 (972) 927-4511
Tjeerd Vonk - Europe Vice Chairman
+ 31 (40) 272-3170
Osamu Yamashiro - Japan Vice Chairman + 81 (42) 320-7301 (ex. 3557)
Hwanin M. Lee - Asia Pacific Vice Chairman + 82 (2) 750-7513
Kawatsune Motoe - World Chairman
+ 81 (3) 3457-3917
WSTS is an independent non-profit organization representing about 90% of the world semiconductor
industry (Internet address: http://www.wsts.org). These forecasts will be released twice a year, in May and
October.