The Graduate School of International Studies Yonsei University Autumn 2006 Multilateral Approach to North Korean Problems Jaebum Kim #201 New Millennium Hall 12:00-15:00 Fridays #608 New Millennium Hall Office Hour: 15:00-18:00 Fridays, or by appointment Jaebum50@hanmail.net / 02-2123-3288, 02-3497-7678, 010-4511-3270 For Whom is the Course? This course is designed for students who have particular interest in the ways to solve problems related to North Korea with a view to building durable security environment in Northeast Asia. Objectives and Descriptions The course aims to examine and analyze historical backgrounds, geopolitical setting, worldview, strategic thinking and idiosyncrasies of North Korea as well as individual and collective efforts other actors bring about to find solution to various problems emanating from North Korea. The course will then move its focus to the in-depth analysis and assessment of negotiating strategy, tactics, patterns and behavior of North Korea as well as its traditional and non-traditional threats to regional security such as sponsoring terrorism, regime failure, starvation and malnutrition, mismanagement of economy and energy, human rights violations, abduction, drug trafficking, proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and conventional arms, illicit banking and money laundering, counterfeiting and smuggling to name a few. The ultimate objective of the course lies in forecasting the forthcoming evolutions of North Korea and in developing ideas on how to effectively strengthen international cooperation and coordination in an effort to cope with North Korea’s moves. Requirements As far as PIC trains students are required to take ‘Introduction to International Relations’ and/or ‘Introduction to International Security,’ no further prerequisites are set. Class Management The whole class will be divided into groups of 4~6 students each, corresponding to their proximity of interested subjects. Group leaders are to be elected and, then, topics and schedule for both individual and group presentations are encouraged to be decided as early as possible. A survey will be conducted to tailor the classes to best suit expectations and suggestions of the majority of students. Outside lecturers will be invited to some of the classes, and outdoor classes will be available as weather permits. Each class starts at 12:00 noon, brownbag will be shared from 12:50 to 13:20 and the class ends between 14:50 and 15:00. Our teaching assistant and webmaster, Ms. Sooyoung Ahn is ready to help you round the clock. Please stay in touch with her at: sooyahn@gmail.com, 010-4626-7795. Online Activities All the students are emphatically encouraged to make the best use of the class website club.cyworld.com/multilateral to communicate closely among themselves and the professor by posting useful data and personal messages. Homework and announcements will also be corresponded on the website and by email. Assessment The students will not be evaluated on the basis of their knowledge, talents or intelligence but entirely of sincerity to be displayed throughout the semester. The criteria can be summarized into ‘7 Ps’: preparation, presence, punctuality, participation, presentation, process and progress, and described as the following: Class preparation and attendance; 30% Participation, homework and other contributions; 20% Group research paper and presentation; 30% Individual research paper and presentation; 20% No examinations are planned unless the majority of students want otherwise. However, preliminary grades will be informed individually in Week 14 and those who are not satisfied with them may challenge to apply for an examination with simple-answer questions. Readings Selected publications by the Ministries of Foreign Affairs and Trade, of Unification and of National Defense, Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security as well as other think tanks dedicated to issues related to North Korea Selected writings in the latest issues of such journals as Arms Control Today, Asian Affairs, Asian Perspective, Asian Survey, The Atlantic, Australian Journal of International Affairs, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Contemporary Security Policy, Current History, East Asian Review, The Fletcher Forum of World Affairs, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Affairs Journal, Foreign Policy, International Affairs, International Negotiation, International Security, The National Interest, The Nonproliferation Review, Review of International Studies, Security Dialogue, The Washington Quarterly, World Policy Journal, etc. News analyses, columns and contributions in such periodicals as Christian Science 2 Monitor, International Herald Tribune, Los Angeles Times, New York Times, The Times, Washington Post, The Economist, Far Eastern Economic Review, Jane’s Defence Weekly, Newsweek, Time, U.S. News and World Report, Vital Speeches, etc. (primers) Young Whan Kihl and Hong Nack Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006. John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power, London: Routledge, 2006. (supplementary textbooks) Jasper Becker. Rogue Regime: Kim Jong Il and Looming Threat of North Korea. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005. Bertil Lintner. Great Leader, Dear Leader: Demystifying North Korea under the Kim Clan. Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books, 2005. Scott Snyder. Negotiating on the Edge: North Korean Negotiating Behavior. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1999. Chuck Downs. Over the Line: North Korea’s Negotiating Strategy. Washington, DC: the AEI Press, 1999. L. Gordon Flake and Scott Snyder, eds. Paved with Good Intentions: the NGO Experience in North Korea. Westport, CT: Praeger, 1999. Leon V. Sigal. Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1998. Useful Websites cns.miis.edu/research/korea/index.htm en.wikipedia.org first.sipri.org fpc.state.gov lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/cshome.html usinfo.state.gov/is/index.html wnc.dialog.com coombs.anu.edu.au/WWWVL-AsianStudies.html www.americans-world.org www.apan-info.net www.apcss.org www.armscontrol.org www.aseansec.org www.cdi.org www.cfkap.com 3 www.cfo.doe.gov www.cia.gov www.cns.miis.edu www.crisisgroup.org www.cscap.org www.csis.org www.dprkstudies.org www.dprk-book.com www.eiu.com www.fas.org/nuke/guide/dprk www.google.com www.hrnk.org www.iaea.org www.ifans.go.kr www.iht.com www.iiss.org www.isis-online.org/publications/dprk/ www.kcna.co.jp www.keesings.com www.kimsoft.com www.korea-dpr.com www.lexis.com www.mnd.go.kr www.mofat.go.kr www.nautilus.org/dprkBiefingBook www.nkfreedomhouse.org www.nkhumanrights.or.kr www.nti.org www.people.virginia.edu/~rjb3v/rjb.html www.policyreview.org www.state.gov www.thebulletin.org www.umi.com/pqdauto www.un.org/news/ www.unikorea.go.kr www.usc.edu/isd/libraries/collections/korean_american/ www.usfk.mil www.usip.org www.vuw.ac.nz www2.etown.edu/vl/ 4 Course Schedule Week 1 (Sep. 1): Introduction Self-introduction Orientation Survey Week 2 (Sep. 8): Anatomy of North Korea The most successful rogue regime Desperately dangerous failed state Paradise of workers and peasants (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) ‘Failed States Index’ in Foreign Policy. 2006, pp. 50~58. Andrew Scobell. Kim Jong Il and North Korea: the Leader and the System. Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, March 2006. Jasper Becker. Rogue Regime: Kim Jong Il and the Looming Threat of North Korea. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005, pp. ix~19. Carol Medlicott. ‘Symbol and Sovereignty in North Korea’ in SAIS Review. (25:2) Summer 2005, pp.69~79. Gavan McCormack. ‘The World’s Most Dangerous Regime’ in Target North Korea: Pushing North Korea to the Brink of Nuclear Catastrophe. New York, NY: Nation Books, 2004, pp. 1~14. David Reese. ‘North Korea: anatomy of a rogue state’ in Marika Vicziany, David Wright-Neville and Pete Lintini, eds. Regional Security in the Asia Pacific: 9/11 and After. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2004, pp.248~263. Young Whan Kihl. ‘Staying Power of the Socialist “Hermit Kingdom” in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 3~36. Alexandre Y. Mansourov. ‘Emergence of the Second Republic: The Kim Regime Adapts to the Challenges of Modernity’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 37~58. Week 3 (Sep. 15): North Korea’s Weltanschauung and Decision-making Process ‘Strong and Great Nation’ Juche Ideology Ghost Rule Magnanimous Politics 5 Tradition of guerrilla warfare Brinkmanship (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) Eric Heginbotham and Christopher P. Twomey. ‘America’s Bismarckian Asia Policy,’ in Current History. (104:683) Sep. 2005, pp.243~256. Meredith Jung-en Woo. ‘North Korea in 2005: Maximizing Profit to Save Socialism’ in Asian Survey. (46:1) 2006, pp. 49~55. C. Kenneth Quinones. “Kim Jong Il’s ‘Strong and Great Nation’ Campaign and the DPRK’s Deterrence of the U.S. ‘Imperialist’ Threat’ in Bytes and Bullets: Information Technology Revolution and National Security on the Korean Peninsula. Honolulu: AsiaPacific Center for Security Studies, 2005, pp.276~298. Carol Medlicott. ‘Symbol and Sovereignty in North Korea’ in SAIS Review. (25:2) Summer 2005, pp. 69~79. Chung-in Moon. ‘Chapter 9: North Korean Foreign Policy in Comparative and Theoretical Perspective’ in Byung Chul Koh, ed. North Korea and the World: Explaining Pyongyang’s Foreign Policy. Seoul: Kyungnam University Press, 2004, pp. 327~368. Scott Snyder. Negotiating on the Edge: North Korean Negotiating Behavior. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1999, pp. 17~96. Chuck Downs. ‘Understanding North Korea’s Negotiating Strategy’ in Over the Line: North Korea’s Negotiating Strategy. Washington, DC: the AEI Press, 1999, pp. 1~14. Dick K. Nanto. ‘North Korea’s Economic Crisis, Reforms, and Policy Implications’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 118~144. Week 4 (Sep. 22): North Korea’s Relations with the United States Lecture by Dr. Bong-guen Jun, Professor, Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) Christopher R. Hill. ‘Recent Developments in U.S.-Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (D.P.R.K) Relations,’ Statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Subcommittee on East Asia and Pacific Affairs, July 20, 2006 Donal G. Gross. ‘U.S.-Korea Relations: To Test or Not to Test: Missile Politics’ in Comparative Connections. Pacific Forum CSIS, Summer 2006. Charle K. Armstrong. ‘US—North Korean Relations’ in John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power. London: Routledge, 2006, pp. 9~28. 6 Karin Lee and Adam Miles. ‘North Korea in Capitol Hill’ in John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power. London: Routledge, 2006, pp.160~177. Bruce E. Bechtol, Jr. ‘U.S.-North Korean Relations and the Bush Administration: The Political-Diplomatic Dimension of the Nuclear Confrontation’ in East Asian Review. (17:4) Winter 2005, pp.123~143. Larry A. Niksch. ‘Korea: U.S.-Korean Relations – Issues for Congress,’ CRS Report for Congress RL33567. July 21, 2006. Mark E. Manyin, Emma Chanlett-Avery and Helene Marchart. ‘North Korea: A Chronology of Events October 2002-December 2004,’ CRS Report for Congress RL32743. Jan. 24, 2005. Mark E. Manyin. ‘South Korean Politics and Rising “Anti-Americanism”: Implications for U.S. Policy Toward North Korea,’ CRS Report for Congress RL31906. May 6, 2003. Robert A. Scalapino. ‘U.S.-DPRK Relations in the Kim Jong Il Era’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp 145~160. Week 5 (Sep. 29): North Korea’s Relations with China Lecture by Dr. Daewon Ohn, Instructor at Sookmyung Women’s University and Hankuk University of Foreign Studies ‘Lips and Teeth’ Comrades in arms (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) Simon Elegant. ‘The Worst of Friends’ in Time, July 24, 2006, pp. 36~37. Scott Snyder. ‘China-Korea Relations: A Quarter of False Starts’ in Comparative Connections. Pacific Forum CSIS, Summer 2006. John S. Park. ‘How China Can Bring Sunshine to Korea’ in Far Eastern Economic Review. June 2006, pp. 29~31. The International Crisis Group. China and North Korea: Comrades Forever? Nautilus Institute, Feb. 1, 2006. Yiwei Wang. ‘China and North Korean Nuclear Issue’ in International Studies. (42:3&4), July-Dec. 2005, pp. 265~276. Quansheng Zhao. ‘Moving toward a Co-management Approach: China’s Policy toward North Korea and Taiwan’ in Asian Perspective. (30:1) 2006, pp. 39~78. 7 Samuel S. Kim. ‘China’s new role in the US—DPRK nuclear confrontation’ in John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power. London: Routledge, 2006. Samuel S. Kim. ‘Sino-North Korean Relations in the Post-Cold War World’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 183~202. Week 6 (Oct. 6): Autumn Festival Break Happy holidays! Week 7 (Oct. 13): North Korea’s Relations with Other Actors Japan Russia European Union, United Nations, IGOs and NGOs (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) David Kang and Ji-young Lee. ‘Japan-Korea Relations: More Squabbling, Little Progress’ in Comparative Connections. Pacific Forum CSIS, Summer 2006. Gavan McCormack and Wada Haruki. ‘Forever stepping back: the strange record of 15 years of negotiation between Japan and North Korea’ in John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power. London: Routledge, 2006, pp. 81~100. Tim Beal. ‘Multilayered Confrontation in East Asia: North Korea-Japan’ in Asian Affairs. (XXXVI:III) Nov. 2005, pp.339~360. David C. Kang. ‘Japan: U.S. Partner or Focused on Abductees?’ in The Washington Quarterly. (28:4) Autumn 2005, pp.107~117. Brad Williams. “Japan, North Korea and the ‘War on Terror’” in Marika Vicziany, David Wright-Neville and Pete Lintini, eds. Regional Security in the Asia Pacific: 9/11 and After. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2004, pp.248~263. Bertil Lintner. ‘Chapter 7: The Chyongryun’ in Great Leader, Dear Leader: Demystifying North Korea under the Kim Clan. Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books, 2005, pp. 153~169. Mark E. Manyin. ‘Japan-North Korea Relations: Selected Issues,’ CRS Report for Congress RL32161. Nov. 26, 2003. Hong Nack Kim. ‘Japanese-North Korean Relations under the Koizumi Government,’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 161~182. James Clay Moltz. ‘U.S.-Russian Relations and the North Korean Crisis: A Role for the 8 Russian Far East?’ in Asian Survey. (XLV:5) Sep./Oct. 2005, pp. 722~735. Peggy Falkenheim Mayer. ‘Russo-North Korean Relations in the Post-Cold War World,’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 203~224. James Clay Moltz. ‘The Renewal of Russian-North Korean Relations’ in The North Korean Nuclear Program. New York: Routledge, 2000, pp. 197~209. Michael Schloms. ‘The European NGO Experience in North Korea’ in L. Gordon Flake and Scott Snyder, eds. Paved with Good Intentions: the NGO Experience in North Korea. Westport, CT: Praeger, 1999, 47~79. Week 8 (Oct. 20): Nuclear Standoff Phase I Agreed Framework KEDO (Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization) (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) William J. Perry. ‘Review of United States Policy Toward North Korea: Findings and Recommendations,’ Report of the Office of the North Korea Policy Coordinator. United States Department of State, Oct. 12, 1999. Leon V. Sigal. Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1998. pp. 244~284. Chuck Downs. ‘Dealing with the Truth’ in Over the Line: North Korea’s Negotiating Strategy. Washington, DC: the AEI Press, 1999, pp. 253~279. Scott Snyder. Negotiating on the Edge: North Korean Negotiating Behavior. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1999, pp.117~158. James M. Minnich. The Denuclearization of North Korea: The Agreed Framework and Alternative Options Analyzed. Bloomington, IN: 1st Books Library, 2002, pp. 71~98. ‘Interview with Hans Blix, Chairman of the WMD Commission’ in The Fletcher Forum of World Affairs. (30:1) Winter 2006, pp. 81~91. C. Kenneth Quinones. ‘Reconciling Nuclear Standoff and Economic Shortfalls: Pyongyang’s Perspective’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 75~96. Week 9 (Oct. 27): Nuclear Standoff Phase II Lecture by Professor Chung-in Moon, Department of Political Science and International Relations, Yonsei University Six-Party Talks and beyond 9 Beijing Joint Statement, September 19, 2005 (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) David Albright and Paul Brennan. ‘The North Korean Plutonium Stock Mid-2006,’ Institute for Science and International Security, June 26, 2006. Larry A. Nikcsh, ‘North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Program,’ CRS Report for Congress RL33590. Aug. 1, 2006 Bong-Geun Jun. ‘North Korean Nuclear Issues: An End in Sight?’ in Arms Control Today. Jan./Feb. 2006. Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, Jungmin Kang, Matsujiro Suzuki, Richard Tnter & Scott Bruce. ‘Grid-locked’ in Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. (62:1) Jan./Feb. 2006, pp. Andrew O’Neil. ‘Learning to live with Uncertainty: The Strategic Implications of North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Capability’ in Contemporary Security Policy. 2005, pp. 317~334. Andrew Scobell and Michael R. Chambers. ‘The Fallout of a Nuclear North Korea’ in Current History. (104:683) Sep. 2005, pp. 243~250. Sharon A. Squassoni. ‘North Korea’ Nuclear Weapons: How Soon an Arsenal?’ CRS Report for Congress RL21391. Aug. 1, 2005. Samuel S. Kim. ‘China’s Conflict Management Approach to the Nuclear Standoff on the Korean Peninsula’ in Asian Perspective. (30:1), 2006, pp. 5~38. Week 10 (Nov. 3): Human Rights and Humanitarian Issues Lecture by Professor Kyung-seo Park, Ambassador-at-Large for Human Rights, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade Political and religious rights Reunion of separated families Refugees Famine, food shortage, malnutrition, starvation, etc. Medical needs (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) Bill Powell. ‘Long Walk to Freedom’ in Time. May 1, 2006, pp. 20~25. ‘Situation of human rights in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea,’ Resolution adopted by the United Nations General Assembly, March 14, 2006 Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights and Labor. ‘Korea, Democratic Republic of,’ Country Reports on Human Rights Practices – 2005, Mar. 8, 2006. 10 James D. Saymour. ‘The exodus: North Korea’s out-migration’ in John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power. London: Routledge, 2006. Bureau of Population, Refugees and Migration, U.S. Department of State. ‘The Status of North Korean Asylum Seekers and U.S. Government Policy Towards Them,’ March 11, 2005. ‘North Korean Human Rights Act of 2004’ PL108-333, October 18, 2004 Brendan M. Howe. ‘Strategic Implications of the 2004 U.S. North Korea Human Rights Act’ in Asian Perspective. (30:1), 2006, pp. 191~219. Stephan Haggard and Marcus Noland. ‘Hunger and Human Rights: the Politics of Famine in North Korea,’ U.S. Committee for Human Rights in North Korea, 2006. Mark E. Manyin. ‘U.S. Assistance to North Korea: Fact Sheet,’ CRS Report for Congress RS21834. Jan. 31, 2006. Mark E. Manyin. ‘Foreign Assistance to North Korea,’ CRS Report for Congress RL31785. May. 26, 2005. Bertil Lintner. ‘Chapter 8: The Camps and the Refugees’ in Great Leader, Dear Leader: Demystifying North Korea under the Kim Clan. Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books, 2005, 172~186. Scott Snyder. ‘Lessons of the NGO Experience in North Korea’ in L. Gordon Flake and Scott Snyder, eds. Paved with Good Intentions: the NGO Experience in North Korea. Westport, CT: Praeger, 1999, pp. 111~122. Week 11 (Nov. 10): Other Weapons of Mass Destruction, Conventional Arms and Delivery Systems Military-First Politics Biochemical Weapons Special Commandoes Rockets and Ballistic Missiles United Nations Security Council Resolution 1695, July 15, 2006 (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) Bill Powell. ‘The Kim Conundrum’ in Time. July 17, 2006, pp. 24~27. Joseph S. Bermudez. ‘North Korea conducts major missile exercise’ in Jane’s Defence Weekly. Jul. 12, 2006, pp. 5~6. Jon Kyl. ‘North Korea: Anatomy of a Standoff,’ United States Senate Republican 11 Committee, July 11, 2006. Michael Hirsh. ‘Going Ballistic (Sort of): Kim’s missiles are meant to deliver a message.’ in Newsweek. July 17, 1006, p. 33. ‘Rocket man’ and ‘Kim Jong Il goes ballistic’ in The Economist. July 8, 2006, pp. 1 & 27~28. Ralf A. Cossa. ‘DPRK missile launches: multiple tests, multiple failures?’ PacNet No. 32, Pacific Forum CSIS, July 6, 2006. Steven A. Hildreth. ‘North Korean Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States,’ CRS Report for Congress RS21473. July 6, 2006. Anthony H. Coldesman. ‘North Korea’s Missile Tests: Saber Rattling or Rocket’s Red Glare,’ Center for Strategic and International Studies, July 5, 2006. Walter C. Clemens, Jr. Negotiating to Control Weapons of Mass Destruction in North Korea’ in International Negotiation. (10:3) 2005, pp. 453~486. Andrew J. Coe. ‘North Korea’s New Cash Crop’ in The Washington Quarterly. (28:3) Summer 2005, pp. 73~84. Michael Krepon with Michael Katz-Hyman. ‘Space Weapons and Proliferation’ in Nonproliferation Review. (12:2) July 2005, pp. 323~341. Geoffrey T. Richardson. ‘The whole world is watching’ in Bulletin of Atomic Scientists. (62:1) Jan./Feb. 2006, pp. 27~35. Sharon A. Squassoni. ‘Weapons of Mass Destruction: Trade Between North Korea and Pakistan,’ CRS Report for Congress RL31900. March 11, 2004. Chung-in Moon and Hideshi Takesada. ‘North Korea: Institutionalized Military Intervention’ in Muthiah Alagappa, ed. Coercion and Governance: The Declining Role of the Military in Asia. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2001, pp. 357~382. Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr. ‘Overview’ in The Armed Forces of North Korea. New York: I.B. Tauris, 2001, pp. 1~19. Ilpyong J. Kim. ‘Kim Jong Il’s Military-First Politics,’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 59~74. Week 12 (Nov. 17): Illicit Activities and Nontraditional Threats Human trafficking Drug trafficking Smuggling 12 Counterfeiting Money laundering International terrorism Cyber-terrorism Low intensity war Psychological warfare Jasper Becker. ‘Chapter 7: Kim Jong Il—The Terrorist Master’ in Rogue Regime: Kim Jong Il and the Looming Threat of North Korea. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005, pp. 146~164. ‘Trafficking in Persons Report 2006: North Korea (Tier 3),’ U.S. Department of State, June 5, 2006. Raphael F. Perl. ‘Drug Trafficking and North Korea: Issues for U.S. Policy,’ CRS Report for Congress RL32167. Dec. 5, 2003. Raphael F. Perl and Dick K. Nanto. ‘North Korean Counterfeiting of U.S. Currencies,’ CRS Report for Congress RL33324. Mar. 22, 2006. Bertil Lintner. ‘Chapter 6: The Missions’ in Great Leader, Dear Leader: Demystifying North Korea under the Kim Clan. Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books, 2005, 131~152. Dick K. Nanto. ‘North Korea: Chronology of Provocations, 1950-2003,’ CRS Report for Congress RL30004. Mar. 18, 2003. Week 13 (Nov. 24): A Comprehensive Package Deal? Carrots and sticks Unilateralism, bilateralism vs. multilateralism CSI (Container Security Initiative) PSI (Proliferation Security Initiative) GICNT (Global Initiative to Combat Terrorism) MD (Missile Defense) United Nations Command in Korea Peace regime on and around the Korean peninsula Is a package deal possible and better off? (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) Ernest Satow. ‘Geneva Conference, 1954’ in A Guide to Diplomatic Practice. London: Longmans, 1957, pp. 317~320. John Feffer. ‘Grave threats and grand bargains: The United States and regional order in 13 North-east Asia’ in John Feffer, eds. The Future of US--Korean Relations: The imbalance of power. London: Routledge, 2006. Andrew Newman and Brad Williams. ‘The Proliferation Security Initiative: The AsiaPacific Context’ in Nonproliferation Review. (12:2) July 2005, pp.303~322. John S. Park. ‘Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks’ in The Washington Quarterly. (28:4) Autumn 2005, pp.75~91. Young Whan Kihl. ‘Bi-Multilateral Approaches to Defusing Nuclear Crisis: Beyond the Six-Party Talks as Peace Strategy,’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 245~267. Sharon Squassoni. ‘Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI),’ CRS Report for Congress. RS21881, June 7, 2005. ‘Sanctions against North Korea,’ International Institute for Strategic Studies (12:3), Apr. 2006. Jasper Becker. Rogue Regime: Kim Jong Il and the Looming Threat of North Korea. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005, pp. 249~274. Chung-in Moon. ‘Managing Collateral Catastrophe: Rationale and Preconditions for Economic Support for North Korea’ in Choong-yong Ahn, Nicholas Eberstadt and Young-sun Lee. A New International Engagement Framework for North Korea? Contending Perspective. Washington, DC: Korean Economic Institute, 2004, pp. 117~146. Dianne E. Rennack. ‘North Korea: Economic Sanctions,’ CRS Report for Congress RL31696. Jan. 24, 2003. Ian Bremmer, Choi Sung-hong & Yoriko Kawaguchi. ‘A New Forum for Peace’ in The National Interest. (No.82) Winter 2005/6, pp.107~111. Week 14 (Dec. 1): Reunification of Korea Lecture by Dr, Sukryul Yu, Professor Emeritus, Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security Desirable? feasible? workable? probable? What kind, in what way and how soon? North-South Dialogue and Cooperation Sunshine, moonlight or strong wind Mt. Geumgang Tourism Gaesong Industrial Complex ‘Iron Silk Road’ 14 Strategic flexibility Operational Plans 5026~5028, Conceptual Plan 5029 Wartime operational control C4ISR (Choose 2~3 articles of interest.) ‘The Koreas: Sunshine and storms’ in The Economist. July 15th 2006, pp. 26~27. Aidan Foster-Carter. ‘North Korea-South Korea Relations: The Worm Turns’ in Comparative Connections. Pacific Forum CSIS, Summer 2006. Balbina Y. Hwang. ‘Democracy Evolves in South Korea’ in Far Eastern Economic Review. July/Aug. 2006, pp. 33~36. Joungwon Alexander Kim and Myungshin Hong. ‘The Koreas, Unification, and the Great Powers’ in Current History.+ April 2006, pp. 186~190. Edward M. Graham. ‘Reunification of Korea: Economic Consequences from an External Point of View’ in International Studies Review. (6:2) Oct. 2005, pp. 21~33. Scott Snyder. ‘South Korea’s Squeeze Play’ in The Washington Quarterly. (28:4) Autumn 2005, pp.93~106. Scott Snyder. “‘Digital Divide’ between North and South Korea: Obstacles and Incentives for IT Sector Cooperation” in Bytes and Bullets: Information Technology Revolution and National Security on the Korean Peninsula. Honolulu: Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, 2005, pp.345~367. Samuel S. Kim. ‘Inter-Korean Relations in Northeast Asian Geopolitics’ in Charles K. Armstrong, Gilbert Rozman, Samuel S. Kim, and Stephen Kotkin, eds. Korea at the Center: Dynamics of Regionalism in Northeast Asia. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 167~182. Sung-Wook Nam. ‘Current Conditions at Gaesong Industrial Complex and Future Tasks’ in East Asian Review. (18:2) Summer 2006, pp. 25~42. John Feffer. ‘Conclusion: The Road to Unification’ in North Korea South Korea: U.S. Policy at a Time of Crisis. New York: Seven Stories Press, 2003, pp. 152~173. Norman D. Levin and Yong-Sup Han. ‘Chapter Seven: Conclusions and Implications’ in Sunshine in Korea: The South Korean Debate over Policies Toward North Korea. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy, 2002, pp. 131~143. Chung Oknim. ‘The Role of South Korea’s NGOs: The Political Context’ in L. Gordon Flake and Scott Snyder, eds. Paved with Good Intentions: the NGO Experience in North Korea. Westport, CT: Praeger, 1999, pp. 82~110. 15 Young-Kil Kim. ‘Status of Korean Navy’s Tactical C4ISR Systems Acquisition and Issues on Interoperability between ROK-US Combined Naval Operations’ in Bytes and Bullets: Information Technology Revolution and National Security on the Korean Peninsula. Honolulu: Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, 2005, pp. 179~200. Seongji Woo. ‘North Korea-South Korea Relations in the Kim Jong Il Era’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 225~244. Week 15 (Dec. 8): Autopsy of the DPRK How longer can North Korea survive? Soft-landing or sudden crash Regime Change, Transformation or Evolution Change in Character or Behavior Will change of behavior be possible? CTR (Cooperative Threat Reduction) and G8 Global Partnership Harry Lai. ‘North Korea’s Path to Reform and Peace’ in Far Eastern Economic Review. April 2006, pp. 47~49. Robert L. Carlin and Joel S. Wit. ‘North Korean Reform: Politics, Economics and Security’ in Adelphi Papers. The International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2006. Dick K. Nanto and Emma Chanlett-Avery. ‘The North Korean Economy: Background and Policy Analysis,’ CRS Report for Congress Rl32493. Feb. 9, 2005. Joel S. Wit, John Wolfsthal and Choong-suk Oh. ‘Six-Party Talks and Beyond: Cooperative Threat Reduction and North Korea,’ A Report of the CSIS International Security Program. Washington DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 2005. Sharon Squassoni. ‘Globalizing Cooperative Threat Reduction: A Survey of Options,’ CRS Report for Congress RL32359. Jan. 27, 2005. Michael Breen. ‘Chapter 13: Collision Course’ in Kim Jong-Il: North Korea’s Dear Leader. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd, 2004, pp. 171~178. Gavan McCormack. ‘War or Peace?’ in Target North Korea: Pushing North Korea to the Brink of Nuclear Catastrophe. New York, NY: Nation Books, 2004, pp. 181~197. Michael O’Hanlon and Mike Mchizuki. Crisis on the Korean Peninsula: How to Deal with a Nuclear North Korea. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2003, pp. 145~176. Week 16 (Dec. 15): Looking Ahead Cold-war mentality TRADP (Tumen River Area Development Project) 16 Roles of the ARF, NEACD, CSCAP, the Shangri-La Dialogue, etc. Is the Helsinki Process transplantable? Dominik Heller. ‘The Relevance of the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) for Regional Security in the Asia-Pacific’ in Contemporary Southeast Asia. (27:1) Apr. 2005, pp.123~145. Ralf C. Hassig and Kondan Oh. ‘The Twin Peaks of Pyongyang’ in Orbis (50:1). Winter 2006, pp. 5~22. Jong-Yun Bae and Chung-in Moon. ‘Unraveling the Northeast Asian Regional Security Complex: Old Patterns and New Insights’ in Quarterly Journal. Korea Institute for Defense Analysis (XVII: 2), Fall 2005, pp. 7~34. Bertil Lintner. ‘Chapter 9: The Future?’ in Great Leader, Dear Leader: Demystifying North Korea under the Kim Clan. Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books, 2005, pp. 188~202. Desmond Ball. ‘Security Cooperation in Asia Pacific: Official and Unofficial Responses’ in Annelies Heijmans, Nicola Simmonds and Hans van de Veen. Searching for Peace in Asia Pacific: An Overview of Conflict Prevention and Peacebuilding Activities. 2004, pp. 37~52. Nicholas Eberstadt. ‘Why hasn’t North Korea Collapsed?’ in Kihl and Kim, eds. North Korea: The Politics of Regime Survival. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2006, pp. 268~298. 17