Business Plan for Entry Level Consumer Product Renewable Energy Power Generation Dorina M Morcan, MBA http://www.globaleci.com PO Box 1564 Malvern, AR. 72104 501-815-2018 501-262-4127 (fax) July 23, 2011 Dorina Morcan, President/Owner Global ECI Page 1 Alan Wahlstrom, Engineer 3/8/2016 Executive Consultants, Inc. 1.0 Executive Summary Large companies like Wal-Mart are generally locked-in to the existing electric grid and local monopoly utility to serve their electric energy needs. Costs are continually rising and options to control costs are limited. Nationally we all are coming to recognize the need for more renewable energy solutions. In addition only 3% of US households have a renewable energy source product. Three reasons are: • Prohibitive costs in the range of $20,000 - $40,000 for a wind generator or roof full of solar panels. • Local restrictions, codes and permit refusals and home owners association that will not allow unsightly solar panels much less towered wind generators. • Lack of professional installation. Renewable power must become readily accessible to allow full long term renewable power integration Executive Consultants, Inc. (ECI) is being put together to create a solution to these problems by building an entry-level renewable energy power generation unit powerful enough to lower home electric bill by 25% to 50%. This unit will allow households to partially separate from the electric grid. Consumers can be free of the electric utility and in control of their energy costs! For the majority of people, the idea of renewable power is so difficult and still seen as far away in the future. ECI will build and develop an entry level unit using unique technology to capture the consumer market. An entry level renewable energy power generator would: 1. 2. 3. 4. Cost around $795 Follow satellite dish regulations. Small enough to be used in urban areas Would not require professional installation Our project will be lucrative for the company and free consumers from high electricity bills by reducing the demand on the grid. The power generation unit with other technologies opens other opportunities for product marketing such as energy storage units. As consumers become more aware of environmental impacts of traditional power generation the desire to reduce these impacts will continue to grow. Companies that are aware of these consumer concerns and develop products to address these concerns will stand out in the consumer market. Renewable energy systems for residential use have, as of now, been unattainable due to cost and complexity. It is our business strategy to reduce both of these barriers. Our product has low production cost and requires little effort for installation thereby making this system attainable for a larger market. Global ECI Page 2 3/8/2016 2.0 Project Schedule The project plan is set up in four distinct phases. The first phase involves a proof-of-concept design and construction of a small 500 watt prototype to test and verify initial assumptions with particular focus on the renewable generator and storage. In the second phase, 12 demonstration units will be tested and deployed at alpha sites such as Wal-Mart stores parking lots or rooftops. In phase three, the project moves rapidly towards commercial production with a target of 6000 units in the second year and 120,000 units in the third year into retail chain distribution channels. Phase IV moves the project into commercial production at a very competitive cost per unit. A confirmation step at the conclusion of each phase will allow management to judge success and proceed to the next phase. Although completion of all four phases of the project has significant positive economical impact for ECI, even the successful development of a 500 watt prototype unit, as described in Phase I, has both retail and commercial applications. For example, a 500 watt unit can easily provide power for residential and small commercial applications such as parking lot lights, motors, or cell phone towers; it can also be used to reduce the demand peak at retail stores currently on the grid. Global ECI Page 3 3/8/2016 Table 1.0 – Milestones Milestone Start Date End Date Budget Phase I - Demonstration Project – Build a 500 watt 1/1/2011 (small) prototype as proof of concept. (year 1) 8/30/2011 (year 1) $464,500 Phase II - Build 12 demonstration units including 3/1/2011 appropriate renewable storage options. (year 2) 9/30/2011 (year 2) $730,000 Deploy the 12 demonstration units at alpha sites. 10/1/2011 (year 2) 12/31/2011 (year 2) Phase III - Build 6000 units in the second year and 120,000 units in the third year for retail chain distribution. Phase IV - Commercial production at competitive prices 1/1/2012 (year 3) 12/31/2012 1/1/2013 (year 4) 12/31/2013 Totals $50,912,400 $52,106,900 There are no products being effectively made to produce the same energy independence as this entry level unit. Modern industry has the capability to produce such a unit at a competitive cost. To mimic past feats of emerging renewable energy products, ECI proposes to build a one 500 watt demonstration unit. Many alternative energy resources made today for large businesses are not cost-efficient. Several of these resources lack new technology with which to make them feasible in a high profit margin environment, such as Wal-Mart. In order to compete in today’s marketplace with these renewable energy resources, it is critical to begin with significantly higher energy yield products, such as the entry level unit. Properly utilized, these stand alone energy units will put consumers in more control of their energy resources and expenditures. The potential for this market is enormous. Experts have estimated that using renewable energy methods will grow into an industry ranging from $280 billion/yr to $500 billion/yr by 2013. Global ECI Page 4 3/8/2016 Table 2.0 – Phase I Demonstration Units Phase I First 12 Months 1 Unit Equipment 200.00 12 Demo Units Total 1,000.00 1,200.00 Labor and Administration 4,000.00 20,000.00 24,000.00 Materials 1,200.00 14,400.00 15,600.00 5,400.00 35,400.00 40,800.00 Total Cost Unit Sale Price - - Manufacturing Cost 5,400.00 Demo Cost (5,400.00) - 35,400.00 (35,400.00) 40,800.00 (40,800.00) Table 3.0 Phase II Manufacturing Cost 6000 units 120,000 Units 2nd Year 3rd Year Total 10,000 250,000 260,000 Administrative Costs 617,120 617,120 1,234,240 Labor 390,000 7,800,000 8,190,000 Materials 1,800,000 36,000,000 37,800,000 Futures Contracts 1,000,000 1,000,000 2,000,000 (3,179,200) (45,029,200) (48,208,400) Equipment Manufacturing Cost Global ECI Page 5 3/8/2016 3.0 About Us ECI opened for business in Malvern, AR, on May 5, 2004, starting with the founding partner, one engineering partner, and one office manager. After study of the emerging renewable energy market, the Company is concentrating on developing and marketing a renewable-fueled entry level power generation unit capable of producing 500 watts of power for the home to give consumers more control over their energy costs. A manufacturing site will be maintained at a leased facility in Arkansas. 4.0 Objectives We seek to establish the industry standard for technical and business excellence in pursuit of visionary entry level products for customers and commercialization of an entry level unit will have far-reaching impact in the energy business offering meaningful distributed generation to the rapidly growing market. No doubt there will be other spin-off models to develop that will logically come from the research and development of the 500 watt unit. Table 4.0 - Projected Costs for Phase I and Phase II Year 1 Phase I Start-Up Costs Administration Executive Salaries (Table 8) Materials and Equipment (Manufacturing Cost) Rental Facility Years 2 and 3 Phase II Total 1,704,000.00 464,500.00 25,000.00 1,704,000.00 48,208,400.00 600,000.00 48,208,400.00 600,000.00 H 40,800.00 A 464,500.00 25,000.00 Demonstration Units 40,800.00 Year 4 P S Patent Licenses 200,000.00 400,000.00 600,000.00 E Projected Costs for Phases I and II 730,300.00 50,912,400.00 51,642,700.00 III 5.0 Keys to Success Concentrate on bringing to customers as much energy conservation and cost reduction enhancing techniques as possible using the entry-level unit. Manage the projects costs efficiently yet maintain a high concern for the environment. Evaluate commercial possibilities for expansion into other markets. 6.0 Company Ownership The company is organized as a corporation, which will allow easy changes of ownership in the future, as well as certain tax advantages. The start-up investment needed is $464,500. Total start-up expenses are summarized in Table 5.0 below. Global ECI Page 6 3/8/2016 Table 5.0 -Start Up Costs Legal Insurance and Bonding Rent- Initial Unit Production Office Expenses $300,000 $12,000 $9,000 $5,000 Office Equipment $4,000 Sub-Total $330,000 Product Development $100,000 Presentations Prospectus Expense Travel Web Site Option for beta site lease $34,500 Sub-Total $134,500 Total Requirements $464,500 7.0 Product and Service Summary ECI is developing a 500 watt, renewable-fueled, consumer, entry-level energy generation unit for residential use where users want more control over their energy costs and less impact on the environment. The project involves obtaining renewable energy from unique technology and packaging a commercially-viable entry-level unit for retail sales. The entry-level unit can be operated either on or off the electric grid based on the needs of the owner. Global ECI One 500 Watt renewable power generation unit. Operates stand alone on or off the grid. Supplies sufficient power to consumers to eliminate some electric cost Market research and business development. Renewable energy power system. Product materials, energy, and other products. In competition with petroleum-derived equivalents, (e.g. biopolymers, automotive fuels, and electricity). Future entry-level products such as renewable and a wide range of renewable energy materials produced from renewable and solar non-photovoltaic energy systems. Pilot and manufacturing facilities (preliminary and engineered designs). Page 7 3/8/2016 Financial assessment (risk-adjusted NPV) of capital-investment options. Affiliate network services. Engineering and construction of the units. Industrial and government facilities available for contractual R & D. Search for project funding (network to include potential investors). 8.0 Who Will Buy, and Why? Wal-Mart and other retail stores such as Lowe’s and Home Depot have a strategic initiative to get their stores off of the electric grid. Likewise the consumers who shop at retail stores would like to reduce their electric bill. The purpose of this project is to execute that strategy by building an entry level unit to power an individual home. With the successful development of this solution, we will create the flexibility to move retail consumers off the grid at a pace of their own choosing. Consumers will gain control over their energy costs and leverage their strengths to control this key area of costs. With successful implementation, there will be a tremendous market for similar opportunities in their stores. This will redefine the energy industry in the future. • Not every house can be off the grid and fully sustainable, however, depending on the size of the unit purchased, each house can reduce electricity cost. • Consumers could be free to decide what to take off the grid - whether they want to power a lamp, a motor, a TV circuit, other electronics, etc. • Also, this unit would be a perfect stand alone back up power system. • The use of the unit could be advertised inside department stores to: 1. Gauge customer interest 2. Raise the level of awareness about renewable power generation within the general population 3. Sustain Wal-Mart’s image as a company years ahead of its competitors and make the name synonymous with renewable energy power generation There are many start-ups, or groups considering starting up industrial renewable energy processes. These organizations are often severely short on resources (time, money, and people) which make execution of their plans extremely difficult. There are also companies that have successfully started up and are now looking to grow their businesses or expand into new renewable energy markets. Finally, several large global corporations are looking to participate in this emerging industry. As part of an aim for sustainable development, there are initiatives at DuPont, Cargill BP, Shell, and Dow, to name only a few. The annual sales of these five companies alones (DuPont, Cargill, BP, Shell, and Dow) total close to $500 billion, so clearly, large amounts of money are at stake. Public efforts are underway to utilize energy resources for the production of industrial energy sources (both commodity and specialty). BP and Shell are traditional refiners who understand what the future looks like. Both are actively studying renewable technologies for the production of energy. The vision of economic entry level consumer products is not lost on these oil giants. 9.0 Competitive Comparisons Without an entry level product, renewable energy will never become commonplace nor gain widespread acceptance. Utilities and other new capacity providers are paying $750,000 or more per MW for new capacity at this time. While utilities and other generators are paying for coal, natural gas and other fossil fuels, the entry-level unit will effectively generate with no fuel costs due to its ability to produce its own fuel with Global ECI Page 8 3/8/2016 the installed equipment. This clearly sets the entry-level consumer product apart from any other generator in the market. Theoretical savings are not motivating to most people • • • Science has never been able to compete with imagination. Only an actual, immediate visible difference in people’s electric bill would be compelling. Coupled with ease of use, this product would capture the imagination and have unequaled marketing potential. ECI will manage the project through aggressive use of its affiliate network and subcontractors. Post installation maintenance of the units is not included in this business plan. The project plan is divided into clearly discernable milestones and deliverables that will be evident to all involved. Clear unambiguous goals will prompt laser focus on the part of the project team and other invested parties. 10.0 Feasibility Assessment Study The complexities of full-scale renewable energy generation can be enormous. During the start-up phase we will develop a feasibility assessment study of the renewable energy concept using a small model. This model will prove the concept underpinning the unit. The prototype will be effectively modeled using simulation software that will enable expansion and commercialization of the concept. The feasibility assessment will use the real options valuation method for product development projects. The real options valuation method is based on the Black-Scholes mathematical model of analysis. The feasibility assessment will address specific renewable energy technical challenges, exit strategies, and, how the client’s bottom line will be positively impacted. 11.0 Affiliate Network The Affiliate Network will be very important for the success of ECI. We have access to and experience with top engineering and construction companies that can build the unit, industrial and government laboratories and facilities, non-government organizations, intellectual-property lawyers, and potential investors In addition, the network includes several industry experts with up to sixty years of individual experience that is directly relevant to the emerging renewable energy industry. Engineering partners’ principals bring 75 years of utility experience, generating experience and engineering design to the project. There are others that cannot be disclosed publicly at this time, because of the founder’s obligations to them as clients. A margin of 15% will usually be added to all work outsourced or sub-contracted by ECI. One exception is for engineering and construction, for which only initial work requiring our cooperation has the 15% surcharge. When the industry grows to ~$300 billion/yr in 2013, it is likely that ECI also needs to grow by a few orders of magnitude. Thus a 6-person business formed in 2007 would expand to more employees in 2013, as the business matures. 12.0 Market Segmentation Often linked to chemical operations, utility companies define a unique sector due to the large, separate markets for electricity and power. Consumer entry-level units have the capability for generation of electricity through a smaller renewable power generation unit. The future “renewable economy” could be well-served by entry-level products. This can produce clean renewable energy through a combination of wind and solar energy. Global ECI Page 9 3/8/2016 Table 6.0 Anticipated Cash Flow Phase I Year 1 Phase II Year 2 Total Sales Cost of 12 Demonstration Units 6,000 Units $799 Sales Price Sell 5,000 120,000 Units $799 Sales Price Sell 115,000 3,995,000.00 91,885,000.00 40,800.00 Total 95,880,000.00 40,800.00 1,800,000.00 Start-up Cost Year 3 36,000,000.00 37,800,000.00 390,000.00 7,800,000.00 8,190,000.00 1,000,000.00 1,000,000.00 2,000,000.00 25,000.00 617,120.00 617,120.00 1,259,240.00 200,000.00 200,000.00 200,000.00 600,000.00 464,500.00 464,500.00 10,000.00 Cost of Goods Sold 730,300.00 Profit (730,300.00) 4,017,120.00 (22,120.00) 250,000.00 260,000.00 45,867,120.00 50,614,540.00 46,017,880.00 45,265,460.00 13.0 Target Market Segment Strategy ECI proposes on initial focus on Wal-Mart as the key client. This project meets a key strategic move for this progressive company and will draw great support from the industry giant. • Design team and marketing team working in parallel with production and delivery. • Imagine being able to go to the store and pick up a unit which will immediately cut energy costs. • Create a lucrative product easily accessible to the general population using renewable energy power generation. Global ECI Page 10 3/8/2016 14.0 Market Trends, Needs, and Growth There are many market trends which are speeding up the emergency in renewable energy industry. Key concepts are sustainability and the “triple bottom line”—paying attention to not only the economic but also the environmental and social aspects in all business activities. Most companies, organizations, and individuals would probably characterize the perceived benefits of consumer level units using at least one of the following: To develop energy from renewable resources. The increase the energy independence of the United States (for fuels and chemicals). To reduce dependence on foreign fuel. To provide favorable effects on conservation, public health, and the environment. To diversify markets for raw agricultural and forestry products. To create jobs and enhance the economic development of the Arkansas rural economy. These five points are closely linked to the concepts of sustainability and the triple bottom line. For long-term sustainability, using renewable resources is the only choice, since fossil fuels are essentially never replenished. As the cost of petroleum rises, entry-level consumer products can be justified on purely economic terms. Energy costs are a key part of any household. In a 1978 article published in Science, DuPont provided a review of over 250 chemicals that are manufactured today from petroleum and were once manufactured from sugar. Many of these are niche chemicals with small markets and high barriers to entry. The others are comprised of commodities whose manufacturing costs are optimized by the economies of scale found in the megarefineries of the world. In order to compete in today’s marketplace with these petroleum-derived commodity chemicals, it is critical to begin with significantly lower energy costs. Development of an entry-level renewable energy power generation unit offers a way to accomplish this. 15.0 Market Growth Entry-level consumer units might be coined by industry observers as the “new wave of renewable energy” after photovoltaic solar panels and heat transfer systems. Keynote speaker Rolf Bachmann, a consultant with McKinsey & Co., said a new report from his firm estimates that by 2010, renewable energy will impact about 20% of the worldwide business market—a $280 billion-a-year slice. “Momentum is building in the sector. Production is becoming more cost-efficient, yields are improving, and public pressure is growing for industry to develop safe, environmentally friendly, and sustainable products.” Many speakers emphasized that, in most cases, industrial renewable energy is limited by the size and resource of companies doing the research. Development of improved processes will play an important part in propelling consumer entry-level units into the traditional renewable energy industry. 16.0 Strategic Value Proposition and Implementation Summary ECI offers a powerful alternative to the normal way of developing new renewable energy products for companies seeking long-term business sustainability and flexibility. With narrow focus and leveraged partnerships to supply needed skills, ECI can put together the key pieces to bring a commerciallyviable entry-level unit to the market. By concentrating on the needs of one major client Wal-Mart, ECI can focus on the creation and technical challenges of building a renewable energy-powered electric generator for household use. Global ECI Page 11 3/8/2016 In terms of net cost or NPV, the key value proposition of the project is that Wal-Mart moves into position to offer consumers options to separate from the grid if they so choose. This project creates a tremendous strategic advantage for Wal-Mart worth many times the cost invested. From day one, our clients will be assured that our top-level people will do the actual work. 17.0 Personnel Plan In addition to the founding partner, and engineering support, an office manager will be hired at the outset. A CEO, who is a West Point graduate, and COO, who is a retired vice president of a utility, a technical advisor, and an accountant will be added as ECI grows. In addition, we will hire on additional consultants, including web design, and other staff professionals if necessary. The salary schedule is presented in Table 7.0. The monthly total payroll is $52,000. Salaries of partners grow at 10% annually, while those of other positions are assumed to grow at 5% annually (for the purpose of this plan). The base compensation of all partners will be the same. In the future, a bonus system (rewarding sales generations and other initiatives of the firm) could be developed. Table 7.0 Personnel Plan for Phase II Q1 Q2 Q3 Annual Total Q4 Founding Partner $32,000 $32,000 $32,000 $32,000 $128,000 Engineering (1 FTE) Office Manager $20,000 $12,000 $20,000 $12,000 $20,000 $12,000 $20,000 $12,000 $80,000 $48,000 CEO $32,000 $32,000 $32,000 $32,000 $128,000 CFO $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $80,000 $116,000 $116,000 $116,000 $116,000 $464,000 $34,800 $34,800 $34,800 $34,800 $139,200 3,480 $154,280 3,480 $154,280 3,480 $154,280 3,480 $154,280 13,920 $617,120 Total People 5 5 5 5 5 Total Payroll $154,280 $154,280 $154,280 $154,280 $617,120 Salaries Benefits (assume 30%) Payroll Tax (assume 10%) Total Labor costs 18.0 Management Summary. The initial management team includes the founders themselves, and, a small cadre of professionals. As ECI grows, it will add additional consulting help. We will appoint a board of advisors, made up of investors plus a few key members of the affiliate network, to help make management decisions. The business is immediately scalable, and, the founder has identified individuals who would be a valuable addition to the firm. The organizational structure will eventually include several partners at an equal level, with junior-level associates reporting to those partners. If a revised plan calls for more Global ECI Page 12 3/8/2016 immediate partners, and/or as the firm grows with the new emerging industry, attracting top-quality management personnel should be easily done. 19.0 Sales Strategy ECI will remain focused on delivering against our project plan and the clearly established project goals. Some of the most important underlying assumptions are: ECI assumes to be able to obtain all of the necessary permits. ECI assumes, of course, that there are no unforeseen changes in technology to make production difficult. ECI will build a prototype of small size first. 20.0 Consumer Entry-Level Unit Manufacturing. The concept of entry-level consumer unit fits into Wal-Mart’s existing business and manufacturing the units can define new businesses. Incorporating entry-level consumer units will positively impact WalMart’s long-term corporate goals (such as reduced dependence on nonrenewable energy). Many companies and consumers are keenly aware of their need to reduce energy costs. In some important cases these companies have publicly stated they are going down this path. Then their need becomes the time and people devoted to the necessary research projects to move faster down the path, and, to confirm it is the right path for them. Executive Consultants, Inc. understands that any renewable energy project needs to respect economic realities, as determined by market-growth opportunities, the pool of capital available for projects, and, executive strategic decisions to become key partners for Wal-Mart Stores. Global ECI Page 13 3/8/2016