AECO’s Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT by AECO’s Secretariat September 2014 LIST OF CONTENT Introduction to AECO ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 3 Arctic expedition cruise tourism............................................................................................................................................................................................ 4 International development ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Arctic development ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Development in Svalbard .......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Development in Greenland....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Development in Arctic Canada................................................................................................................................................................................................ 7 Development in Arctic Russia ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 7 AECO’s vision & mission ............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 8 AECO’s objectives ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 9 SWOT analysis ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Strategy & action plan .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 11 Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 2 INTRODUCTION TO AECO AECO – Association of Arctic Expedition Cruise Operators – is an international association for Arctic expedition cruise operators and others with interests in this industry. The association was established in 2003 by eight expedition cruise operators, for operators with itineraries in Svalbard. In 2006 AECO expanded its geographic range to include Jan Mayen (Norway) and Greenland. From late 2013 Arctic Canada and the national park “Russian Arctic” (Franz Josef Land and northern Novaya Zemlya) also became part of AECO’s geographic range. For members with operations in other Arctic areas AECO’s guidelines apply. Per September 2014 AECO has more than 40 members, 25 of which are operating all together 30 vessels all over the Arctic. AECO have two focus areas and guiding principles, i.e. to: 1. ensure sustainable1 expedition cruise tourism, and 2. advocate for the interests of the members. Resources is particularly being used on developing and implementing guidelines as well as initiating projects, which supports these overall areas. The association is the only Arctic cruise industry association and organizes most of the operators within the expedition cruise segment. During the years, AECO has become an important Arctic cruise tourism contact for governments and authorities as well as researchers, and other industry associations and other stakeholders with interest in this area. AECO builds on formalized as well as non-formalized co-operation, with a large amount of partners and projects. 1 Sustainability defined in regards to AECO’s vision of “responsible, environmentally friendly and safe Arctic cruise tourism”. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 3 INTRODUCTION TO AECO (continued) The Arctic is subject to a continuous increased interest from many sides such as interest groups, major industries and researchers. In addition, governments are eager to take control of the development and have initiated a number of regulation processes – on an international, national and local level. This has been and continues to be a challenge for an industry, which depends on a predictable operational frame-work. One of AECO major tasks is to educate stakeholders and advocate for the members’ interests. Expedition cruise operations are not necessarily a very profitable activity - the industry therefore has a high focus on costs. It is a continual challenge for AECO to prove the fact that we add value for members matching the membership fees paid. The association therefore gives membership services and activities a high priority, as well as internal cost-efficient management. To be able to carry out activities, AECO is depending on external funding. During the last 6-7 years, AECO has received approximately 5 million NOK 5 (the equivalent of 800.000 USD) in external funding, some yeas as much as 50% of the working budget. The economy of the association is however stretched and vulnerable. AECO is administrated by an Executive director in Longyearbyen and since 2012 an Office manager in Copenhagen, both in full time positions. ARCTIC EXPEDITION CRUISE TOURISM Tourism is developing in most Arctic countries. This is also the case for cruise tourism and expedition cruise tourism. Looking back a couple of decades, the development has been significant in Svalbard and Greenland, while Canada and Russia still is in the very beginning of a potential development. Since the international financial crises in 2008, there has not been a major development in expedition cruise tourism to Svalbard or Greenland. Recent developments may indicate growth in most Arctic regions, but several different issues will have a major impact on the future development. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 4 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT Cruise tourism continues to grow worldwide, where a number of regions are experiencing growth. This also applies to areas outside the traditionally most visited cruise destinations (Mediterranean, Caribbean), such as the Baltic Sea and the Norwegian fjords. In the north there is a growing winter activity in regards to cruise and also peak seasons seems to grow in both ends. Conventional cruising is developing and attract broader market segments than ever. There are signs that some of these new segments are now looking for new cruise products, such as smaller vessels and expedition cruises. The demand for expedition cruise products in the Arctic may therefore also be growing in the years to come. ARCTIC DEVELOPMENT The International Maritime Organizations (IMO’s) Polar Code will most likely be finalized in 2014 and implemented over the following years. This will involve major work and costs for the expedition cruise industry. For some, it might not be possible to meet all the new requirements and they will be unable to operate in the Arctic. This may open opportunities to new operators and/or vessels, given that there are operators who are interested in repositioning suitable vessels – or invest in rebuilding or building new vessels. The general interest for the Arctic is growing and states are taking steps to strengthen their position in the Arctic. The Arctic Council is also developing and during the last few years, the Councils had agreed on two binding legal agreements, both relevant for the Artic expedition cruise operators: the “Search and rescue agreement” and the “Oil spill response agreement”. It is expected that the Arctic Council will continue to strengthen its position as a Pan-Arctic organization. AECO has a close dialogue with different working groups under the Arctic Council – and are involved in several ongoing projects with these working groups. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 5 DEVELOPMENT IN SVALBARD Svalbard has the highest number of visiting cruise guests and expedition cruise tourists in the Arctic. The archipelago is considered easy accessible for tour operators as there is little bureaucracy and low costs connected to tour operations in the areas. A demand for pilots or pilot exemption certificates, applied to expedition cruise vessels from 2015, is however expected to have minor negative effect on industry. For new operators and mariners without experience in the Svalbard, this may involve challenges. From 2015 there will be a Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO) prohibition in most areas in Svalbard. As most AECO-members run on MGO (fuel much lighter than HFO) in Svalbard, this is expected to have minor impact on today’s operators. This may involve that several of the conventional cruise vessel may not be sailing to Svalbard in the near future. It is difficult to predict if this can lead to a higher demand for expedition cruise products. New local regulations may involve closure of some areas in the future, but larger changes are not expected in the next few years to come. DEVELOPMENT IN GREENLAND Greenland has the second largest number of visitors in the High Arctic. In addition, Greenland is considered to be a fairly easily accessible cruise destination with a manageable bureaucracy and not too high costs connected with operations. From time to time, there have been challenges in regard to Greenlandic authorities using a very long time to respond in connection with notifications and applications. This has been due to limited capacity within the administration. New maritime regulations can be expected in Greenland in the years to come. The regulations will involve changes for all passenger vessels carrying more than 250 persons, which in the future will only be able to sail in limited areas of Greenland, need to carry a pilot and have to meet several other demands related to ice classification, competency and training requirements, safety management systems, contingency plans etc. The regulations, or parts of the regulations, may later be made applicable to vessels carrying less than 250 passengers. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 6 DEVELOPMENT IN ARCTIC CANADA The number of cruise tourist visiting the northern parts of Canada are still very limited. In the period from 2010 to 2014 the number is between 1.000 and 2.000 passengers every year. The main reason for these low numbers is most likely the very high level of bureaucracy and costs connected to getting permissions to carry out operations in Canada. Altogether, there are more than 50 different permitting requirements in Arctic Canada, with more than 30 different permitting offices. Some of the permits has to be translated to the local Inuit language. The total costs before operations can begin may therefore easily exceed the potential profits by taking paying passengers to the Canadian Arctic. DEVELOPMENT IN ARCTIC RUSSIA Only very few cruise tourists visit the Russian Arctic each year. Until now the total number of visiting guests has been less than 1.000 people annually. The Russian Arctic has a lot of future potential. If Russian authorities permit cruise vessels to sail directly from Svalbard to Franz Josef Land the many sea days that operators are currently using going down to mainland Russia will be eliminated. This together with a more flexible permitting process will save tremendous additional costs for the operators and such create the potential for a large increase of guests in the Russian Arctic. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 7 AECO’S VISION & MISSION2 AECO’s vision is responsible, environmentally friendly and safe Arctic cruise tourism. AECO’s mission is that expedition cruises and tourism in the Arctic is carried out with the utmost consideration for the vulnerable, natural environment, local cultures and cultural remains, as well as the challenging safety hazards at sea and on land. Focus areas and guiding principles 1. Ensure sustainable expedition cruise tourism, and 2. Advocate for the interests of the members. AECO’s strategic planning is based on a slightly modified version of “VMOSA” (Vision, Mission, Objectives, Strategies and Action Plans) as it can be seen at the online community tool box developed by the University of Kansas, see: http://ctb.ku.edu/en/table-of-contents/structure/strategicplanning/vmosa/main. AECO’s vision is ‘our dream’ or idea about ‘what success will look like’. AECO’s mission is what we want to achieve. AECO’s objectives are how we want to accomplish vision and mission. AECO’s strategy & action plan contains a number of specific strategies and actions to reach the goals derived from the above. Time, work and cost estimates is a natural part of AECO’s strategies & actions. 2 Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 8 AECO’S OBJECTIVES 1. Attractive industry association To be recognized as an attractive industry association for Arctic Cruise operators and others related to the industry. 2. Industry representation To be recognized as the primary organization representing the concerns and views of the expedition cruise companies operating in the Arctic. 3. Incorporation of best practice guidelines To agree upon and encourage the incorporation of specific standards and guidelines of operating expedition cruises in the Arctic. 4. Encourage high level of knowledge & experience To encourage the use of the highest qualified guides and staff knowledgeable about and experienced with the Arctic, it’s environment; natural & human history, flora & fauna and contemporary local cultures. 5. Coordination among operators To stimulate and encourage coordination among expedition cruise operators offering voyages to the Arctic 6. Single point of contact To serve as a contact and advisory group to government ministries and agencies responsible for managing and regulating the lands, surrounding marine waters, and human activities in the Arctic. 7. Interact with NGO’s To interact with and maintain an open dialogue with non-governmental organizations interested in the Arctic. 8. Educate individuals and stakeholders To educate interested individuals and stakeholders about expedition cruise tourism in the Arctic. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 9 SWOT ANALYSIS In order to establish a base for AECO’s strategic planning an analysis of Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) has been carried out. S – STRENGTHS Majority of Arctic operators are AECO members Good and efficient communication with members High level of satisfaction among members Large competence on Arctic tourism and Arctic regions among members High credibility Large network and many “friends” Recognized, respected and attractive project partner in regard to scientific research and project funding - in general Good dialogue with other industry associations Good contact and dialogue with governments and authorities Own valuable databases and systems Own valuable guidelines Highly competent working committees consisting of actively participating member representatives Small, competent and resource-optimized secretariat Positive press coverage O – OPPORTUNITIES Attract new members Continue to develop in different geographic areas, especially new areas Project funding Consolidate and further develop position Further develop and strengthen dialogue with authorities Media strategy and planning Attention to important tools/systems (cruise database, vessel tracking, siteguidelines etc.) Becoming reference for best practice, e.g. on landings Being the voice for all of the Arctic cruise operators Improve data/statistics about the economic and environmental impact of expedition cruise tourism Maximize ability to react quickly to evolving issues by putting practical measures in place where needed. Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT W – WEAKNESSES Stretched economy/working capital Small secretariat – limited resources Vulnerable secretariat in case of illness or the like Many day to day tasks limits the secretariats capacity to do work in regard to the organizations overall strategy No professional internal back up on systems like accounting, invoices, IT, etc. Financial unpredictability/risks connected to income from membership fees Members can leave on short notice – high economic risk Only a few active members involve in day to day work Over reliance on a few key volunteers within committees and working groups. Arctic operators who are not members Free riders Diversity among members/different needs No third party audit of compliance with guidelines T - THREATS Terminations of memberships Reactive, impractical or unjustifiable regulations. Inconsistent and varied tourism policies and requirements Negative focus on Arctic expedition cruise tourism Regulations and regulations processes, including the Polar Code Ice/weather influencing on operations World economy Accidents – especially a single mass casualty incident. Bankruptcies Potential damage from activities of non-AECO operators or AECO operators not adhering to guidelines or by-laws Governments choosing other standards for operators Liability and the Possibility of Litigation Unmanaged, uncontrolled growth potentially compromising AECO’s vision and mission. Not required to be AECO-member to operate in the Arctic Page 10 STRATEGY & ACTION PLAN The below Strategy & Action Plan is a tool to operationalize a number of specific actions to reach strategies and goals derived from the above vision, mission and objectives. All time, work and cost entries are estimates. Objectives 1. Attractive industry association Strategies Actions Aim at good service to all members Respond within a couple of days 2014-2015 Help when possible Continue to work for full organization of all relevant Arctic cruise operators Ensure good communication and information Continue to develop resources and tools and increased information of different Arctic areas Proactive initiatives towards potentially new members Newsletters 3-4 times a year Email updates Facebook updates Twitter updates Newsfeeds Continue to develop www.aeco.no as platform for communication Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 11 Objectives 1. Attractive industry association Strategies Actions 2014-2015 Provide tools and services Continue to develop the Cruise database Improvements/changes based on experiences from 2013-2014 Maintain the vessel tracking system Introduce crowd sourcing in cooperation with IAATO Implement the crowd sourcing plans with IAATO Provide PowerPoint presentations Provide contact lists Offer training/meetings Ensure involvement Aim at organizing an EL-conference every 2-3 years Work with IAATO on a potential joint event Special theme meetings/workshops Offer a Polar Code workshop in cooperation with IAATO Organize an open Arctic Cruise Conference and a closed AECOmeeting for members every year Encourage members to do work in AECO’s various committees October 2015 Ask members for advise Solidify economy Actively work on external project funding Apply for funding of Site guidelines Greenland Clean up Svalbard Fauna reg. Svalbard EL-conference New guidelines? Aim at one operation year’s equity Strengthen the secretariat and minimize vulnerability Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Hire help for routine work, economywork and building up systems Step by step and within limits of budgets Page 12 Objectives 2. Industry representation Strategies Actions 2014-2015 Keep an open dialogue with authorities Engage in regulation and management processes. Continue cooperation with Arctic Command. Keep an open dialogue with the research community Cooperate when valuable Topical Topical - Keep a door open on partnership with Arctic cruise tourism stakeholders Be open towards project partnership with: Hydrographic initiatives Meteorological initiatives Satellite based communication initiatives Biodiversity, flora and fauna initiatives Environmental initiatives Arctic Council initiatives Visit Greenland initiatives Visit Svalbard initiatives Etc. All the above within the limits of AECO’s capacity and budget Be present at relevant conferences, meetings and events Meet with stakeholders Visit different Arctic areas and meet with stakeholders, as far as capacity and budget allows Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Shipping reg. Greenland Pilotage Svalbard Management plan Svalbard Tourism strategies Canada Arctic council PAME efforts Site guidelines Canada Various EU projects Fauna observations Dialogue with CINA re joint event in 2016 PAME Arctic shipping workshop PAME Arctic Circle Arkhangelsk cruise tourism conference NPI symposium CAFF congress IAATO Annual meeting Visit Greenland during 2015 Page 13 Objectives 2. Industry representation Strategies 3. Incorporation of best practice guidelines Continue with AECO’s high priority on guidelines Develop/collect Arctic cruise tourism statistics Actions - 2014-2015 Work on with Tourism organizations and research institutions in Greenland, Svalbard, Canada and Russia Mandatory use of animated guidelines Continue to develop site guidelines and become a partner in projects with this purpose Consider new guidelines Look at new Icelandic cruise surveys for inspiration Contact national statistical bureaus to let them know about the statistical knowledge which lacks Add 8 languages to animated guidelines Site guidelines Greenland Site guidelines Canada Site guidelines FJL Additional guidelines? Use guidelines committee for advice and to constantly improve AECO’s existing guidelines Consider a reporting system for the implementation of guidelines Offer participation staff meetings – operators cost coverage 4. Encourage high level of knowledge & experience PolarQuest Distribute information Encourage use of AECO’s tools Ensure competence in secretariat Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Administration must experience operations Page 14 Objectives 5. Coordination among operators 6. Single point of contact, and 8. Educate individuals and stakeholders Strategies Actions Mandatory use of AECO’s cruise database Continue to develop the database Encourage good dialogue and cooperation Solve disagreements Strengthen position as the primary contact point for the Arctic expedition cruise industry Revisit and update AECO’s media plan 2014-2015 Send out press-releases Ensure internal competence Ensure high quality work Respond quickly and professional Be proactive 7. Interact with NGO’s Continue the ongoing dialogue and exchange with various NGO’s Strategy & Action Plan 2014-2015 DRAFT Page 15