Goods Market Equilibrium (Closed Economy) Output Supply: Past Investment K Knowledge, etc. A Y Labor Market N Output Demand: Consumptio n : Cd d d d Investment : I C I G Government Spending : G Supply Demand Y Cd Id G Y Cd G Id Sd I d Desired Savings Desired Investment Supply of L.F. Demand for L.F. Equilibrating Factor: Real Interest Rate Savings Incentive: Real Interest Rate Real Interest Rate Sd Investment Incentive: Real Interest Rate Real Interest Rate Id Real Interest Rate Sd r Id SI S, I Full Characterization of Equilibrium Y : Labor Market, Production Function I : Sd Id G : Government Decision C Y -I-G Savings Choice Sdpvt PDI : Y (T TR INT) Cd d S Sgov : T TR INT G Sdpvt Factors Affecting Sd Movements Along Sd :Real Interest Rate Shifts in Sd Variable Change Current Income Y Expected Future Income Yf Permanent Income Y Y f Wealth Wealth Government Spending Current G Expected Future Gf Permanent G, G f Taxes (Traditional) T Taxes (Ricardian Equiv.) T Shift Right Left None Left Left Right None Right None Real Interest Rate d S Sd Shifts in Sd Income: Y, Yf Permanent Income Wealth Government Spending: G, Gf, Permanent Taxes Firms' Investment Choice N : Labor Demand Choice Factors of Production K : Best Stock of Capital Capital Stock Choice Marginal Benefit of Capital: MPK f Tax Adjusted Marg. Benefit: 1 MPK f Marginal Cost Considerations p K : real price of a machine d: physical rate of depreciation r: real interest rate User Cost of Capital: r d p K Net of Tax Marginal Benefit User Cost 1 MPK f r d p K (r d)p K MPK (1 ) f (r d)p K (1 ) Reduce K MPK f Increase K f K Tax Adj. User Cost, MPKf Tax Adj. User Cost (r d)p K (1 ) K* MPK f Kf Optimal Investment Choice Capital, K, is changed through choice of I. K f K Net Investment: I dK I dK K f K I K f (1 d)K Now Set K f K* . I d K * (1 d)K Movement Along I d : r K* Id Shifts in I d : Other Changed Circumstances Variable Effective Tax Rate Expected MPK Future Productivity Current Capital Stock Change MPK f Af ↑ K Shift Left Right Right Left Real Interest Rate Id Id Shifts in Id Effective Tax Rate Expected MPKf Future Productivity Current Capital Stock Curve Shifters ND NS Wealth (-) wf (-) Demographics (?) A (+) K (+) Sd Y ( ) Yf (-) Wealth (-) G (-) Gf (+) T (?) Id Af (+) K () MPKf (+) (-) Numerical Problem 4.7 MPK f 20 0.02 K f : K f Future Capital d 20% K 900 : Current Capital pK 1 50% C d 100 0.5Y 200r G 200 Y 1,000 a.) Suppose r 10% 0.10 uc (r d ) pK (0.10 0.20) 1 0.6 (1 ) (1 ) (1 0.50) Set MPKf Tax-Adj. UC of Capital K * 20 0.02 K * 0.6 K * 970 Net Investment Definition: K f K I dK Set K f K * 970 I d K f (1 d ) K 970 (1 0.2)900 250 Therefore, I d 250 b.) For Arbitrary r: (r d ) pK MPK (1 ) (r d ) pK (r 0.2) 1 2r 0.4 (1 ) (1 0.5) f 20 0.02 K * 2r 0.4 0.02 K * 20 2r 0.4 K * 980 100r Now we equate K f K * We also recall: K f K I dK I K f (1 d ) K Desired gross investment, I d , is the amount of investment necessary to make K f K *. Therefore: I d K f (1 0.2) K 980 100r (0.8)(900) I d 260 100r Next, we know that: C d 100 (0.5)Y 200r Set Y equal to full employment, 1000. C d 100 500 200r Therefore: C d 600 200r By definition, S d Y C d G Therefore: S d 1000 600 200r 200 S d 200 200r Finally, equate I d and S d I d 260 100r 200 200r S d 260 200 300r 60 300r 60 r 20% 300 The equilibrium real interest rate; r 20% . Lastly, we can calculate equilibrium I and C. I 260 100r 260 20 I 240 C 600 200r 600 40 C 560 Note that C I G 560 240 200 1,000. Recall that Y 1,000 . Therefore Y C I G w NS w1 ND N N1 r Sd r1 Id S1 I 1 S, I